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Geospatial Mapping And City Success: Building Bridges And Finding Lost Treasure Prepared By The University of New Mexico Center For Education Policy Research Peter Winograd, Angelo Gonzales, Amy Ballard, Laura Robison, & Jason Timm Prepared For 2013 Talent Dividend Meeting The CEOs For Cities Philadelphia, Pennsylvania April 7-9, 2013

Geospatial Mapping and City Success

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Page 1: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Geospatial Mapping And City Success: Building Bridges And Finding Lost Treasure

Prepared By The University of New Mexico Center For Education

Policy Research

Peter Winograd, Angelo Gonzales, Amy Ballard,

Laura Robison, & Jason Timm

Prepared For

2013 Talent Dividend Meeting

The CEOs For Cities

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

April 7-9, 2013

Page 2: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Overview

2

• Cities And The Search For Prosperity

• The Threats To Prosperity

• Our Framework

• Our City

• The Power Of Geospatial Mapping

• Questions

Page 3: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

3

Prosperity Depends On Trust And

Human Capital

Page 4: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

4

The Gravest Threats To Albuquerque’s Prosperity Are The Deep Disparities Among Our Communities And The

Education Achievement Gap That Wastes Much Of Our

Future Human Capital

Page 5: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

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Page 7: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Quality Counts Framework: A Child’s Chances For Success

• Early Foundations – Family income: Percent of children in families with incomes at least 200% of poverty level – Parental education: Percent of children with at least one parent with a postsecondary degree – Parental employment: Percent of children with at least one parent working full time and year-

round – Linguistic integration: Percent of children whose parents are fluent English speakers

• School Years – Preschool enrollment: Percent of 3- and 4-year-olds enrolled in preschool – Kindergarten enrollment: Percent of eligible children enrolled in kindergarten programs – 4th grade reading: Percent of 4th grade public school students “proficient” on NAEP – 8th grade math: Percent of 8th grade public school students “proficient” on NAEP – High school graduation: Percent of public high school students who graduate with a diploma – Young adult (18 – 24) education: Percent of young adults (18 – 24) enrolled in postsecondary

education or with a degree

• Adult Outcomes – Adult educational attainment: Percent of adults (25 – 64) with a 2- or 4-year postsecondary

degree – Annual income: Percent of adults (25 – 64) with incomes at or above national median – Steady employment: Percent of adults (25 – 64) in labor force working full time and year-

round

Source: Education Week, Quality Counts, http://www.edweek.org/ew/qc/index.html. 7

Page 8: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

A Child’s Chances For Success Impact The Generations That Follow For Better Or Worse

8 Source: Education Week, Quality Counts, http://www.edweek.org/ew/qc/index.html.

Early Foundations

School Years

Adult Outcomes

Early Foundations

School Years

Adult Outcomes

Early Foundations • Family income • Parental education • Parental employment • Linguistic integration School Years • Preschool enrollment • Kindergarten enrollment • 4th grade reading • 8th grade mathematics • High school graduation • Young adult [18-24] education Adult Outcomes • Adult educational attainment • Annual income • Steady employment

Page 9: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

TX

AK

CA

MT

MI

AZ

ID

NV

NM

CO

OR

ILUT

WY

KS

IA

MN

NE

SD

FL

WI

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OK

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MO

GAAL

LA

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NC

AR

IN

PA

VA

MS

TN

OH

KY

ME

SC

WVMD

VT

NJ

MA

NH

CT

DE

RI

AK

HI

HI

A-

B+

B

B-

C+

C

C-

D+

D

New Mexico Children’s Chances For Success Are Among The Worst In The Nation, 2013

2013 Quality Counts Children’s Chances For Success Index is based on measures of Family Status, Progress Through School, and Adult Outcomes.

Source: Education Week, Quality Counts, http://www.edweek.org/ew/qc/index.html.

