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University of Northern Iowa
Why Men Are out of WorkAuthor(s): William GreenSource: The North American Review, Vol. 225, No. 844 (Jun., 1928), pp. 673-679Published by: University of Northern IowaStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/25110509 .
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WHY MEN ARE OUT OF WORK BY WILLIAM GREEN
President, American Federation of Labor
Last summer the field representatives of the American Federa tion of Labor began sending in reports of increasing unemploy
ment. These reports persisted, although industrial indexes indicated prosperity. We were disturbed, for dread of unem
ployment is the dark shadow that never wholly vanishes from the wage earner's thoughts. The Federation began gathering unemployment data for the unions in the main industrial centers in August, and found that unemployment was widespread.
Each month has brought an increase in the number reported as unemployed.
General attention was not attracted to this rising tide of un
employment until the seasonal unemployment of the winter months increased the number making application for relief at
public agencies. Then we began to think more critically over
figures from the Census of Manufactures that showed increased
output with fewer persons employed. It had seemed highly probable that the workers displaced through increased efficiency would find employment in new or expanding industries.
Between 1914 and 1919 production increased twenty-eight per cent, and the number of persons employed thirty per cent. ;
between 1919 and 1925 production increased twenty-nine per cent, and the number of persons employed decreased by five per cent. The number of employees had increased in a few in
dustries only?the automobile industry, the paper and printing industry, and in the stone, clay and glass industry. The de crease did not occur suddenly but slowly over a period of years.
Therefore until recently its importance had not become obvious.
Why has employment in manufacturing industries decreased? The quantity of commodities produced has increased. Produc tion in the last six years has been on a high level, increasing orders vol. ecxxv.?no. 844 43
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674 THE NORTH AMERICAN REVIEW
have poured in, and the volume of sales has grown from year to
year. The reason for the decrease in the number of workers in a
period in which production increased is the fact that the pro
ductivity of the worker per man hour increased more than pro duction. What lies back of that the census statistics fail to
tell us. It is clear that if productivity per man hour doubles and production per day increases by only fifty per cent., either fewer workers or fewer hours of work are necessary in order to
produce the daily output. In the iron and steel industry, for instance, production in
creased from 1919 to 1925 by about thirty per cent., while pro
ductivity per man hour increased by about sixty per cent. Since we learn now that the number of workers in the iron and steel industry has decreased since 1919, we know that the number of hours of work has not decreased correspondingly to the in crease of productivity over that of production.
The situation in the iron and steel industry is representative of manufacturing industry as a whole. In recent years (1922 to 1927) it has been the policy of the manufacturer to dismiss
workers rather than to shorten hours of work.
Of course, other industries, such as building trades or trans
portation, and trade as a whole, have absorbed quite a number
of those who have been dismissed by manufacturing industries, but certainly not all. Many have not found work.
This is one phase of the present unemployment problem we
have to face: how to avoid unemployment resulting from an
increase of productivity over that of production. There is still another side. As long as industry has existed
the worker has suffered from seasonal unemployment. During the winter months there is less work on the farm, there are fewer houses built, production as a whole slows down. Most of the indoor industries also have their good and their dull seasons,
depending upon customs and conditions controlling use, and
according to these employment increases and decreases.
Present high unemployment represents the addition of those
unemployed through seasonal contraction of industries to those who are no longer needed because of increased productivity. What we have is not one unemployment problem but two. It is
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WHY MEN ARE OUT OF WORK 675
therefore important for us to remember that even if in the next
few months unemployment decreases, because the amount of
unemployment due to seasonal causes decreases, the other un
employment problem, that of unemployment because of pro
ductivity and production, remains to be solved. Can we avoid unemployment? Let us consider first seasonal
unemployment. Much can be done by educational work to
break down habits and traditions that certain things are done
only at fixed seasons. Definite impetus was given to efforts to
stabilize production by the President's Unemployment Con ference of 1922, which emphasized the possibilities of foresight and planning on the part of management. That conference
marked recognition of industry's responsibility for meeting the
unemployment problem. Study disclosed that much irregularity in employment is due to peak loads which may be leveled down
and supplemented by side lines. Invention and new techniques help in the case of real seasonal difficulties, such as winter freezing which interrupted building operations. An outgrowth of the general Unemployment Conference was a committee to study the more
specialized problems of the construction industry. This com
mittee made recommendations and put a continuing interest back of its programme to give it effect. It found that the prob lem of seasonal production is in many cases that of seasonal demand. As far as it is a demand problem the remedy lies in
most cases in educating the consumer.
