85

Visiting Research Fellow Monograph Series Research Fellow Monograph Series This series aim at disseminating the results of research done by Visiting Research Fellows at the Institute

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  • Visiting Research Fellow Monograph Series

    This series aim at disseminating the results of research done by Visiting Research Fellows at the Institute of Developing Economies. However, no part of this paper may be quoted without the permission of the author, since some of the results may be preliminary. Further, the findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s). Paper does not imply endorsement by the Institute of Developing Economies of any of the facts, figures, and views expressed. The Institute of Developing Economies does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence of their use.

  • Summary

    70

    Top-down

    Bottom-up

  • 1415

    45 58

    60

    2083

    5096

  • 20034.52004

    8.41997

    70 2000

    200411

    2.3513

    47.7

    1999

    80

  • 2004185

    11

    10

    1998656.1

    3011.3

    95

  • Win-Win

    ()

    AutomaticClean

    Easy

    matching fund

  • i

    3

    3

    3

    4

    6

    6

    7

    9

    11

    13

    13

    13

    16

    18

    18

    26

    33

    42

    42

    44

  • ii

    46

    48

    51

    51

    55

    56

    57

    60

    60

    60

    65

    68

    69

  • iii

    . 8

    .. 14

    .. 15

    .. 15

    .. 19

    .. 21

    .. 23

    ..2004 24

    .. 25

    ..19932000 27

    ..19951997 28

    .. 29

    ..19991997 31

    ..10 38

    ..11 39

    .. 43

    .. 43

    ..2004 45

    .. 46

  • iv

    ..2002 52

    ..2005 55

    .. 56

    ..2005 56

  • v

    . Value Chain 3

    . 9

    . 10

    . 10

    .. 13

    .. 18

    .. 20

    ..19992003 21

    .. 22

    .. 23

    .. 27

    ..19931999 29

    ..1998 30

    .. 34

    .. 35

    ..10 36

    ..11Metal Casting Industry of the Future 38

    ..1219912000 40

  • vi

    ..2004 44

    .. 45

    .. 51

    .. 52

    ..2002 53

    .. 54

    .. 61

    .. 62

    .. 63

  • 1

    27

    2210

  • 2

  • 3

    .Value Chain

  • 4

    221030

    1035

    70

    200220102010

    2010

    90

    Top-down

    Bottom-up

  • 5

    Expert Systeme-Manufacturing

  • 6

    .

    1415

    455860

    835096

  • 7

    - 20

    - 10.13.31.6

    3517

    - 1413

    - 128

    - 2050

    - 32.618

    - 71

    - 15111

    - 50 300

    - 12251400

    314

    - 3631

  • 8

    .

    425.9 1860.7 5149.7

    1998.0 1991.7 1987.6

    10.1 32.6 122.4

    1426.6 5854.5 39996.3

    151.1 322.2 614.3

    128.2 151.4 313.5

    50.5 70.6 47.6

    13.7 10.6 6.3

    12.4 11.1 22.0

    0.13 0.10 0.06

  • 9

    .

    2524

    29

    94

    86251

  • 10

    .

    233(25%)

    19(2%)

    220(24%)

    264(29%)

    23(3%) 6

    (1%)

    10(1%)

    11(1%)

    132(14%)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    .

    122(14%)

    438(51%)

    250(29%)

    52(6%)

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    .

  • 11

    -

    - 2005370

    11.18.8

    10

    -

    -

    - 2005

    7.2

    - 199711.7

    -

    -

    - 200010

    -

    -

    - 200517.8 -

    20002,80020033,800

  • 12

    178

    21

  • 13

    1

    ..

  • 14

    ..

  • 15

    ..

    ..

    273

    2731

    27311

    27312

    2732

    27321

    27322

    27329

  • 16

    0.2223

    90

  • 17

    -

  • 18

    ..

    20034.520048.4

    199770

    2000

    6.3199714

  • 19

    200411

    2.3513

    ..