A-

B+

B

B-

C+

C

C-

D+

D

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TX

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SC

WVMD

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A-

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C-

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TX

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CA

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AZ

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CO

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GAAL

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VA

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TN

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KY

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SC

WVMD

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A-

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Page 10: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Early Foundations: Teen Births Per 1000, 2009

10 Data from Annie E. Casey Foundation website: http://datacenter.kidscount.org/data/ for 2009.

Teen Births per 1000

16 - 28

28.01 - 41

41.01 - 53

53.01 - 64

53.01 - 64

45

41

Page 11: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

School Years: High School Graduation Rates, By State 2009-2010

11 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Public School Graduates and Dropouts from the Common Core of Data: School Year 2009 – 2010

High School Graduation Rate

86% - 91%

81% - 85%

77% - 80%

70% - 76%

58% - 69%

Alaska 75.5%

Hawaii 75.4%

Page 12: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

School Years: New Mexico’s College Graduation Rates Are Among The Worst In The Nation

12 Source: The National Center For Higher Education Management Systems Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis.

The 2009 six-year graduation rates of bachelor degree students by state for the entering cohort of 2003. The average college graduation rate for the U.S. is 55.5%.

26.9% - 40%

40.1% - 55.4% (Below nat'l avg.)

55.5% - 60.2% (Above nat'l avg.)

60.3% - 69.2%AK

Page 13: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Adult Outcomes: Persons 18-24 Not In Labor Force Or School, No Degree Above HS, 2010

13

< -1.5 Std. Dev.

-1.5 - -0.50 Std. Dev.

-0.50 - 0.50 Std. Dev.

0.50 - 1.5 Std. Dev.

1.5 - 2.2 Std. Dev.

This map shows percent of population that is not in the labor force or attending school, with no degree beyond high school. Colors indicate distance from national mean with redder states having higher rates of unemployed persons not attending school or having beyond a high school degree.

Source: Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center, www.kidscount.org .

Hawaii 17%

Alaska 20%

Page 14: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

As Goes The Child, So Goes The City

14

Page 15: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

New Mexico Counties

15

Page 16: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Albuquerque And Local Communities With Census Tracts

16

Page 17: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Albuquerque Neighborhoods: The Soul Of Our City

17

Page 18: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percent of Individuals Who Speak a Language Other Than English at Home, Bernalillo County

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

18

Speak a Language Other Than English at Home

7% - 16.7%

16.8% - 25%

25.1% - 37.4%

37.5% - 53.1%

53.2% - 89%

Page 19: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Per Capita Income, Bernalillo County

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011

Per Capita Income (dollars)

$10,232.00 - $18,272.00

$18,272.01 - $25,308.00

$25,308.01 - $33,747.00

$33,747.01 - $46,627.00

$46,627.01 - $69,484.00

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

19

Page 20: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Number of Individuals Who Earn Less than $10,000 per year, Bernalillo County

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011

Number of Individuals EarningLess than $10,000 per Year

0 - 26

27 - 64

65 - 111

112 - 188

189 - 315

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

Page 21: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Individuals Living Below 200 Percent of Poverty Level with Less than High School Education

All Individuals Below 200 Percent of Poverty Level

85 - 624

625 - 1256

1257 - 1946

1947 - 3059

3060 - 4950

Less than High School Graduate

0 - 184

185 - 397

398 - 650

651 - 1047

1048 - 1682

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

21

Page 22: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Life Expectancy By Census Tract, Bernalillo County, NM (2001-2005)

22

Source: Map produced by Joint Center For Political and Economic Studies (September, 2012) Place Matters For Health In Bernalillo County: Ensuring Opportunities For Good Health For All.

This powerful map by the Joint Center For Political and Economic Studies shows that life expectancy can vary by 28 years depending on where one lives in Bernalillo County.

Page 23: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

The Power Of Geospatial Mapping

23

• Description: Making the data accessible to all audiences

– Painting the picture of urgency

– Identifying risk, needs, and assets

• Analysis: Making sense of the data

– Identifying gaps in resources

– Setting priorities

– Measuring impact

• Action: Using data for change

– Providing a basis for advocacy

– Strengthening public engagement

– Developing policy

Page 24: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

A Few Advantages of Geospatial Mapping

24

• Geospatial mapping is used extensively in other fields including health and human services, natural resources, public safety, defense, and urban and regional planning. Each of these fields has conceptual frameworks and analytical techniques that offer unique insights when applied to educational issues.

