11
 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report  1  Y/E March ( ` cr) 4QFY12 4QFY11 % chg (yoy) 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) Net sales 3,038 2,299 32.2 2,826 7.5 Operating profit 255 245 3.9 164 55.7 Net profit 9 9 (2.9) 70 (87.2)  Source: Company, Angel Research For 4QFY2012, Punj Lloyd (Punj) posted a mixed set of numbers with decent performance on the revenue front; however, the company reported dismal performance on the earnings front mainly on account of higher interest cost. Punj has received orders worth  ` 13,817cr (commendable job in a gloomy environment) during FY2012 against  ` 9,978cr in FY2011, taking its order backlog to  ` 27,276cr (2.6x FY2012 revenue). However,  we maintain our Neutral view on the stock on account of various overhangs – uncertainty over receivable claims, stretched working capital, increasing leverage on the balance sheet and auditor qualifications. Mixed performance: For 4QFY2012, Punj posted 32.2% yoy top-line growth to  ` 3,038cr. The company’s EBITDA margin for the quarter stood at 8.4% in 4QFY2012 against 10.7% in 4QFY2011. Interest and depreciation cost came in at  ` 187cr and  ` 70cr, respectively. Interest cost witnessed a jump of 37.0%/15.2% on a yoy/qoq basis, respectively. On the earnings front, Punj reported profit of  ` 9cr, registering a decline of 2.9% on a yoy basis. Outlook and valuation: We are revising our estimates for FY2013 and FY2014 to factor in the company’s mixed performance in 4QFY2012. As compared to the previous quarters, Punj has performed better in 2HFY2012; also, a few positives (such as healthy order inflow and reduction in auditor qualification) have emerged during the past two quarters. However, owing to the erratic performance posted by the company in the past, continuance of this performance remains in doubt. We continue to remain Neutral on the stock due to headwinds faced by the company (mentioned above). Key financials (Consolidated) Y/E March ( ` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E Net sales 8,139 10,557 11,592 12,993 % chg (22.1) 29.7 9.8 12.1 Adj. net profit (60) 92 60 106 % chg - - (34.2) 74.8 FDEPS ( ` ) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2 EBITDA margin (%) 8.9 8.5 8.4 8.4 P/E (x) - 18.9 28.7 16.4 RoAE (%) (2.0) 3.0 2.0 3.4 RoACE (%) 5.9 7.2 7.3 8.0 P/BV (x) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 EV/EBITDA (x) 7.0 7.4 6.9 6.6 Source: Company, Angel Research NEUTRAL CMP  ` 54 Target Price - Investment Period - Stock Info Sector Bloomberg Code Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 37.2 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 19.4 FII / NRIs / OCBs 11.7 Indian Public / Others 31.7  Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex ( 0.8) (8.9) 51.7  Punj Lloyd ( 4.8) ( 20.6 ) ( 59.0)  2 17,302 5,239 PUJL.BO PUNJ@IN 1,734 1.8  82/37 1,079,719  Infrastructure  Avg. D aily Volume Market Cap (  ` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Face Value (  ` ) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code  Nitin Arora 022-39357800 Ext: 6842 [email protected] Punj Lloyd Performance Highlights 4QFY2012 Result Update | Infrastruct ure May 2, 2012

Punj Lloyd Result Updated

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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report  1

 

Y/E March (` cr) 4QFY12 4QFY11 % chg (yoy) 3QFY12 % chg (qoq)

Net sales 3,038 2,299 32.2 2,826 7.5

Operating profit 255 245 3.9 164 55.7

Net profit 9 9 (2.9) 70 (87.2)

 Source: Company, Angel Research

For 4QFY2012, Punj Lloyd (Punj) posted a mixed set of numbers with decent

performance on the revenue front; however, the company reported dismal

performance on the earnings front mainly on account of higher interest cost. Punj

has received orders worth  ` 13,817cr (commendable job in a gloomy 

environment) during FY2012 against  ` 9,978cr in FY2011, taking its order

backlog to  ` 27,276cr (2.6x FY2012 revenue). However, we maintain our Neutral

view on the stock on account of various overhangs – uncertainty over receivable

claims, stretched working capital, increasing leverage on the balance sheet and

auditor qualifications.

