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THE JWT AUSTERITY INDEX
A measure of how the UK is feeling and
dealing with austerity
Quarter 1 2013 Results
JWT Austerity Index
Introducing the Austerity Index
Methodology
The JWT Austerity Index is a composite measure created using five key consumer metrics. We use five metrics
because we believe the impact of austerity has many facets which cannot be captured in just one question. The
metrics we track are as follows:
• IMPACT: Two metrics focus on the immediate impact of austerity. The first assesses the severity of the effect on
standard of living and the second is an emotional measure – are consumers just surviving, or thriving?
• COPING: Two further metrics assess what consumers are doing to cope: how much effort are they making to
restrict discretionary expenditure and how difficult are they finding it to put money aside?
• OUTLOOK: Finally, we ask consumers how they expect to be coping in six months’ time.
Consumers score themselves out of ten on each metric. In each question, a high score indicates an impact of
greater severity. We create an index for each of the five component metrics by dividing those scoring themselves
in the more negative range (6-10) by those scoring themselves in the positive range (1-5) and then multiplying by
100. The Austerity Index is an average score calculated across all five of our austerity metrics.
We polled 520 UK consumers in March 2013 using JWT’s proprietary SONAR panel. The Austerity Index is a
quarterly survey – our next edition will be released June/July 2013.
Welcome to JWT’s Austerity Index
We’re living through the slowest economic recovery in our nation’s living
memory.
These are uncharted waters for brands. We have no precedents to fall
back on, no textbooks or handbooks on which we can rely this time. So
it’s never been more crucial for us to understand exactly how consumers
in the UK are behaving and changing in response to the new reality.
The Austerity Index is JWT’s solution: an in-depth quarterly research
survey that analyses the impact of prolonged economic adversity on UK
consumers and markets. The Austerity Index aims to diagnose Britain’s
emotional and rational reply to austerity, delivering the answers that
brands and organisations need today.
How severely are consumers being affected? Who is hurting the most?
What are the coping mechanisms consumers are deploying? Where are
Britons cutting back, trading down or even opting out of categories? And
how should brands respond?
JWT will be tracking these and other measures every quarter, from now
until the economy recovers. We will provide a unique battery of metrics
which will track the pace of that recovery, including our proprietary
Austerity Index metric. Let’s investigate what the nation thinks and feels
about austerity today.
Tracey Follows
Chief Strategy Officer, JWT London
April 2013
3
JWT Austerity Index
The Austerity Index
The Austerity Index: Our Benchmark Metric
0
200
400
600
Impact on standard of
living
Surviving, not thriving
Efforts to restrict
spendingHaving difficulty saving
Negative outlook next 6
months
Component Metrics of the Austerity Index
So here’s where it begins. Our first ever reading of the Austerity Index registers
287. This, an averaged measure of our five component metrics (see below), is our
benchmark.
What does this tell us right now? That three times as many consumers are finding
life tough at the moment as are not. No great surprise there. Where this figure will
come into its own, however, is when we start to track it over time, observing the
shifts as they happen and in the context of our changing economic circumstances.
We anticipate that our Austerity Index will become a barometer; a gauge for
Britain’s reaction. Our first data dip was run between 9-11 March, prior to the 2013
Budget announcement. And over the next few weeks, we will learn whether the
nation will enter a triple-dip recession. Watch this space to see how Britain
responds to these unfolding events.
Q1 2013
287
4
JWT Austerity Index
Austerity Index Components: Impact
Standard of Living
Index*
Surviving or Thriving?
Index*
Here we take a closer look at our five component metrics. The impact of austerity on British consumers’
lives is not insignificant: people are roughly twice as likely to feel that their standard of living has been
negatively affected than positively, and that they are just surviving rather than thriving.
This is underlined by the average scores our panel chose – both are heading towards the severe end of
the scale. Nevertheless, these numbers are a little less than we expected.
Our interpretation is that the nation has been living with austerity for so long now that their sense of its
impact has lessened. They have become somewhat inured to it. All the same, consumers will welcome
efforts by brands that demonstrate empathy and support, and who make attempts to alleviate their
ongoing financial stress.
214171
Are you/your family thriving,
standing still, or just surviving?
Average: 6.4 Average: 6.6
1= thriving
10= surviving
How much, if at all, has your/your
family’s standard of living been
affected by the economic climate?
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 110 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
1= very positively affected
10= very negatively affected
5
* High score / low score x 100
JWT Austerity Index
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Austerity Index Components: Coping
Efforts to Restrict Spending Having Difficulty Saving
The UK is investing a good deal of energy into money management in order to minimise the impact of
austerity. Five times as many people are making significant efforts to restrict expenditure, as spend freely.
The number of those struggling to make savings is almost four times those who are not.
These are clearly key stress points for consumers, so brands should step in to demonstrate solidarity.
Incentives and deals that are communicated as compensatory gifts or treats will appeal to those who are
tired of having to continually watch the pennies. Others, who relish a sense of control will appreciate
efforts to help them spot and exploit money-saving or even money-generating opportunities. It may seem
counter-intuitive to encourage reduced spending, but the aim here is to ensure that what consumers can
afford is spent on your brand, rather than the competition.
Index Index
536
375
1= no effort whatsoever
10= very significant effort
1= not very difficult
10= extremely difficult
How much effort are you making to
restrict your discretionary
expenditure?