• The data in the maps are immediately accessible to a wide range of audiences including policy-makers, community members, educators, students, and parents.

• Maps are powerful conversation starters. Everybody sees something different in the maps based on their perspectives and experiences.

• Maps equalize the conversations among different groups at the table. People want to know what others think.

• Maps can convey the message that we are one community, bound together by a sense of place.

Page 25: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

DESCRIPTION Making The Data Accessible To All Audiences

25

Page 26: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Story 1: The Path to Graduation

26

Page 27: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of Albuquerque Public Schools (APS) 3rd Grade Students Proficient Or Advanced In Reading

27 Source: Standards Based Assessment, 2011-2012, NM Public Education Department

Less than 20%

20 - 39.9%

40 - 59.9%

60 - 79.9%

80 - 100%

The map shows elementary school attendance boundaries in Albuquerque Public Schools.

Page 28: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of APS 8th Grade Students Proficient Or Advanced In Math

28 Source: Standards Based Assessment, 2011-2012, NM Public Education Department

Less than 20%

20 - 39.9%

40 - 59.9%

60 - 79.9%

80 - 100%

The map shows middle school attendance boundaries in Albuquerque Public Schools.

Page 29: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Early Warning Indicator: Percentage Of APS Students Entering 9th Grade With One or More F

Grades And 5 Or More Absences In 8th Grade Core Courses

29 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, School Max, 2011-2012 School Year. Data provided by APS RDA Department. Analysis performed by CEPR.

Page 30: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

APS Four-Year High School Graduation Rate, All Students, Class of 2012

30

Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of

2012. Alliance for Excellent Education statistics taken from

http://www.all4ed.org/about_the_crisis/schools/dropout.

According to the

Alliance for

Excellent

Education, there

are nearly 2000

high schools

nationally that

graduate less

than 60% of their

students within

four years.

These schools

disproportionately

produce 51% of

the nation’s

dropouts.

APS has four

high schools with

less than a 60%

graduation rate.

Page 31: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Measures Of Risk And Resiliency: Educational Aspirations, 2011

31

Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education and U.S.

Centers For Disease Control and Prevention, 2011. Students affirmed the statement: “I plan to go to college or some other

school after high school.” NOTE: Moderately low reliability for Otero, Roosevelt, Sandoval, and Sierra Counties, unreliable data

for Chaves County, and very low reliability for Dona Ana and Eddy Counties.

82% - 90%

71% - 80%

64% - 70%

55% - 60%

No Data

No Data

Students Who Plan To ContinueTheir Education

Percentage of high school students who said that they planned to go to college or some other school after high school.

Page 32: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of APS Students Attending New Mexico Colleges Who Took Remedial Courses, 2000-2009,

By Sending High School

32

Source: “Ready For College? A Report on New Mexico’s High School Graduates Who Take Remedial Courses In

College,” June 2010, New Mexico Office of Education Accountability. Data were unavailable for Volcano Vista &

Atrisco Heritage Academy.

Page 33: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

University of New Mexico Six-Year Graduation Rate, by Sending APS High School

33

Source: UNM Office of Institutional Research. The six-year graduation rate is the percentage of first-time, full-time, degree seeking students each Fall semester who graduate with a Bachelors degree or PharmD degree, or who are enrolled in the fourth fall of the PharmD Program within six years (this is the definition of Graduation Rate as reported to the Federal Department of Education IPEDS system). The data reported here are for the 2004 student cohort.

