41
The benefits and risks of case reports Iain Chalmers Editor, James Lind Library www.jameslindlibrary.org “Celebrating case reports, the stories in health care” Royal College of Physicians 15 May 2009

The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

The benefits and risks of case reports

Iain ChalmersEditor, James Lind Librarywww.jameslindlibrary.org

“Celebrating case reports,the stories in health care”Royal College of Physicians

15 May 2009

Page 2: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“To reinvigorate medicine and provide a useful information tool for clinicians and patients.”

Page 3: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

Nu

mb

er in

Yea

r

Reviews [pt]

Case Reports [pt]

Trials

SystematicReviews

Bastian, Glasziou and Chalmers (Submitted).

Page 4: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Cases and case series without formal controls

for drawing inferences about the effects of interventions

Page 5: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

"Our main wish, from which all others stem, is that RCTs be taken off their pedestal, their exalted position at the top of an artificial evidence hierarchy, that all forms of evidence be appreciated for what they can offer.”

Jadad AR, Enkin MW. Randomized controlled trials: questions, answers and musings. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing, 2007, quoted with approval by Richard Smith in his introductory editorial in Cases Journal.

Page 6: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

BMJ 2007;334:349-351.

Page 7: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 8: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Case 25. Instruction for a dislocation of his mandible. Edwin Smith Surgical Papyrus, IX 2-6. C. 1550 BCE.

Page 9: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“If you examine a man having a dislocation in his mandible and you find his mouth open and his mouth does not close for him, you then place your finger[s] [? thumb] on the back of the two rami of the mandible inside his mouth, your two claws [groups of fingers] under his chin, you cause them [i.e. the two mandibles] to fall so they lie in their [correct] place!”

Page 10: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Cooper A (1801). Farther observations on the effects which take place from the destruction of the Membrana Tympani of the ear; with an account of the operation for the removal of a particular species of deafness. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Part 1:435-451.

Four case reports of tympanotomy in deaf patients, with immediate restoration of hearing.

Page 11: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Liebreich O (1869). Chloral, a new hypnotic and anesthetic. Berliner Klinische Wochenschrift 6:325-327.

“In all these cases the sleep produced by this substance was normal, and began sometimes only 5 minutes after administration.”

Page 12: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Maclagan T (1876). The treatment of acute rheumatismby salicin. Lancet 1:342-43 & 383-84.

Page 13: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 14: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

1676

Page 15: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 16: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 17: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Before thyroidectomy for goitre:Kocher’s patient (at rear) with her sister

Page 18: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Nine years after thyroidectomy:Kocher’s patient (on the left, with her sister) had stopped growing and become cretinoid.

Page 19: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 20: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 21: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

BMJ 2007;334:349-351.

Page 22: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

The danger of incorrect inferences about the effects of treatments when prognosis is variable and the association between intervention and outcome is not dramatic?

Page 23: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Tom Jefferson. More cases, doctor? Yes please! Cases Journal 2008;1:38

“Think of the practical benefits [of establishing a casebank]. What if we could access the case book of William Osler…? How many lessons would we learn or relearn?”

Page 24: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

William Osler (1849-1919)pictured in 1902

Page 25: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“Pneumonia is one of the diseases in which a timely venesection [bleeding] may save life… In a full-blooded, healthy man with a high fever and bounding pulse the abstraction of from twenty to thirty ounces of blood is in every way beneficial”.

Page 26: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Alexander Lesassier Hamilton(1787-1839)

Page 27: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 28: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Controlled trial by 3 army surgeons to assess the effects of bloodletting in 366 sick soldiers during the Peninsular War “It had been so arranged, that this number was admitted, alternately, in such a manner that each of us had one third of the whole. The sick were indiscriminately received, and were attended as nearly as possible with the same care and accommodated with the same comforts…

Page 29: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“Neither Mr. Anderson nor I ever once employed the lancet. He lost two, I four cases [mortality 2.5%]; whilst out of the other third [treated with bloodletting by the third surgeon] thirty five patients died.” [mortality 28.7%]

Page 30: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Your informed patient choice! Osler’s case reports, or

Hamilton’s controlled trial?

The choice remains fundamentally the same today.

Page 31: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Sheridan DJ, Crawford L, Rawlins MD, Julian DG.Antiarrhythmic action of lignocaine in early myocardial infarction. Lancet 1977;1:824-5.

“…In nine patients with acute myocardial infarction, 100 mg of lignocaine was administered intravenously and 300 mg into the deltoid muscle.… A marked reduction in the occurrence of ventricular ectopic beats was observed… No serious side-effects were noted.”

Page 32: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

At the peak of their use in the late 1980s, it has been estimated that anti-arrhythmic drugs were causing – every year in the USA - comparable numbers of deaths to the total number of Americans who died in the Vietnam war.

Moore 1995.

Page 33: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“To reinvigorate medicine and provide a useful information tool for clinicians and patients.”

Page 34: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

"Our main wish, from which all others stem, is that RCTs be taken off their pedestal, their exalted position at the top of an artificial evidence hierarchy, that all forms of evidence be appreciated for what they can offer.”

Jadad AR, Enkin MW. Randomized controlled trials: questions, answers and musings. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing, 2007, quoted with approval by Richard Smith in his introductory editorial in Cases Journal.

Page 35: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 36: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 37: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers
Page 38: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Venning GR (1982). Validity of anecdotal reports of suspectedadverse drug reactions: the problem of false alarms. BMJ 284:249-254.

Page 39: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

“Impressions [based on cases without formal controls] about the effects of care are sometimes right, and sometimes wrong. … I wish the new Cases Journal well; but if indeed it does wish to support the counterrevolution called for by Enkin and Jadad, I hope it will follow the methodological lead set by Geoffrey Venning quarter of a century ago. The Journal should establish a prospective cohort study now to assess the extent to which its case reports about purported treatment effects lead to reliable evidence about ways of improving the care of patients.” Chalmers I (2008). ?still somewhere in Cases Journal’s cyberspace

Page 40: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers

Lancet 2008;372:2023-2030.

Page 41: The benefits and risks of case reports - Iain Chalmers