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Transportation: San Francisco General Obligation Bond Oversight Committee March 16, 2020 City and County of San Francisco 10-Year Capital Plan Update 2014 Transportationand Road Improvement GO Bond Update SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program

Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

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Page 1: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: San Francisco

General Obligation Bond Oversight CommitteeMarch 16,2020

City and County of San Francisco 10-Year Capital Plan Update2014 Transportation and Road Improvement GO Bond UpdateSFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program

Page 2: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System NeedsUpdateSystem Management UpdateSystem Improvement UpdateSystem Financial Update

Page 3: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System NeedsUpdate

• SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan Update• CCSF 10-Year Capital Plan Update

Page 4: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

4

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency’s (SFMTA) 20-year Capital Plan is a need-based assessment of the SFMTA’s anticipated capital needs for the upcoming 20 years.

• It is a financially unconstrained plan and includes capital needs for which funding has not yet been committed

• The purpose of the Capital Plan is to identify all of the potential capital investment needs to achieve the City’s transportation goals

Page 5: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

5

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Page 6: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

6

Needs Management Improvement Financial

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan needs for the transportation system grew by $8.9 billion between 2017 and 2019.

$21.9 B2017

$30.7 B2019

Page 7: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

7

Needs Management Improvement Financial

• Increased investment needs in Streets to achieve Vision Zero safety goals.

• Increased investment in Fleet and Facility to support transition to an all-battery-electric fleet.

• Revised cost estimates in the Traffic Signals & Signs to better account for the total cost of the work.

• Investments in the Streets and Facility Program needed to better regulate emerging mobility.

• Increased investment needs in Transit Fixed Guideway to maintain the system in a state of good repair.

• Increased investment needs in Transit Optimization & Expansion include the next step in the Muni Forward program, building on current efforts to improve travel

time and reliability.

Vision Zero

Electric Bus Fleet Transition

Updating Costs based on Actuals

State of Good Repair

Next Generation of Muni Forward

Why the increase from 2017 to 2019?