Page 34: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of Individuals 25 and Older With a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, Bernalillo County

Percent of Individuals With a Bachelor's Degree or Higher

0% - 20.9%

21% - 39.2%

39.3% - 100%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2007 - 2011

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

34

Page 35: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Story 2: The Challenge Of Truancy

35

Page 36: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Habitual Truancy Is A Problem Across New Mexico

36 Source: NM Public Education Department: 2010SY 40D Enrollment by District; Habitual Truant Students By District and School Type 2011-2012

51,034 Students

Were Habitually Truant In

2011-2012

50,929 Students Enrolled Are Enrolled In These 66 Of New

Mexico’s 89 Districts:

BERNALILLO, BLOOMFIELD, LOVINGTON, TAOS, PORTALES, RUIDOSO, POJOAQUE, LAS VEGAS CITY, SOCORRO, WEST LAS VEGAS, ZUNI, HATCH, TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES, COBRE, RATON, TUCUMCARI,

DEXTER, TULAROSA, ESTANCIA, DULCE, CUBA, PECOS, SANTA ROSA, LORDSBURG, LOVING, EUNICE,

CLAYTON, TEXICO, QUESTA, CAPITAN, PEÑASCO, MORA, JEMEZ VALLEY, CIMARRON, MAGDALENA,

CLOUDCROFT, HAGERMAN, CHAMA, JAL, MESA VISTA, JEMEZ MOUNTAIN, MOUNTAINAIR, TATUM,

FT. SUMNER, FLOYD, ANIMAS, DORA, LOGAN, SPRINGER, MELROSE, QUEMADO, CARRIZOZO,

RESERVE, HONDO, SAN JON, LAKE ARTHUR, ELIDA, GRADY, VAUGHN, DES MOINES, MAXWELL, CORONA,

HOUSE, WAGON MOUND, ROY, MOSQUERO

>

If All These Students Were In One District, It Would Be The Second Largest District In New Mexico And Twice The Size of Las Cruces

Page 37: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of APS Elementary School Students Who Were Habitually Truant In 2011-2012

37 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Page 38: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of APS Middle School Students Who Were Habitually Truant In 2011-2012

38 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Page 39: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of APS High School Students Who Were Habitually Truant In 2011-2012

39 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Page 40: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Story 3: Risk And Resiliency

40

Page 41: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

The New Mexico Youth Risk & Resiliency Survey (YRRS)

41

• The YRRS is part of the CDC Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS) and is conducted by the New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education with the assistance of the Prevention Research Center in the UNM School of Medicine.

• The YRRS is an important survey that examines risk behaviors and resiliency (protective) factors of New Mexico high school and middle school students.

• The RISK behaviors covered include alcohol and drug use, unintentional injury, violence, suicidal ideation, tobacco use, sexual activity, physical activity and nutrition.

• The RESILIENCY factors covered include relationships in the family, school, community, and with peers; participation in sports, clubs, other group activities, and hobbies; and health status issues.

Sources: www.youthrisk.org. Green D, Peñaloza L, and FitzGerald C. 2012. New Mexico Youth Risk & Resiliency Survey: High School Survey Results 2011. Epidemiology and Response Division, New Mexico Department of Health, School and Family Support Bureau, New Mexico Public Education Department, and University of New Mexico Prevention Research Center.

Page 42: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of Middle School Students Who Seriously Considered Attempting Suicide

42

Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009, New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Students were asked, “During the past 12 months, did you ever seriously consider attempting suicide?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered “Yes.”

Page 43: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of High School Students Who Were In A Physical Fight On School Property

43

Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009, New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Students were asked, “During the past 12 months, how many times were you in a physical fight on school property?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or more times.

Page 44: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of APS High School Students Who Reported Using Heroin, Cocaine, Or Meth At Least Once In Their Lives

44

Source: APS and state high school data taken from New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked the following three questions: “During your life, how many times have you used any form of cocaine, including powder, crack, or freebase?” “During your life, how many times have you used heroin (also called smack, junk, or China White)?” “During your life, how many times have you used methamphetamines (also called speed, crystal, crank, or ice)?” The percentages reported here reflect respondents who reported using the given drug one or more times. National data taken from High School Youth Risk Behavior Survey, 2009, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention.

