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US TV broadcasters are planning to launch Mobile Video services soon. This slide presentation provides some perspective
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www.In-Stat.com
US Mobile Video Uptake
#IN1005040MMT#IN1004670MBS
March, 2011
Gerry KaufholdPrincipal Analyst, [email protected]
+1.480.609.4537
www.In-Stat.com 2
http://www.in-stat.com
www.In-Stat.com 3
What Future TV Looks Like
SIX VECTORS of Growth – a LOT of Moving Parts
• Technology moving to Ultra High Definition and Mobile
• Delivery Systems connecting inside and outside the home
• Audience Fragmentation by Age Group and Income
• Content needs to be re-purposed to flow to all segments
• Advertising needs to be available in real time, and interactive
• Business Models need to adjust to maintain profitability
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Network-Based TV Content Next Steps
Digital Media Players/ Recorders
Gaming Console
Apple TV/Other STBs
HDTV
PC
Set Top box
Broadband modem
HomeGateway
Converged Upstream IP Network
In-Home data Net
In-Home Broadcast Network
Managed In-Home Unified Net Connections
to TV Devices
This system supports Voice over IP (VoIP) and two-way video conferencing, as well as widgets to share connections, content and services with others
www.In-Stat.com 5
Network-Based TV Content for Mobile
Source: In-Stat, 6/09
Converged Upstream IP Network
In-Band Mobile Data & Streaming
Overlay Mobile Data & Streaming
Content from a particular end-user’s authorized services
Additional Content from specialized mobile services or from
the Mobile Internet
Mobile Devices:
• Cellular Handsets
• Smart Phones
• Netbooks
• Notebooks
• Mobile Internet Devices
• Mobile Devices (Kindle)
• In-vehicle Entertainment
Portable Devices:
• iPods, iPads, iTouch, MP3
• PNDs, Portable Games
• Other Portable Devices
www.In-Stat.com 6
The Mobile Devices
In-Stat has a forecast for each of the red dots! And a quarterly device tracker.
Worldwide Phenomenon
• Japan’s ISDB-T
• Latin America’s ISBVD-T
• US ATSC Mobile DTV
• Analog TV in China, India, Latin America
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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Analog Broadcast TV Viewers
Digital Broadcast Mobile TV Subs
Cellular Mobile TV Subs
Worldwide Mobile TV Viewers and Subs
Source: In-Stat 2/11
US Mobile DTV Gains Momentum
• Open Mobile Video Coalition
– Up to 600 Local TV stations on-air by 2011
– Top 50 DMAs, 98 of top 100 DMAs
• Mobile Content Venture (MCV)
• Mobile DTV Forum
• Mobile500 Alliance
www.In-Stat.com 9
www.In-Stat.com 10
http://www.omvc.org/_assets/images/OMVC-Coverage-Map.jpg
US Mobile DTV Coverage Plans
US Market Set To Take Off
• Mobile PC-TV Devices
• TVZen Wi-Fi Hot Spot with Tuner
• Emerging Smartphones with Tuners
• In-Vehicle Systems with Mobile Tuners
• Local TV Station Promoting Mobile Services on-air, on-line, and mobile
www.In-Stat.com 11
US Shipments of Tuner Devices
www.In-Stat.com 12
Up to 16 million tuner-equipped devicesexpected to ship during 2014
North America 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Digital Mobile Tuner Shipments (000s) 110 150 1,200 3,500 10,000 16,000
Average Selling Price (US$) $4.00 $3.80 $3.42 $2.98 $2.53 $2.28
Annual Value (US$ M) $0.4 $0.6 $4.1 $10.4 $25.3 $36.4
Annual Growth Rate - 29.5% 620.0% 153.8% 142.9% 44.0%Source: In-Stat, 3/2011
Mobile Tuner Devices in Use
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North America 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Digital Mobile Tuner Shipments (000s) 150 1,200 3,500 10,000 16,000
Annual Growth Rate - 700.0% 191.7% 185.7% 60.0%
Accumulated Total (000s) 150 1,350 4,850 14,850 30,850Annual Growth Rate - 800.0% 259.3% 206.2% 107.7%
Source: In-Stat, 2/11
Up to THIRTY MILLION devices equipped with Mobile TV Tuners by 2014!
www.In-Stat.com 14
Related In-Stat ResearchWorldwide Cellular and Broadcast Mobile TV , IN1004670MBS, July, 2010http://www.in-stat.com/catalog/wcatalogue.asp?id=294#IN1004670MBS
World Mobile Silicon TV Tuners in Eight Regions, IN1005040MMT, November, 2010http://www.in-stat.com/catalog/wcatalogue.asp?id=294#IN1005040MMT Future Cellphones: Current User Preferences Drive Future Handset Designs, IN1004741MCM January, 2011 http://www.in-stat.com/catalog/wcatalogue.asp?id=231#IN1004741MCM
China's CMMB Market Update: Subsidies from China Mobile Activate the CMMB Market, IN1004840CCM, June, 2010http://www.instat.com/catalog/Ccatalogue.asp?id=212#IN0904402CM
www.In-Stat.com 15
Contact In-StatGerry Kaufhold, Principal Analyst
Email: [email protected]
Voice: 480-483-4537
http://www.in-stat.comCopyright In-Stat 2011. All rights reserved.
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