Slide 1

TXU Energy Low Income Advisory Committee March 20, 2014 Irving, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and Projections: Implications for Income Slide 2 Growing States, 2000-2010 2 2000 Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change 2000-2010 Percent Change 2000-2010 United States 281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas 20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6% California 33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0% Florida 15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6% Georgia 8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3% North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,17018.5% Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,38524.6% Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count. 65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the Hispanic population Slide 3 Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Annual Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194-- 19609,579,6771,868,4832.493.916.09 197011,196,7301,617,0531.786.7413.26 198014,229,1913,032,4612.741.5858.42 199016,986,5102,757,3192.065.8534.15 200020,851,8203,865,3102.349.6550.35 201025,145,5614,293,7412.154.9445.06 201226,060,796 915,2351.852.0547.95 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2012 3 Slide 4 Total Estimated Population by County, 2012 4 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 86% of population 92% of population growth (2011-2012) Slide 5 Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012 5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline Slide 6 Percent Hispanic, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2007-2011 Slide 7 Percent Families and Persons Living Below Poverty in the Past 12 Months, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2007-2011 Slide 8 Percent of the population that is native born, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample, 2007-2011 Slide 9 9 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Texas Economic Indicators, February 2014 Slide 10 Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 Slide 11 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 Slide 12 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 Slide 13 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 Slide 14 Percentage of Families Whose Income in the Past 12 Months is Below the Poverty Level, Texas 2006-2012 14 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year sample, 2006-2012 Slide 15 Household Income and Benefits, Texas, 2007-2012 15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year sample, 2007-2012 Slide 16 Median Household Income (dollars), Texas, 2006-2012 16 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year sample, 2006-2012 Slide 17 Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 17 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Slide 18 Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 18 Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario Slide 19 Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011 Level of Educational Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking High school diploma or equivalency or greater 81.1%48/49/50 (tied with CA and MS) Bachelors or greater26.4%29 19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011. Slide 20 Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009 20 Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater Slide 21 Trends in Educational Attainment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011 Slide 22 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 22 Sources: Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011 Slide 23 Birth rates for teenagers aged 1519, by race and Hispanic origin of mother: United States and each and state, 2011 Rank Area All races and origins Non- Hispanic white Non- Hispanic black Hispanic United States 31.321.847.449.4 1 Arkansas50.745.466.460.4 2 Mississippi50.240.861.442.9 3 New Mexico48.828.528.458.2 4 Oklahoma47.841.158.668.6 5 Texas46.927.447.465.7 6 Louisiana45.134.560.250.7 7 Kentucky43.542.451.557.6 8 West Virginia43.544.640.522.5 23 SOURCE: CDC/NCHS, Division of Vital Statistics. Preliminary data. Slide 24 Four Consumption Tiers for the 100 Vintage by Size Categories Ranked by Consumption in Annual SKBTUs per Square Foot, Texas Single Family Housing Units 24 Size/Vintage Before 1948 1948- 1957 1958- 1966 1967- 1974 1975- 1981 1982- 1986 1987- 1995 1996- 2000 2001- 2004 After 2004