3%

5% 4%

7%

5%

9%

4%

6%

7%

4%

9%

7% 7% 7%

9%

3%

13%

15%

19%

14%

17%

11%

13% 13%

16%

13%

14%

13%

11%

16%

4%

6%

5%

9%

8%

11%

7% 7%

8%

7%

9% 9%

7%

8%

10%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Heroin Cocaine Methamphetamine

Page 45: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of Students Who Report Not Having A Parent Or Adult At Home

Who Is Interested In Their School Work

45

Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked to comment on the statement, “In

my home, there is a parent or some other adult who is interested in my school work.” The percentage reported here

reflects respondents who answered, “Not true at all.”

Page 46: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Key Outcomes Of High School Students Experiencing High & Low Levels Of Caring And Supportive Relationships With

Parents, New Mexico, 2009

18.3% 19.7%

21.4%

3.5% 4.9%

30.7%

25.3%

34.8% 34.3%

40.5%

10.9%

24.3%

53.4%

36.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

CigaretteSmokers

BingeDrinkers

MarijuanaUsers

CocaineUsers

Suicide (past12 months)

PhysicalFight

Overweightor Obese

Students Experiencing High Levels of Care Students Experiencing Low Levels of Care

Source: New Mexico Epidemiology, 2010. (http://nmhealth.org/erd/HealthData/pdf/ER%20YRRS%20092410.pdf).

National data taken from High School Youth Risk Behavior Survey, 2009, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention. 46

Page 47: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

ANALYSIS Making Sense Of The Data

47

Page 48: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Change Across The Cradle-To-Career Continuum

48

Page 49: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Habitual Truancy In APS Elementary, Middle, And High Schools

49

These maps show truancy moving like a red tide that engulfs Albuquerque Public Schools students by the time they are in high school.

Elementary School

Middle School

High School

Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Percent HabituallyTruant Students

0.4% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

Greater than 20%

high

Page 50: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Identifying Gaps In Resources

50

Page 51: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of High School Students Who Have Had Sexual Intercourse

51

Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009, New Mexico Departments of Health and Public Education and U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Students were asked, “During your life, with how many people have you had sexual intercourse?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or more people.

Page 52: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Teen Birth Rate, Ages 15-19

52

Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative. The rates shown here reflects the average number of children per 1000 women born to teen mothers (ages 15-19) between 2001 and 2005. Rates are reported by census tract; high school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective. In 2005, the statewide teen birth rate was 62 per 1000, and the nationwide rate was 40 per 1000 (Kids Count Data Center, http://datacenter.kidscount.org).

The data point in each census tract represents the number of live births to teen women per 1000 teen women, over the period 2001-2005. For example, the census tract in the center with a teen birth rate of 106.4 means that there were 106 live births to teen women for every 1000 teen women who live in the census tract.

Page 53: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Capacity Of 4- And 5-Star Licensed Child Care Centers

53

Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, December 2010. Enrollment data are reported by program site. Elementary school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective.

Above national average

Page 54: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Exploring Visual Correlations

54

Page 55: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Relationship Between Elementary Grades And Elementary Student Mobility

55

Elementary SchoolMobility

5.2% - 12.7%

12.8% - 19.2%

19.3% - 25%

25.1% - 33%

33.1% - 53.2%

33.1% - 53.2%

Source: School grades from New Mexico Public Education Department website

http://webapp2.ped.state.nm.us/SchoolData/SchoolGrading.aspx.

Grey outlines show elementary school attendance boundaries.

!( A

!( B

!( C

!( D

!( F

Elementary School Grades

What is going on with these schools?

Page 56: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Are These Schools Beating the Odds?

Graduation Rate > 70%, Remediation Rate At UNM < 30%,

Child Poverty > 30%

56

Percent of Children inPoverty in District

0% - 10%

11% - 21%

22% - 30%

31% - 39%

40% - 51%

High School

Total School Enrollment (2011-2012)

Graduation Rate

Remediation Rate

Chaparral High 1,080 77.8% 25.0%

Logan High 127 86.6% 16.7%

Magdalena High 127 72.9% 28.6%

Mosquero High 27 98.0% 0.0%

Tularosa High 273 86.5% 14.3%

Page 57: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Setting Priorities

57

Page 58: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Creating Indices

58

• The previous maps have demonstrated the power of viewing single and multiple variables on a map. An index combines multiple variables and provides a means of ranking these in an objective way.

