Central AmericaProbabilistic Risk Assessment

CAPRA

Dr. Stuart Gill, LCSUW

Central AmericaProbabilistic Risk Assessment

CAPRA

Dr. Stuart Gill, LCSUW

SUPPORT DECISIONSUNDERSTAND

COMMUNICATE

SUPPORT DECISIONSUNDERSTAND

COMMUNICATE

EARTHQUAKE HURRICANE INTENSE RAIN VOLCANO

TSUNAMI

GROUND SHAKING /

LIQUEFACTION

LANDSLIDESLANDSLIDES

- - GROUND SHAKINGGROUND SHAKING- HURRICANE RAINFALL- HURRICANE RAINFALL

- OTHER RAINFALL- OTHER RAINFALL

STRONG WINDS

STORM SURGE

HURRICANE RAINFALL

FLOODSFLOODS

- HURRICANE RAINFALL- HURRICANE RAINFALL- OTHER RAINFALL- OTHER RAINFALL

ASH FALLS

BALLISTIC EJECTIONS

PYROCLASTIC FLOWS

LAVA FLOWS

NicaraguaManagua

197219721972

1972

1972

1972

197219721972

1972

1972

1972

1972

Magnitude 6.4

1972

1972

Physical Financial Human

Mass Collaboration Changes Everything

UsersSoftwareData

Mass Collaboration Changes Everything

UsersSoftwareData

Abudhabi, UAE

Corinto,NicaraguaClickworkers

HazardsHazards

ExposureExposure

VulnerabilityVulnerability

RiskRisk

+

+

+

Cost/Benefit Analysis

Risk Mapping Engine

Risk Financing Strategies

Land Use Planning tool

On time damage & loss

estimations

Climate Impact Scenarios

www.ecapra.org

CAPRA

HazardsHazards

ExposureExposure

VulnerabilityVulnerability

RiskRisk

+

+

+

Cost/Benefit Analysis

Risk Mapping Engine

Risk Financing Strategies

Land Use Planning tool

On time damage & loss

estimations

Climate Impact Scenarios

www.ecapra.org

CAPRA