Take the example of the paint industry. Once they did two
thirds of their business in the Spring. Everyone thought the time to paint was in the Spring. Consequently in that season
there was plenty of work and full employment, while in the
following seasons work slacked down and employment decreased. Then the employers and unions launched a "Paint in the Fall"
campaign, and as a result of the campaign the Fall business is now just as great as that in the Spring. Or another case.
Mr. Ford writes in his autobiography:
We very shortly found that we could not do business on order. The factory could not be built large enough?even if it were desirable?to make, between
March and August, all the cars that were ordered during these months.
Therefore, years ago we began the campaign of education to demonstrate
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676 THE NORTH AMERICAN REVIEW
that a Ford was not a summer luxury but a year-round necessity. . . .
Thus we have no seasons in the plant. . . .
By "Shop Early" and "Mail Early" campaigns the Post Office and retail merchants have done much to level down one
of the sharpest seasonal peaks. These examples show clearly the way out of seasonal unem
ployment. The manufacturers and dealers should get together to work out and perfect plans of distributing demand and pro duction more evenly over the year as a whole. However, when
the Ford plant changed to a new model, a majority of their em
ployees were without work for a period of six months. Mass
production introduced a new problem in unemployment. In addition to this constructive attack, which seeks to solve
seasonal unemployment by eliminating it, there have been de
veloped remedial helps, such as unemployment insurance. A
fund for relief of the unemployed is provided by the individual
plant, and maintained by contributions either from the employer amounting to a small percentage of the weekly payroll, or from
employer and workers jointly, amounting to a small percentage from wages and payroll. This fund provides a reservoir from
which a weekly payment may be made to unemployed workers to tide them over the dull season. In many cases this fund is
provided by the union alone, subscriptions being collected from
union members. A number of unions have such plans. Much more complex is the problem how to deal with unem
ployment resulting from an increase of productivity greater than
that of production. At first sight the problem seems to be a
simple one: Increase production to such an extent that its in crease equals that in productivity. And in fact there is no reason
why production should not increase at this rate in industry as a
whole. For there is at present no other limit to the demand for
goods than the purchasing power of the consumer. Thus the
unemployment problem reveals itself as a production and pur
chasing power problem. If production keeps pace with increas
ing productivity per man hour, and if the purchasing power of
the consumer keeps pace with production, there will be no
unemployment problem because of increasing productivity. This holds true for industry as a whole, but not for all the single
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WHY MEN ARE OUT OF WORK 677
industries. In many single industries we find other limits for
increasing production beside the purchasing power of the con
sumer; we find that the demand for certain goods is limited be cause we do not need more of them. Everyone will be satisfied
with one, two or three umbrellas. And if productivity per man
hour in the manufacture of umbrellas doubles, no manufacturer
will double the production of umbrellas, because he knows he can not sell them. But if he does not increase the production
correspondingly with the increase of productivity, either fewer
hours of work or fewer workers will be sufficient to produce the number of umbrellas required to satisfy the demand on the mar
ket. If the manufacturer of commodities for which demand can
not expand indefinitely does not reduce the number of hours of
work, a great number of workers will have to be dismissed, and it is practically sure, as the development in manufacturing in
dustries in the last years has shown, that not all of the workers
dismissed will find employment in other industries. Another phase Labor has been watching with concern: The
displacement of skilled workers by machines with relatively few
operatives. Skilled hand crafts, like glass blowers, have been
displaced by machines. Comparatively few glass blowers are
necessary as operatives. Similar results follow from mechaniza
tion of the textile and other industries. Thus far expansion of those industries and the development of new industries have absorbed these workers. But we must be on guard to anticipate a saturation point or a decline in new developments.
