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1 Can Translation Companies Survive the Current Economic Climate? Reinhard Schäler - Translating and the Computer 24 21-22 November 2002 CBI, Lon Localisation Research C entre www.localisation.ie Localisation Research C entre Director, Localisation Research Centre (LRC), University of Limerick www.localisation.ie CEO, TILP – The Institute of Localisation Professionals www.tilponline.ie

Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Page 1: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

1

Can Translation Companies Survive the Current Economic

Climate?Reinhard Schäler

ASLIB - Translating and the Computer 24 21-22 November 2002 CBI, London

Localisation Research Centre www.localisation.ie

Localisation Research Centre Director, Localisation Research Centre (LRC), University of Limerickwww.localisation.ie

CEO, TILP – The Institute of Localisation Professionalswww.tilponline.ie

Page 2: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Background

• LRC – The Localisation Research Centre– www.localisation.ie– [email protected]

• TILP – The Institute of Localisation Professionals– www.tilponline.org– [email protected]

Page 3: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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The answerMonthly LRC One-Question-Survey (18 October 2002)

Can translation companies and localisation service providers survive the current economic climate?

107

114

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Agree Disagree No answer

Question: Replies: 122

Page 4: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Overview• Economics of translation and localisation• Current economic climate

– Stock markets: NASDAQ, FTSE, Hang Seng, Nikkei– Clients: stock market performance and quarterly reports– Service providers: stock market performance and

market capitalization– Analyst’s forecast– Summary: how badly has the economic climate affected

the translation and localisation business?

• Strategies for survival– Economies of scale: mergers and acquisitions;

consolidation– Concentrate on core competencies– Cooperation

• After the crisis is over – some urgent questions need to be answered

Page 5: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Economic characteristics

• Low-margin business, serious lack of profitability

• Little or no outside investment in the industry

• Stock market challenges• Price wars and auction

politics• Too many (p)layers, too

many duplicate roles • Few economies of scale• Young industry: few

standards, no established industry associations, little research, emerging teaching and training sector

• Changing scenario– 90% of material in up to

5 million word projects is not translated anymore

– (even for applications) there are no release dates anymore – most projects are developed and maintained like web sites

– The unit translators have to handle is now smaller than a file (words, strings) – but there are many more units

1 – Economics

Page 6: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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NASDAQ, FTSE, Hang Seng, Nikkei

2 – The current economic climate

Page 7: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, SAP2 – The current economic climate

Page 8: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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The world’s largest software developer

For the first fiscal quarter ended September 30th, the world

largest software company said its net profit was $2.73 billion,

or 50 cents per share, up from $1.28 billion, or 23 cents per

share a year earlier.

Revenue was $7.75 billion, better than Microsoft’s own

expectations for between $7.0 billion and $7.1 billion and

compared with 6.13 billion a year earlier.Source: Irish Times and Reuters, 18 Oct 2002

2 – The current economic climate

We’re not trying to say that we think the sales results of our first quarter will be sustainable. It is kind of a one-time anomaly.Steve Ballmer, CEO Microsoft, Irish Times, 21 October 2002

Page 9: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Market Capitalization (in US$)

• ALPNET (AILP.OB)– 02 April 2001: 19.8m– 10 Sept 2001: delisted Nasdaq

small cap market– 16 Oct 2001: 6.8m– 31 Dec 2001: sold to SDL for 6.7m

US$• BOWNE (BNE)

– 02 April 2001: 360m– 16 Oct 2001: 354m– 17 Oct 2002: 342m

• BERLITZ GLOBALNET (BTZ)– 02 April 2001: 126.41m– 16 Oct 2001: private– Sold to Bowne Oct 2002 (60m net

cost)

• LIONBRIDGE (LIOX)– 02 April 2001: 78.6m– 16 Oct 2001: 28.7m– 17 Oct 2002: 80.70m

• SDL plc– 02 April 2001: 69.43m– 16 Oct 2001: 23.61m– 17 Oct 2002

• 20.96 (SDL.L – LSE)• n/a (SDLLF.PK – OTC))

2 – The current economic climate

Source: Stockpoint, MarketGuide (multex.com) and private research

Page 10: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Stock Market Performanceto 02 October 2002

The Translation Group (THEO)

0123456

03/0

5/2

000

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Date

Pri

ce

http://www.ttgl.com/Bowne & Co. (BNE)

0

5

10

15

20

25

02/0

1/1

998

02/0

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Date

Pri

ce

http://www.bowneglobal.com

Lionbridge Technologies (LIOX)

0

5

10

15

20

25

20/0

8/1

999

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999

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Date

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ce

http://www.lionbridge.comSDL International (SDL.L)

0100200300400500600

30/1

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Date

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ce (

£S

TG

in

p)

http://www.sdlintl.com

2 – The current economic climate

Page 11: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

11

NASDAQ vs THEO, BNE, LIOX

2 – The current economic climate

Page 12: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

12

Market forecast

Localisation/Translation/Interpretation Service Market 2000-2005 ($B)

2.6583.231

3.7974.584

5.5576.777

0

2

4

6

8

Year

Val

ue

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Source: IDC, Worldwidc Globalization and Localization Services Market Forecast and Analysis, 2000-2005, 2001, www.idc.com

2 – The current economic climate

Page 13: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

13

Market forecast by segment

Revenue by Services Segment 2000-2005(in US$m)

0500

10001500200025003000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Software Localisation Web Localisation

Translation Interpretation

Source: IDC, Worldwidc Globalization and Localization Services Market Forecast and Analysis, 2000-2005, 2001, www.idc.com

2 – The current economic climate

Page 14: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Summary: how badly has the economic climate affected the translation and

localisation business?• Downturn over the past two years

• Service providers under severe pressure

• Outlook is positive

• Conclusion: Over the past two years, the general economic climate has threatened the very existence of translation and localisation service providers.However, the worst seems to be over.

