World Vitiviniculture Situation in 2012

8/13/2019 World Vitiviniculture Situation in 2012

1/33

O.I.V.2013

World Vitiviniculture situation in 2012

XXXVIth World Congress of Vine and Wine

Bucarest, 3rd June 2013

Federico Castellucci

Director General


2/33

O.I.V.2013

State of the vit iviniculture world market

2012

Surface area

Grape production & yield

Wine

Focus on wine trade


3/33

O.I.V.2013

Surface area of vineyards

Surface area of world vineyards

European vineyards

Southern Hemisphere & USA vineyards

Asian vineyards

Emerging vitiviniculture countries


4/33

O.I.V.2013

Surface area of vineyards worldwide

Source: OIV

7528 mha is the total wor ldwide area under vinesin 2012 (including the areas under vines not yet

in production or harvested).

Surface are of vineyards continued to decline at a lower rate than that of the previous years.

Between 2000 and 2012 it has decreased of 319 mha, this decrease is mainly due to the reductionof European vineyards.

7 300

7 500

7 700

7 900

8 100

8 300

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Forecast

2012

1000 haWorld surface area under vines

62.5%

56.0%

19.4%

22.7%

12%13%

4.3% 5.2%2.0% 2.7%

2000 2012

Continental evolution area under vines

as % of global vineyard

2000-2012Europe

Oceania

Africa

America

Asia


5/33

O.I.V.2013

European vineyards

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Forecast

2012

1000 ha

Trends, 2000-2012

Portugal

Italy

France

Spain

-17%

-12%

-15%

-3 %

Source: OIV

The period of 3 years (2008-2011) during which the EU offered permanent

abandonment premiums for vineyards has ended: 2012 area under vines is the

first in 4 campaigns that has not been marked by the influence of these premiums:

4216 mha(- 339.4 mha between 2007 and 2012).


6/33

O.I.V.2013

Southern Hemisphere + USA vineyards

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Forecast 2012

1000 haTrends, 2000-2012

South Africa

New Zealand

Australia

USA

Chile

Argentina

+10%

+18 %

-1%

+21%

+168%+5%

Source: OIV

In the Southern Hemisphere and USA, new vine-planting has

continued: a relatively moderate increase of 0.3% in comparison with

2011.


7/33O.I.V.2013

Asian vineyards

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Forecast

2012

1000 ha

Trends, 2000-2012

Iran

China

Turkey

-10%

+90%

-18%

Source: OIV

With 1705 mha areas under vines, Asia continues to see its vineyards growing:

+12 % between 2000 and 2012 (+122 mha).


8/33O.I.V.2013

USA

407 mha

1%

Chile

205 mha

4%

Argentina

221 mha

-2%

South Africa

131mha

-1%

Brazil

91 mha

-1%

New Zealand

37 mha 7%

China

570 mha

19%

Australia

169 mha

-2%

Increase Stability Decrease

Portugal

239 mha

-3%

Italy

769 mha

-7%

Spain

1018 mha

-13%

Romania

205 mha

-1%

France

800 mha

-7%

Hungary

64 mha

-11%

Greece

110 mha

-4%

Turkey

517 mha

1%

Source: OIV

Surface under vines 2012

Evolution in % 2008-2012


9/33O.I.V.2013

Surface area of vineyards

has grown by 5% and more in

the last 5 years


In addition to a rapid growth

of an overall plantedareagrape production

growth is particularly

significant

0% 50% 100% 150% 200%

Canada

Egypt

Brazil

India

Peru

Grape production: evolution 2000-2012

Growth rate

2000-2012

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1401000 ha

Area under vines: evolution

Peru

India

Brasil

Egypt

Canada

Source: OIV


10/33O.I.V.2013

These countries are getting

more and more sensitive to

the taste of wine

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

30003500

4000

4500

5000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Forecast 2012

1000 hl

Evolution of wine consumption

India

Brazil

Peru

Canada

1000 hl

2007

Forecast

2012Variation

%

India 120 150 25%

Brazil 3254 3399 4%

Peru 683 809 19%

Canada 4018 4476 11%

Wine consumption


Source: OIV


11/33O.I.V.2013

Global grape production & Yield


12/33O.I.V.2013

Global grape product ion

Source: OIV

In 2012 world production of grapes (691 Mql) decreased: - 23 Mql between 2011-2012.