Page 8: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

8

Needs Management Improvement Financial

PROGRAM

2017 Total Capital Needs (constant 2017 dollars, rounded)

Percent of 2017Capital Needs

2019 Total Capital Needs (constant 2019 dollars, rounded)

Percent of 2019Capital Needs

Percent Change from 2017

Communications &Information Technology $237 M 1.1 % $218 M 0.7 % -8.1 %

Facility $3,490 M 15.9 % $4,599 M 14.9 % 31.8 %

Fleet $4,540 M 20.7 % $5,419 M 17.6 % 19.4 %

Parking $671 M 3.1 % $681 M 2.2 % 1.4 %

Security $545 M 2.5 % $557 M 1.8 % 2.2 %

Streets $2,456 M 11.2 % $4,936 M 16.0 % 101.0 %

Taxi $65 M 0.3 % $65 M 0.2 % 0.1 %

Traffic Signals & Signs $576 M 2.6 % $1,488 M 4.8 % 158.3 %

Transit Fixed Guideway $1,310 M 6.0 % $1,755 M 5.7 % 34.0 %

Transit Optimization& Expansion $8,046 M 36.7 % $11,068 M 36.0 % 37.6 %

Total (all programs) $21,937 M $30,784 M

2019 Capital Plan Update Details:

Page 9: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco 9

Needs Management Improvement Financial

PROGRAM

2017 Total Capital Needs (constant 2017 dollars, rounded)

Percent of 2017Capital Needs

2019 Total Capital Needs (constant 2019 dollars, rounded)

Percent of 2019Capital Needs

Percent Change from 2017

Communications &Information Technology $237 M 1.1 % $218 M 0.7 % -8.1 %

Facility $3,490 M 15.9 % $4,599 M 14.9 % 31.8 %

Fleet $4,540 M 20.7 % $5,419 M 17.6 % 19.4 %

Parking $671 M 3.1 % $681 M 2.2 % 1.4 %

Security $545 M 2.5 % $557 M 1.8 % 2.2 %

Streets $2,456 M 11.2 % $4,936 M 16.0 % 101.0 %

Taxi $65 M 0.3 % $65 M 0.2 % 0.1 %

Traffic Signals & Signs $576 M 2.6 % $1,488 M 4.8 % 158.3 %

Transit Fixed Guideway $1,310 M 6.0 % $1,755 M 5.7 % 34.0 %

Transit Optimization& Expansion $8,046 M 36.7 % $11,068 M 36.0 % 37.6 %

Total (all programs) $21,937 M $30,784 M

2019 Capital Plan Update Details:

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

Page 10: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

CCSF-10 Year Capital Plan Update

10

Needs Management Improvement Financial

YEARLY SPENDING PLAN ($ Millions)PLANTOTAL

DEFERRED

FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 25-29

Original 667.3 751.2 528.6 436.1 626.2 1,999.2 5,008.7 4,549.7

Updated 470.7 523.1 403.7 496.8 491.2 2,197.0 4,582.5 10,383.4

Change (196.6) (228.1) (124.9) 60.7 (135.0) 197.8 (462.6) 5,833.7

SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1

Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7

With the update of the SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan and new 5-Year Capital Improvement Program revenue estimates the 10-Year Capital Plan requires update. Revenues are revised down and transportation system needs are revised up, deferrals have increased from $4.6 billion to $10.9 billion.

Page 11: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System Management Update

• Asset Management Program• 10-Year Asset Management Strategy• Transit Asset Management Plan• State of Good Repair Report

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Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA Asset Management Program

12

Needs Management Improvement Financial

A key objective of the SFMTA’s Asset Management Program to shift the business philosophy, advancing the SFMTA from a reactive to preventative operational environment.

Reactive Preventative

Page 13: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA Asset Management Program

13

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Program Objective:

Asset Management connects information about the San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency’s assets to decision making processes in order to maximize the performance, reliability and safety of the transportation system.

The result, excellent transportation choices.

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Transportation: San Francisco

10-Year Asset Management Strategy

14

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Inventory

Categorize

Prioritize

Assess

Deliver

Update

Capital Asset Inventory (CAI)

Asset Hierarchy

5-Year CIP

Condition

Assessments

AssetValidation

Project Delivery

EAMS/Systems

Enable consistent and accurate capital planning and reporting

Improve data accuracy and overall integrity

Address needs in capital budgets based on the criticality to the transportation system

Determine and/or confirm the real condition of assets

Ensure systems of record are updated as assets are capitalized and maintained

Page 15: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

Transit Asset Management Plan –49 CFR 625.25

15

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Element/Requirement

Asset Inventory

Asset Condition Assessment

Analytical Process + Decision Support Tool

Investment Prioritization (Ranked List of programs and projects)

Asset Management & State of Good Repair Policy

Implementation Strategy (How to implement the TAM Plan)

Key Activities (Actions over 4 years)

Resources(Required resources for implementation)

Monitoring & Evaluation Strategy

Page 16: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report

16

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The SFMTA has been producing an annual State of Good Repair Reportsince 2015.

• Provides an overview of the transportation system’s rehabilitation and replacement needs and invest impacts

• Outlines the state of the practice of transportation asset management

• The 2018 report was completed in June 2019

• The 2019 report is in development, and is expected to be complete in March 2020

https://www.sfmta.com/asset-management-program

Page 17: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Asset Total Replacement Value (2018)

17

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$3,514

$2,781

$1,938

$1,582

$1,126

$816 $891

$517 $566

$308

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

Stations OverheadTraction Power

System

Facilities Parking & Traffic Track Light RailVehicles

Train Control &Communications

Other Systems &Vehicles

Motor CoachVehicles

Trolley CoachVehicles

2016 Replacement Value 2017 Replacement Value 2018 Replacement Value

The total replacement value of the SFMTA’s assets in 2018 is $14.04 billion, broken up into the following asset classes. In FY 2018, fleet asset data was updated, reflecting the contract and actual cost of the new Muni Fleet. Preliminary data from the 2019 analysis reflects changes due to inflation adjustments and fleet procurement.

