Career Trends 2006

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDS

Sandy PunchSandy PunchSenior DirectorSenior Director

Advising, Career and Testing Advising, Career and Testing ServicesServicesCSUSMCSUSM

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDS

Influencing FactorsInfluencing Factors

U.S. Industry TrendsU.S. Industry Trends

State TrendsState Trends

Strategies for assisting the labor force of Strategies for assisting the labor force of the futurethe future

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS Influencing FactorsInfluencing Factors

Unpredictable InfluencesUnpredictable Influences - Natural Disasters - Tsunami, Katrina- Natural Disasters - Tsunami, Katrina

- Unnatural Disasters – 9/11- Unnatural Disasters – 9/11

- New Trends – TV influences, new laws- New Trends – TV influences, new laws

Workforce Population InfluencesWorkforce Population Influences- The size of the workforceThe size of the workforce

• U.S. Population expected increase – 24.5 mil ’00 -’12U.S. Population expected increase – 24.5 mil ’00 -’12• Slightly faster rate than ‘90-’00 but slower than ’80 -’90Slightly faster rate than ‘90-’00 but slower than ’80 -’90• Population growth trends toward U. S. coastal areasPopulation growth trends toward U. S. coastal areas


Labor Force InfluencesLabor Force Influences Civilian Labor force is expected to increase by Civilian Labor force is expected to increase by

17.4 million17.4 million

Generational InfluencesGenerational InfluencesGI/Depression Era - retiredGI/Depression Era - retiredSilent – retiring, some still workingSilent – retiring, some still workingBoomers – still working, retirement planning issuesBoomers – still working, retirement planning issues(40% of Boomers have no retirement other than SS)(40% of Boomers have no retirement other than SS)Gen X – smallest workforceGen X – smallest workforceGen Y, Gen “WHY”?, Millennium - tidal wave twoGen Y, Gen “WHY”?, Millennium - tidal wave two


Labor Force InfluencesLabor Force Influences

Diversity InfluencesDiversity Influences– By 2012, Hispanics will constitute a greater share of By 2012, Hispanics will constitute a greater share of

labor force than African Americans, Asians or any labor force than African Americans, Asians or any minority.minority.

– By 2012 Men’s share of the labor force will decrease By 2012 Men’s share of the labor force will decrease to 52.1% while women’s share increases to 47.9% of to 52.1% while women’s share increases to 47.9% of workers 55 and older will continue to increase.workers 55 and older will continue to increase.

– Disabled workers will increase 3.9%, some of this Disabled workers will increase 3.9%, some of this increase is due to the aging workforce.increase is due to the aging workforce.

CAREER TRENDS Influencing CAREER TRENDS Influencing FactorsFactors

Labor Force InfluencesLabor Force Influences

Education and Training InfluencesEducation and Training Influences– Jobs requiring associate degrees are the fastest growing at 32% followed Jobs requiring associate degrees are the fastest growing at 32% followed

by postsecondary vocational education at 24.1%.by postsecondary vocational education at 24.1%.

Occupations with the Most New Jobs: Associate’s Degrees or Postsecondary Occupations with the Most New Jobs: Associate’s Degrees or Postsecondary Vocational AwardsVocational Awards

– Registered nursesRegistered nurses– Computer support specialistsComputer support specialists– Medical records and health information techniciansMedical records and health information technicians– Computer software engineers, applicationsComputer software engineers, applications– Computer software engineers, system softwareComputer software engineers, system software– Physical therapist assistantsPhysical therapist assistants– Fitness trainers and aerobics instructorsFitness trainers and aerobics instructors– Database administratorsDatabase administrators– Veterinary Technologists and technicians Veterinary Technologists and technicians

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDSFactors Factors

Employment options at least requiring a BA degree is Employment options at least requiring a BA degree is expected to grow 21.6% by 2012.expected to grow 21.6% by 2012.