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2001 2002 2003 2004

    1 14,889 16,262 18,145 22,420 21.8 23.2 24.6 28.1

    2 11,871 11,812 12,069 12,314 17.4 16.9 16.4 15.4

    3 5,841 5,752 6,111 6,386 8.6 8.2 8.3 8.0

    4 6,200 6,200 6,200 6,200 9.1 8.9 8.4 7.8

    5 4,643 4,595 4,722 4,984 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2

    6 3,155 3,267 4,038 4,623 4.6 4.7 5.5 5.8

    7 2,527 3,018 2,484 2,465 3.7 4.3 3.4 3.1

    8 2,393 2,441 2,441 2,441 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.1

    9 1,760 1,971 2,249 2,829 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7

    10 1,880 2,030 1,822 2,185 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.5

    11 1,683 1,714 1,783 1,875 2.9 2.7 1.6 1.6

    12 1,970 1,888 1,221 1,273 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.35

    13 1,572 1,628 1,149 1,309 2.3 2.3 1.6 1.6

    14 1,210 1,441 1,468 1,451 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.8

    15 1,369 974 974 974 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.2

    68,311 70,029 73,554 79,745 92.2 92.8 90.9 92.5

    : American Foundry Society, Modern Casting 2004.

  • 20

    ..

    ..

    19972003

    5070

  • 21

    ..19992003

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    :

    1999

    2003

    ..

    ..

    2004 2004

    1 2,242 1,686 75

    2 1,231 842 68

    3 638 462.7 72

    4 6202003 570 92 2003

    5 498 390 78

    6 462 366 79

    7 246 194 79

    8 244 121.4 50

    9 282 237.6 84

    10 218 142 65

    11 185 155.9 84

    12 145 100.5 69

    13 130 105.7 81

    ..

  • 22

    ..

    ..

    80

    2416

    1024

    1211

    ..

    12,000

    1990

    4,200

  • 23

    ..20032004

    20032004

    1 12,000

    2 4,5004,200

    3 2,6002,380 681619 288262 1,6511,499

    4 2000 1,900

    5 2003 1,787 741 27 1,019

    6 1,7131,708 457457 8078 1,1761,173

    7 1,1391,106 232210 2727 880869

    8 1,057888 904736 6968 8484

    9 1,0001,315 - 486 - 145 - 684

    10 2002 960 400 233 437

    ..

    ..

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    ..

  • 24

    10

    ..

    10

    ..2004

    2004

    1 7,776

    2 5,174

    3 4,732

    4 3,739

    5 2,327

    6 2,207

    7 2,152

    8 1,868

    9 1,223

    10 1,100

    ..

  • 25

    Squeeze CastingFoundry Ceramics

    Lost Foam CastingInvestment

    Casting

    Rapid PrototypingLost Foam CastingSemi-permanent Casting

    ..

    -

    -

    -

    -

    2004

  • 26

    20042003200423.6

    70

    ..

    19932000

    1999 50

    1996

    2002

  • 27

    ..

    ..19932000

    :

    1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

    8,250 7,607 7,303 6,945 6,875 6,305 7,912 8,639 -

    1,267 1,321 1,341 1,343 1,564 1,431 2,063 2,333

    404 364 422 367 354 293 359 400

    1,722 1,610 1,578 1,404 1,453 1,304 1,353 1,542

    120 100 104 92 96 96 107 119 -

    467 475 530 594 660 686 735 799

    50 52 51 63 76 77 115 118

    71 74 - - - - - - -

    12,355 11,606 11,332 10,903 11,080 10,194 12,647 13,954

    ..

  • 28

    ..19951997

    :

    1995 1996 1997

    1,178,000 1,190,000 1,274,600 11.4

    714,000 700,200 690,700 6.2

    1,940,000 1,901,300 1,932,200 17.4

    687,000 664,000 657,600 5.8

    426,000 407,000 414,200 3.7

    2,026,000 2,005,000 1,981,700 17.8

    374,000 358,000 349,900 3.0

    200,000 123,900 110,500 0.9

    1,836,000 1,674,000 1,715,000 15.4

    459,000 445,000 433,500 3.8

    1,492,000 1,434,785 1,520,542 13.7

    11,332,000 10,903,185 11,080,442 100

    ..

    11.7

    33

    17.417.815.4

    62

    3001997

    0.1

  • 29

    ..

    300 4040 33.7

    3012,000 3440 28.6

    2,0015,000 2936 24.7

    5,00110,000 1454 12.1

    10,000 103 0.1

    12000 100

    ..

    ..19931999

    ..

  • 30

    1980

    1999110

    ..1998

    Mid-low grade29 500mm

    0.648.96.6

    9.80.4

    360.02

    High grade

    Mid-high

    grade18Mid-

    gradeNon-industrial1735

    ..1998

    ..

