Union Bank of India Result Updated

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  • 7/31/2019 Union Bank of India Result Updated

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    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Particulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)NII 1,877 1,781 5.4 1,717 9.3Pre-prov. profit 1,599 1,284 24.5 870 83.9

    PAT 773 197 292.5 598 29.4Source: Company, Angel Research

    For 4QFY2012, Union Bank of India reported strong net profit growth of 29.4%

    yoy, aided by considerably higher provisioning expenses, higher growth in fee

    income and lower employee expenses. We recommend a Buy rating on the stockdue to its attractive valuations.Advances growth remains healthy; Slippages normalize: The banks advances,continuing the trend witnessed in the past few quarters, grew at a healthy pace of

    17.8% yoy during 4QFY2012 as well. Deposits growth was relatively moderate,

    though at 10.1% yoy. Even on the CASA deposits front, growth remained sluggish

    at 8.4% on a yoy basis. CASA ratio decreased by 49bp yoy to 31.3% (126bp

    sequentially). Expansion in CD ratio coupled with relatively low growth in CASA

    led to an increase of 11bp qoq in cost of funds, which offset the 9bp qoq increase

    in yield on funds, resulting in sequentially flat reported NIM at 3.3% in

    4QFY2012. On the asset-quality front, the banks slippages normalized to `607cr

    (annualized slippage ratio of 1.6%) from an average quarterly run rate of `890cr

    over the past four quarters. Gross and net NPA ratios improved by 32bp and

    18bp qoq, respectively. Provision coverage ratio (including technical write-offs)

    dipped by 92bp qoq to 62.2%. The bank restructured advances worth `3,236cr

    during the quarter, taking the outstanding restructured book to `11,879cr (6.7%

    of loan book in 4QFY2012 as against 5.5% in 3QFY2012). Out of the total

    restructured book, the bank has till date witnessed slippages of 10.3%. In terms of

    restructuring pipeline, the bank expects one discom to be restructured in

    1QFY2013 (exposure of ~`1,100cr).

    Outlook and valuation: Going ahead, we expect the bank to report reasonableearnings in FY2013, considering the asset quality improvement, as evident from

    normalization of slippages at 1.5-1.6%, much lower than the average quarterly

    run rate, minimal profitability impact of a sharp rise in restructuring and further

    cushion expected from pick-up in recoveries from technically slipped accounts. In

    our view, Union Bank of India, though structurally among the better large PSU

    banks, is trading at attractive valuations of 0.7x FY2014E P/ABV, much lower than

    peers. Hence, we recommend Buy on the stock with a target price of `276.Key financials

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014ENII 6,216 6,909 8,141 9,452% chg 48.3 11.1 17.8 16.1

    Net profit 2,082 1,787 2,363 2,777% chg 0.3 (14.2) 32.2 17.5

    NIM (%) 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.8

    EPS (`) 39.6 32.3 42.7 50.2P/E (x) 5.1 6.3 4.8 4.0P/ABV (x) 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7

    RoA (%) 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8

    RoE (%) 20.9 14.8 17.0 17.5

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    BUYCMP `203

    Target Price `276

    Investment Period 12 months

    Stock Info

    Sector Banking

    Market Cap (` cr) 10,649

    Beta 0.9

    52 Week High / Low 332/156

    Avg. Daily Volume 136,186

    Face Value (`

    ) 10BSE Sensex 16,420

    Nifty 4,966

    Reuters Code UNBK.BO

    Bloomberg Code UNBK@IN

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 54.4

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 18.9

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 9.6Indian Public / Others 17.1

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex (7.5) (11.3) 38.3

    Union BoI (19.0) (36.1) 26.5

    Vaibhav Agrawal022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808

    [email protected]

    Varun Varma022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847

    [email protected]

    Sourabh Taparia022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872

    [email protected]

    Union Bank of IndiaPerformance Highlights

    4QFY2012 Result Update | Banking

    May 10, 2012

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 2

    Exhibit 1:4QFY2012 performanceParticulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)Interest earned 5,743 5,375 6.9 4,615 24.4- on Advances / Bills 4,384 4,030 8.8 3,458 26.8- on investments 1,223 1,143 7.0 1,034 18.3