Mixed performance: For 4QFY2012, Punj posted 32.2% yoy top-line growth to

 ` 3,038cr. The company’s EBITDA margin for the quarter stood at 8.4% in

4QFY2012 against 10.7% in 4QFY2011. Interest and depreciation cost came in

at  ` 187cr and  ` 70cr, respectively. Interest cost witnessed a jump of 37.0%/15.2%

on a yoy/qoq basis, respectively. On the earnings front, Punj reported profit of

 ` 9cr, registering a decline of 2.9% on a yoy basis.

Outlook and valuation: We are revising our estimates for FY2013 and FY2014 to

factor in the company’s mixed performance in 4QFY2012. As compared to the

previous quarters, Punj has performed better in 2HFY2012; also, a few positives

(such as healthy order inflow and reduction in auditor qualification) have

emerged during the past two quarters. However, owing to the erratic performance

posted by the company in the past, continuance of this performance remains in

doubt. We continue to remain Neutral on the stock due to headwinds faced by the

company (mentioned above).

Key financials (Consolidated)

Y/E March (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

Net sales 8,139 10,557 11,592 12,993

% chg (22.1) 29.7 9.8 12.1

Adj. net profit (60) 92 60 106

% chg - - (34.2) 74.8

FDEPS (`) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2

EBITDA margin (%) 8.9 8.5 8.4 8.4

P/E (x) - 18.9 28.7 16.4

RoAE (%) (2.0) 3.0 2.0 3.4

RoACE (%) 5.9 7.2 7.3 8.0

P/BV (x) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5

EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

EV/EBITDA (x) 7.0 7.4 6.9 6.6

Source: Company, Angel Research

NEUTRALCMP  ` 54

Target Price - 

Investment Period - 

Stock Info

Sector

Bloomberg Code

Shareholding Pattern (%)

Promoters 37.2

MF / Banks / Indian Fls 19.4

FII / NRIs / OCBs 11.7

Indian Public / Others 31.7

 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

Sensex (0.8) (8.9) 51.7 

Punj Lloyd (4.8) (20.6) (59.0) 

2

17,3025,239

PUJL.BO

PUNJ@IN

1,734

1.8 

82/37

1,079,719 

Infrastructure

 Avg. Daily Volume

Market Cap ( `  cr)

Beta

52 Week High / Low

Face Value ( ` )

BSE SensexNifty 

Reuters Code

 

Nitin Arora

022-39357800 Ext: 6842

[email protected]

Punj Lloyd

Performance Highlights

4QFY2012 Result Update | Infrastructure

May 2, 2012

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 2

Exhibit 1: 4QFY2012 performance (Consolidated)

Y/E March (` cr) 4QFY12 4QFY11 % yoy chg 3QFY12 % qoq chg FY2012 FY2011 % chg

Net sales 3,038 2,299 32.2 2,826 7.5 10,557 8,139 29.7

Total expenditure 2,783 2,053 35.5 2,662  4.5 9,660 7,411 30.3Operating profit 255 245 3.9 164 55.7 897 728 23.3

