Yesterday & this morning

1. Climate change regimea) New financing instruments

2. Scientific knowledge base for actiona) Meteorological knowledgeb) Agricultural and agronomic knowledgec) Modelling methodsd) Vulnerability assessment / mapping

3. Thematic applicationsa) Drylandsb) Floodplains, coastal zonesc) Energy of the sund) Small island statese) Drought prone areas

Mainstreaming climate change into development operations

Asia and Pacific Division’s endeavours -an illustration for the discussion

1. Contextual considerations

2. Ongoing efforts

3. Expanding opportunities

Contextual considerations

PI mindset: mainstreaming PI has no explicit climate change programme

Build capacity into existing processes Every event has climate change agenda item

Need to know more … but action is urgent Link of climate change and growth

China and India growth at centre of attention Growth has reduced poverty

Poverty to be reduced by another 50% after 2015 Nature of remaining poverty

Growth is crucial for poverty reduction (7-8%) Agriculture and agricultural growth are crucial (3-4%)

Safety net - 1997 financial crisis Productivity growth is stagnating Yield gaps substantial

Clean growth … clean agricultural growth ? resource conserving / regenerating growth Energy: conservation, diversification, generation (biofuels)

Farmers are most adaptable part of system and respond to incentives

a) Public services slow to adjust

b) Private sector focussed on ST profitability

Risk and vulnerability increasinga) Diversity of risks

b) Intensity, frequency … impact increasing

c) Farmers manage multiple actual risks Climate change constitutes LT background

d) Farmers respond Price transmission …

Reduced supply elasticity sustainability of food production system

Vietnam: risk averseness

Large region, with wide diversity Agro-ecological zones Different risk profiles … also timeframe

Outlook for rural economic livelihoods Scope for increased productivity, modernisation,

increased competitiveness, commercialisation Smaller sector … rural diversification, emigration

Agriculture: cause…victim… solution New agriculture

resource awareness Eastern Indonesia New crops (old crops): wheat, maize, roots and tubers

Resource protection … (re)productive use Viability outlook improved

Risk: food/rice self-sufficiency

Ongoing effortssee Newsletter February 2008

Analytical work Manilla event on risk and vulnerabilty

Planned : Climate scoping of the portfolio With GM and GECC

Capacity building dimension (local partners) Adjust where necessary: Bangladesh

RB-COSOP Vietnam with the GM

Adaptation strategies, mitigation strategies Philippines – fragile coastal ecosystems

Grants programme: new issues, new players RUPES Mountain environments Unfavourable rice environments

Investment programme design: mainstreaming climate change

Team member competencies Design differently: BBB

Flexibility Targeting: poverty-environment nexus

poor people, fragile areas Technology choices: cropping systems, LEISA Infrastructure design standards Risk management strategy Economic analysis

Safeguards: environmental assessments

Cooperation: internal and external GM

CACILM Central Asia subregional presence

GEF – PI/GECC supervision China Sri Lanka ASEAN Mongolia

WB Kyrgyzstan – Carbon Sequestration

Expanding opportunities

1. Linking to NAPAsa) NAPAs linked to other national strategiesb) Ministries of agriculture mobilisedc) Access to LDCF or SCCF

2. Vulnerability mapping:a) WFP and FAOb) WMO, University of Florence

3. Risk transfer mechanismsa) IMI - China

4. Traininga) ECb) WMOc) UNITAR

5. REGIONAL EVENTS

Thank you for your attention

Please send comments to:

Thomas ElhautDirector, Asia and Pacific

IFAD

t.elhaut@ifad.org