An increased trend in grape production (+7%/2000), despite decrease in area under vines :

this can be explained in part by an increase in yields .

200

400

600

800

1 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Forecast

2012

Mql

World grapes production

62,5%

39,0%

19,4%

31,2%

12%

21%

4,3%6,3%

2,0%2,7%

2000 2012

Continental evolution grapes prouction

as % of global production

2000-2012Europe

Oceania

Africa

America

Asia


13/33O.I.V.2013

Global grape product ion & Yield

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Yield evolution

(total grapes/total area including vines not in production yet)

World Total

Africa

AmericaAsia

Europe

Oceania

ql/ha

Source: OIV

Yield is the measure of amount of grapes or wine produced per unit surface

of vineyard: the trend has increased at world level to 91.7 ql/ha.

Productivity is growing especially in the countries that produce non-

fermented products and table grapes.


14/33O.I.V.2013

Major grapes producers: all usage

Source: OIV

Grapes production growth is particularly significant in Cina, Indiaand Cile.

Cina with100 Mql produces the 14% of the world grapes product ion, followed by Italy

(68.4 Mql, 10% of the world grapes production) and USA (66.3 Mql, 10% of the world

grapes production).

-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

China

Italy

USA

France

Spain

Cile

India

Argentina

Iran

World production

Growth rate 2000-2012

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

China Italy USA France Spain Cile India Argentina Iran

1000 ql

Trends , 2000-2012

2000

2005

Forecast 2012


15/33


16/33O.I.V.2013

Wine production World wine production

Major producers


17/33O.I.V.2013

220

240

260

280

300

320

Europe

72,7%

Asia

4,5%

America

17,0%

Africa

4,3%Oceania

3,1%

Europe

62,3%

Asia

6,9%

America

19,8%

Africa

5,1%

Oceania

5,9%

millions hl

World production of wine

Source: OIV

State, 2000 State, 2012

World wine production in 2012is estimated at 251.7 Mhl.

This is a low level especially for Europe, caused by the reduction in

vineyards and poor weather conditions: -6% in comparison with 2011.


18/33O.I.V.2013

Major wine producers

Source: OIV

Within the EU, production may be described as very low: France: 41.4 Mhl (-18%/2011)

Italy: 40 Mhl (-6%/2011)

Spain: 30.3 Mhl (-9%/2011)

USArecorded a high level of wine production at 20.5 Mhl (+6.9%/2011).

In South America, Chilerecorded a new production record reaching 12.6 Mhl

(+20%/2011),Argentinarecorded a markedly reduced wine production (11.8

Mhl, -24%/2011).

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

1000 hl Trend, 2000-2012

2000

2005

Forecast 2012

-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

Roumania

France

Spian

Italy

Brazil

Greece

World Total

Germany

Portugal

Argentina

USA

China

South Africa



19/33O.I.V.2013

Increase Decrease

France

41422 mhl

-3%

Spain

30392 mhl

-15%

USA

2051 mhl

-1%

Argentina

11778mhl

-20%

Australia12660 mhl

2%

Chile

12554 mhl

45%South Africa

1037 mhl

-1%

Germany

9012 mhl

-10%

Russian Federation

6400 mhl

-10%

Portugal

6141 mhl

8%

Brasil

2917mhl

-21%

New zeland

1940 mhl

-5%

Hungarie

1874 mhl

-46%

Bulgaria

1337 mhl

-17%

Czech Rep.