OPM (%) 8.4 10.7 (230)bp 5.8  260bp 8.5 8.9 (40)bp

Interest 187 136 37.0 162 15.2 633 463 36.5

Depreciation 70 70 (0.1) 89 (21.7) 299 269 11.0

Non operating income 17 6  200.9 195 (91.2) 227 21 994.0

Nonrecurring items - - - - - - - -

Profit Before tax 16 45 (65.3) 107 (85.5) 193 16 1,115.8

Tax (5) 26 (119.2) 33 (115.6) 81 66  21.7

PAT 21 18 12.1 75 (72.3)  112 (50) - 

Share of Profits/ (Losses) of Asso. (3) (3) - (5) - (11) 2 -

Share of Profits/ (Losses) of MI (9) 2 - 1 - (9) (3) -

PAT after MI and Share of Asso. 9 9 (2.9) 70 (87.2) 92 (60) -

PAT (%) 0.3 0.8 - 2.6 - 1.1 (0.6) -

Adjusted PAT 9 9 (2.9) 70 (87.2) 92 (60) -

 Adj. PAT (%) 0.3 0.4 - 2.5 - 0.9 (0.7) -

FDEPS (`) 0.3 0.3 (2.9) 2.1 - 2.8 (1.8) -

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Decent top-line growth

For 4QFY2012, Punj posted 32.2% yoy top-line growth to  ` 3,038cr. On a

sequential basis as well, revenue increased by 7.5%.  As per management, the

company’s 4QFY2012 performance has been strong on the back of robust growth

delivered by its domestic business, mainly driven by the oil and gas and power

sectors.  Internationally, Punj is looking to expand its presence in Africa. As per

management, high working capital and borrowing costs continue to pose

challenges and, hence, Punj is exploring avenues of paring this debt and

improving the quality of its balance sheet.

Going forward, the company would be focusing on the following:

1)  Bringing down the cost of debt by shifting debt to some other geography 

where cost of debt is lower.

2)  Improving profitability and working capital cycle.

Libya: On the Libyan orders (~ ` 3,900cr) front, Punj is hopeful that the new

government will honor the contracts. As per the company, resource mobilization is

continuing at Libya and execution of upstream and oil and gas projects is expected

to resume shortly. Accordingly, auditors have invited attention to the Libya issue as

Emphasis of Matter only. However, political situation in Libya has not stabilized yet

and the company is hoping that some stability will emerge in the next 3-6 months.

Heera: In ONGC Heera matter, arbitration proceedings, which had been initiated,

have been adjourned on mutual agreement. The dispute is being referred

to Outside Expert Committee (OEC). This would likely resolve the

dispute expeditiously. Further, there has been a reduction in auditor qualifications

regarding non-accounting of liquidation damages on Heera project from

 ` 65cr to  ` 7cr.

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 3

Exhibit 2: Revenue growth on a healthy execution pace 

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Quarterly order inflow and backlog 

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Higher interest cost mars earnings growth

The company’s EBITDA margin for the quarter stood at 8.4% against 10.7% in

4QFY2011. Going ahead, management is confident that the company will be able

to maintain its EBITDA margin at 8-11%. Hence, we are estimating EBITDAM of

8.4% for FY2013 and FY2014, respectively. Interest and depreciation cost came in

at  ` 187cr and  ` 70cr, respectively. Interest cost witnessed a jump of 37.0%/15.2%

on a yoy/qoq basis, respectively. On the earnings front, Punj reported profit of

 ` 9cr, registering a decline of 2.9% on a yoy basis.  

Exhibit 4: EBITDAM trend

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 5: Erratic performance at earnings level continues

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Order book analysis

Order inflow during FY2012 stood at  ` 13,817cr vs.  ` 9,978cr in FY2011, taking

the company’s outstanding order book to  ` 27,276cr (2.6x FY2012 revenue). Punj

has done a commendable job in terms of order inflow in an otherwise gloomy 

environment for orders.  However, order inflow for 4QFY2012 has been muted

with the company bagging orders worth  ` 1,453cr during the quarter. The

company’s order book is dominated by the infrastructure (44.4%) and process

(19.2%) segments. Geographically, South Asia contributes 47.7% to the company’s

order book, followed by Middle East & CIS and Asia Pacific, which contribute21.0% and 15.1%, respectively.  Going ahead, management will continue to

explore opportunities in Southeast Asia, Middle East and Africa. 