    - on balance with RBI & others 58 112 (48.0) 60 (3.3)

    - on others 79 90 (13.1) 64 22.4

    Interest expended 3,867 3,594 7.6 2,899 33.4Net interest income 1,877 1,781 5.4 1,717 9.3Other income 755 592 27.6 601 25.8Other income excl. treasury 628 491 28.0 489 28.6

    - Fee Income 403 323 24.8 332 21.7

    - Treasury Income 127 101 25.7 112 13.4

    - Recov. from written off a/cs 162 90 80.0 98 65.3

    - Others 63 78 (19.3) 59 6.8

    Operating income 2,632 2,373 10.9 2,317 13.6Operating expenses 1,033 1,089 (5.1) 1,448 (28.6)- Employee expenses 595 701 (15.2) 1,053 (43.5)

    - Other Opex 438 388 13.1 395 11.0

    Pre-provision profit 1,599 1,284 24.5 870 83.9Provisions & Contingencies 517 973 (46.8) 153 237.4- Provisions for NPAs 226 425 (46.8) 98 130.6

    - Other Provisions 291 548 (46.8) 55 426.9

    PBT 1,082 311 247.3 716 51.0Provision for Tax 308 114 169.6 119 159.8PAT 773 197 292.5 598 29.4Effective Tax Rate (%) 28.5 36.7 (823)bp 16.6 1194bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:4QFY2012 Actual vs. EstimatesParticulars (` cr) Actual Estimates Var. (%)NII 1,877 1,857 1.1

    Other income 755 597 26.5

    Operating income 2,632 2,454 7.3Operating expenses 1,033 1,105 (6.5)

    Pre-prov. profit 1,599 1,349 18.5Provisions & cont. 517 591 (12.5)

    PBT 1,082 758 42.7

    Prov. for taxes 308 158 95.2

    PAT 773 600 28.8Source: Company, Angel Research

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 3

    Exhibit 3:4QFY2012 performance analysisParticulars 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)Balance sheetAdvances (`cr) 177,882 156,202 13.9 150,986 17.8Deposits (`cr) 222,869 205,317 8.5 202,461 10.1

    Credit-to-Deposit Ratio (%) 79.8 76.1 374bp 74.6 524bp

    CASA deposits (` cr) 69,705 66,810 4.3 64,307 8.4

    Reported CASA ratio (%) 31.3 32.5 (126)bp 31.8 (49)bp

    CAR (%) 11.9 11.7 13bp 13.0 (110)bp

    Tier 1 CAR (%) 8.4 8.0 39bp 8.7 (32)bp

    Profitability Ratios (%)Yield on funds 9.7 9.6 9bp 8.8 89bp

    Cost of funds 6.5 6.4 11bp 5.5 100bp

    Reported NIM 3.3 3.3 (5)bp 3.4 (18)bp

    Cost-to-income ratio 39.3 45.9 (663)bp 62.5 (2322)bp

    Asset qualityGross NPAs (` cr) 5,450 5,209 4.6 3,623 50.4

    Gross NPAs (%) 3.0 3.3 (32)bp 2.4 64bp

    Net NPAs (`cr) 3,025 2,879 5.1 1,803 67.7

    Net NPAs (%) 1.7 1.9 (18)bp 1.2 51bp

    Provision Coverage Ratio (%) 62.2 63.1 (92)bp 67.6 (536)bp

    Slippage ratio (%) 1.6 1.5 11bp 1.4 25bp

    LLP to avg. assets (%) 0.4 0.7 (36)bp 0.2 19bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Advances growth remains healthy; NIM remains flat qoq

    The banks advances, continuing the trend witnessed in the past few quarters, grew

    at a healthy pace of 17.8% yoy during 4QFY2012 as well. Deposits growth was

    relatively moderate, though at 10.1% yoy. Consequently, CD ratio surged by

    524bp yoy (374bp sequentially). Even on the CASA deposits front, growth

    remained sluggish at 8.4% on a yoy basis. CASA ratio decreased by 49bp yoy to

    31.3% (126bp sequentially). Going forward in FY2013, the bank has guided for

    19% growth in advances and 17% growth in deposits.