470 mhl

-44%

Romania

3311 mhl

-36%

Italy

40060 mhl

-15%

Greece

3150 mhl

-19%

China

14880mhl

18%

Source: OIV

Stability

Production of wine in 2012

Evolution 2008-2012


20/33O.I.V.2013

Wine consumption World consumption Major consumers


21/33O.I.V.2013

World consumption of w ine

2012 world wine consumption

rose to 243.2 Mhl: a confirmed

recovery of internal demand.

Source: OIV

150

170

190

210

230

250

270

290

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Forecast

2012

millions of hlWorld wine Consumption

69.3%

62.0%

6.0%10.0%

19.8% 22.0%

3.0%3.0%

1.9%

3.0%

2000 2012

Continental evolution total wine

consumption as % of world

consumption2000-2012

Europe

OceaniaAfrica

America

Asia


22/33O.I.V.2013

Wine Consumption

Source: OIV

Countries that are historically big producers and consumers have

reduced their level of consumption:

France (-12%/2000);

Italy (-27%/2000);

Spain (-34%/2000)

0

5 000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

1000 hl Trend, 2000-2012

2000

2005

Forecast 2012

-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%

Russian Federation

China

Australia

USA

United Kingdom

Chile

World Total

Brazil

Greece

Germany

Portugal

South Africa

France

Argentina

Italy

Spian

Roumania


Source: OIV

USA is becoming the largest internal market in the world in terms of volume,

internal consumption: 29 Mhl in 2012 (+37%/2000).

Wine consumption is rising sharply in Asia: continued growth in China(+67%/2000).


23/33O.I.V.2013

*in collaboration with the Spanish Observatory of Wine Markets (OeMv)

Focus on Wine trade*

World wine trade: value & volume

Top world Exportes

Top world IMporters

NOTE: data for world trade are taken from GTA, which, in turn, take them from official administration bodies in more than 80 countries of the world. Not all countries are, therefore,included.


24/33

O.I.V.2013

International w ine trade

According to data officially provided to the OIV in 2012 :

world market, considered as the sum of exports from all countries reached102.2 Mhl

world import stood at 97.9 Mhl

Data for the special focus on world trade are taken from GTA, representing more

than 80 countries.


25/33

O.I.V.2013

2.27 2.30 2.12 2.19 2.13 2.14 2.17 2.20 2.29 2.08 2.23 2.32 2.55

13767 14 16614964 15259

15775 16393

17750

19924 20 042

17953

20947

23345

25290

6 066 6 1577 061 6 958

7 413 7 643 8 197

9 048 8 749 8 6149 385

10 073 9 903

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

World wine trade in Euros and Litres

Source: GTA, OIV,OeMv

/L

Mill

Mill l.

World trade of wine and must increased in 2012 by 8.3% in value, up to

25.290 million Euros(exporters data) but fell by 1.7% in volume, to 99 Mhl,

with average prices up by 10.2%

Less wine traded, though more expensive


26/33

O.I.V.2013

In valueterms, since the beginning of the Century, Sparkling remains with the same share (around

17% of total), whereas 2 percentage points are exchanged between bottled wine (less) and wine

sold in bulk (more).

Changing the composit ion: value

16.9% 15.4% 16.2% 16.8% 17.1% 17.9% 18.6% 19.7% 19.9% 16.5% 16.7% 17.0% 17.1%

73.7% 76.1% 75.6% 74.3% 73.3% 73.2% 72.6% 71.6% 70.7%

73.1% 73.2% 72.4% 71.5%

9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.4% 9.2% 10.0% 9.7% 10.2% 11.0%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Must

Bulk

Bottled

Sparkling

+ 2%

- 2.2%


27/33

O.I.V.2013

More clearly, in terms of volumewhere wine in bulk and containers above 2 l. are getting close

to 38% of total market (up 3 percentage points since 2000), bottled wines reduce their share

from 60% to 55% in the same period.