To what extent are you finding it
difficult to accrue any savings at
present?
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Average: 7.6 Average : 7.7
6
* High score / low score x 100
JWT Austerity Index
Austerity Index Components: Outlook
Pessimism: Future Finances
(next 6 months)
Index
Our first small sliver of optimism:
Britons are fractionally more
hopeful for their prospects over
the next six months than their
current assessment suggests
(they scored themselves 6.6 on
our ‘surviving or thriving’
metric).
Whilst it’s important to
recognise and acknowledge that
consumers are struggling,
nurturing these small seeds of
hope may be an interesting
avenue for brands to explore.
Later, you’ll see our analysis of
how consumers feel when they
think about their finances right
now. Here’s a sneak preview of
that: 21% of people say they
actually feel hopeful.
Could brands tap into this
nascent streak of confidence and
encourage it to spread through
the population?
Index*
141
Taking everything into account, how
do think that you/your family will be
coping in 6 months’ time?
1= will be coping very well10= will not coping at all
Average: 6.0
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
7
* High score / low score x 100
JWT Austerity Index
Austerity Index: Who’s Hurting the Most?
Women: The media has been telling us for some time that British women have been
particularly hard-hit by the recession. It seems the women on our panel back up the
claim. Since 2010, women have lost more jobs than men; unemployment amongst
women over 50 rose by a third between 2010 and 2012. According to research
conducted last year by The Labour Party, women contributed £11bn of the £15bn
raised from changes to the tax and benefits system by the government since 2010.
Full-time workers: A surprise? Maybe not. JWT’s Super Stress Era trend research in
2013 found that 49% of Britons are worrying about their job security. They seem to be
working longer and harder as a result. A 2012 survey found that on average, British
workers are putting in 9 hours of unpaid overtime per week; another revealed that 60%
don’t take lunch breaks, and are eating at their desks instead. Meanwhile, wages still lag
behind inflation. This is an understandably frazzled group; working harder with little to
show for it.
We calculated our Austerity Index metric for a wide range of demographics. The following groups
report being under the most pressure. Brands with target consumers in these segments take special
note.
The Countryside: Rural communities are facing a plethora of hardships. In addition to
dwindling job opportunities and pressure on the agriculture sector there’s also the
sense that they are becoming increasingly isolated with the disappearance of everything
local. From pubs to farms, rural areas are experiencing a decline in their communities.
Brands can help through rural initiatives which support local producers as well as foster
and help strengthen community links in the countryside.
Low income households (earning under £20k): It will come as no surprise that for
low income households, there’s an uphill struggle. According to a recent study, more
than half of low income groups are failing to keep up with bills, with 7% behind on at
least one bill. They are likely to feel hard done-by and that they are suffering
disproportionately: 61% of this group told us they believe that only the poor are
affected by austerity. Iain Duncan Smith will not be able to look to this group for tips if
he tries to live on £53 per week; they spend £91 on average covering weekly essentials.
The Middle Aged (40-59 years): In the past, they may have feared the ‘empty nest’;
now middle aged parents are now seeing the reverse trend in play. Over three million 20-
34 years olds now live with Mum and Dad because of spiralling rents or difficulty buying
their own home. Children studying away from home need help with hefty tuition fees and
living costs. In addition, their own parents are living longer and need care. Meanwhile,
the retirement goalposts keep shifting. Middle aged people are feeling stretched and
worry that they’ll need to work well into their seventies in order to stay afloat.
502
410
383
319
318
8
JWT Austerity Index
How are we Feeling?
Lowest Austerity Impact:
Households Earning £40k+
Highest Austerity Impact:
The Countryside
All Adults: How does thinking about your personal finances make you feel?
Although the overriding emotions most consumers feel when they think about their personal finances
are linked to world-weariness and gloom, they also feel an element of being ‘in control’. Even when we
compare the emotions of the groups who scored at the polar extremes of our Austerity Index (below),
this sense of control is something they share.
We believe this is derived from the concerted efforts consumers are making to manage their
expenditure, as evidenced by our coping metrics. Tapping into this desire for control is another positive
way for brands to build engagement with consumers. Brands should look to empower, facilitate and
enable consumers to navigate austerity with helpful tools or tactics which will make their money stretch
further.
We asked our panel to ponder their personal finances and then tell us how it made them feel.
9
JWT Austerity Index
Perceptions of Austerity
Initial findings suggest our perception of the financial turmoil is even more severe than reality itself, at
least for the moment. Although we will not receive confirmation of whether or not the UK has entered
recession for the third time until later this month, 51% of Britons believe that we are already in one. A
further 25% are convinced we’re in a depression.
Most negative are the 40-59 year old age group. This correlates with our Austerity Index finding that
this group report themselves as the second most severely affected on our survey.
At the other end of the spectrum, the younger age group of 18-39s has the brightest outlook. This is
unanticipated, considering what we know of the challenges that face young people, such as finding
work, or buying a home to name but two. It could be naivety, or a belief that it’s a natural part of being
young to struggle financially, but it’s nonetheless striking to note that a good proportion of this group
have never known a working life without austerity.
