Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment

2016 D-STOP SymposiumUniversity of Texas at Austin

April 1, 2016

Arash Mirzaei, P.E.North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG)

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North Central Texas Council of Governments

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Regional Perspective

Popula

tion

•2015: 7.0 million•2040: 10.7 million•4th Largest MSA by Population

Area

•9,441 square miles•2nd Largest Metropolitan Planning Area

Econo

my

•Home to 18 Fortune 500 Firms•Ranked 6th in Gross Metropolitan Product

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Transportation Planning Issues in DFW

Increased travel time

Air quality non-attainment

Lack of coordination between land-use and transportation investments

Central Expressway at Belt Line Road

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Blueprint for the region’s transportation system

> 20-year timeframe

Updated every 4 years

Financially constrained

Metropolitan Transportation Plan

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Mobility 2040 Prioritization and Expenditures

Max

imize

Ex

isting

Sys

tem

Stra

tegi

c In

fras

truc

ture

Inve

stm

ent

$37.4

$7.2

$3.6

$27.2

$43.4Freeways/Tollways and Arterials

Additional Vehicle Capacity

HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto Occupancy

Rail and BusInduce Switch to Transit

Growth, Development, And Land Use Strategies

More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance

Management and Operations• Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System• Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements

Infrastructure Maintenance• Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities• Bridge Replacements

Mobility 2040 Expenditures $118.9*

*Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.

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2017

2040

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1. Understand future technologies to support CAV

2. Develop possible future scenarios for DFW region

3. Investigate effects on both supply and demand sides, and identify changes to the NCTCOG planning process

University Partnership Program – Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs)

Project goals

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Task 1 – Future Technologies

1. Vehicle technologies

2. Infrastructure needs

3. Legal aspects

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Task 2 – Future Scenarios

1. Likely future scenarios

2. Timeline for future scenarios

3. When and how does NCTCOG need to act?

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Impact

Transportation Network Behavior

Public Transportation

Land Use

Safety

Environment

Task 3 – Future Impacts

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Contact

• Arash Mirzaei, P.E.• Model Development and Data Management, NCTCOG• Tel: 817-695-9261• E-mail: amirzaei@nctcog.org