Page 18: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Asset Reporting Classification Matrix

18

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The SFMTA categorizes asset classes into Transit Service Critical (TSC) and Other SGR.

Transit Service Critical is defined as assets and systems that are essential to ensuring the safe and reliable functioning of the transit system, such as maintaining or replacing overhead wires, rail track, or transit vehicles.

Other SGR signifies investments that help to make the transportation network more efficient, and enjoyable for riders, along with maintenance of non-transit/street related assets such as pedestrian, bicycle, enforcement and administration.

Asset Class

Tra

nsi

t S

erv

ice

Cri

tica

l

1. Light Rail Vehicles 2. Motor Coach Vehicles 3. Overhead Catenary System 4. Track 5. Train Control & Communications6. Trolley Coach Vehicles7. Other Systems/Vehicles (TSC)

Oth

er

SG

R 8. Facilities 9. Parking & Traffic10. Stations 11. Other Systems/Vehicles (Other)

Page 19: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –TERM Modeling

19

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Transit Economics Requirement Model (TERM) Lite is a modeling tool developed by the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) used to assess the current physical condition and future investment needs of the nation’s transit assets/operators.

• The TERM model produces a condition score for each asset in the capital asset inventory based on the age and useful life of the asset.

• State of good repair analysis uses weighted condition scores based on the total replacement cost for asset condition scores.

• This creates a more accurate representation of the state of good repair of transportation system assets as it is more detrimental if a high-value asset has a low condition score than a low value asset.

• An asset is considered to be in a State of Good Repair if its score is 2.5 or higher.

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Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –TERM Modeling

20

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The average agency TERM Score in 2018 was 3.19. Overall transportation assets remain in a state of good repair.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2018 2014 2018 2014 2018

Excellent

Good

Adequate

Marginal

Poor

All Assets TSC Other SGR

3.24 3.19 3.38 2.933.133.32

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2018 2014 2018 2014 2018

Excellent

Good

Adequate

Marginal

Poor

All Assets TSC Other SGR

3.24 3.19 3.38 2.933.133.32

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2018 2014 2018 2014 2018

Excellent

Good

Adequate

Marginal

Poor

All Assets TSC Other SGR

3.24 3.19 3.38 2.933.133.32

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2018 2014 2018 2014 2018

Excellent

Good

Adequate

Marginal

Poor

All Assets TSC Other SGR

3.24 3.19 3.38 2.933.133.32

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Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Condition Score Trends

21

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Asset Class 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Facilities 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3

Light Rail Vehicles 3.1 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8

Motor Coach Vehicles 3.2 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.6

Other Systems & Vehicles 3.2 3 3.1 3.1 2.6

Overhead Traction Power System 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5

Parking & Traffic 2.8 2.8 3 2.9 2.4

Stations 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3

Track 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1

Train Control & Communications 2.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4

Trolley Coach Vehicles 2.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.6

Total Condition Score 3.24 3.33 3.32 3.3 3.19

20

19

Data Pen

din

g

The average agency TERM Score in 2018 is 3.19. The replacement of the trolley coach fleet resulted in a significant increase in the TERM score in 2018. Other Systems & Vehicles and Traffic Signal Infrastructure were reduced in 2018 as data was updated in the Capital Asset Inventory. Condition assessments are planned for 2020.

Page 22: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Estimated Backlog

22

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The transportation asset estimated backlog grew to $3.13 billion in 2018. Parking and Traffic assets represent the largest asset class in backlog at $950 million followed by Stations ($473 million), Facilities ($466 million) and Overhead ($420 million).

.

