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LUMA partners
Digital Brief 001 The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of Digital Advertising
BAD: Digital Supply / Demand Imbalance SUPPLY DEMAND
>
2,500 companies 200 companies
UGLY: Digital Supply / Demand Imbalance SUPPLY DEMAND
2,500 companies 200 companies LUMA
partners150 priori3zed 50 priori3zed
>90+% FAILURE RATE
What’s the Good News?
3 Things: 1. Secular Organic Growth
2. Changing Business Models
3. Scaled Exits
GOOD: Significant Growth in Digital Market
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
($ in billions)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2012 2014 2016
Digital0Ad0Spend Total0Ad0Spend
$100
$0
$50
$200
$250
$150
US Ad Spend US Digital Ad Spend
CAGR 35%
CAGR 10%
GOOD: Exceptional Growth in Programmatic
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
Source: eMarketer
($ in billions)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2012 2014 2016
Digital0Ad0Spend Total0Ad0Spend US Digital Ad Spend ProgrammaAc
CAGR 53%
CAGR 216%
$20
$0
$10
$40
$50
$30
Programmatic as a Business Model
Media
Low
40-50% Gross Margins
I/O Based Spend
SaaS Software
High
70-80% Gross Margin
Contractual Spend
5 – 10 x REVENUE MULTIPLE 0.5 – 2 x
BUSINESS MODEL DRIVERS
GROWTH
OPERATING LEVERAGE
PREDICTABILITY
Programmatic Changes the Media Business Model
Programmatic
High Growth
70-80% Gross Margin
Predictable Spend
4 – 8 x
WARNING: LUMA Decks Usually Call for More M&A
AD TECH
CRM SOFTWARE
INTERNET GIANTS
ECOMMERCE
TELCO
MARKETING
MEDIA
DATA
REALLY GOOD: A Growing Pool of Strategic Buyers CONSUMER INTERNET
TECH SERVICES
Right Time Decisioning of
Consumer Data
(Ad Tech and MarTech)
AD TECH
CRM SOFTWARE
INTERNET GIANTS
ECOMMERCE
TELCO
MARKETING
MEDIA
DATA
CONSUMER INTERNET
TECH SERVICES
Right Time Decisioning of
Consumer Data
(Ad Tech and MarTech)
NEW ENTRANTS
REALLY GOOD: A Growing Pool of Strategic Buyers
New York – Palo Alto lumapartners.com