New Fire Weather System

New Fire Weather System

Bernard MivilleManager of Operational Forecasting

• Collaboration between the NZFS/NRFA, SCION and NIWA

• Over 16 people involved• Based on NIWA’s EcoConnect environmental forecasting tool

Collaboration

EcoConnect Delivers• Real time observations:

– Weather, hydrological, satellite.• Forecasts: Site specific and Maps:

– Weather: to 2, 6 & 15 days;– River flow;– Sea state: to 2 & 6 days;– Sea level (tides and storm surge);– Warnings: Informed by user

requirements• Climate forecasts / outlooks.• Climate analyses (updated daily):

– Rainfall, water balance, wind, growing degree days, etc.

• Climatologies;• Supported 24 7 operations

EcoConnect FoundationsResearch:• Weather & weather related

hazards;• Climate forecasting;• Climate analysis;• Water quantity & quality.

Platforms:• Unified Model (from UK) - ~10,000 FTEs of science• Observational networks;• High Performance Computing Facility (HPCF);• Robust operational (24 7) production systems;• Robust customer facing product delivery systems.

New FWSYS Structure

Data FeedsData

Processing& Archiving

Products Generation

Access Delivery

• QC daily then hourly

• Data and station problems monitored

• Data and station problems reported

• Data fixed when possible

• RAWS/Maps Observed Fire Indices and Codes– Daily/hourly

• RAWS/Maps Forecast Fire Indices and Codes– 2, 6 days

• RAWS/Maps Forecast Weather– 2, 6, 15

days

• EcoConnect– All

products– Graphs,

Maps, Tables

– Alerting– RAWS

admin• NRFA web site

– Maps, Tables

– Observed & Forecast Indices

– RAWS

• RAWS capture

• Campbells loggers

• Dialup and IP modems

• FTP for other providers (MetService, Horizon, Harvest, …)

New FWSYS Coverage

NRFA RAWS+

MetService

+NIWA

New FWSYS Advantages– Robust infrastructure supported 24/7

• Redundant systems (Wellington and Hamilton)– RAWS problems monitoring and reporting– Data problems monitoring, reporting and fixing

• Hourly QC– Observed Fire Indices and Codes products

• Daily and hourly• Missing data replaced by Virtual Climate Station Network

– Forecast Fire Indices and Codes products• 2 and 6 day

– Forecast Weather• 2, 6 and 15 day• Bias corrected

– Archive• All history available (~15 years RAWS observations)

– Integrated Access• One stop shopping

New FWSYS Software

New FWSYS Products

New FWSYS Products

New FWSYS Products

Contact

• Bernard Miville– Manager Operational Forecasting

• Based in Wellington

• Bernard.Miville@niwa.co.nz

• 04-528-8316

QUESTIONS?