$ M

$500 M

$1000 M

$1500 M

$2000 M

$2500 M

$3000 M

$3500 M

2016$2.41 Billion

2017$2.62 Billion

2018$3.13 Billion

Transit Service Critical Other SGR

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Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Spending FY 2015 –FY 2018

23

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$28.54

$66.93

$9.61 $1.77 $2.71

$10.08

$61.23

$14.94

$-

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

Communication/ IT

Infastructure

Facility Fleet Parking Security Streets* Traffic / Signals Transit FixedGuideway

TransitOptimization /

Expansion

Milli

ons

FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018

$206.56

Page 24: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Planned Future Needs

24

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$578 M / YearFull scheduled asset replacement,

eliminate backlog

$500 M / YearReduce backlog by 50%

$422 M / YearNo growth in backlog

$281 M / YearTransit service critical needs met

$250 M / YearSGR investment commitment

$756 M / YearFull scheduled asset replacement,

eliminate backlog

$678 M / YearReduce backlog by 50%

$600 M / YearNo growth in backlog

$401 M / YearTransit service critical needs met

$250 M / YearSGR investment commitment

Annual SGR Need ($2018) Annual SGR Need (Escalated @ 3% per year)

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Transportation: San Francisco

State of Good Repair Report –Next Steps

25

Needs Management Improvement Financial

• In 2020, a condition assessment of Traffic Signal Assets will be completed, resulting in a new inventory, condition score and operational condition data.

• Additional condition assessments being initiated for Stations, Guideway, and Sustainable Streets assets.

• Integrate Asset Management data into the development of the FY 2021 – 2025 Capital Improvement Program.

• Target investments in the Capital Improvement Program that will deliver the most impact to the backlog and asset condition scores.

• Continue trend of investing a minimum of $250 million per year in the State of Good Repair of the Transportation System.

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System Improvement Update

• 5-Year Capital Improvement Program• Proposed FY 21 –25 CIP• 2014 Transportation & Road

Improvement GO Bond

Page 27: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program

27

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program is a fiscally constrained 5-year program of capital improvement and operational projects.

• An implementation plan for regional, citywide, and agency-wide strategies and policy goals

• Maintains credibility with external funding agencies (eg. MTC, FTA)

Page 28: Transportation: San Francisco Capital Planning · 2020. 3. 5. · SGR 227.8 246.9 211.0 274.6 244.2 1,242.1 Non-SGR 243.0 276.2 192.7 222.3 247.0 1,246.7 With the update of the SFMTA

Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –CIP Programs/Descriptions

28

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Purchase and rehabilitate transit vehicles including motor coaches, trolley coaches, light rail vehicles and paratransit vans

Fleet

Plan, design, engineer and construct traffic signals and associated infrastructure to improve mobility and safety on San Francisco streets and decrease transit travel time

Signals

Plan, design, rehabilitate and construct public parking facilities or street infrastructure related to public parking

Parking

Implement systems to optimize and support the taxi system in San Francisco to provide a better rider experience and promote low-emissions taxi vehicle use

Taxi

Plan, design and implement technology infrastructure upgrades to improve the efficiency and efficacy of the SFMTA and provide a better experience for customers and Employees.

Comm & IT

Plan, design, engineer and construct infrastructure improvements to improve travel time and increase the capacity and reliability of the transit system

Transit Optimization

Plan, design, engineer and construct improvements to critical infrastructure including rail track, overhead wires, and train control technology

Fixed Guideway

Plan, design and construct or implement systems to improve the security of the transit system

Security

Acquire, develop and/or rehabilitate transit station areas and maintenance facilities usedfor transit, traffic, and parking operations.