37.4

12.2

(1.9)(6.9)

(44.9)(41.7)

(30.8)(27.0)

29.4 30.5

20.3

33.4 32.2

(50.0)

(40.0)

(30.0)

(20.0)

(10.0)

-

10.020.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

     4     Q     F     Y     0     9

     1     Q     F     Y     1     0

     2     Q     F     Y     1     0

     3     Q     F     Y     1     0

     4     Q     F     Y     1     0

     1     Q     F     Y     1     1

     2     Q     F     Y     1     1

     3     Q     F     Y     1     1

     4     Q     F     Y     1     1

     1     Q     F     Y     1     2

     2     Q     F     Y     1     2

     3     Q     F     Y     1     2

     4     Q     F     Y     1     2

Sales (` cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS)

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

     4     Q     F     Y     0     9

     1     Q     F     Y     1     0

     2     Q     F     Y     1     0

     3     Q     F     Y     1     0

     4     Q     F     Y     1     0

     1     Q     F     Y     1     1

     2     Q     F     Y     1     1

     3     Q     F     Y     1     1

     4     Q     F     Y     1     1

     1     Q     F     Y     1     2

     2     Q     F     Y     1     2

     3     Q     F     Y     1     2

     4     Q     F     Y     1     2

Order Inflow (` cr, LHS) Order Book (` cr, LHS)

(2.2)

10.4 7.4 7.7

(29.0)

7.7 9.2 4.5 10.7 8.0 8.4 5.8 8.4

(35.0)

(30.0)

(25.0)

(20.0)

(15.0)

(10.0)

(5.0)

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

     4     Q     F     Y     0     9

     1     Q     F     Y     1     0

     2     Q     F     Y     1     0

     3     Q     F     Y     1     0

     4     Q     F     Y     1     0

     1     Q     F     Y     1     1

     2     Q     F     Y     1     1

     3     Q     F     Y     1     1

     4     Q     F     Y     1     1

     1     Q     F     Y     1     2

     2     Q     F     Y     1     2

     3     Q     F     Y     1     2

     4     Q     F     Y     1     2

EBITDA ` cr, LHS EBITDAM %, RHS

(8.1)

4.21.8

0.5

(1.8) (1.8)

1.2

(2.8)

0.4(0.6)

1.0

2.5

0.3

(10.0)

(8.0)

(6.0)

(4.0)

(2.0)

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

-300

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

     4     Q     F     Y     0     9

     1     Q     F     Y     1     0

     2     Q     F     Y     1     0

     3     Q     F     Y     1     0

     4     Q     F     Y     1     0

     1     Q     F     Y     1     1

     2     Q     F     Y     1     1

     3     Q     F     Y     1     1

     4     Q     F     Y     1     1

     1     Q     F     Y     1     2

     2     Q     F     Y     1     2

     3     Q     F     Y     1     2

     4     Q     F     Y     1     2

PAT (` cr, LHS) PATM (%, RHS)

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 4

Exhibit 6: Order backlog – Sector wise ( `  cr) 

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 7: Order backlog – Geography wise ( `  cr) 

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Outlook and valuation

 We are revising our estimates for FY2013 and FY2014 mainly to factor in good

performance on the revenue front and higher interest expense in 4QFY2012. Our

revised revenue estimates for FY2013 and FY2014 are  ` 11,592cr (earlier

 ` 10,592cr) and  ` 12,993cr (earlier  ` 12,193cr), respectively. EBITDAM remains

unchanged for FY2013 and FY2014. However, we are now estimating PAT of

 ` 74cr (earlier  ` 96cr) and  ` 106cr (earlier  ` 151cr) for FY2013 and FY2014,

respectively, considering the increase of 37.0%/15.2% on a yoy/qoq basis,

respectively, in interest cost in 4QFY2012.