Britain’s assessment of our current economic situation
- 82% of 40-59 year olds think we are either in an economic
depression or a recession
+ 16% of 18-39 year olds think we are in recovery or
prospering
1
0
JWT Austerity Index
Attitudes to Austerity
Austerity is driving up our stress levelsI am heartily sick of austerity - I can’t wait
for the good times to come back
Austerity has taught people how to live
with less
Austerity provides an opportunity for
brands to help consumers and win loyalty
Given the impact that it’s having on their lives, it is unsurprising that fewer people are able to see past
the dark clouds to any silver linings. But consumer attitudes do reveal some great opportunities for
brands to engage in positive ways.
An overwhelming majority of Britons are itching to get back to the pre-recession ‘good times’. So why
not help them to have little fun and treat themselves, without feeling like they’re breaking the bank?
JWT’s ‘Live a Little’ trend perfectly demonstrates the appetite for this kind of behaviour: 77% of Brits
agree that ‘Even if money is tight, I deserve to splurge on myself once in a while’.
And as we know that austerity is driving up stress levels, why not try to be part of the solution? Aim to
shoulder some of the burden for consumers. Not all approaches have to involve discounting:
simplifying choice and finding ways to save time and effort for shoppers, even in the smallest ways,
will ease the load and make life easier.
Many consumers are convinced that there’s a role for brands to play and they will be receptive to your
efforts. Over half are just waiting to see what ideas you can come up with that will make a positive
difference to their lives.
84% 84%
62% 55%
11
JWT Austerity Index
Household Spending & Finances
What will £50 buy?
We asked our
respondents how
much money they
have left over each
month to spend on
themselves, exactly
as they like.
The most popular
response was just
£50. But what does
£50 buy you today?
This is the amount of
money consumers
believe that one person
needs to earn to have a
good life in Britain
today – a third more
than the national
average for full time
workers of £26,500. (ONS, Year to April 2012)
35x
120g bars of chocolate
0.65x
tankBased on UK average price
of unleaded petrol,
tank size of a medium car
2x
Cheapest Premier
League match-day
tickets
Pints of milk
49.5x4x
Large
Domino's
Margherita
pizzas
Here we present our findings on what it costs to
get by in Britain today, across a wide range of
demographics.
Even for our lowest-income group, it costs a
whopping £91 per week just to cover off food,
petrol and other essentials. Some groups are
spending almost double that. These figures by
the way, do not include housing costs or bills.
The spend of pensioners initially looks
remarkably healthy. But it makes sense in the
context of findings from the Institute of Fiscal
Studies in 2012, which reported that the wealth
of elderly people has grown faster than that of
any other age group while their tax
contributions have simultaneously fallen.
Average weekly spend on groceries & necessities*
* Excludes mortgage/rent and bills
A Good Life
£35,179
£122
£129
£114
£119
£132
£114
£131
£98
£138
£108
£120
£104
£114
£129
£121
£91
£124
£174
Total
Male
Female
18-39
40-59
60+
Have children
No children
Working full time
Working part time
Pensioner
Not working
City dweller
Suburban
Rural
< £20 k
£21-39k
> £40k
12
JWT Austerity Index
9%
17%
17%
19%
24%
27%
35%
46%
53%
54%
58%
Switched credit card supplier
Used daily deal sites
Switched mobile phone tariff
Switched utilities supplier
Bought through a cashback site
Used digital vouchers/coupons
Used voucher codes online
Shopped at a discounter
Used loyalty points to pay
Researched prices online
Used paper money-off coupons
Coping Mechanisms
Austerity Britain is breeding a nation of savvy budget tacticians who rely upon a slew of strategies to
make their money go further. We found that 92% of Britons are deploying one or more of a range of
coping mechanisms to save money.
These findings suggest that being a thrifty consumer is now a way of life for many. A domestic
marginal gains theory is at work in homes up and down the nation: shaving off a few pennies here,
earning a pound there. Data shows that those in higher income households are even more likely to
have adopted these habits (95% of them) than those in the lower-earning demographic (89% are doing
so). It seems that when push comes to shove, Britain will cope with whatever austerity can throw at it,
by using every trick and tactic at its disposal.
No surprise, then, that 62% agree that austerity has taught us something: how to live with less.
Tactics Britons are Using to Make their Money go Further
% having done the following
92%using 1 or more
tactics
13
JWT Austerity Index
Making Life Easier…Making Life Harder
Friends & Family
Supermarkets
Brands
Your Employer
The Media
Transport Providers
Banks &
Financial Services
Utilities Companies
Government
Fuel Retailers
44%
-1%
-7%
-9%
-13%
-34%
-38%
-57%
-62%
-63%
They say we’re all in this together;
but are we? We asked our panel
who is making their lives easier,
harder or making no difference.
Consumers are unenthusiastic
about the performance of everyone
outside their family and circle of
friends, with particular ire reserved
for fuel retailers and utilities
companies.
Some of the categories at the
bottom of the pile are those which
have received media attention for
putting up prices whilst making
large profits or handing out fat
bonuses. First and foremost, this
suggests that consumers want
companies and brands to simply
play fair with them.
But there’s surely more that could
be done. We believe there’s a
major opportunity here for brands
to win favour with consumers.
Currently, when asked to name
specific brands who are doing a
good job of making life easier, they
struggle to think of anyone who has
done anything significant to help
them out. The most common
response was ‘none’.