• Indices can support decisions about where to allocate funds and focus resources.

• Indices can focus attention on negative (risk) factors, or positive (opportunity) factors.

• The Kirwan Institute1 at Ohio State University and The Trust for Public Land2 have both used index mapping to compel community conversation and action in relation to urban planning issues.

1Reece , Jason, Christy Rogers, Matt Martin, Liz Colombo, Dwight Holley, Melissa Lindsjo (2012), Neighborhoods and Community Development in Franklin County, Kirwan Institute, Ohio State University. 2Trust for Public Land, http://oregonexplorer.info/deschutes/MappingTools/GreenprintMaps

Page 59: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Child Maltreatment Risk Factors And Opportunity Mapping In Bernalillo County

59

The CDC has identified several factors related to high risk for child maltreatment. The following maps show areas where risks for these factors are lower and higher in Bernalillo County. The goal is to introduce a possible technique for identifying neighborhoods that may benefit from resources.

• The best opportunity for children to grow up without becoming victims of maltreatment include:

– Having parents with higher education levels;

– Living in a household with 2 parents;

– Living in a household with income above poverty level;

– Living in a household with fewer dependent children;

– Living in neighborhoods with low unemployment;

– Living in neighborhoods where people have lived at least a year in the same house;

– Living in neighborhoods with a lower density of alcohol outlets.

Where are these areas in Bernalillo County?

Source: http://www.cdc.gov/violenceprevention/childmaltreatment/riskprotectivefactors.html

Page 60: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Individual Child Maltreatment Risk Mitigation Factors

60

Education Greater Than AA Degree Few Families Living Under Poverty Level

Low Unemployment

Few Single Parent Households

Smaller Family Size Low Residential Mobility

Source: Unemployment, family size, single parent household, household mobility, family poverty model input layers from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census, census tract level. Alcohol license data from New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, compiled by New Mexico Department of Health.

Few Alcohol Licenses

Page 61: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Opportunity For A Safe Childhood

Opportunity Score

High

Moderately high

Average

Moderately low

Low

Low

Based on the CDC factors, tracts with a higher score have fewer child maltreatment indicators.

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

Source: Unemployment, family size, single parent household, household mobility, family poverty model input layers from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census , census tract level. Alcohol license data from New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, compiled by New Mexico Department of Health. 61

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Using The Maps To Address Issues Of Community Equity: Where Are The Hispanic Children In Relation To Opportunity?

62

Opportunity Score

High

Moderately high

Average

Moderately low

Low

Low

Source: Unemployment, family size, single parent household, household mobility, family poverty model input layers from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census , census tract level. Alcohol license data from New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, compiled by New Mexico Department of Health.

This map clearly shows the concentration of Hispanic children under the age of 5 in lower opportunity areas.

BerncoTracts

Number of HispanicChildren Under Age 5

4 - 85

86 - 185

186 - 325

326 - 525

526 - 761

Westside

Northeast Heights

North Valley

International Zone

University/ Nob Hill

South Valley

Page 63: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Measuring Impact

63

Page 64: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage Of APS High School Students Who Were Habitually Truant In 2011-2012

64 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Page 65: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Change In Percentage Of APS High School Students Who Were Habitually Truant 2010-2011 To 2011-2012

65

Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department. A student is identified as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.

Page 66: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

APS Four-Year High School Graduation Rate, All Students, Class Of 2012

66

Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of 2012. Alliance for Excellent Education statistics taken from http://www.all4ed.org/about_the_crisis/schools/dropout.

According to the

Alliance for

Excellent

Education, there

are nearly 2000

high schools

nationally that

graduate less

than 60% of their

students within

four years.

These schools

disproportionately

produce 51% of

the nation’s

dropouts.

APS has four

high schools with

less than a 60%

graduation rate.