Facilities

Plan, design, engineer and construct improvements to street safety that promote walking, bicycling, and taking transit

Streets

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29

157 Projects$2.5 Billion Investment(down from $3.4 Billion in FY 2017-21 CIP)

• FY 2021-25 CIP project prioritization in progress

• Several large projects:

• Central Subway

• LRV Replacement and Expansion Acceleration

• Train Control System Upgrade

• Better Market Street

• Muni Forward

• Potrero Modernization

• Reserves proposed within each capital programStreets (e.g. Bicycle and

Pedestrian)

Transit Optimization

State of Good Repair (e.g. Fleet, Transit FG)

$-

$500,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1,500,000,000

$2,000,000,000

$2,500,000,000

$3,000,000,000

$3,500,000,000

Proposed FY21-25 CIP

$2.5B

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Proposed FY 2021-25 CIP

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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30

CIP Revenue Assumptions CIP Potential Revenues

Scheduled to go on the ballot in November 2022. Not included in current revenue assumptions.

2nd $500M GO Bond

Potential re-authorization of the Proposition K sales tax is not included in current revenue assumptions.

Proposition K

Significant capacity available but has impact on operating budget: debts service payments = ~$7M annually per $100M issued at current interest rates.

Revenue Bonds

One cent sales tax potentially scheduled to go on the ballot in November 2020. Expected to generate $100.6 billion over 40 years. Not included in revenue assumptions.

Regional Measure

Conservatively included at 80% of the three-year average of awarded amounts to SFMTA.

Competitive Grants

$140M in Regional Measure 3 (RM3) is included starting in FY2020-21. RM3 Core Capacity is included at $18 million starting in FY2020-21.

Regional Measure 3

The Transportation Network Tax (Proposition D) is assumed at $62 million from FY21-25 based on available data.

Proposition D

The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Transit Capital Priorities (TCP) is based on the Core Capacity Challenge Grant Program (CCGP) estimate.

FTA Transit Capital Priorities

The Transit and Intercity Rail Capacity Program (TIRCP) cap and trade grant is assumed at $60M in FY2024-25.

$60M TIRCP

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Revenue Assumptions and Options

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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31

Program FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 Total (Current)

Facility $47,213,263 $46,840,914 $71,862,148 $28,605,580 $5,232,380 $199,754,285

Fleet $156,442,559 $156,890,576 $173,717,887 $216,730,682 $266,474,279 $969,555,983

Security $2,048,291 $2,048,291 $2,048,291 $2,048,291 $2,048,291 $10,241,455

Signals $16,174,246 $3,115,000 $7,766,560 $1,515,986 $5,411,923 $33,983,715

Streets $63,560,800 $87,374,542 $51,098,909 $51,905,539 $49,854,904 $292,664,694

Taxi $330,000 $1,192,734 $430,000 $942,734 $230,000 $3,125,468

Transit Fixed Guideway $55,490,381 $65,578,218 $67,568,868 $83,789,306 $76,152,711 $348,579,484

Transit Optimization $217,520,809 $90,940,815 $141,954,073 $71,546,123 $92,089,841 $609,077,090

Central Subway $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Communications & IT $7,535,000 $3,740,000 $1,265,000 $9,350,000 $4,400,000 $26,290,000

Parking $0 $420,000 $80,000 $0 $0 $500,000

Total SGR $273,193,639 $245,863,489 $290,583,859 $276,238,350 $279,355,331 $1,362,292,381

Total $566,315,349 $458,141,090 $517,791,736 $466,434,241 $501,894,329 $2,510,576,745

Capital Budget 5-Year CIP

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Proposed FY 2021-25 CIP

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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32

• Muni Forward Quick Build Program

• Vision Zero Quick Build Program

• Major Streetscape Projects – Folsom Howard Phase 1, 6th Street, Taylor Street, Hyde Street

• LRV Replacement & Expansion

• Electric Bus Procurement

• Automatic Train Control System (ATCS)

• Better Market Street

• Muni Forward – M-Oceanview TPP; K-Ingleside TPP; J-Church TPP; L Taraval, 22 Fillmore: 16th St

• Accessible Pedestrian Signals

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –What are we delivering?

