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Retirement & Investment Planning in Today’s Market Presented by: Matthew A. Morrow Munroe Morrow Wealth Management 346 Commercial Street Boston, MA 02109 Date: April 24, 2012 617-600-5488

BWH Young Profesionals: MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

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Page 1: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Retirement & Investment Planning gin Today’s MarketPresented by: Matthew A. Morrowy

Munroe Morrow Wealth Management346 Commercial StreetBoston, MA 02109

Date: April 24, 2012

617-600-5488

Page 2: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Will you have enough money?Will you have enough money?Future!income!needs!and!sources

> Most!people!have!a!gap!between!income!and!expenses> Social!Security!will!not!be!enough> Will!you!have!a!pension?> Do!you!have!other!sources!of!income?> Pl t b id th ith i t t> Plan!to!bridge!the!gap!with!your!investments

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Page 3: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Will you have enough money?Will you have enough money?Future!income!needs!and!sources

The!size!of!the!nest!egg!you’ll!need

Annual!amount!desired Nest egg!needed*

$!40,000 $!963,922$!85,000 $!2,048,334$!100,000 $!2,409,804

2

Page 4: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Will you have enough money?Will you have enough money?Percentage surviving by age

FPO

3Percentage surviving by age: Death-registration

1900-1902,1949-51, 2004. National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol. 56, No. 9, December 28,

2007

Page 5: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

The High Cost of WaitingAnnual Rate of Return = 8%

AGE Investor A Investor B21 $0 $2,00022 $0 $2,00023 $0 $2,00024 $0 $2,00025 $0 $2,00026 $0 $2,00027 $0 $2,00028 $0 $2,00029 $0 $2,00030 $0 $2,00031 $2,000 $032 $2,000 $033 $2,000 $034 $2,000 $035 $2,000 $036 $2,000 $037 $2,000 $038 $2,000 $039 $2,000 $040 $2,000 $041 $2,000 $042 $2,000 $043 $2,000 $044 $2,000 $045 $2,000 $046 $2,000 $047 $2,000 $048 $2,000 $049 $2,000 $050 $2,000 $051 $2,000 $052 $2,000 $053 $2,000 $054 $2,000 $055 $2,000 $056 $2,000 $057 $2,000 $058 $2,000 $059 $2,000 $060 $2,000 $0

$226,566 $291,547Total Invested: $60,000 $20,000

What if you invested $2,000 per year for all 40 years? $518,113.04

Page 6: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

How should you invest along the way?

4

Page 7: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

I ti h tInvesting!short!course

> Get!invested

> Diversify

> Stay invested> Stay!invested

Page 8: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

T f i k “ l tilit ”Types!of!risk!or!“volatility”

> Specific!risk

> Market!risk

> Industry risk> Industry!risk

> Interest!rate!risk

Page 9: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Historical range of returns of S&P 500: 1970-2009

61

30 19 18

7No!change

Positive!change

" 2" 7Negative!change

1!year 5!years 10!years 20!years" 43

Source:!Standard!and!Poor’s!500!Index.!The!Standard!&!Poor’s!500!Market!Index!(S&P!500)!is!an!unmanaged!list!of!common!stocks frequently!used!as!a!measure!of!market!performance.!The!index!reflects!reinvestment!of!all!distributions!and!changes!in!market!prices,!but!excludes!brokerage!commissions!or!other!fees.!The!highest!return!is!represented!by!the!top!of!each!bar!and!the!lowest!annual!return!is!shown!at!the!bottom.!The!rolling!5",10" and!20"year!ranges!are!also!shown.!Over!time,!lower!performing!years!will!be!offset!by!higher!performing!years!and!vice!versa.!Therefore!the!range!of!the!historical!returns!over!the!entire!period!is!narrower!than!the!range!of!returns!in!any!single!year.!Returns!over!1!year!in!length!are!annualized.!It!is!not!possible!to!invest!directly!in!an!index.!!Past!performance!is!no!guarantee!of!future!results.!

Page 10: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

D ll t iDollar"cost!averaging

> Put!market!fluctuations!to!work!for!you

> Can!be!an!effective!means!of!accumulating!shares

> Does not guarantee profit or protect against losses due to> Does!not!guarantee!profit!or!protect!against!losses!due!to!declining!prices

Page 11: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

Dollar"cost!averaging

Month You invest Share price Shares purchased

January $100 ! $10 = 10February $100 ! $8 = 12.5February $100 $8 12.5March $100 ! $5 = 20April $100 ! $7 = 14.3May $100 ! $9 = 11.1June $100 ! $10 = 10Total $600 = 77 9

Average!price!per!share:!(10+8+5+7+9+10)/6=!$8.17Average!cost!per!share:!(600/77.9)=!$7.70

Total $600 77.9

Dollar"cost!averaging!not!guarantee!a!profit!or!protect!against!losses!in!a!declining!market.!Investors!should!consider!their!ability!to!continue!investing!during!periods!of!low!markets.!This!illustration!is!hypothetical!and!is!not!a!forecast!or!guarantee!of!specific!investment!results.