How can your brand show solidarity
with struggling consumers? What
can you offer or do which will
actually make a substantial
difference to their daily lives?
Which of the following are doing anything to make
consumers lives easier?
We are compiling brand-level as well as category data. If you are interested in seeing detailed information on
your brand, please contact us. See end page for our contact details.
Composite measure of those who say X is “making life easier” less
those who say X is “making life harder” (%)
14
TRADING UP, TRADING DOWN
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up & Trading Down
Books, newspapers & magazines
Toile
tries
Cable/Satellite TV
-77% -74%
-71%
-70%
-68%
-73%
-66%
-65%
-64%
-62%
-61%
-59%
-58%
-57%-54%-53%
-43%
-41%
-40%
-39%
-38%
-37%
-33%
-29%
-22%-21%
-18%-16%
Net percentage: Consumers trading up or spending more, less consumers trading down,
buying less or stopping purchase in category, due to economic conditions (%)Base: All buyers in category
Across every category measured, more consumers are trading down and cutting spend than
are spending more, as a result of the economic conditions we face.
percentages
-36%
16
JWT Austerity Index
Making Sacrifices
Tickets to live events
& attractions
30%
32%
27%
31%
28%
30%
26%
31%
43%
Music, film & games
Drinks in a pub/bar/club
Restaurant/pub meals
Cinema trips
Takeaways at home
Organic food
Lottery tickets
Private healthcare
Gym & fitness
Consumers are trimming the fat from their spending in a range of categories, but it is leisure that is
most severely affected. It’s clear why we are losing so many pubs up and down the nation and why
venues are having to go to ever greater lengths to get customers through their doors.
Consumers who have stopped buying items entirely (%)
40%
Base: All buyers in category
17
SPENDING BEHAVIOUR:
GROCERY
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
6%3%
53%
18% 19%
1%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
2% 2%
23%
40%
17%15%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
For the majority, spending remains consistent
on grocery basics (staple items such as bread,
milk, cheese, cereals and tinned goods etc.).
It’s hard to cut out the essentials, although an
alarming 1% of our sample claimed to have
done so. Perhaps they have turned to foraging
or started growing their own. Nevertheless, as
the price of so many basic items continue to
rise, it seems likely that consumers are cutting
back more deeply in other areas in order to
maintain spend here. Own-label continues to
be a force to be reckoned with in this category,
with 19% trading down on the basics.
The confectionery category is significantly
impacted by consumers cutting back and
trading down away from brands. More
worrying is that more than one in ten people
has stopped buying entirely. Confectionery
brands need to find ways to persuade
consumers that they deserve their treats every
now and then, perhaps as a reward for their
budget managing efforts. Luring shoppers away
from own-label alternatives should be a key
focus for brands. Tapping into novel occasions,
like Halloween, may be a way to offset
decreased spend whilst innovation may lure
ex-buyers back to the category.
Grocery Basics
Sweets & Chocolate
19
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
2% 2%
25%
38%
24%
9%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
2% 2%
24%
39%
21%
12%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
A similar story in the biscuits and cakes
category, with a quarter of buyers turning to
cheaper products and over a third cutting
down on purchasing. There is more of a sense
of occasion to biscuits and cakes, so brands and
retailers could emphasise the social aspect of
consumption, to persuade consumers that
these are worthwhile indulgences. We know
that consumers are cutting back severely on
nights out as well as alcohol, so in-home
gatherings with tea and cake might be a
welcome substitute.
The crisps and snacks category also faces
tightening wallets. Although a quarter are
spending about the same, this figure is
outweighed by those who are cutting back,
trading down or have stopped buying. It could
be that some people are combining the need
to cut back on their spending with the
opportunity to try to live more healthily.
Consumers might up their snack expenditure if
they felt that they were still living virtuously
by doing so. Brands could demonstrate to
their customers that their snack products can
be enjoyed as part of a healthy, balanced diet
to help alleviate guilt.
Biscuits & Cakes
Crisps & Snacks
20
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
A whopping 73% of consumers are cutting
back, trading down or have stopped buying
alcohol entirely. This can largely be attributed
to rising alcohol duty as well as concerns over
health risks. Alcohol brands now face the
looming prospect of minimum unit pricing
further increasing the cost to consumers.
Lower alcohol variants would allow brands to
entice consumers back to the category with
more affordable products, whilst
simultaneously delivering a responsible
drinking message, which could go some way to
pacifying the prohibition lobby.
1% 2%
23%
42%
15%16%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Over half of consumers are cutting back or
trading down on soft drinks and more than one
in ten claim to have cut them out entirely. With
the media constantly hammering home the
dangers of obesity, and with sugar now
portrayed as public health enemy number one,
players in this category need to work harder
than ever. Even diet drinks are under the cosh,
receiving nearly as much bad press as their full-
sugar equivalents. Brands need to be 100%
transparent and focus on a moderation
message. Encourage consumers to offset their
little indulgences by reducing intake elsewhere
in their diet and by being more active.
