© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Introduction to Energy Technology Roadmaps

© OECD/IEA 2009

Energy technology roadmaps 28-Feb-12

Key technologies for reducing global CO2 emissions

A wide range of technologies will be necessary to reduce energy-related CO2 emissions substantially.

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End-use fuel and electricity efficiency 38%

End-use fuel switching 15%

Power generation efficiency and fuel switching 5%

Nuclear 6%

Renewables 17%

CCS 19%

Baseline emissions 57 Gt

BLUE Map emissions 14 Gt

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© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

The Role of Roadmaps

• A global price for carbon is necessary

– …but by itself insufficient to accelerate the needed energy technology advancements in time

• Greater focus on energy technology policies needed

• Technology roadmaps can support GHG goals by:

– Identifying and addressing technology-specific barriers

– Highlighting necessary deployment policies and incentives

– Directing increased RD&D funding for new technologies

– Supporting technology diffusion, knowledge sharing among countries

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Technology roadmaps provide answers

• Where is technology today? • GW installed capacity/kWh of savings

• Leading countries/regions

• Cost, efficiency

• What is the deployment pathway needed to achieve 2050 goals? • Use IEA Energy Technology Perspectives BLUE Map scenarios

• What are the priority near-term actions? • R&D gaps and how to fill them

• Identify barriers and obstacles and how to overcome

• Market requirements and policy needs

• Technology diffusion/transfer and international collaboration needs

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Roadmap logic

• Goal to achieve

• Milestones to be met

• Gaps to be filled

• Actions to overcome gaps and barriers

• What and when things need to be achieved

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Roadmap process outline

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Roadmap Tasks

• Scoping phase reviewing existing work and identifying issues

• One or more workshops with 15-30 experts from industry, government, academia...

• Develop draft roadmap

• Circulate draft of roadmap to wider stakeholder group

• Carry out missing analysis and refine roadmap

• Re-circulate second draft for further comment

• Publish roadmap

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Technology roadmaps

2009 2011 2010 2012

•Vehicle Fuel Economy

•High efficiency,

low emissions coal

•Hydropower

•Bioenergy

•Solar heating & cooling

•Energy efficient building

envelopes

•Chemical catalysis

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

IEA ROADMAP EXAMPLES

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

Roadmap example: Wind - an ambitious growth pathway

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2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

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China OECD Europe

USA OECD Pacific

Latin America India

EiT Other North America

Middle East Other Developing Asia

Africa Wind share BLUE Map scenario

Wind share BLUE hi REN scenario

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

EE in Buildings roadmap example: Cost reduction goals

© OECD/IEA 2011

Energy technology roadmaps

EV/PHEV roadmap example: milestones