Page 67: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Change In APS High School Graduation Rate 2010-2011 To 2011-2012

67 Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate.

Change in Graduation Rate, 2011-2012

-4.1 - -2.0 (Large Decrease) -1.9 - 0.0 (Small Decrease) 0.1 - 2.0 (Small Increase) 2.1 - 12.0 (Large Increase)

Data Not Available

Data Not Available

Page 68: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

ACTION Using Data For Change

68

Page 69: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

How The Maps Have Supported Action

69

• Developing State Policy

• Early Childhood

• Truancy

• Dual Credit

• Afterschool

• Engaging Community, Building Relationships & Mapping Assets

• Mission: Graduate

• The Unidos Project for Latino Student Success

Page 70: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

70

60,000 NEW DEGREES BY 2020

70

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71

• Goal: To add 60,000 new associate’s, bachelor’s, or graduate degrees by 2020.

• Objectives:

1. Eliminate achievement gaps.

2. Increase high school graduation rates.

3. Increase college and university enrollment.

4. Increase college and university graduation rates.

5. Align these education objectives with economic growth and ensure that all graduates have local opportunities for gainful employment.

71

Page 72: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Percentage of Individuals with Income Less than 185% of the Federal Poverty Level

72 Source: U.S. Census 2010, American Community Survey, 2006-2010 Five-Year Estimates.

Page 73: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Four-Year High School Graduation Rate, All Students

73 Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of 2012.

Page 74: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Four-Year High School Graduation Rate, Hispanic Students

74 Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of 2012.

Page 75: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

Educational Attainment In Central New Mexico Adults 25 And Over, With An Associate’s, Bachelor’s, Or Graduate Degree, 2011

75

35.8 32.8

38.8 37.2

20.3 23.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Less than 19.4%

19.4 - 32.8%

32.8 - 42.2%

42.2 - 55.6%

55.6 - 78.0%

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2011, 5-Year Estimates

Page 76: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

How Does Albuquerque Compare to Other Communities? Percentage of the Population, 25-64 Years of Age,

With an Associate's Degree or Higher

76 Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2010, 5-Year Estimates.

20.9%

27.8%

29.6%

35.2%

35.3%

35.4%

38.0%

38.6%

40.2%

40.3%

43.6%

46.1%

47.3%

48.1%

52.5%

54.3%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Metro Area

El Paso, TX Metro Area

Las Vegas-Paradise, NV Metro Area

Reno-Sparks, NV Metro Area

Tulsa, OK Metro Area

Oklahoma City, OK Metro Area

Albuquerque, NM Metro Area

Tucson, AZ Metro Area

Ogden-Clearfield, UT Metro Area

Salt Lake City, UT Metro Area

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area

Colorado Springs, CO Metro Area

Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX Metro Area

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA Metro Area

Raleigh-Cary, NC Metro Area

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA Metro Area

Page 77: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

The Unidos Project for Latino Student Success Getting to the Big Goal in Albuquerque by 2025

February 2013

77

Page 78: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

The Unidos Acequia Metaphor:

Four Strategic Focus Areas

1. Opening the Gate: Redefining and Scaling Up Services to

Support Students and Families (Abriendo La Compuerta)

2. Increasing the Flow: Helping Students and Families

Understand the Transformational Power of Education

(Aumentando La Corriente)

3. Reclaiming the Flow: Bringing Students Back (Recuperando

La Corriente)

4. Removing Barriers: Institutional Development to Facilitate

Seamless Transitions (La Limpia)

Photo credit: New Mexico Acequia Association, http://www.lasacequias.org/

78

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79

Our Prosperity Depends On Our City’s Ability To Cultivate Its

Most Precious Resources

Page 80: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

QUESTIONS?

80

Page 81: Geospatial Mapping and City Success

For More Information

81

Peter Winograd, Ph.D. ([email protected])

Angelo J. Gonzales, Ph.D. ([email protected])

Amy Ballard ([email protected])

Laura Robison ([email protected])

Jason Timm ([email protected])

Center for Education Policy Research

The University of New Mexico

http://cepr.unm.edu