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A Presenta*on from The NewMR Behaviour Economics Event 19 April 2012 Delivering client advantage with Behavioural Economics Bri Williams, People Pa:erns Event sponsored by Greenbook All copyright owned by The Future Place and the presenters of the material For more informa>on about Greenbook visit www.greenbookblog.org For more informa>on about NewMR events visit newmr.org

Bri williams behavioural economics - 2012

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Page 1: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

A  Presenta*on  from  The  NewMR  Behaviour  Economics  Event  

19  April  2012  

Delivering  client  advantage  with  Behavioural  Economics    Bri  Williams,  People  Pa:erns    

Event  sponsored  by  Greenbook  All  copyright  owned  by  The  Future  Place  and  the  presenters  of  the  material  

For  more  informa>on  about  Greenbook  visit  www.greenbookblog.org  For  more  informa>on  about  NewMR  events  visit  newmr.org  

Page 2: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Delivering client advantage with Behavioural Economics

Bri Williams Principal Consultant

People Patterns Pty Ltd April 2012

Page 3: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Businesses seek to resolve issues

Page 4: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

When they are really looking to resolve behaviour

Page 5: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

From Browser Competitor Occasional Low spend Small

To Buyer You Frequent High spend Large

Business is about behavioural change

Page 6: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Our issue Research Resolution

Businesses turn to Research to resolve this uncertainty

Page 7: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Client issue Research Resolution

Traditional Research engagement process

Market share decline of 2.5%

> Reinvigorate brand

> Preferred to competitor > Gain market share

Product concept Launch

Page 8: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Client issue Research Resolution

Market share decline of 2.5%

> Reinvigorate brand

> Preferred to competitor > Gain market share

Product concept Launch

Clients can be blindsided by behaviour

Page 9: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

There is a gap between intended and actual behaviour

Intended behaviour

Actual behaviour

•  Speculative •  Contextual response

•  Historical •  Rationalised explanation

Page 10: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

I will… I would… I think…

They did… I observed…

Most research is based on might do or have done

Page 11: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

What will they do?

I will… I would… I think…

They did… I observed…

When clients want will do

Page 12: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

I will… I would… I think…

They did… I observed…

Behavioural Economics

They are

likely to…

Behavioural Economics can bridge the gap

Page 13: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

The study of emotional, cognitive and social

influences on economic decision making behaviour.

What we do. How we are influenced. What we are likely to do.

Behavioural Economics

Page 14: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

“Rational man” Psychological needs states

Behavioural Economics

Behavioural Economics fits between economics and psychology

Page 15: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

We are irrational We are irrational

Page 16: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

ç  

We are irrational We are irrational Patterns to behaviour

Page 17: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

Patterns of irrational behaviour are identified through scientific study

Page 18: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

These principles can be grouped into four categories

4. Ownership

Own position

3. Potency

Vividness of outcome

1. Congruence

Make sense of things

2. Simplification

Simplify decisions

Page 19: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

1.Congruence

1. Congruence

Make sense of things

Page 20: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

2. Simplification

2. Simplification

Simplify decisions

Page 21: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

3. Potency

3. Potency

Vividness of outcome

Page 22: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

4. Ownership

4. Ownership

Own position

Page 23: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

People Patterns Behavioural Economics framework

4. Ownership

Own position

3. Potency

Vividness of outcome

1. Congruence

Make sense of things

2. Simplification

Simplify decisions

Page 24: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Ambiguity  effect  Anchoring  

Bandwagon  effect  

Certainty  bias  

Choice  bracke>ng  

Clustering  illusion  

Decoupling  

Endowment  effect  

Diagnosis  bias  

Framing  

Hedonic  framing  Hyperbolic  discoun>ng  

Informa>on  avoidance  

Actor-­‐observer  bias  

Availability  bias  Impact  bias  

Mental  accoun>ng  

Loss  aversion  

Representa>veness  

Resolving  cogni>ve  dissonance  

Status  Quo(default)  bias  

Adapta>on  

Comple>on  

Contra  free  loading  Drop  in  the  bucket  effect  

Herding  

Ikea  effect  

Not  invented  here  bias  

PaPern  recogni>on  Procedural  fairness  

Rela>vity  Revenge  

Short  term  bias  

Self  herding  

Sunk  cost  

Vividness  Fluency  

Judgment  heuris>c  Halo  effect  

Systems  1  &  2  

Scarcity  percep>on  

Heuris>cs  Deple>on  effects  

Free  

Inter  temporal  choice  

Confirma>on  bias   Choice  paradox  Rules  of  thumb  

People Patterns Behavioural Economics framework

4. Ownership

Own position

3. Potency

Vividness of outcome

1. Congruence

Make sense of things

2. Simplification

Simplify decisions

Are likely to

do

Page 25: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Industry examples of applied Behavioural Economics

Page 26: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Are likely to do

Have done

Say they’ll

do

A behavioural framework can deliver answers about what people will do

Page 27: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Are likely to do

Have done

Say they’ll

do

Helping your client resolve their issue

3. Potency

Scarcity perception

4. Ownership

Loss aversion

2. Simplification

Bandwagon effect

1.  Congruence

Information avoidance

Page 28: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Deliver behavioural answers to your clients

Page 29: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Thank you

Bri Williams

Page 30: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Q & A

Sue York NewMR

Bri Williams People Patterns

Page 31: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

Speaker: Bri Williams, People Patterns, Australia NewMR Behavioural Economics Event, 19 April 2012, Session 1

Bri Williams

Email [email protected]

Call 0408 392 173

Follow @peoplepatterns

Visit www.peoplepatterns.com.au

Read more on Behavioural Economics

Bri’s blog www.peoplepatterns.com.au

Bri’s book 22 Minutes to a Better Business

Page 32: Bri williams   behavioural economics - 2012

A  Presenta*on  from  The  NewMR  Behaviour  Economics  Event  

19  April  2012  

Delivering  client  advantage  with  Behavioural  Economics    Bri  Williams,  People  Pa:erns    

Event  sponsored  by  Greenbook  All  copyright  owned  by  The  Future  Place  and  the  presenters  of  the  material  

For  more  informa>on  about  Greenbook  visit  www.greenbookblog.org  For  more  informa>on  about  NewMR  events  visit  newmr.org