  • 31

    30

    199059.4

    3.1

    ..19951997

    :

    1995 1996 1997

    290,000 317,250 356,468 3.1

    1,460,000 1,420,000 1,360,000 12.2

    550,000 480,370 350,000 3.1

    V- 140,000 138,000 145,000 1.2

    7,392,000 6,667,707 6,597,974 59.4

    250,000 276,358 312,000 2.7

    50,000 58,500 68,000 0.6

    30,000 74,000 96,000 0.8

    170,000 181,000 190,000 1.7

    1,000,000 1,290,000 1,605,000 14.4

    11,332,000 10,903,185 11,080,442 100

    ..

  • 32

    15

    20

    403010

    steel

    1989

    1,2002000

    300

    Institute of Metals Research

    1953

    986300Shenyang Laboratory

    Materials Science Shenyang R&D Center for Advanced Materials 12

    Research DivisionShenyang National Laboratory for Materials

  • 33

    ScienceOpen LabChinese Journal of

    Materials ResearchJournal of Materials Science and TechnologyActa

    Metallurgica Sinica

    197394

    1505003,500

    2000ISO9000

    2004Volkswagen

    Makita

    2001

    2003

    100380

    195200315

    1970

    902,000

    1980

  • 34

    19901,1301990

    1998

    1,410180200113

    1,220169

    ductile cast iron

    ..

    2004

  • 35

    ..

    : American Foundry Society, Modern Casting 2004.

  • 36

    30 19992003

    2001

    3010

    35

    ..10

    ..

  • 37

    10080

    10025014250

    225,000

    20002001

    2002

    2003

    47soil/pressure pipe20

    4711

    1995 Beyond 2000: A Vision for the American

    Metalcasting Industry2020

    Net-

    Shape

    1998'Metalcasting Industry Technology Roadmap'

    Department of EnergyOffice of the Industrial

    Technologies

  • 38

    ..11Metal Casting Industry of the Future

    ..

    ..10

    -

    -

    -

    -

    - Lead Time

    -

    -

    -

    -

    -

    -

    - Rapid Tooling

    -

    - Pattermaking

    - SizeDimension

    -

    -

    -

    - Fold for Aluminum Lost Foam Casting

    -

    -

    -

    - Waste Stream

    - Emission Database

    ..

  • 39

    ..11

    2020

    Advanced

    Melting

    Energy Benchmark Study

    Theoretical Minimum Study

    Gran Challenge Solication

    Yield

    Improveme/Scrap

    Reduction 10

    Energy Savings 10

    Emission Reduction

    20

    Innovative

    Casting

    Processes

    Thin Wall/High Strength

    Machining; Inclusions;

    Porocity Reduction

    Steel Foundry Practices

    Sensors

    Diecasting Practices

    Materials Properties and Performance

    Computer-based Modeling

    Tools

    R&D

    Integration

    System

    Analysis

    Casting Facility Practices

    Plant Systems

    Energy Guidelines; Emission

    Reduction; Byproduct Reduction

    ..

    Metal Casting Industry of the Future

    American Foundry Society North American Diecasting

    Association Advanced Technology Instute

    Steel Founder's Society of AmericaCast

    Metals Coalition

    Metal Casting

    20

    1991

  • 40

    ..1219912000

    ..

    5030250

    199120001998

    70

    Metal Casting Industry of the Future

    Net-shape Production

  • 41

    Metals Process Simulation Lab.

    Continuous Casting ConsortiumNational Science foundation

    Ingot Metallurgy Forum

    Simulation

    Hydro Magnesium

    100KT

    GM

    Life Cycle Inventory

    Ames LaboratoryIOWA State University

    50

  • 42

    2004185:

    11

    10

    1998656.1

    3011.3

    19701990

    1997

    1990

    2004600

    20032005

    200535,998

    23,400

  • 43

    ..

    :

    2003 2004 2005

    1,001,840 1,041,914 1,094,009

    539,840 551,434 600,734

    50,960 52,998 37,098

    152,320 158,413 166,333

    1,744,960 1,784,758 1,898,174

    20,720 21,756 23,279

    42,000 43,890 48,279

    5,488 5,762 6,281

    68,208 61,408 77,839

    1,813,168 1,856,167 1,976,013

    ..