Recognizing that increasing wages in proportion to productiv ity has a stabilizing effect through assuring buyers for the in creased output, the American Federation of Labor at its 1925 convention declared:
We hold that the best interests of wage earners as well as the whole social
group are served by increasing production in quality as well as quantity and
by high wage standards which assure sustained purchasing power to the work ers and, therefore, higher national standards for the environment in which
they live and the means to enjoy cultured opportunities. We declare that
wage reductions produce industrial and social unrest and that low wages are
not; conducive to low production costs.
We urge upon wage earners everywhere: that we oppose all wage reductions
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678 THE NORTH AMERICAN REVIEW
and that we urge upon management the elimination of wastes in production in order that selling prices may be lower and wages higher. To this end we
recommend cooperation in study of waste in production which the assay of the
Federated American Engineering Societies, covering important industries, has shown to be 50 per cent, attributable to management and only 25 per cent,
attributable to labor, with 25 per cent, attributable to other sources, prin
cipally managements in industries producing commodities for any single in
dustry under consideration.
This statement was an amplified revision of Labor's consistent refusal to accept wage decreases on the ground that such de creases not only meant lower standards of living but were an
additional factor in bringing business depression. However, our wage programme alone is not enough to meet
the whole problem. In addition, Labor recommends, in order to avoid unemployment, a decrease in the number of hours worked
during the day and a decrease in the number of days worked
during the week. In a period in which productivity in certain industries is increasing more rapidly than production, in a period in which general business is not expanding as rapidly as pro
ductivity is increasing,?that is, in a period in which the workers dismissed from one industry because of increasing productivity cannot find work in other industries,?the only solution of the
unemployment problem is a decrease in the number of hours of work. Needless to say the total amount of wages received during the day or the week must not decrease, because otherwise the
purchasing power of the worker would decrease, and chances to
increase production and to sell the increasing output are gone if the purchasing power of the wage earner decreases.
This recommendation of decreasing the number of hours of work per day and the number of days worked per week as a
remedy against unemployment, gives a new basis to the pro gramme of the eight-hour day and the five-day week which has been an aim of the American Federation of Labor since 1926. The five-day week and the eight-hour day without overtime not
only are a benefit to the worker, providing rest and recreation, but they will contribute greatly at the same time toward a
stabilization of employment that will help immensely in the Na tion's struggle against unemployment and the maintenance of
the market demand.
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WHY MEN ARE OUT OF WORK 679
Labor recognizes that there are other factors in this problem, but we believe definite progress can be made by putting into
practice our recommendations:
Wage increases in proportion to increased productivity. Decreases in hours when production does not keep pace with
productivity. A constructive programme of public works deferred to provide
for seasonal unemployment. Provision by the industry for unemployment relief. Continuous efforts by union and management to regularize
production. The Unemployment Conference of 1922 recommended advance
planning for relief measures by authorizing public works and
deferring active work until periods of seasonal or cyclical un
employment, and then getting them under way when workers were released from other industries. This policy is based on
good public economy in addition to serving a humanitarian pur
pose?public work would not be competing with industries
operating on a full programme. The American Federation of Labor has urged this policy upon
Congress, and had it been followed it would have brought relief to many unemployed during the recent winter months. Even now Congress has before it proposals for Government construc tion work which, if adopted and begun, would go far in relieving the present situation. These proposals are : Flood control system ;
Army housing; and Naval construction programme. In unemployment as in all economic conditions we are finding
that the consequences cumulatively affect all other groups.
Unemployment reduces the buying capacity of those concerned, and sooner or later exerts a depressing effect on production. It is of primary importance that unemployment should be pre vented wherever possible, and the responsibility falls primarily upon management. Wage earners who invest their skill and labor power in industry raise the question as to why reservoirs
should be created to assure stable incomes to investors of capital without similar provisions for the stabilization of the incomes of
wage earners.
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