Testing the Dark Energy Paradigm Piran@60

Testing the Dark Energy Paradigm

Piran@60

Ofer Lahav University College London

- Collaborating with Tsvi - Brief History of Dark Energy - The Dark Energy Survey and Euclid- The Next Paradigm Shift?

Less-extreme papers with Tsvi

Treyer et al. (1998) XRB LSS

Scharf et al. (2000) the XRB dipole

(1990)

(1997)

The Chequered History of theCosmological Constant

* The old CC problem:Theory exceeds observational limits on by 10120 !

* The new CC problem:Why are the amounts of Dark Matter and Dark Energy so similar?

Dark Energy Pre-SNIa

• Peebles (1984) advocated Lambda

• APM result for low matter density (Efstathiou et al 1990)

• Baryonic fraction in clusters (White et al. 1993)

• The case for adding Lambda (Ostriker & Steinhardt 1995)

• Others…

The Dark Energy problem: 10, 90 or 320 years old?The weak field limit of GR:F = -GM/r2 + /3 r

X *

Lucy Calder & OLA&G Feb 08 issuehttp://www.star.ucl.ac.uk/~lahav/CLrev.pdf (revised)

“I have now explained the TWO principle cases of attraction…which is very remarkable” Isaac Newton, Principia (1687)

“Evidence” for Dark Energy

Observational data• Type Ia Supernovae • Galaxy Clusters• Cosmic Microwave Background• Large Scale Structure• Gravitational Lensing• Integrated Sachs-Wolfe

Physical effects: • Geometry • Growth of StructureBoth depend on the Hubble expansion rate:

H2(z) = H20 [M (1+z) 3 + DE (1+z) 3 (1+w) ] (flat)

Standard rulers

Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations

SDSS Luminous Red GalaxiesDensity fluctuations

CMB WMAPTemperature fluctuations

Comving distance Harmonic l

z=0.5 z=1000

The Integrated Sachs-Wolfe Effect

gravitational potential traced by galaxy density

potential depth changes as cmb photons pass through

In EdS the potential is constant with time, hence no ISW effect.

An effect is expected in a universe with DE, and it can be detected

by cross-correlating the CMB with galaxy maps (Crittenden et al).

Cross-correlation of WMAP and 2MASS

Rassat, Land, OL, Abdalla (2006); Francis & Peacock (2009)

CCF consistent with no correlation, as well as with < 0.89 (95% CL)

Probing the Geometryof the Universe with

Supernovae Ia

‘Union’ SN Ia sample (Kowalski et al. 2008)

In 3 Dimensions

Massey et al. 2007

Spectroscopic Surveys

CfA

SDSS

2dFGRS

Deviations from standard GR?

Bean (2009) using Cosmos2007Soon with Cosmos2009

Lensing sensitive to the sum of potentials

The Future of the Local Universem =0.3

LCDMa = 1 (t= 13.5 Gyr)

OCDMa = 1 (t= 11.3 Gyr)

LCDMa = 6 (t= 42.4 Gyr)

OCDMa = 6 (t= 89.2 Gyr)

Hoffman, OL, Yepes & Dover 0705.4477

Galaxy Surveys2010-2020

Photometric surveys: DES, Pan-STARRS, HSC, Skymapper, PAU, LSST, Euclid (EIC), JDEM(SNAP-like), …

Spetroscopic surveys: WiggleZ, BOSS, BigBOSS, hetdex, WFMOS/Sumire, Euclid (NIS), JDEM (Adept-like), SKA, …

Photometric redshifts

• Probe strong spectral features (e.g. 4000 break)

• Template vs. Training methods

z=3.7z=0.1

MegaZ-LRG

• Input: 10,000 galaxies with spectra

• Train a neural network

•ANNz, Collister & Lahav 2004

• Output: 1,000,000 photo-z•Collister, Lahav et al. 2007

•Update using 6 photo-z methods *Abdalla et al. 2009

3 (Gpc/h)3: the largest ever galaxy redshift survey!

Photoz scatter of 0.04

1.5M LRGs (“MegaZ”) photo-z code comparison

SDSS

HpZ+BC

Le PHARE

Zebra

ANNz

HpZ+WWC

Abdalla, Banerji, OL & Rashkov0812.3831

Neutrino mass from MegaZ-LRG

Thomas, Abdalla & OL (2009) 0911.5291

Total mass < 0.3 eV (95% CL)

The Dark Energy http://www.darkenergysurvey.org

Dark Energy Science ProgramFour Probes of Dark Energy• Galaxy Clusters

• clusters to z>1• SZ measurements from SPT• Sensitive to growth of structure and geometry

• Weak Lensing• Shape measurements of 300 million galaxies • Sensitive to growth of structure and geometry

• Large-scale Structure• 300 million galaxies to z = 1 and beyond• Sensitive to geometry

• Supernovae• 15 sq deg time-domain survey• ~3000 well-sampled SNe Ia to z ~1• Sensitive to geometry

Plus QSOs, Strong Lensing, Milky Way, Galaxy Evolution

DES Forecasts: Power of Multiple Techniques

FoM factor 4.6 tigther compared to near term projects

w(z) =w0+wa(1–a) 68% CL

The DES Collaborationan international collaboration of ~100 scientists from ~20 institutions