• But …– How are companies dealing with the current, difficult situation?

– Is the economic climate the biggest threat to their translation and localisation business?

2 – The current economic climate

Page 15: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

15

Strategies• Consolidation

– Mergers and acquisition– Global players: Bowne, SDL, Lionbridge– Total accumulated turnover of $200m approx.

• Concentrate on core competencies– Work with familiar client base– No aspiration to sell out– Control and direct financial benefits

• Cooperation (GALA)– Sharing of resources (tools and technologies)– Coordinated buying and tendering– Exchange intelligence

3 – Survival Strategies

Page 16: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Consolidation• 1997

– IDOC, GECAP, Pacifictech, ME&TA and I&G form Bowne Global Solutions

• 1998– IC and ILE form Intl.com

• 1998– Berlitz buys LMI Asia and LMI Brazil– SDL buys ITP– Mendez buys Clockworks

• 1999– L&H buy Mendez

• 2000– Lionbridge buys Intl.com

• 2001– Bowne buys spun-off L&H (Mendez)– SDL buys Alpnet

• 2002– Bowne buys Berlitz GlobalNet

3 – Survival Strategies

Page 17: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

17

Summary

• Following the example of other industry sectors, significant players in the translation and localisation industry are trying to build ‘economies of scale’:“bigger is better”

• Single-language service provider continue with their business as usual:“if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it”

• Consortia and interest groups are being formed to collectively address the requirements of the global players without compromising the identity and strengths of the individual players:“together we are stronger”

Individual companies turn to a range of strategies to survive the current, difficult economic climate. However, they will still have to address the core questions their customers have

been asking.

3 – Survival Strategies

Page 18: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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The core questions remain• Why does

– a client pay $0.24 per word translated?

– a translator earn $0.08 per word translated?

• Why do we need– Individual translators?

– General translation brokers (since 1950s and 1960s)?

– Specialised, locally operating agencies (since 1980s)?

– Globally operating, heavy-on-overheads, consolidated multi-language-vendors (since 1990s)?

• How can costs be kept to a minimum for a– Scalable and efficient,

– High-quality and fast-turnaround service?

4 – After the crisis is over ….

Page 19: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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MLVSLV

BrokerTranslator

Client10%

10%

10%

30%

Cascaded supply chain

Project ManagementQuality Assurance

ProcurementFile Handling

Page 20: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Answer: Workflow automation …• Aims

– Eliminate ‘double charges’– Put clients and translators back onto the central stage

• Current status: innovative, first user– Advantages

• Innovative: cut down on the number of actors with similar roles and overlapping tasks

– Disadvantage• Proprietary: customers do not want to be locked into

proprietary service environment

• Next steps• Involve central players, take up emerging technologies,

develop common standards• Achieve interoperability in (1) content markup/capture of

localisable data and (2) content transfer for localisation between and within different stages of the localisation process without loss

4 – After the crisis is over ….

Page 21: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Standards, Localisation and the Web:

Making the Global ConnectionObjective: achieve interoperability in (1) content markup/capture loc. data and

(2) content transfer for localisation between and within different stages of the localisation process

without loss.

DevelopmentTeam

Original LanguageVersion Store

¦--- store contents¦--- maintain contents¦--- <CMS>

Localised LanguageVersion Store

Pu

blish

ing

Pla

tform

ProductDesign Team

LSPLSP

LSP

LocalisationKit Prep.Localisation

Kit Prep.LocalisationKit Prep.LocalisationKit Prep.LocalisationKit Prep.

DevelopmentTranslation

Development

Testing andEngineeringTesting and

EngineeringTesting andEngineeringTesting andEngineeringTesting andEngineering

{Passolo, Catalyst, Multilizer, RCWinTrans}

TranslationTranslation

TranslationTranslationTranslation

{TRADOS, SDLX, TRANSIT}

Content Markup

Content Transfer

Best practice

Two dimensional interoperability vector

4 – After the crisis is over ….

Page 22: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Translation web services standards

• Cut out the middleman– Clients <-> automated management <->

translators

• TranslationDirect– Clients

• Request services

– Management• Automated, open infrastructure linking clients,

translators, tools and resources

– Service providers• Provide translation and localisation services

4 – After the crisis is over ….

Page 23: Can translation companies survive the current economic climate?

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Conclusion• Translation companies will survive the current economic

crisis.

• The outlook for the translation, localisation and interpretation service providers is good.

• Clients will insist that the repetition of not directly translation-related tasks and the application of multiple charges in a cascaded supply chain together with the associated costs be eliminated.

• Translation web services will make this possible.

• This change will have a bigger impact on the industry than the current economic crisis, making TranslationsDirect viable and cutting out the middleman.

www.oasis-open.org