Bottled and bulk categories: volume

60.1%

62.9%64.5%

60.6%59.9%

61.6%

59.4%57.7% 57.7% 57.2% 56.8%

54.9% 55.4%

33.6%

30.9%

29.1%

32.6% 33.5%

32.0%

34.5% 35.8% 35.1%

36.1% 36.3%37.8% 37.5%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bottled

Bulk


28/33

O.I.V.2013

Top wine exporters account for almost 90% of total value and more than 92% of total volume. With

traditional producers growing in 2012 at a rate of 7.2% in Euros, versus 11.7% for new

exporters. However, sales for the traditional producers decreased by 6.2% in volume whereas that

of new producers increased last year by 6.4%.Similarly, export average prices grew faster in the

old world (14.4%) than in the new (5%).

Top world Exporters

Top wine world exporters

2011 2012 ariation 2011 2012 ariation 2011 2012 Variation

France 7 194.1 7 836.6 8.9% 1 419.4 1 499.2 5.6% 5.07 5.23 3.1%

Italy 4 404.7 4 690.6 6.5% 2 323.8 2 120.0 -8.8% 1.90 2.21 16.7%

Spain 2 215.1 2 359.9 6.5% 2 254.9 1 947.2 -13.6% 0.98 1.21 23.4%

Germany 981.4 973.7 -0.8% 415.1 396.0 -4.6% 2.36 2.46 4.0%Portugal 657.8 707.5 7.6% 307.6 338.6 10.1% 2.14 2.09 -2.3%

Australia 1 426.7 1 523.7 6.8% 720.5 734.9 2.0% 1.98 2.07 4.7%

Chile 1 220.5 1 399.5 14.7% 666.6 751.7 12.8% 1.83 1.86 1.7%

USA 966.7 1 077.4 11.5% 421.8 400.9 -5.0% 2.29 2.69 17.3%

New Zealand 646.5 767.0 18.6% 168.1 175.8 4.6% 3.85 4.36 13.5%

Argentina 610.1 711.3 16.6% 317.1 364.7 15.0% 1.92 1.95 1.4%

South Africa 541.8 566.1 4.5% 375.2 412.8 10.0% 1.44 1.37 -5.0%

Rest of the

world 2 479.4 2 676.7 8.0% 682.4 761.6 11.6% 3.63 3.51 -3.3%

WORLD TOTAL 23 344.8 25 290.0 8.3% 10 072.6 9 903.3 -1.7% 2.32 2.55 10.2%

Mill. Mill. l. /l

7.2%

11.7%

-6.2%

6.4%

14.4%

5%


29/33

O.I.V.2013

Top 26 world importers of wine in terms of

value (2012) account for 93% of world

imports, divided into 5 major areas.

Top world Importers

TOTAL

"OLD"

TOTAL

"NEW"