    Exhibit 4:Advances growth remains healthy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 5:CASA ratio decreased marginally yoy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    26.5

    16.7

    18.6

    16.8

    17.8

    19.1

    16.1

    10.0

    10.0

    10.1

    74.673.1

    75.376.1

    79.8

    68.0

    70.0

    72.0

    74.0

    76.0

    78.0

    80.0

    82.0

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Adv. yoy chg (%) Dep. yoy chg (%) CDR (%, RHS)

    31.8

    31.5

    32.1

    32.5

    31.3

    19.2

    12.4

    8.0 7.68.4

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    29.0

    30.0

    31.0

    32.0

    33.0

    34.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    CASA ratio (%) CASA yoy growth (%, RHS)

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 4

    Expansion in CD ratio coupled with relatively low growth in CASA led to an

    increase of 11bp qoq in cost of funds to 6.5%. Yield on funds also went up by 9bp

    sequentially to 9.7%. Consequently, reported NIM remained flat to 3.3% in

    4QFY2012. Management has guided for reported NIM to be above 3.0% forFY2013 as compared to 3.3% witnessed in FY2012.

    Exhibit 6:Rise in cost of funds offset increase in yield on funds...

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:...results in nearly flat NIM

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Healthy growth in non-interest income in 4QFY2012

    Non-interest income grew at a healthy pace of 28.6% yoy, partly aided by higher

    recoveries from written-off accounts (`162cr in 4QFY2012 as against `98cr in

    4QFY2011). Treasury income grew by 13.4% yoy and 25.7% qoq to `127cr. Fee

    income showed traction during the quarter, with healthy growth of 21.7% yoy(24.8% qoq). We expect core fee income to grow by 16.0% and 17.0% in FY2013

    and FY2014, respectively.

    Exhibit 8:Non-interest income grew partly due to higher recoveriesParticulars (` cr) 4QFY12 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) 4QFY11 % chg (yoy)CEB 403 323 24.8 332 21.7

    Treasury 127 101 25.7 112 13.4

    Recoveries 162 90 80.0 98 65.3

    Others 63 78 (19.2) 59 6.8

    Other income 755 592 27.6 601 25.8Other income excl. treasury 628 491 28.0 489 28.6

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Slippages normalize; restructured book up by 37.4% qoq on

    absolute basis

    On the asset-quality front, the banks slippages normalized to `607cr (annualized

    slippage ratio of 1.6%) from an average quarterly run rate of `890cr over the past

    four quarters. Recoveries and upgrades at `255cr were also higher than the

    average quarterly run-rate of `211cr, which aided the bank to partially

    compensate the increase in gross slippages, leading to a 4.6% qoq increase inabsolute gross NPAs and a 5.1% qoq increase in net NPAs. Consequently, gross

    and net NPA ratios improved by 32bp and 18bp qoq, respectively. Provision

    coverage ratio (including technical write-offs) dipped by 92bp qoq to 62.2%.

    5.54

    6.16 6.256.43

    6.54

    4.50

    5.00

    5.50

    6.00

    6.50

    7.00

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

    3.44

    3.10

    3.21

    3.313.26

    2.70

    2.90

    3.10

    3.30

    3.50

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    (%)

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 5

    The bank restructured advances worth `3,236cr during the quarter, taking the

    outstanding restructured book to `11,879cr (6.7% of loan book in 4QFY2012 as

    against 5.5% in 3QFY2012). Out of the total restructured book, the bank has till

    date witnessed slippages of 10.3%. In terms of restructuring pipeline, the bankexpects one discom to be restructured in 1QFY2013 (exposure of ~`1,100cr).

    Management sounded confident that the bank would take no NPV loss on any SEB

    restructuring.

    On the back of moderating asset-quality pressures evident from the stabilization in

    slippages from the high average run rate over the past four quarters, we have

    reduced our provisioning estimates for the bank by 7.7% for FY2013.