Occupations with the most new jobs: Bachelor’s DegreeOccupations with the most new jobs: Bachelor’s Degree– Elementary school teachers (except special ed)Elementary school teachers (except special ed)

– Accountant and auditorsAccountant and auditors

– Computer systems analystsComputer systems analysts

– Secondary school teachers (except sped and voc ed)Secondary school teachers (except sped and voc ed)

– Computer software engineers, systems softwareComputer software engineers, systems software

– Network systems and data communications analystsNetwork systems and data communications analysts

– Network and computer systems administratorsNetwork and computer systems administrators

– Computer programmersComputer programmers

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDSU.S. Industry TrendsU.S. Industry Trends

Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing Industries

– Shift from goods-producing to service-producing Shift from goods-producing to service-producing is expected to continue.is expected to continue.

– 3 out of every 5 new jobs created will be service 3 out of every 5 new jobs created will be service jobs.jobs.

– 2/3rds of this growth is concentrated in three 2/3rds of this growth is concentrated in three sectors.sectors.

Professional business services, Professional business services, Health servicesHealth servicesSocial assistance services.Social assistance services.

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS U.S. Industry TrendsU.S. Industry Trends

Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing Industries

Professional Business ServicesProfessional Business Services– Computer and technical services is the fastest growing industry Computer and technical services is the fastest growing industry

(includes pre-packaged software, computer data, networking (includes pre-packaged software, computer data, networking systems design and management, computer-related consulting systems design and management, computer-related consulting services)services)

– Personnel supply services (employment and temp staffing Personnel supply services (employment and temp staffing agencies) has the largest source of numerical employment agencies) has the largest source of numerical employment growth.growth.

– Other business service industries experiencing the most growth Other business service industries experiencing the most growth are accounting, credit intermediation, finance, insurance and are accounting, credit intermediation, finance, insurance and real estate; government; transportation, communications and real estate; government; transportation, communications and utilitiesutilities


Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing Industries Health ServicesHealth Services

– Home health care services, hospitals, offices of health Home health care services, hospitals, offices of health practitioners will add 2.9 million new jobs in the next 10 practitioners will add 2.9 million new jobs in the next 10 years.years.

– Demand will increase due to the aging population (baby Demand will increase due to the aging population (baby boomers) and longer life expectancies.boomers) and longer life expectancies.

– Greatest demand will continue for nurses (especially Greatest demand will continue for nurses (especially bilingual) and health care professionals in rural areas.bilingual) and health care professionals in rural areas.

CAREER TRENDS 2012CAREER TRENDS 2012U.S. Industry TrendsU.S. Industry Trends

Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing IndustriesSocial ServicesSocial Services

– Child daycare and residential services will add 1.2 million Child daycare and residential services will add 1.2 million new jobs.new jobs.

EducationEducation– Continued need for math, science, special ed, andContinued need for math, science, special ed, and

bilingual teachers.bilingual teachers.

– Higher education shortage of faculty due to retirements.Higher education shortage of faculty due to retirements.

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDSU.S. Industry TrendsU.S. Industry Trends

Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing IndustriesWholesale and Retail TradeWholesale and Retail Trade

– The eating and drinking places industry will have the largest The eating and drinking places industry will have the largest increase. increase.

– Finance, Insurance and Real EstateFinance, Insurance and Real Estate

Real Estate Brokers account for the largest growth due to increase Real Estate Brokers account for the largest growth due to increase in housing demands.in housing demands.

Medical and health insurance carriers will account for the majority Medical and health insurance carriers will account for the majority of insurance growth.of insurance growth.

Securities an commodity brokers will account for 1/3Securities an commodity brokers will account for 1/3 rdrdof this of this industry growth. However jobs in depository institutions will industry growth. However jobs in depository institutions will decline due to automated and internet banking options.decline due to automated and internet banking options.


Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing IndustriesTransportation, Communications and UtilitiesTransportation, Communications and Utilities

– Local Inter-urban transportation will see the biggest industry growth Local Inter-urban transportation will see the biggest industry growth with trucking and warehousing providing the most new jobs.with trucking and warehousing providing the most new jobs.

– Demand for wireless, cable and internet connections will create Demand for wireless, cable and internet connections will create 296,000 jobs by 2015.296,000 jobs by 2015.

– Growth in the utility sector will be driven by water supply and sanitary Growth in the utility sector will be driven by water supply and sanitary services industry……………..emergency service needs!services industry……………..emergency service needs!