2% 3%
31% 32%
20%
11%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
21
JWT Austerity Index
Our data shows the rising price of meat and
fish is clearly an issue for some; and the recent
horsemeat fiasco looks likely to drive prices up
even further as retailers look to local sourcing
to rebuild trust. It’s not just consumers’ purse-
strings that have taken a bashing, it’s their
confidence too. Trust can be regained over
time though, and messages on quality and
standards of husbandry and processing will be
crucial over the coming months, particularly as
we approach barbecue season.4% 5%
46%
30%
12%
2%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
Of all the categories tracked by the Austerity
Index, fruit and vegetables fares the best.
Despite Britain’s reputation as the fat man of
Europe, it seems our five-a-day remains a
relative priority. Our research chimes with that
released by Nielsen: their 2013 Global Survey
of Fresh Foods revealed that Brits lead Europe
in consumption of fruit & veg. The category has
experienced serious growth over the last few
years – 24% between 2005 and 2010 according
to Mintel. Could austerity lead to a fitter,
healthier Britain?
8% 6%
56%
17%
12%
1%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Meat & Fish
Fruit & Vegetables
22
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
It is logical that organic food should be
considered dispensable by so many. It is no
great sacrifice to cut back when mass-
produced goods taste similar and, in many
cases, look "better". In addition, research
published by Stanford University in Autumn
2012 claimed that nutritionally, organic is no
better for us than standard produce. Yet the
recent horsemeat scandal in the UK has given
organic a little boost, and sales reached a nine-
month peak in February according to the Soil
Association. 6% of our panel are trading up or
increasing their spend too. Organic’s trump
card is trust and now is the perfect time to play
it.
3% 3%
27%26%
12%
30%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Household Products
A good chunk of consumers are spending less
or trusting to own-label and cheaper
alternatives to do their cleaning and laundry
jobs. Shoppers are realising they don’t
necessarily need to compromise, as own-label
products have upped their game in terms of
performance and quality. For brands, it’s
imperative to communicate value. Products
which perform across a number of surfaces and
can multi-task around the home will appeal to
cash-strapped shoppers. 2% 3%
49%
20%
25%
1%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Organic Food
23
JWT Austerity Index
Spiralling petrol prices (+38% increase
between June 2007-June 2012 according to the
OFT) are behind consumer efforts to cut back
on fuel use. Our data chimes with that of a
recent poll conducted by
moneysupermarket.com which found that 43%
of drivers were cutting down on journeys to
save money. Other money-saving tactics
include driving more fuel efficiently and using
eco-friendly models. The burgeoning rental
economy is allowing many city dwellers to opt
out of car ownership entirely. Some consumers
told us they are cycling or walking to save
money too.
13%
2%
37%39%
6%3%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
Smoking prevalence has been in decline since
the 1950s in the UK. In recent years, price rises
have proved to be an effective tool in further
driving down numbers who smoke. As the
price of a packet of cigarettes approaches the
£8 mark, a 20-a-day smoker would be spending
approximately £2,700 a year to fund their
habit. Just under a fifth of smokers told us that
was enough to make them stop buying. A third
are cutting down and another fifth are trading
down, perhaps to cheaper brands or possibly
to the black market: according to ASH,
smuggling accounts for 10% of the cigarettes,
and 46% of the rolling tobacco smoked in the
UK.
2%3%
25%
34%
19%17%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Petrol
Cigarettes & Tobacco
24
JWT Austerity Index
Breathe easy. None of our respondents claim to
have stopped buying toiletries entirely; times
may be hard but we Brits shall be clean!
However, almost half are cutting back or
trading down to own-brands and cheaper
labels. Toiletries are everyday, essential items
and half of consumers see an opportunity to
make easy savings here. Innovation will be key
to keep consumers loyal to brands. The shower
experience could be a rich territory of focus;
according to Mintel many are switching to
showers from bathing due to both time-
pressures and water costs.
2% 1%
47%
22%
27%
0%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: Grocery
Toiletries
SPENDING BEHAVIOUR:
FAMILY NEEDS
JWT Austerity Index
That almost two-and-a-half times as many
people opt to cut back than trade down in
clothing, indicates that brand culture remains
uncompromisingly strong in personal style
choices. Fashion is so inextricably linked to
people’s sense of identity that it is hard for
consumers to switch to cheaper alternatives;
charity shops and supermarket clothing brands
still hold a vague stigma for some. Despite the
trend towards ‘fast fashion’, austerity is
nurturing an appetite for quality over quantity.
Brands should bear this in mind, and also
capitalise on their USPs and heritage to appeal
to their core markets.
2%4%
26%
42%
17%
9%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Almost half of people are spending about the
same on clothes for their kids. It is likely that
this is largely out of necessity as children grow
out of clothes and shoes. A healthy proportion
are cutting back or trading down though,
perhaps by handing down items to younger
siblings. Although pester power is undoubtedly
alive and well, according to Mintel, 68% of
adults decide on the retailer for buying their
children’s clothes. Brands must therefore walk
the tightrope between appealing to parents’
tight budgets and to children’s fashion tastes.
4% 4%
46%
27%
15%
2%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: The Family
Clothing for Yourself
Clothing for Children
27
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: The Family
A third of parents are cutting back and a fifth
have stopped paying for babysitting or
childcare at all. Looks like nights out for Mum
and Dad are taking a hit. Or are they? Many
are turning to the grandparents for help.