    1999 2005

    profile 3,992 9,654 17,112 1,670

    1,225 518 280 1,081

    5,472 7,792 26,208 10,401

    858 10 50 401

    89 2 34 -

    7 402 60 723

    96 2,012 1,592 83

    21,755 29,596 71,571 44,428

    3,458 26,147 20,563 36,141

    1,497 2,753 11,392 4,225

    6,326 30,626 33,695 45,653

    44,775 109,512 182,544 146,546

    ..

  • 44

    ..2004

    200511

    1990

    19601991927

    2004600

    2004

    2009050

  • 45

    58

    ..

    ..

    ..2004

    75 117 192

    22 87 109

    57 144 201

    - 98 98

    146 436 600

    ..

  • 46

    ..

    1981 1993 2004

    3.96 10.7 10

    43.6 20.6 20

    52.4 68.7 70

    100.0

    ..

    19811993

    10

    1981442004

    20

    99

  • 47

    42

    2.1

    91.5

    300

  • 48

    2003

    2010

    2010

    :

    -

    - 2010

  • 49

    2004

    pilot plant

    online network

  • 50

    10 -> 60

    -> zero

    zero

    bulk

    near net shape

  • 51

    47.72005670

    563107

    1980 1980

    8.5198514.51990

    12.4

    1990772

    ..

  • 52

    ..

    ..2002

    : American Foundry Society, Modern Casting 2004.

    20022005

    10738

  • 53

    ..ductile

    cast iron

    ..2002

  • 54

    1980

    10020100

    2005

    512612

    ..

  • 55

    20051,154100

    97

    30

    650

    2005

    42.6136.8

    16099

    ..2005

    100 5099 2049 19

    75 119 281 579 1,154

    7 97 100

    31 69 100

    200511

  • 56

    ..

    1975 1985 2005

    3,279 2,072 1,154

    100,159 78,932 41,152

    5.49 6.58 5.63

    54.9 83.4 136.8

    1,675.5 3,176.4 5,828.2

    30.5 38.1 42.6

    ..

    ..2005

    47441 736.3 60752.7 1,154100.0

    ..

    10

  • 57

    21

    2005

    Magneto-Hydrodynamics

    Cast Metal Matrix Composite

  • 58

    2

    Curtain WallScrap Metal

    Nodular Iron Container

    Phase Selection

    Division of Foundry Engineering

    EutecticHyper eutectic Al-Si

    Shell

    Soft Contact Steel Casting

    Single-Shot

    Carbon Steel core

    Cladding

    Magnetostriction

    National Industrial Research Institute

    of Nagoya

  • 59

    Super Metals Program

    Compocasting

    Hot Isostatic PressingCold Isostatic Pressing

    Skid

    Button

    Porous

    Exhaust

    Manifoldmm

  • 60

  • 61

    21

    ..

  • 62

    ..

  • 63

    Life Cycle Assurance

    ..

  • 64

    Built-In House Environment Facility'

    14000

    chip

    briquettechip briquette

    Binder

    stainless cast iron

  • 65

    mono-body

    rapid-prototypingE

    24one-stop

    Cladding

    Win-Win

  • 66

    Dangerous, Dirty, Difficult

    AutomaticCleanEasy

    High integrityNear-net

    shape

  • 67

    10

    100

    Win-Win

    Dimension Free Casting

    Seed

  • 68

  • 69

    []

    : 2005.11

    [] 2010

    2005.08

    [] 2004

    [] Modern Casting, American Foundry Society, 2004.12

    []

    [] 2001

    [] 2002

    [] 1999

    [] 2002

    [10] 2001

    [11] JFSincJapan Foundry Society, Inc.

    [12] 2002

    [13]

    [14] 2002

    [15] :

    2006.05

    [16] Giesserei-Literatuschau, VDG-DOK

    [17] Quitie, Foundary Institute of the Chinese Mechanaical Engineering

  • 70

    Socuety

    [18] Foundry Management & Technology, Penton/IPC

    [19] Annual Statistical Report, American Iron Steel Institute

  • 71

    Kim Min

    1955 12

    1974

    1978

    1978

    2004200612

  • 2006_VRF_424_hyousi2006_VRF_424_hazimeni2006_VRF_424_012006_VRF_424_022006_VRF_424_03