– Other utility services such as electricity and gas production and Other utility services such as electricity and gas production and distribution will see declines in jobs due to increased productivity and distribution will see declines in jobs due to increased productivity and output brought on by technology.output brought on by technology.


Service-Producing IndustriesService-Producing IndustriesGovernmentGovernment

– Government was expected to grow primarily at state and Government was expected to grow primarily at state and local levels before 9/11. Now we see a significant local levels before 9/11. Now we see a significant increase in Homeland Security needs which is fueling increase in Homeland Security needs which is fueling federal growth.federal growth.

– 40% of federal employees will be at retirement age 40% of federal employees will be at retirement age within the next year.within the next year.


Goods-Producing IndustriesGoods-Producing Industries

Stagnant since the 1980’sStagnant since the 1980’s

Construction, Agriculture and ForestryConstruction, Agriculture and Forestry– Construction industry will increase in new housing and Construction industry will increase in new housing and

infrastructure.infrastructure.

– Veterinary, landscape and horticultural services will Veterinary, landscape and horticultural services will account for ¾ of the growth in this industry.account for ¾ of the growth in this industry.

– General agriculture jobs will continue to decline due to General agriculture jobs will continue to decline due to technology advances and the demise of family farms.technology advances and the demise of family farms.


Goods-Producing IndustriesGoods-Producing IndustriesDurable GoodsDurable Goods

– Production of electronics and vehicles will see a small Production of electronics and vehicles will see a small growth (mostly hybrid cars).growth (mostly hybrid cars).

Non-Durable GoodsNon-Durable Goods– Textiles, apparel and leather goods will see a decline.Textiles, apparel and leather goods will see a decline.

– Drug manufacturing will see an increase of 28%, due to Drug manufacturing will see an increase of 28%, due to the aging population and increase in life expectancy.the aging population and increase in life expectancy.

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS U.S. Industries TrendsU.S. Industries Trends

Goods-Producing IndustriesGoods-Producing Industries

MiningMining

– Coal, metal and non-metal material mining will decrease.Coal, metal and non-metal material mining will decrease.

– Oil and Gas will see a small increase. New refineries Oil and Gas will see a small increase. New refineries must be built.must be built.

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS State TrendsState Trends

California Largest Numerical Growth By California Largest Numerical Growth By Occupation AreasOccupation Areas– 1. Sales and Related Occupations1. Sales and Related Occupations (Retail, wholesale (Retail, wholesale

manufacturing, insurance, real estate, financial services, and manufacturing, insurance, real estate, financial services, and telemarketers).telemarketers).

– 2. Education, Training and Library Occupations2. Education, Training and Library Occupations (Preschool (Preschool to postsecondary).to postsecondary).

– 3. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations3. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations. .

– 4. 4. Office and Administrative Support Occupations.Office and Administrative Support Occupations.

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDSState TrendsState Trends

California Largest Numerical Growth By California Largest Numerical Growth By Occupation AreasOccupation Areas– 5. Construction and Extraction Occupations5. Construction and Extraction Occupations..

– 6. Management Occupations6. Management Occupations (Executives to Educational (Executives to Educational Administrators).Administrators).

– 7. Health Care Practitioners and Technical Occupations.7. Health Care Practitioners and Technical Occupations.

– 8. Computer and Mathematics Occupations8. Computer and Mathematics Occupations (all computer (all computer jobs, actuaries and statisticians).jobs, actuaries and statisticians).

– 9. Health Care Support Staff Occupations.9. Health Care Support Staff Occupations.


California Largest Numerical Growth By California Largest Numerical Growth By IndividualIndividual Occupations by 2012 Occupations by 2012

1. Retail Sales Clerk - 77,800 jobs1. Retail Sales Clerk - 77,800 jobs2. Combined Food and Prep Serving Including Fast 2. Combined Food and Prep Serving Including Fast

Food - 62,200 jobsFood - 62,200 jobs3. Cashiers - 61,900 jobs3. Cashiers - 61,900 jobs4. Registered Nurses - 56,800 jobs4. Registered Nurses - 56,800 jobs5. Waiters and Waitresses - 50,9005. Waiters and Waitresses - 50,9006. Customer Service Representatives - 47,300 jobs6. Customer Service Representatives - 47,300 jobs7. General Office Clerks - 46,200 jobs7. General Office Clerks - 46,200 jobs8. General and Operations Managers - 42,900 jobs8. General and Operations Managers - 42,900 jobs