    Exhibit 9:Slippages normalize at 1.6%

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 10:Asset quality improves slightly

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11:185 branches added in FY2012

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 12:Cost ratios remain under control

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    1.4

    2.0

    4.8

    1.5

    1.60.2

    0.6

    0.9

    0.7

    0.4

    0.1

    0.4

    0.7

    1.0

    -

    1.5

    3.0

    4.5

    6.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Slippages (%) Credit cost (%, RHS)

    2.4

    2.6

    3.5

    3.3

    3.0

    1.2

    1.3

    2.0

    1.9

    1.7

    67.6 68.2

    60.5

    63.1 62.2

    50.0

    55.0

    60.0

    65.0

    70.0

    -

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Gross NPAs (%) Net NPAs (%) PCR (%, RHS)

    3,

    016

    3,

    038

    3,

    051

    3,

    177

    3,

    201

    2,634 2,6732,757

    3,025

    3,801

    2,000

    2,300

    2,600

    2,900

    3,200

    3,500

    3,800

    4,100

    2,900

    3,000

    3,100

    3,200

    3,300

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Branches ATMs (RHS)

    62.5

    43.8

    44.3

    45.9

    39.3

    2.6

    1.5 1.61.8

    1.6

    -

    0.6

    1.2

    1.8

    2.4

    3.0

    -

    15.0

    30.0

    45.0

    60.0

    75.0

    4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12

    Cost-to-income ratio (%) Opex to average assets (%, RHS)

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 6

    Investment argument

    Asset-quality improves

    Union Bank of India has managed to improve its asset quality in the past twoquarters, as evident from gross annualized slippage rate of 1.6% as of 4QFY2012,

    much lower from the spate of high slippages witnessed a few quarters earlier.

    In fact, slippages went as high as 4.8% as of 2QFY2012.

    Outlook and valuation

    Going ahead, we expect the bank to report reasonable earnings in FY2013,

    considering the asset quality improvement, as evident from normalization of

    slippages at 1.5-1.6%, much lower than the average quarterly run rate, minimal

    profitability impact of a sharp rise in restructuring and further cushion expected

    from pick-up in recoveries from technically slipped accounts. In our view, UnionBank of India, though structurally among the better large PSU banks, is trading at

    attractive valuations of 0.7x FY2014E P/ABV, much lower than peers. Hence,

    we recommend a Buy rating on the stock with a target price of `276.

    Exhibit 13:Key assumptionsParticulars (%) Earlier estimates Revised estimatesFY2013 FY2014 FY2013 FY2014Credit growth 13.0 15.0 16.0 17.0

    Deposit growth 13.0 17.0 20.0 20.0

    CASA ratio 32.7 32.4 29.8 28.9NIMs 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8

    Other income growth 4.3 3.3 (11.1) 15.8

    Growth in staff expenses (3.0) 15.0 15.0 15.0

    Growth in other expenses 10.0 15.0 15.0 15.0

    Slippages 3.5 3.0 2.0 2.0

    Treasury gain/(loss) (% of investments) 63.0 65.0 70.0 75.0

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 14:Change in estimatesParticulars (` cr) FY2013 FY2014Earlierestimates Revisedestimates %chg Earlierestimates Revisedestimates %chgNII 8,126 8,141 0.2 9,441 9,452 0.1

    Non-interest income 2,225 2,074 (6.8) 2,547 2,402 (5.7)

    Operating income 10,352 10,215 (1.3) 11,987 11,854 (1.1)Operating expenses 4,616 4,586 (0.7) 5,309 5,273 (0.7)

    Pre-prov. profit 5,735 5,630 (1.8) 6,679 6,581 (1.5)Provisions & cont. 2,310 2,132 (7.7) 2,517 2,470 (1.9)

    PBT 3,425 3,498 2.1 4,161 4,111 (1.2)

    Prov. for taxes 1,111 1,135 2.1 1,350 1,334 (1.2)

