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Trends in International Cooperation and Volunteering 2006 and the last five years IVCO Conference 2006, Bonn

Ivco 2006 Forum Trends

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Trends in International Cooperationand Volunteering

2006 and the last five years

IVCO Conference 2006, Bonn

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Rapid changes over last 5 years

• The MDG strategy a central focus for donors – 

shaping PRSPs & national development sttategies• Post 9/11 agenda: preoccupation with (military)

security, instability, and perhaps identity & cohesion

• Aid falls reversed: new pledges on UN 0.7% target

• Poverty regularly in news and on mainstream politicalagenda (MPH/GCAP, Tsunami, Sudan and G8 focus)

• Aspects of globalisation a reality: access (for some)to information, increased mobility, global trade,finance and employment.

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• Headline 31% rise in ODA to $106 billion in

2005, the highest level ever• DAC projects aid at $128 billion by 2010

• But - $23 billion of total was debt relief

(Nigeria & Iraq) – underlying rise 8.7%Projected aid growth with and without debt relief

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

ODA net of debt relief

Headline ODA

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Delivering more & better aid?

• Doubts on where funds for pledged increaseswill come from once debt relief fades in 2007

• Little real new money at country level

for IVCO priorities

• IVCOs feel pressure to find place within Parisdeclaration/aid effectiveness debate

• IVCOs and the challenge of new modalities:SWAPs, PRSPs and budget support

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TC under the microscope

• Perceived need to reinforcing developingcountry ownership and accountability,

• the need to increase the effectiveness of

Technical Cooperation (TC)• DAC says: “TC and capacity development 

are by no means synonymous…… a good 

deal of what DAC scores as TC has little to do with capacity development”.

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Budget support

• In past, IVCOs have been concerned that GBS could

limit involvement, contribution and access to funds

• Major evaluation says moves to PGBS are slow

• PGBS can significantly promote partnership

• But not a panacea – one of a family of programmebased approaches

• Room for technical assistance and capacity buildingto be better integrated to PGBS – is this an areawhere IVCOs can contribute?

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Global Security Agenda

• Since 2003 impact on IVCOs has grown

 – Countries where volunteers are prepared to go

 – Increased importance placed on volunteer safety

and security raises costs of volunteer placements – Dominance of global security on the development

agenda

 – Suspension of volunteer programmes in countriesaffected by conflict

 – Militarization of development cooperation

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Globalised communications and IVCOs

• Positive impact:

 – volunteers shop around, gain betterunderstanding of country and placement

 – Harnessing ‘virtual volunteers’

• Negatives:

 – Volunteers don’t integrate as well

 – More enquiries test response systems

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Engaging with different actors

• Growth in private providers over 5 years• Growth in private sector collaboration

• More involvement of military• Private funders like Gates and funds

such as Global Fund for AIDS, TB &

malaria now distributing billions• When and how should IVCOs engage?

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Short term & older placements

• Growing numbers seeking shortterm placements

 –Gap year phenomenon –Career break

 –Skills acquisition

• Older volunteers now a key group

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Growth in 55 to 64 age group

Trend in Number of People aged 55-64 - 1980-2050

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

   T

   h  o  u  s  a  n   d  s

  o   f   P

  e  o  p   l  e

Australia

CanadaGermany

Hungary

Ireland

South Africa

UK

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Over the next 20 years numbers of peopleaged 55 - 64 will grow in most countries – in India & Ireland by over 50%

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15 – 29 age group stable or indecline over long term

Trend in the Number of People aged 15-29 - 1980-2050

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,00014,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

   T

   h  o  u  s  a  n   d  s

  o   f   P  e  o  p   l  e

Australia

CanadaGermany

Hungary

Ireland

South Africa

UK

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Percentage changes in younger age groupquite large over next 20 years

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• Central role of southern partners indefining skills needed not new.

• But demand for new types of skill: – less TA and gap filling

 – more capacity enhancement and exchange

 – expectation of professionalism

Clear shift over 5 years (further) away from

north - south skills transfer to a much morediverse picture

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Funding a familiar preoccupation – despite worst of aid squeeze being over

• Move over 5 years to more programmaticfunding for some IVCOs, in line with donorinterest in longer term more assured funding

• But this funding seldom open to smallerIVCOs

• Less sense of funding-led need to

demonstrate impact (less marginalisation)• Rather a concern shared with majority of

development agencies to show results

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• In 2005 the world missed the first MDG(getting girls into school)

• Can IVCOs play a particular role on gender?

• Halfway from 1995 to 2015 (proportion ofpeople in poverty halved)

• Can IVCOs conceive of a world withoutabsolute poverty (goal envisaged at socialsummit).

• Sachs says this could happen by 2025. Butwhat special contribution could IVCOs make?

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Thank you forcontributing to 2006

IVCO survey!