US: Fermilab, UIUC/NCSA, University of Chicago,LBNL, NOAO, University of Michigan, University of Pennsylvania, Argonne National Laboratory, Ohio State University, Santa-Cruz/SLAC Consortium

Observatorio Nacional, CBPF,Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul

Brazil Consortium:

UK Consortium:UCL, Cambridge, Edinburgh, Portsmouth, Sussex, Nottingham

Spain Consortium:CIEMAT, IEEC, IFAE

CTIO

DES Organization

SupernovaeB. NicholJ. Marriner

ClustersJ. MohrT. McKay

Weak LensingB. JainS. Bridle

Galaxy ClusteringE. GaztanagaW. Percival

Photometric RedshiftsF. CastanderH. Lin

SimulationsA. KravtsovA. Evrard

TheoryW. HuJ. Weller

Strong LensingE. Buckley-GeerM. Makler

Galaxy EvolutionR. WechslerD. Thomas

QSOsR. McMahonP. Martini

Milky WayB. SantiagoB. Yanny

11 Science Working Groups

Over 100 scientistsfrom the US, UK, Spain and Brazil

The Dark Energy Survey (DES)• Proposal:

– Perform a 5000 sq. deg. survey of the southern galactic cap

– Measure dark energy with 4 complementary techniques

• New Instrument:– Replace the PF cage with a

new 2.2 FOV, 520 Mega pixel optical CCD camera + corrector

• Time scale:– Instrument Construction

2008-2011• Survey:

– 525 nights during Oct.–Feb. 2011-2016

– Area overlap with SPT SZ survey and VISTA VHS

Use the Blanco4m Telescope at the Cerro TololoInter-American Observatory (CTIO)

The 5 lenses are now being polished

C2

Polishing & coating coordinated by UCL (with 1.7M STFC funding)

C1

DES Collab. Mtg., OSU, Nov. 8, 2008 Huan Lin

29

A single simulated DECam pointing (= tile = hex)

DECam Focal Plane

62 2kx4k Science CCDs(520 Mpix)

1 GB per single 3 deg2 pointing

Image Level Simulations

Neutrino mass from DES:LSS & Planck

Lahav, Kiakotou, Abdalla & Blake(0910.4714)

Input: M =0.24 eV

Output: M =0.24 +- 0.12 eV (95% CL)

Total Neutrino Mass DES vs. KATRIN

M< 0.1 eV M < 0.6 eV

t

Galactic Plane

Deep~40 deg2

Wide Extragalactic20,000 deg2

Euclid Imaging SurveysWide Survey: Extragalactic sky (20,000 deg2 = 2 sr)

• Visible: Galaxy shape measurements to RIZAB ≤ 24.5 (AB, 10σ) at 0.16” FWHM, yielding 30-40 resolved galaxies/amin2, with a median redshift z~ 0.9

• NIR photometry: Y, J, H ≤ 24 (AB, 5σ PS), yielding photo-z’s errors of 0.03-0.05(1+z) with ground based complement (PanStarrs-2, DES. etc)

• Concurrent with spectroscopic survey

Deep Survey: 40 deg2 at ecliptic poles

•Monitoring of PSF drift (40 repeats at different orientations over life of mission)

•Produces +2 magnitude in depth for both visible and NIR imaging data.

Possible additional Galactic surveys:

•Short exposure Galactic plane•High cadence microlensing extra-solar planet surveys could be easily added within Euclid mission architecture.

Euclid - impact on Cosmology

Euclid Imaging will challenge all sectors of the cosmological model:

• Dark Energy: wp and wa with an error of 2% and 13% respectively (no prior)

• Dark Matter: test of CDM paradigm, precision of 0.04eV on sum of neutrino masses (with Planck)

• Initial Conditions: constrain shape of primordial power spectrum, primordial non-gaussianity

• Gravity: test GR by reaching a precision of 2% on the growth exponent (dlnm/dlnam

)

Uncover new physics and Map LSS at 0<z<2: Low redshift counterpart to CMB surveys

Δwp ΔWa ΔΩm ΔΩΛ ΔΩb Δσ8 Δns Δh DE FoM

Current+WMAP 0.13 - 0.01 0.015 0.0015 0.026 0.013 0.013 ~10

Planck - - 0.008 - 0.0007 0.05 0.005 0.007 -

Weak Lensing 0.03 0.17 0.006 0.04 0.012 0.013 0.02 0.1 180

Imaging Probes 0.018 0.15 0.004 0.02 0.007 0.0009 0.014 0.07 400

Euclid 0.016 0.13 0.003 0.012 0.005 0.003 0.006 0.020 500

Euclid +Planck 0.01 0.066 0.0008 0.003 0.0004 0.0015 0.003 0.002 1500

Factor Gain 13 >15 13 5 4 17 4 7 150

What will be the next paradigm shift?

• Vacuum energy (cosmological constant)?• Dynamical scalar field?

– w=p/– for cosmological constant: w = -1

• Manifestation of modified gravity?• Inhomogeneous Universe?

• What if cosmological constant after all?• Multiverse - Landscape?• The Anthropic Principle?

THE END