    PAT 2,314 2,363 2.1 2,811 2,777 (1.2)Source: Company, Angel Research

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 7

    Exhibit 15:P/ABV band

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    A

    pr-06

    O

    ct-06

    A

    pr-07

    O

    ct-07

    A

    pr-08

    O

    ct-08

    A

    pr-09

    O

    ct-09

    A

    pr-10

    O

    ct-10

    A

    pr-11

    O

    ct-11

    A

    pr-12

    O

    ct-12

    Price (`) 0.7x 1x 1.3x 1.6x 1.9x

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 8

    Exhibit 16: Recommendation summary

    Company Reco. CMP(`) Tgt. price(`) Upside(%) FY2014EP/ABV (x) FY2014ETgt. P/ABV (x) FY2014EP/E (x) FY2012-14EEPS CAGR (%) FY2014ERoA (%) FY2014ERoE (%)AxisBk Buy 979 1,587 62.1 1.3 2.2 7.0 16.4 1.5 20.3

    FedBk Neutral 408 - - 1.0 - 7.1 13.0 1.3 14.5

    HDFCBk Accumulate 517 567 9.7 3.0 3.3 14.6 27.0 1.7 22.1

    ICICIBk* Buy 813 1,201 47.8 1.3 1.9 10.0 20.4 1.5 16.0

    SIB Neutral 23 - - 1.1 - 6.1 4.5 0.8 17.5

    YesBk Buy 326 470 43.9 1.7 2.4 7.9 22.5 1.4 23.3

    AllBk Accumulate 152 166 9.3 0.6 0.7 3.6 6.2 0.9 17.6

    AndhBk Neutral 105 - - 0.6 - 4.1 3.3 0.9 16.0

    BOB Buy 641 925 44.5 0.7 1.1 4.3 11.1 1.1 18.2

    BOI Buy 353 411 16.3 0.7 1.0 4.4 23.3 0.8 16.9

    BOM Buy 48 57 18.7 0.6 0.7 3.7 45.3 0.7 17.2

    CanBk Buy 419 522 24.7 0.7 0.9 4.5 11.8 0.9 16.4CentBk Neutral 77 - - 0.7 - 3.9 45.7 0.5 13.8

    CorpBk Buy 404 504 24.7 0.5 0.7 3.6 5.3 0.8 16.5

    DenaBk Buy 84 118 39.8 0.5 0.7 3.3 6.2 0.9 16.9

    IDBI# Buy 92 117 26.5 0.6 0.7 3.9 22.7 0.9 14.8

    IndBk Buy 196 240 22.4 0.7 0.8 4.0 5.4 1.2 18.2

    IOB Buy 82 101 23.7 0.5 0.6 3.8 28.3 0.6 13.9

    J&KBk Neutral 854 - - 0.8 - 4.4 8.8 1.4 18.6

    OBC Buy 220 285 29.6 0.5 0.6 3.4 27.7 0.8 14.3

    PNB Buy 754 1,117 48.1 0.7 1.1 4.3 10.3 1.0 18.1

    SBI* Buy 1,844 2,593 40.6 1.1 1.6 6.8 23.6 1.0 19.1

    SynBk Buy 91 128 41.1 0.5 0.8 3.3 8.7 0.8 17.1

    UcoBk Neutral 68 - - 0.8 - 4.7 7.0 0.5 13.4

    UnionBk Buy 203 276 35.9 0.7 0.9 4.0 24.8 0.8 17.5UtdBk Buy 58 85 46.3 0.4 0.6 2.7 11.4 0.7 15.9

    VijBk Neutral 53 - - 0.6 - 4.3 13.5 0.5 13.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries), #Without adjusting for SASF

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 9

    Income statementY/E March (` cr) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14ENII 3,814 4,192 6,216 6,909 8,141 9,452- YoY Growth (%) 23.6 9.9 48.3 11.1 17.8 16.1Other Income 1,483 1,975 2,039 2,332 2,074 2,402- YoY Growth (%) 20.3 33.2 3.2 14.4 (11.1) 15.8

    Operating Income 5,296 6,167 8,255 9,241 10,215 11,854- YoY Growth (%) 22.6 16.4 33.9 11.9 10.5 16.0

    Operating Expenses 2,214 2,508 3,950 3,988 4,586 5,273- YoY Growth (%) 39.0 13.3 57.5 1.0 15.0 15.0

    Pre - Provision Profit 3,082 3,659 4,305 5,254 5,630 6,581- YoY Growth (%) 13.1 18.7 17.6 22.0 7.2 16.9