Charity Grandparents plus recently reported
that 63% of them help out with childcare. For
other parents, it is proving more cost-effective
to stay at home than go back to work. At the
other end of the scale, it makes sense that
parents don’t want to compromise on the
quality of care they provide their children; this
is one category where the proportion of those
trading up or spending more creeps above
10%.
9%
6%
32%
29%
4%
19%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Our Austerity Index metric on saving shows
that swathes of consumers are finding it tough
to put anything aside for a rainy day at all at
the moment. In view of this, the fact that
almost half are maintaining or increasing the
amount they put away for their children,
suggests that many families are doing their
best to cushion kids from the impact of
austerity. Nevertheless, for the other half of
this group cutbacks are unavoidable. Are there
innovative steps that financial services brands
could take to help cash-strapped families keep
saving?
4% 4%
41%
27%
3%
21%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Babysitting & Childcare
Saving for Child’s Future
28
JWT Austerity Index
Independent schools have not been far from
the headlines since the recession hit, with
news stories ranging from fees soaring ‘at
twice the rate of inflation’, to the dropping
of selection criteria in order to fill empty
places. This is having a knock-on effect on
the state sector, as oversubscription for
places means some children cannot even
attend their local schools. Yet note that
more people are spending more or trading
up than in most other categories. For those
parents who opt in, their child’s future is
clearly an area they consider a priority
investment.
8% 9%
48%
20%
5%
10%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
University fees have soared within the space
of five years. According to the Money Advice
Service, student debt now averages £39,000
on graduation. Yet those parents who are
choosing not to underwrite their children’s
studies may be making the wisest decision in
the long run. Student loans are a cost-
effective way to borrow, with competitive
rates and long-term, means-related
repayment schedules. 6%4%
42%
24%
7%
17%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: The Family
Education Fees
Supporting Children at College/University
29
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: The Family
‘Must have’ gadgets are contributing to the
growing cost of raising a child, so cutting back
in this category constitutes a significant saving
for many. Yet many devices, such as mobile
phones, are now seen as necessities for
youngsters. Having a mobile phone provides
some security for children old enough to leave
the house alone, and from the child’s
perspective it is the centre of their social world.
It should not be assumed that cutbacks in
purchasing means kids are spending any less
time with devices however. Anecdotally, we
hear that children are benefiting from their
parent’s upgrades, receiving hand-me down
tablets and Kindles.
4%3%
31%
33%
12%
17%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
As far as children’s pockets are concerned,
austerity is somewhat polarised, with just over
half receiving the same amount of money as
they used to or more, and the other half
receiving a dwindling allowance or nothing at
all. Perhaps the latter will reap the rewards. A
recent study by the Royal Economics Society
found that children given a generous allowance
are more likely to just spend it straightaway. A
recent MoneySupermarket.com survey found
that 97% of people thought schools should
provide financial education. Is there an
opportunity instead for brands to step in and
deliver that much needed service?
4% 2%
48%
23%
5%
18%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Child’s Personal Technology Devices
Pocket Money
30
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: The Family
Some parents see extracurricular activities as
CV-building assets for future prospects,
ensuring every moment of their child’s spare
time is filled with enriching and educational
activity. So much so, that the media has been
fretting about ‘overscheduled’ kids and
‘helicopter parenting’. Yet over half of parents
have been obliged to cut back or pull their kids
out of their activities due for financial reasons.
There’s another opportunity for brands to step
in here, to promote fruitful, rewarding use of
this newly freed-up time for the nation’s kids.
6% 5%
38%
27%
6%
18%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
There may well be a mindset of making do
with what we already have, but the
digitisation of much youth entertainment is
contributing to lessened expenditure in this
category. The much-loved Dandy comic
disappeared from the shelves at the end of
last year; the kids who might have read it are
now glued to a screen, whether it be TV or
tablet-shaped. According to a report in the FT
in December, the time children are spending
with devices has ‘rocketed’. Traditional
players in the category will need to fight tough
to stay relevant.
4%2%
35%
38%
9%11%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Toys, Books, Comics & Games
Extracurricular Activities
31
SPENDING BEHAVIOUR:
HEALTHCARE
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Healthcare
The main threat to OTC medications is from
those trading down. Generic or own-label
alternatives can be substantially cheaper than
their branded counterparts so brands need to
maintain the flow of NPD as well as their
marketing efforts. Driving pre-emptive
purchasing could reap valuable rewards:
research in late 2012 revealed that 62% of
adults have expired medicines in their
bathroom cabinet.3% 3%
49%
18%21%
6%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland currently
enjoy free prescriptions, but the cost of
prescriptions in England rose by 20p to £7.85 in
April 2013. Britons clearly view health as a
priority, with few willing to compromise on
prescribed treatments. Nevertheless, the trend
towards greater self-diagnosis and personal
health management should create more
opportunities for OTC brands, with more
consumers making health decisions for
themselves. 4% 3%
63%
15%
7% 7%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
OTC Medication & Remedies
Prescribed Medication
33
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Healthcare
Private healthcare seems to stimulate an all-
or-nothing approach. More people stick to
their existing policies, or prefer to opt out
entirely rather than cut back on their cover.
This correlates with research showing that
the number of insured has fallen for the past
two years, after steady growth. Yet more
people are using their hard earned cash to
pay for private surgery and treatment when
they need it: self-pay spending by individuals
is up by 14% overall in real terms in the last
three years. This suggests that people have
become more reactionary than
precautionary when it comes to healthcare
spend – a trait that brands could draw on for
their positioning.