Page 12: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

How should you invest along the way?How should you invest along the way?Five!kinds!of!risk!to!manage

I fl ti i k Th ibilit th t i t t’ lInflation!risk The!possibility!that!your!investment’s!value!will!lag!inflation

Market!risk The!chance!that!your!investment’s!price!will!fall

Default!risk The!chance!that!a!bond!issuer!won’t!be!able!to!pay!interest!due

Interest rate risk The likelihood that bond prices will fall when interestInterest!rate!risk The!likelihood!that!bond!prices!will!fall!when!interest!rates!rise

Currency!risk The!possibility!that!your!investment!will!lose!value!due!to!fluctuations!in!foreign!currencies

10

Page 13: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

How should you invest along the way?How should you invest along the way?Asset!allocation!and!diversification

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*

SMALL CAP VALUE

14.02%

REAL ESTATE 12.35%

BONDS 10.25%

REAL ESTATE3.58%

SMALL CAP GROWTH48.54%

SMALL CAP VALUE

46.03%

REAL ESTATE33.16%

SMALL CAP VALUE22.25%

INT’L STOCKS14.02%

REAL ESTATE 13.82%

REAL ESTATE 35.97%

INT’L STOCKS26.86%

LARGE CAP GROWTH11.81%

INT’L STOCKS11.63%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

BONDS 5.24%

HIGH YIELD BONDS-26.16%

2008

INT’L!Stocks!MSCI!EAFE!Index

Diversified!Portfolio!Hypothetical!portfolio!with quarterly rebalancing and an equal

BONDS 8.44%

HIGH YIELD BONDS5.28%

HIGH YIELD BONDS-1.41%

SMALL CAP VALUE

-11.43%

MID CAP STOCKS 40.06%

INT’L STOCKS39.17%

INT’L STOCKS20.70%

MID CAP STOCKS 20.22%

MID CAP STOCKS12.65%

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

7.46%

SMALL CAP VALUE

23.48%

LARGE CAP VALUE

22.25%

BONDS 6.97%

SMALL CAP GROWTH

7.05%

SMALL CAP VALUE

-28.92%

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

-28.58%

*Data as of 12/31/08. Source: Morningstar Direct

with!quarterly!rebalancing!and!an!equal!weighting!in!each!of!the!indices!listed!against!loss.

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

-1.87%

LARGE CAP VALUE-5.59%

MID CAP

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

-11.74%

LARGE CAP VALUE

-15.52%

REAL ESTATE 36.18%

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

33.58%

LARGE CAP

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

16.63%

LARGE CAP VALUE

16.49%

LARGE CAP VALUE7.05%

LARGE CAP GROWTH

5.26%

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

17.97%

MID CAP STOCKS15.26%

MID CAP STOCKS5.60%

DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO

2.19%

HIGH YIELD SMALL CAP SMALL CAP

LARGE CAP GROWTH-38.44%

SMALL CAP

LARGE CAP VALUE

-36.85%

Direct. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit and do not protect against loss. It is not possible to invest directly in any of the unmanaged

indices shown. There is no assurance that a MID CAP STOCKS-5.62%

LARGE CAP

INT’L STOCKS-15.66%

MID CAP STOCKS-16.19%

LARGE CAP

LARGE CAP VALUE

30.03%

LARGE CAP GROWTH29.75%

HIGH YIELD

HIGH YIELD BONDS11.13%

LARGE CAP

SMALL CAP VALUE 4.71%

HIGH YIELD

HIGH YIELD BONDS11.85%

LARGE CAP

HIGH YIELD BONDS1.87%

LARGE CAP VALUE-0.17%

SMALL CAP

SMALL CAP GROWTH -9.23%

SMALL CAP GROWTH14.31%

SMALL CAP GROWTH

4.15%

SMALL CAP GROWTH13.35%

SMALL CAP GROWTH-38.54%

REAL ESTATE -39.20%

MID CAP

secondary market will be available for real estate invest trust, which may hinder

attempts to sell the investment.

Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that

investments that do poorly may be balanced

11

GROWTH–20.42%

INT’L STOCKS-21.21%

GROWTH-27.88%

BONDS28.97%

BONDS4.10%

GROWTH6.30%

BONDS 4.34%

BONDS2.74%

BONDS2.43%

GROWTH9.07%

BONDS4.33%

VALUE-9.78%

REAL ESTATE-17.55%

SMALL CAP GROWTH-30.26%

STOCKS-41.46%

INT’L STOCKS-43.06%

investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better.

Page 14: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

A new way to think about taxesA new way to think about taxesTax"diversify!your!portfolio

12Neither Ameriprise Financial nor any of its

representatives or agents provide tax advice.

Page 15: BWH Young Profesionals:  MAFCU & MunroeMorrow Retirement & Investment Planning (4/24/12)

How should you invest along the ?way?

2012 limits for a contributory Roth IRA2012!limits!for!a!contributory!Roth!IRA!> $5,000!maximum!contribution!in!202*> $1,000!“catch"up”!contribution!for!those!age!50+$ , p g

Advantages!of!Roth!IRAs:T D f d S i• Tax!Deferred!Savings.

• Tax"Free!withdrawals!of!earnings!after!age!59!½.• Contributions!can!be!withdrawn!penalty!and!tax"free!at!!any!time.

i $ 0 000 b i hd f fi i h h i h• Earnings!up!to!$10,000!can!be!withdrawn!for!first!time!home!purchase!without!early!withdrawal!penalty.

13*Maximum contribution limits may be adjusted for inflation in future years.

13