Other

exporters

TOTAL

WORLD

import

% total

world

imports

Evolution

in %

2011-12

United Kingdom 2 712.9 1 157.7 73.1 3 943.74 15.8% 13.6%

Germany 1 934.9 330.7 128.0 2 393.55 9.6% 0.6%

Netherlands 572.0 199.8 101.2 872.97 3.5% 4.6%

Belgium 823.8 68.5 71.9 964.18 3.9% 4.4%

France 412.8 84.2 134.3 631.26 2.5% 1.5%Sweden 320.2 160.1 60.7 540.93 2.2% 5.9%

Denmark 333.4 128.6 36.6 498.65 2.0% -1.6%

Italy 248.3 38.0 19.2 305.46 1.2% 2.5%

Austria 187.9 15.2 4.5 207.55 0.8% 15.4%

Ireland 111.0 113.6 22.6 247.15 1.0% 9.2%

Finland 92.3 61.9 30.4 184.67 0.7% 5.1%

Poland 123.0 20.8 35.4 179.16 0.7% 7.6%

Tchek Republic 106.1 6.6 58.6 171.34 0.7% 4.0%

Lithuania 141.1 4.0 18.1 163.21 0.7% 32.8%

TOP EU 8 119.6 2 389.7 794.5 11 303.81 45.2% 6.8%

Switzerland 823.8 70.2 33.0 926.98 3.7% 8.3%

Norway 265.1 37.7 15.6 318.49 1.3% 10.4%

Russia 517.4 96.5 203.7 817.51 3.3% 18.4%

TOP OTHER EURO 1 606.3 204.4 252.3 2 062.98 8.3% 12.4%

Other importers 1 026.1 437.9 206.4 1 670.3 6.7% 9.9%

WORLD TOTAL 17 110.6 6 325.2 1 559.4 24 995.2 100.0% 9.8%

2012mill

EU

RESTOF

EUROPE

North

America

22.5%

EU

45.2%

Rest of

Europe

8.3%

Asia

14.5%

Other top

2.8% Rest

6.7%

World wine

imports 2012: value

With different developments last year, North

America, non-EU Europe and Asia were the

most dynamic in uros.


30/33

O.I.V.2013

Top 26 world importers of wine in terms of

value (2012) account for 93% of world

imports, divided into 5 major areas.

Top world Importers

TOTAL

"OLD"

TOTAL

"NEW"

Other

exporters

TOTAL

WORLD

import

% total

world

imports

Evolution

in %

2011-12

USA 2 625.2 1 240.7 73.0 3 938.96 15.8% 13.8%

Canada 793.5 731.3 15.3 1 540.16 6.2% 12.1%

Mxico 96.6 50.8 0.9 148.30 0.6% 9.9%

N. AMERICA 3 515.3 2 022.8 89.3 5 627.42 22.5% 13.2%

China 800.7 397.4 31.8 1 229.98 4.9% 18.5%

Japan 937.7 276.9 10.6 1 225.15 4.9% 27.5%

Hong Kong 517.3 144.6 145.0 806.97 3.2% -10.9%

Singapour 278.5 71.9 19.3 369.70 1.5% 7.4%

TOP ASIA 2 534.2 890.8 206.8 3 631.79 14.5% 11.8%

Australia 205.0 253.3 6.3 464.52 1.9% 21.8%

Brazil 104.1 126.4 3.9 234.36 0.9% 10.6%

OTHER TOP 309.1 379.7 10.1 698.88 2.8% 17.8%

Other importers 1 026.1 437.9 206.4 1 670.3 6.7% 9.9%

WORLD TOTAL 17 110.6 6 325.2 1 559.4 24 995.2 100.0% 9.8%

OTHER

M

AJOR

2012mill

NORTH

AMERICA

ASIA

North

America

22.5%

EU

45.2%

Rest of

Europe

8.3%

Asia

14.5%

Other top

2.8% Rest

6.7%

World wine

imports 2012: value

With different developments last year, North

America, non-EU Europe and Asia were the

most dynamic in uros.


31/33

O.I.V.2013

In regards to volume of imports, the EU remains the largest wine & must buyer despite a

decrease in 2012, as opposed to North America and Asia.

Major groups (importers perspective)

North America

1,589 mill Ltrs

16.7% of total

Evolution

2011/2012:

11.9%

EU

5,293 mill Ltrs

55.8% of total

Evolution

2011/2012: :

-3.9%

Other Europe

763 mill Ltrs

8% of total

Evolution

2011/2012: :

-0.7%Asia

738 mill Ltrs

7.8% of total

Evolution2011/2012:

12.5%


32/33

O.I.V.2013

Perspectives and trends

Decline of surface areas (and production): will this trend

continue?

(Slight) recovery of world consumption: notably outside Europe,

the evolution is a positive one although 2008 levels have not yet

been met.

Decrease in available volume of export resulting in a reduction

from the bulk wine, particularly for European producers.


33/33

Thank you for your attention

Vielen Dank fr Ihre Aufmerksamkeit

Grazie per la Loro attenzione

Gracias por su atencin

Merci de votre attention

Documents

World Vitiviniculture Situation in 2012