4%6%
39%
16%
4%
31%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Private Healthcare
34
SPENDING BEHAVIOUR:
LEISURE
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
Live events and days out are taking a real hit,
with 78% of customers cutting back, trading
down or stopping buying. Venues are suffering
as a result; the Eden Project recently
announced it would have to cut jobs. Ticket
prices are tough to justify, particularly for
families. Providers need to highlight the social
capital consumers can derive from ‘being
there’. In 2012, one third of people surveyed
told us they deliberately attended an event,
even if they did not wish to go, just so they
could post an update about it on their social
networks.
2% 2%
17%
30%
8%
40%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
3% 3%
21%
38%
5%
31%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
UK cinemas have already pulled off a
“phoenix from the ashes” performance, with
healthy growth in revenues since the mid
1990s. Could another be required? According
to our data, a third are cutting back on trips
and just under a third have stopped going at
all. Cinemas face another wave of disruption
from internet downloads coupled with
increasingly speedy transfers to the small
screen. The sector is already hard at work on
experience-led innovation: 3D, 4D and even
5D appeals to families and event-style cinema
pulls in the cool crowds.
Live Events & Days Out
Cinema Visits
36
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
Recently published figures showed that Lottery
ticket sales had been holding up well to
austerity, with Camelot posting record half-
year sales in November. Yet a quarter of our
panel now tell us they have stopped buying
Lottery tickets entirely and a further third are
cutting down on their regular flutter.
The announcement that the cost of a Lotto line
will double later this year may well price more
players out of the game. 3%
1%
35%32%
4%
26%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Whilst some food delivery companies have
thrived thus far, by capitalising on the drift
away from restaurants, this sector is vulnerable
itself to an even cheaper alternative:
supermarket convenience meals. According to
our data the takeaway sector faces the loss of
almost one third of its customers and reduction
in spend by a further 46%. Takeaway outlets
and restaurants must exploit their authenticity
to convince consumers to continue spending
with them. 1% 2%
17%
46%
6%
28%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Lottery Tickets
Takeaway Food
37
JWT Austerity Index
As the demise of HMV illustrates, the outlook
for the music, film and games industry (both
hard copy and paid downloads) is not
promising. A third of people have stopped
buying in this category completely. Marketers
face a significant challenge in persuading
consumers to reinstate their expenditure. The
clear enemy here is ‘free’; whether 100% legal
or not, consumers have more and more ways
of finding the entertainment they seek for
nothing online. 2% 3%
20%
36%
8%
30%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Similarly, the fact that 40% of people are
cutting back on books, magazines and
newspapers will be a surprise to no one
when there is such a vast array of free
online content at our fingertips. And with
the advent of 4G, published media faces a
strengthened challenge from mobile
phones and tablets. Our devices already
effortlessly fill those little time windows
where we would once have looked to
print for entertainment . With greater
bandwidth, their capacity to keep us
amused will only be augmented.
1% 1%
30%
39%
9%
19%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
Music, Film & Games
Books, Magazines & Newspapers
38
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
This is the third most affected category in our
index. Consumers are really cutting back,
seeing meals outside the home as something
they can easily forego. With family meals
reportedly in decline, brands in this category
could seek to be the glue that brings them back
together and simultaneously revive a neglected
institution. Perhaps they could highlight the
benefits of the shared experience of eating
together as a family: stronger relationships,
better nutrition as well as opportunities for
teaching and learning.
2% 2%
18%
43%
8%
27%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
According to media reports, somewhere
between 18 and 30 British pubs are closing
every week. Close to half of drinkers are
cutting back or trading down and a third have
stopped going to pubs, bars and clubs. People
are either drinking at home to save money or
not drinking at all, hence the industry’s shift in
focus to dry sales. Venues could focus on new
segments and occasions. We’re seeing a small
but growing interest in dry bars for instance;
free Wi-Fi could lure remote workers out of the
coffee shop; and some pubs which are quiet
during the daytime are seeing some success
through offering a place to catch up for mother
and toddler groups.
2% 1%
20%
39%
5%
32%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Drinks Out of Home
Meals Out of Home
39
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
Fitness and leisure is one of the first things to
go when money is tight. Understandable, when
many of us enthusiastically sign up for gym
memberships in January which then languish
unused. It’s easier than ever for consumers to
get fit without splashing out. Mobile fitness
and coaching apps abound. More and more
sports brands are offering free events and
clubs (such as NikeTown Runners); and guest
pass/taster offers from daily-deal sites allow
customers to keep switching up their routines
for little-to-no financial commitment. Sports &
fitness brands could capitalise on this, with in-
store classes and experiences to build brand
equity.
6%4%
23%21%
4%
43%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Although people still want their professional
salon beauty treatments, they are finding
ways to economise; visiting less often, leaving
longer and longer gaps between
appointments. This provides a big opportunity
for beauty products. With a plethora of DIY
goods such as boxed hair dyes and home spa
kits available, it is predictable that many
consumers should seek to maintain their
appearance through these cheaper means.
Blogs and Vlogs play a big part by offering
online tutorials for those who are less
experienced. Many brands are tapping into
this channel, providing free product and
support to independent bloggers in return for
reviews and product plugs.