Exhibit 8: Change in estimates

FY2013E FY2014E

Earlier Estimates Revised Estimates Variation (%) Earlier Estimates Revised Estimates Variation (%)

Revenues ( ` cr) 10,592 11,592 9.4 12,193 12,993 6.6

EBITDA Margin (%) 8.4 8.4 - 8.4 8.4 -

PAT ( ` cr) 96 74 (23.4) 151 106 (30.2)

 Source: Company, Angel Research

 As compared to the previous quarters, Punj performed better in 2HFY2012; also, a

few positives (such as healthy order inflow and reduction in auditor qualification)

emerged during the past two quarters. However, owing to the erratic performance

posted by the company in the past, continuance of this performance remains in

doubt. We continue to remain Neutral on the stock due to headwinds faced by the

company.

Exhibit 9:  Angel EPS forecast vs. consensus

Angel Forecast Bloomberg consensus Variation (%)

FY2013E 1.8 4.3 (57.4)

FY2014E 3.2 6.1 (48.1)

 Source: Company, Angel Research

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 5

Exhibit 10: Recommendation Summary 

Company CMP TP Rating Top-line (` cr) EPS (`) Adj. P/E OB/

FY12E FY13E FY14E CAGR (%) FY12E FY13E FY14E CAGR (%) FY12E FY13E FY14E Sales(x)

 ABL 210 302 Buy 1,522 2,014 2,294  22.7 18.0 28.4 30.8 30.8 11.7 7.4 6.8 4.2CCCL 15 - Neutral 2,145 2,526 2,792 14.1 (1.1) 1.8 2.8 - - 8.2 5.3 2.7

HCC 20 - Neutral 3,988 4,239 4,522 6.5 (3.7) (1.8) (0.8) - - - - 3.8

IRB Infra 168 228 Buy 3,176 3,821 4,582  20.1 14.2 15.0 16.9 9.4 11.9 11.2 9.9 -

ITNL 184 265 Buy 5,178 6,619 7,263 18.4 22.4 24.7 26.2 8.3 8.2 7.4 7.0 5.2

IVRCL 61 79 Buy 5,057 5,758 6,860 16.5 2.0 4.7 6.0 72.7 30.1 13.0 10.1 4.4

JP Assoc. 74 104 Buy 13,963 16,017 18,359 14.7 2.9 4.2 5.0 30.9 25.2 17.6 14.7 -

L&T 1,215 1,641 Buy 53,779 60,258 69,900 14.0 63.5 70.7 76.2 9.5 19.1 17.2 15.9 3.3

Madhucon 54 84 Buy 1,952 2,503 2,903  21.9 4.4 5.8 6.5  21.8 12.1 9.2 8.2 3.8

NCC 47 76 Buy 4,946 5,790 7,022 19.1 1.4 3.5 5.4 97.6 34.3 13.6 8.8 4.3

Patel Engg 106 - Neutral 3,573 3,609 3,836 3.6 14.9 14.0 14.5 (1.1) 7.1 7.5 7.3 2.7

Punj Lloyd 52 - Neutral 10,557 11,592 12,993 10.9 2.8 1.8 3.2 7.2 18.9 28.7 16.4 2.6

Sadbhav 138 199 Buy 2,604 2,989 3,314 12.8 9.3 10.2 11.3 10.5 14.9 13.6 12.2 2.7

Simplex In. 227 316 Buy 5,929 6,732 7,902 15.4 19.6 27.2 35.1 33.9 11.6 8.3 6.5 2.9

 Source: Company, Angel Research

Exhibit 11: SOTP break-up

Company Core Const. Real Estate Road BOT Invst. In Subsidiaries Others Total

`  % to TP `  % to TP `  % to TP `  % to TP `  % to TP `  ABL 128  42 - - 174 58 - - - - 302