California Largest Numerical Growth By California Largest Numerical Growth By Individual Occupations Requiring Individual Occupations Requiring Postsecondary Degrees by 2012Postsecondary Degrees by 2012

1. Registered Nurses - 56,800 jobs1. Registered Nurses - 56,800 jobs2. General and Operations Managers - 42,900 jobs2. General and Operations Managers - 42,900 jobs3. Elementary School Teacher, Except Special Education - 31,300 jobs 3. Elementary School Teacher, Except Special Education - 31,300 jobs 4. Computer Software Engineers, Applications - 29,000 jobs4. Computer Software Engineers, Applications - 29,000 jobs5. Secondary Teachers, Except Special Education and Vocational - 25,200 5. Secondary Teachers, Except Special Education and Vocational - 25,200

jobsjobs6. Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software - 22,400 jobs6. Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software - 22,400 jobs7. Accountants and Auditors - 21,600 jobs7. Accountants and Auditors - 21,600 jobs8. Management Analysts - 18,300 jobs8. Management Analysts - 18,300 jobs9. Computer Systems Analysts - 17,800 jobs9. Computer Systems Analysts - 17,800 jobs

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS StrategiesStrategies

Life-long learning…..OJTLife-long learning…..OJTExperiential opportunities/InternshipsExperiential opportunities/InternshipsJob shadowingJob shadowingProfessional panelsProfessional panelsClassroom visitorsClassroom visitorsTours and fieldtripsTours and fieldtripsAssessment of skills, interest, personality, aptitudes and Assessment of skills, interest, personality, aptitudes and valuesvaluesComputer skillsComputer skillsSoft skills development (professional etiquette)Soft skills development (professional etiquette)Partnering with colleges and employersPartnering with colleges and employers

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS StrategiesStrategies

Job Search SuccessJob Search Success– Newspapers less than 7% of the jobs (high turnover, high vacancy, less Newspapers less than 7% of the jobs (high turnover, high vacancy, less

smaller organizations).smaller organizations).– Networking….who do you know, and who do they know? Networking….who do you know, and who do they know? – Niche market websites (Professional organizations and industry listing Niche market websites (Professional organizations and industry listing

services).services).– Organization electronic self-promotion, Organization electronic self-promotion, www.company_name.JOBSwww.company_name.JOBS

domains.domains.

Students today must plan on continuing their education throughout Students today must plan on continuing their education throughout their life.their life.

Students today can anticipate having10+ careers in their life time. Students today can anticipate having10+ careers in their life time. (Those in business and industry will experience and average of 2 (Those in business and industry will experience and average of 2 layoffs). layoffs).

CAREER TRENDSCAREER TRENDSFUTURE JOBS?!?!?!FUTURE JOBS?!?!?!

Nano-technologistNano-technologistBio-information fuel cell engineerBio-information fuel cell engineerBubble Tea TechnicianBubble Tea TechnicianCertified dog-walker specialistCertified dog-walker specialistConfiguration ManagerConfiguration ManagerStaffing StrategistStaffing StrategistArtificial Intelligence TechnicianArtificial Intelligence TechnicianAquaculturistAquaculturistBionic Medical TechnicianBionic Medical TechnicianCryonics TechnicianCryonics TechnicianMyotherapistMyotherapistFusionoptic EngineerFusionoptic EngineerComputational LinguistComputational LinguistGenome Research TechnicianGenome Research TechnicianCybrarianCybrarianChief Imagination OfficerChief Imagination OfficerRelocation TherapistRelocation TherapistPathfinderPathfinder

CAREER TRENDS CAREER TRENDS ResourcesResources

U.S. Department of Labor Statistics website U.S. Department of Labor Statistics website www.bls.govwww.bls.gov

Occupational Outlook Handbook Occupational Outlook Handbook ww.bls.gov/oco/home.htmww.bls.gov/oco/home.htm

California Employment Development Department California Employment Development Department websitewebsite www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov

CSUSM Career website CSUSM Career website www.csusm.edu/careerswww.csusm.edu/careers

Technology

Career Trends 2006