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Climate Change and AgricultureIqrar Ahmad Khan
University of Agriculture, Faisalabad
Partnering Universities:
CLIMATE CHANGE, FOOD SECURITY AND AGRICULTURE (IN CRISES)High Cost of Production Market Failures (World Wide)Compounded by Climate Change
Identified Climate Change-Research Themes
Re-defining Agro Ecological Zones of Pakistan
Establishment of Early Warning System/Ag Weather Network
Spatial and temporal field experimentation for climate change impact assessment of agriculture sector
To develop the mitigation and site specific adaptation strategies
Impact of CC on changing water scenario, glaciology, Glacier Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) and water shed management.
Selection of drought/heat/frost/submergence/salt resilient cropsSelection of drought/heat frost resilient livestock breeds
Improving forest management, biodiversity conservation and soil carbon sequestration to cope with CC
Identification of flood prone areas, nature of floods, alternate crops for flood areas
Submergence resistance in rice, and sugarcane through biotechnological intervention for flood resilience
EXAMPLES OF CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION Minimizing natural resource degradation Improving input use
efficiency, manipulation of sowing time and planting density in crops, management of heat and disease susceptible livestock and poultry breeds.
Selection of Better Genetic Potential Short lag phase, deep root system, climate resilient cultivars, livestock and poultry breeds.
Water conservation Ground water recharge especially for summer water overflow, efficient irrigation systems.
Modeling and Mapping forecast cropping/ livestock and poultry rearing patterns specific for the country.
Interaction with Stakeholders for transfer/ adoption of the adaptation strategies.
Alternate Crops and waterCropsIWR Water Saving Net Benefit
• Cotton-Wheat 96 inch Rs. 104400/-• Wheat-Soybean 72 inch 24 inch Rs. 138000/-• Rice-Wheat 156 inch Rs. 85000/-• Wheat-Sunflower 68 inch 88inch Rs. 124500/-• Sugarcane 120 inch Rs. 132000/-• Sugar beet-Maize 90 inch 30 inch Rs. 149800/-
• Diversification• Fodders, Vegetables, Oilseeds, Pulses, fiber
Policy initiatives: To Develop Infrastructure for CC
Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action (NAMA)
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM's)
Intended National Determined Contribution (INDC's)
Low Carbon Development Strategy (LCDS)
INDC • Methane Reduction (Carbon Credit)
• Livestock Dung• Puddled Rice• $2 billion export for $8 billion virtual water
• Invest in Technologies for Climate Smart Agriculture
• Invest in Breeding Programs and New Crops• Invest in Precision Agriculture• Incentivize Diversification• Halt Migration
Struggling for Survival-Give Them Seed/Flood Scholarships
9
Climate Smart Rural Poultry-A Case Study• Importance
• Poultry production in rural areas• great importance as a primary supplier of eggs and meat
• Source of livelihood• especially to women as cost of keeping is low
• Source of high quality protein• One egg weighing 55g/day meets the 50% of protein
requirements of a child up to 5 years of age.
10
Importance (conti…)• The scavenging chicken
• has a cultural, social, nutritional and economic value
• As a backyard poultry business • it is simple to operate and provides supplementary income for millions of the people in the rural and urban areas
• The contribution of rural poultry • Contribution in total eggs and poultry meat production of the country is about 35 and 15%, respectively.Eggs
CommercialRural
Poultry meat
11
• Population of rural poultry • 40.18 million hens
• Egg Production- which are contributing 4.01 billion eggs annually.
• Consumer preference- indicates importance and preference of peoples for rural poultry and eggs
Importance (conti…)
(GOP, 2015)12
RhodeIslandRed 13
Fayoumi
14
WhiteChicken
(commercial)
15
Diversity is the key to combat global warming in future
16
Pictures from: http://everything-poultry.com
Genes of future
FrizzledChicken
Naked Neck Chicken
18
Host: University of Agriculture FaisalabadCollaborator: UAF Sub-campus Toba Tek SinghSponsor: Punjab Agricultural Research Board
Development of Egg-type Chicken Lines for Backyard Poultry
2011-2016(Rs 20.3 millions)
Objective: Two egg-laying chicken strains (feathered neck and naked neck UniGold) to be developed at UAF
(with field tested in TTSingh, Multan, Bahawalpur Districts and at Poultry Research Institute, Rawalpindi)
19
Breeding Plan to Produce Two Chicken Lines
120
Within line selection for color and performance traits
Naked Neck Colored Feather Neck Colored
Naked-neck Local cocks
High producingHens880
F1 x F1 inter se
Feathered-neck ColoredNaked-neck Colored
For demonstration phase, some 1500 pullets and cockerels respectively of the two lines will be distributed in two phases to the registered
keepers/farmers and Poultry research Institute (PRI) for data collection, demonstration and comparison
20
Naked Neckness
21
Barring
22
087MBWK1 087AWk28
23
045FBWK1 045AWk28
24
Naked Neckness
25
Egg Color Variation in Unigold
51%
40%
1%6%
1% 1%Light brownBrownDark brownLight pinkPinkCreamy white
26
Field Testing of UniGoldPRI Rawalpindi
30 HHs in Multan
30 HHs in Bahawalpur
30 HHs in TTS
27
Performance parameters of Unigold at PRI
Parameter BarredNon-
BarredAverage Age at First Lay (weeks) 25 26Body Weight at First Lay (g) 1288 1189Hen-Day Production at 32 weeks (%) 71.42 83.25Average Egg Weight (g) 52.33 52.03Average Body Weight at 50 weeks (g) 1701 1650Average Production Per Hen in 11 Months (No’s)
167 200
28
Training and dissemination events
29
Training of farmers at collaborating institute (UAF Sub-Campus TT Singh)
30
Distribution of Unigold pullets and cockerels at UAF Sub-campus TT Singh 31
Distribution of Unigold pullets and cockerels at UAF Sub-campus Burewala
32
Indigenous cocks distribution at UAF sub-campus Burewala for Site-II33
Indigenous UniGold cock distribution ceremony at UAF Sub-campus, TTS
34
Distribution of pullets and cockerels to widows
Distribution of 500 cockerels to 50 indigenous chicken rearing families at Tehsil Hasilpur
36
UniGold-B UniGold-N
Conclusions and Acknowledgements
37
Thank You
38