CCCL 20 100 - - - - - - - - 20

HCC (5) (20) 12 50 16 70 - - - - 23

IRB Infra 136 60 - - 88 38 4  2 - - 228

ITNL 38 14 - - 195 74 - - 32 12 265

IVRCL 54 69 - - - - 25 31 - - 79

JP Assoc. 34 32 27  26 - - - - 43  42 104

L&T 1,296 79 - - - - 344  21 - - 1,641

Madhucon 33 39 2  2 50 59 - - - 84

NCC 43 57 2  2 10 13 - - 22  28 76

Patel Engg 55 51 17 16 16 15 - - 19 18 106

Punj Lloyd 72 100 - - - - - - - - 72

Sadbhav 102 51 - - 98 49 - - - - 199

Simplex In. 316 100 - - - - - - - - 316

 Source: Company, Angel Research

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 6

Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)

Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

Net Sales 11,912 10,448 8,139 10,557 11,592 12,993

Other operating income - - - - - -Total operating income 11,912 10,448 8,139 10,557 11,592 12,993

% chg 53.6 (12.3) (22.1) 29.7 9.8 12.1

Total Expenditure 11,472 10,083 7,411 9,660 10,614 11,897

Net Raw Materials 3,751 3,770 2,328 3,273 3,350 3,755

Other Mfg costs 6,429 4,968 3,985 5,363 5,784 6,484

Personnel 1,292 1,345 1,126 1,193 1,310 1,468

Other - - - 150 170 190

EBITDA 440 365 728 897 978 1,096

% chg (36.4) (17.2) 99.7 23.3 9.0 12.1

(% of Net Sales) 3.7 3.5 8.9 8.5 8.4 8.4

Depreciation& Amortisation 177 227 269 299 318 342

EBIT 263 137 459 599 660 754

% chg (51.7) (47.8) 233.5 30.5 10.2 14.2

(% of Net Sales) 2.2 1.3 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8

Interest & other Charges 352 387 463 633 645 676

Other Income 71 108 21 227 95 114

(% of PBT) (406) (77) 131 118 87 59

Share in profit of Asso - - - - - -

Recurring PBT (17) (141) 16 193 109 191

% chg (103.9) 708.0 (111.2) 1,116.0 (43.4) 74.8

Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (19) (162) - - - -

PBT (reported) 1 21 16 193 109 191

Tax 226 137 66 81 35 62

(% of PBT) 16,925.9 654.4 417.7 41.8 32.5 32.5

PAT (225) (116) (50) 112 74 129

 Add: Share of earnings of asso. (7) 10 2 (11) (7) (13)

Less: Minority interest (MI) 6 (2) (3) (9) (6) (11)

Prior period items - - (8) - - -

PAT after MI (reported) (225) (108) (60) 92 60 106

ADJ. PAT (240) (363) (60) 92 60 106

% chg - 51.1 - - (34.2) 74.8(% of Net Sales) (2.0) (3.5) (0.7) 0.9 0.5 0.8

Basic EPS (`) (7.9) (10.9) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2

Fully Diluted EPS (̀ ) (7.2) (10.9) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2

% chg - 51.1 - - (34.2) 74.8

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 Punj Lloyd | 4QFY2012 Result Update

 

May 2, 2012 7

Balance Sheet (Consolidated)

Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E FY2014E

SOURCES OF FUNDS

Equity Share Capital 61 66 66 66 66 66Preference Capital - - - - - -

Reserves& Surplus 2,424 2,961 2,912 2,990 3,036 3,127

Shareholder’s Funds 2,485 3,027 2,979 3,056 3,103 3,194

Minority Interest 42 42 74 74 74 74

Total Loans 3,559 4,455 4,542 5,586 5,896 6,232

Deferred Tax Liability 174 184 156 156 156 156

Total Liabilities 6,260 7,709 7,752 8,872 9,229 9,656

APPLICATION OF FUNDS

Gross Block 2,653 3,120 3,365 3,865 4,185 4,506

Less: Acc. Depreciation 777 943 1,113 1,412 1,730 2,072

Net Block 1,875 2,178 2,252 2,453 2,455 2,434

Capital Work-in-Progress 297 160 213 292 209 207

Goodwill - - - - - -

Investments 661 382 384 384 384 384

Current Assets 8,295 8,828 9,367 11,532 12,527 13,731

Cash 812 611 1,215 673 916 717

Loans & Advances 1,053 1,042 1,013 1,314 1,443 1,617

Other 6,430 7,175 7,139 9,545 10,167 11,396

Current liabilities 4,895 3,843 4,468 5,794 6,350 7,103

Net Current Assets 3,400 4,985 4,898 5,739 6,177 6,627

Misc. Exp. not written off 0 - - - - -

Total Assets 6,260 7,709 7,752 8,872 9,229 9,656

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Cash Flow statement (Consolidated)

Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E FY2014E

Profit Before Tax 1 21 16 193 109 191

Depreciation 177 227 269 299 318 342Change in Working Capital 983 1,786 (690) 1,382 194 650

Less: Other income 71 108 21 227 95 114

Direct taxes paid 226 137 66 81 35 62

Cash Flow from Operations (1,101) (1,783) 888 (1,198) 102 (292)

(Inc.)/Dec. in Fixed Assets (653) (338) (297) (579) (237) (319)

(Inc.)/Dec. in Investments (115) 279 (2) - - -

Other income 71 108 21 227 95 114

Cash Flow from Investing (697) 50 (278) (352) (142) (205)

Issue of Equity - 648 (8) - - -

Inc./(Dec.) in loans 1,952 896 87 1,043 310 336

Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 11 6 6 14 14 14

Others (20) (6) (79) (21) (14) (24)

Cash Flow from Financing 1,921 1,532 (6) 1,008 283 298

Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 122 (201) 604 (542) 243 (200)

Opening Cash balances 690 812 611 1,215 673 916

Closing Cash balances 812 611 1,215 673 916 717

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Key Ratios

Y/E March FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E FY2013E

Valuation Ratio (x)

P/E (on FDEPS) - - - 18.9 28.7 16.4P/CEPS - - 8.3 4.4 4.6 3.9

P/BV 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5

Dividend yield (%) 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8

EV/Sales 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

EV/EBITDA 10.2 15.3 7.0 7.4 6.9 6.6

EV / Total Assets 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8

Order Book/Sales (x) 1.7 2.7 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4

Per Share Data (`)EPS (Basic) (7.9) (10.9) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2

EPS (fully diluted) (7.2) (10.9) (1.8) 2.8 1.8 3.2

Cash EPS (2.1) (4.1) 6.3 11.8 11.4 13.5

DPS 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4

Book Value 81.9 91.2 89.7 92.0 93.4 96.2

DuPont Analysis

EBIT margin 2.2 1.3 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8

Tax retention ratio - - - 58.2 67.6 67.6

 Asset turnover (x) 2.6 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5

ROIC (Post-tax) - - - 4.7 5.4 5.9

Cost of Debt (Post Tax) - - - 7.3 7.6 7.5

Leverage (x) 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6

Operating ROE - - - 1.3 1.9 3.2

Returns (%)

ROCE (Pre-tax) 4.9 2.0 5.9 7.2 7.3 8.0

 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 5.7 2.2 6.7 8.1 8.0 8.7

ROAE (9.2) (13.2) (2.0) 3.0 2.0 3.4

Turnover ratios (x)

 Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 5.0 3.6 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0

Inventory / Sales (days) 88 145 213 192 207 205

Receivables (days) 73 85 98 92 99 94

Payables (days) 125 151 195 186 199 197

 WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) 64 122 181 151 163 157Solvency ratios (x)

Net debt to equity 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.7

Net debt to EBITDA 6.2 10.5 4.6 5.5 5.1 5.0

Interest Coverage 0.7 0.4 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1

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Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbrokling.com

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trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's

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Disclosure of Interest Statement Punj Lloyd

1. Analyst ownership of the stock No

2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No

3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No

4. Broking relationship with company covered No

Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `  1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.

Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)