1%3%
29%
39%
11%
17%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Gyms & Fitness
Hairdressing & Beauty Appointments
40
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Leisure
We are somewhat surprised to see the extent
to which the health and beauty category is
suffering, with 67% taking steps to minimise
their spend on products. This is despite much
talk of the “Lipstick Effect”; the theory that
women instinctively spend more on luxury
beauty in economic recession for evolutionary
reasons. Despite the view that women see
beauty items as small pleasures, many are
shunning labels for cheaper versions, and
trusting that they will perform similarly. Brands
can fight back by reminding consumers that
using their products at home could substitute,
and even replicate, expensive salon
treatments.
2% 2%
29%
33%
26%
8%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Health & Beauty
41
SPENDING BEHAVIOUR:
COMMUNICATIONS
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Comms
Home broadband is one category which enjoys
something of a cushion from austerity.
Mercifully for broadband providers, internet
access has become almost as much of a
necessity as running water. However there are
still ways to spend less without giving up access
entirely, and almost a quarter are either
cutting back or trading down. Consumers are
likely to be searching for the cheapest deal
they can find. These services tend to be often
bundled and churn is an issue. Allowing
customers plenty of flexibility and
customisation in their subscribed services may
help to drive retention.
2% 2%
69%
13% 11%
2%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
It might be assumed that hardly anyone would
go without a mobile phone in this day and age,
but 6% of our panel claim to be giving up theirs
due to the cost. A further third are cutting back
or trading down on their spend. They may be
opting for cheaper tariffs or switching to pay-
as-you-go deals, but growing numbers of savvy
consumers are switching to their Wi-Fi
connection to use apps like Skype, Voxer and
Viber for making calls, and Whatsapp and
Facebook, BlackBerry or iOS Messengers to
text without using their phone-plan quota.
Workarounds are easily viable with a little
research and planning to make sure your
friends share the same platform.
3% 3%
50%
26%
12%6%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Broadband / Wi-Fi
Mobile Phone Subscription
43
JWT Austerity Index
Trading Up, Trading Down: Comms
Over half of the population are maintaining
spend on cable or satellite TV, so it is evidently a
priority. Restricted budgets over the past few
years have encouraged many to ‘nest’; spending
more free time at home to save money. That
said, 40% are choosing to cut back, trade down
or stop buying altogether. It is likely that this
group are downsizing their subscriptions, opting
out of premium services, or switching to
services such as Freeview and Freesat. 2% 1%
56%
16%10%
14%
Spending
more
Trading up Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
As a landline connection is necessary for home
broadband installation, and internet is a
modern-day must-have, it is unsurprising that
we see most consumers maintaining spend.
Yet fixed line services face an uncertain future,
and have been under attack from mobile and
internet telephony. Over 10% of households
now have no landline installed at all according
to TGI data. And according to a poll by
Moneysavingexpert.com, 80% of those under
30 don’t have or rarely use one.
2% 2%
63%
19%
10%4%
Spending
more
Trading
up
Spending
about the
same
Cutting
back
Trading
down
Stopped
buying
entirely
Cable/Satellite TV Subscription
Landline Phone Subscription
44
FINAL THOUGHTS
JWT Austerity Index
Key Takeouts
It’s time for radical thinkingThis austerity journey is taking us off the map. The answers to the questions that
austerity poses to brands will not be found in their back catalogues.
Furthermore, no category is immune. Now, more than ever, brands need to look
for radical solutions and innovate their way back to growth. Research released in
2012 revealed that investment in innovation by British businesses has fallen by
£24bn since the recession began. Tough times call for bold moves. Take
inspiration from the disruption caused by category innovators like Dollar Shave
Club in the USA.
Bring the FunOur data shows that more and more consumers are cutting back on their leisure
activities. Brands in this space have a mountain to climb to lure consumers out of
home, particularly since technology is making it so simple for us to socialise,
shop and enjoy entertainment from the comfort of our sofas.
Consumers do value experiences over material goods though, particularly ones
which provide them with social capital. So stressing the desirability and
exclusivity of leisure experiences that can’t be replicated at home is one way to
tempt them. For non-leisure brands, the opportunity lies in boosting the fun they
can have at home, fostering social occasions and making ‘austerity entertaining’
more appealing. Can your brand deliver or enhance engaging in-home
experiences for families or friendship groups?
Do Something to HelpConsumers’ relentless focus on value is threatening brand loyalty as they
continually seek out lower prices. It’s essential that brands display empathy with
their plight, but more importantly, they must show that they can actually do
something positive to help. This is a wide-open opportunity, with no brand
currently standing out as the people’s champion. Tapping into the consumer
desire for control in these turbulent times is a positive way to build relationships
based on mutual respect.
Look out for our second wave of the Austerity Index, coming in June/July 2013.
46
All non-proprietary icons are attributed to
thenounproject.com collection unless
otherwise specified below.
p2 UK map: VectorTemplates.com
pp3-7 Gauges: infogr.am
p8 Word clouds: Taxgedo.com
p16 Spiral chart: infogr.am
For more information contact:
Marie Stafford
Planning Foresight Director
JWT London
1 Knightsbridge Green
London SW1X 7NW
+44 (0) 7656 7000
#ideaswithintelligence