    Prov. & Cont. 725 826 1,350 2,541 2,132 2,470- YoY Growth (%) (16.2) 13.9 63.3 88.3 (16.1) 15.9

    Profit Before Tax 2,357 2,833 2,955 2,713 3,498 4,111- YoY Growth (%) 26.7 20.2 4.3 (8.2) 28.9 17.5

    Prov. for Taxation 630 758 873 926 1,135 1,334- as a % of PBT 26.7 26.8 29.6 34.1 32.4 32.4

    PAT 1,727 2,075 2,082 1,787 2,363 2,777- YoY Growth (%) 24.5 20.2 0.3 (14.2) 32.2 17.5

    Balance sheetY/E March (` cr) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EShare Capital 505 505 635 662 662 662Reserves & Surplus 8,235 9,919 12,129 13,971 15,780 17,906

    Deposits 138,703 170,040 202,461 222,869 267,443 320,931

    - Growth (%) 33.5 22.6 19.1 10.1 20.0 20.0

    Borrowings 3,885 3,125 7,126 7,918 9,451 11,296

    Tier 2 Capital 4,890 6,090 6,190 9,992 11,590 13,561

    Other Liab & Prov. 4,757 5,483 7,443 6,800 8,071 9,709

    Total Liabilities 160,976 195,162 235,984 262,211 312,997 374,064Cash balances 8,992 12,468 17,610 11,634 10,698 12,837

    Bank balances 6,993 3,308 2,488 4,042 4,824 5,766

    Investments 42,997 54,404 58,399 62,364 83,706 105,262

    Advances 96,534 119,315 150,986 177,882 206,343 241,422

    - Growth (%) 29.8 23.6 26.5 17.8 16.0 17.0

    Fixed Assets 2,335 2,305 2,293 2,336 2,705 3,135

    Other Assets 3,124 3,361 4,208 3,955 4,721 5,642

    Total Assets 160,976 195,162 235,984 262,211 312,997 374,064- Growth (%) 29.7 21.2 20.9 11.1 19.4 19.5

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    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 10

    Ratio analysisY/E March FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13E FY14EProfitability ratios (%)NIMs 2.8 2.4 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.8Cost to Income Ratio 41.8 40.7 47.8 43.1 44.9 44.5

    RoA 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8

    RoE 27.2 26.2 20.9 14.8 17.0 17.5

    B/S ratios (%)CASA Ratio 30.1 31.7 31.8 31.3 29.8 28.9

    Credit/Deposit Ratio 69.6 70.2 74.6 79.8 77.2 75.2

    CAR 12.0 12.5 13.0 15.4 13.7 13.2

    - Tier I 7.4 7.9 8.7 8.9 7.8 7.4

    Asset Quality (%)Gross NPAs 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.1

    Net NPAs 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.3

    Slippages 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.0 2.0

    Loan Loss Prov./Avg. Assets 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6

    Provision Coverage 83.1 74.0 66.8 62.2 70.0 75.0

    Per Share Data (`)EPS 34.2 41.1 39.6 32.3 42.7 50.2

    ABVPS 139.7 173.6 202.6 216.6 259.1 306.7

    DPS 5.0 5.5 8.0 8.0 8.5 10.0

    Valuation RatiosPER (x) 5.9 4.9 5.1 6.3 4.8 4.0

    P/ABVPS (x) 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7

    Dividend Yield 2.5 2.7 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.9

    DuPont Analysis (%)NII 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8

    (-) Prov. Exp. 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.7

    Adj. NII 2.2 1.9 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.0

    Treasury 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

    Int. Sens. Inc. 2.4 2.2 2.5 2.0 2.2 2.1

    Other Inc. 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6

    Op. Inc. 3.2 3.0 3.2 2.7 2.8 2.7

    Opex 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.5PBT 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.2

    Taxes 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4

    RoA before pref. div. 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8

    Pref. div. - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    RoA 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8Leverage (x) 22.5 22.5 21.7 20.7 20.8 21.7

    RoE 27.2 26.2 20.9 14.8 17.0 17.5

  • 7/31/2019 Union Bank of India Result Updated

    11/11

    Union Bank of India | 4QFY2012 Result Update

    May 10, 2012 11

    Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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