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Projects with Phase Funded

33

Needs Management Improvement Financial

• Potrero Yard Modernization Project

• Presidio Facility Reconstruction

• Folsom-Howard Bids 2/3

• Muni Forward – N-Judah TPP, Embarcadero Pocket Track, 14 Mission TPP

• Subway Mechanical Systems SGR Program

• Fire Life Safety SGR Program

• New Flyer Mid-Life Overhauls

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Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Muni Forward/Results

34

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Between 2016 –2018, ridership increased 14% on the Rapid Network.• 8 Bayshore corridor: +12%

• Mission/Van Ness corridor: +9%

• Geary corridor: +8%

• 19th Ave corridor: +19%

Travel time savings of 10% or more were realized.• Church Street: 15%

• 5R Fulton Rapid: 9-12%

• Mission: 13%

• 16th Street quick-build phase: 10%

• Potrero: 20%

• Two-Way Haight: Over 20%

• Sansome: Over 20%

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Transportation: San Francisco

SFMTA 5-Year Capital Improvement Program –Vision Zero/Results

35

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System Improvement Update

• 2014 Transportation & Road

• 3rd Issuance Amount: $140 million• Number of Projects: 7

Improvement GO Bond -3rd Issuance

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Transportation: San Francisco

2014 Transportation and Road Improvement General Obligation Bond

37

Needs Management Improvement Financial

As part of Transportation 2030 a $500M G.O. bond for transportationincluded in 2014-2023 Capital Plan

• The Bond passed in November 2014with nearly 72% of the vote

• Amount Issued To Date: $248.6M

• Next Planned Issuance: up to $140M

• Planned Issuance Date: Spring 2020

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Lessons Learned: • Fewer projects• Larger amounts per project• Active or nearing construction

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

3rd Issuance Projects

1. L-Taraval Muni Forward – $26,000,000

2. 22-Fillmore Muni Forward – $25,000,000

3. BART Canopies – $21,120,000

4. Taylor Safer Street – $20,192,170

5. 19th Avenue – $18,100,000

6. Caltrain Electrification – $11,220,000

7. Western Addition Signals – $7,693,259

8. Program Contingency – $4,974,571

Cost of Issuance /Fees– $5,800,000 (est.)

Total – $140,000,000

Sources and Uses

Estimated SourcesPar Amount: $136,090,000

Estimated Uses: $136,090,000Project Fund Deposits: $134,568,600

• Project Fund: $134,300,000• CSA Audit Fee: $268,600

Cost of Issuance: $700,000• Additional Proceeds: $4,860

Underwriter’s Discount: $680,450CGOBOC Fee: $136,090

Reserve for Market Uncertainty: $4,010,000

Maximum Not to Exceed: $140,000,000

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Transportation: San Francisco

2014 Transportation and Road Improvement Program

40

Total Bond(in millions)

Already Issued Proposed3rd Issuance

Amount

Estimated 4th

Issuance Amount

Imp

rov

ed

Tra

nsi

t

Faster, More Reliable Transit $191 $73.2 $69.1 $42

Accessibility Improvements $30 $3 $21.1 $5

Muni Facility Upgrades $70 $66.7 $0 $0

Major Transit CorridorImprovements

$28 $27 $0 $0

Caltrain Upgrades $39 $27.8 $11.2 $0

Sa

fer

Str

ee

ts Pedestrian Safety Improvements $68 $30.3 $27.9 $7

Traffic Signal Improvements $22 $6 $0 $12

Complete Streets Improvements $52 $4.6 $0 $42

Estimated Cost of Issuance andFees and Contingency

$9.9 $10.7 $3.1

Total $500 $248.6 $140 $111

Program Summary

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Improved Transit

41

• Improving reliability: Over 60 miles of reliability improvements, including transit-only lanes, bus bulbs and traffic signal priority

• Creating a Rapid Network: More Rapid bus lines and expanded frequency serving nearly 70% of all Muni customers

• More Service: Multiple service increases with better connections since 2015

• Muni Service Equity Strategy: A focus on improving service in Equity Strategy neighborhoods

• New Fleet: All new bus and rail vehicles; deployment of larger Muni vehicles

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco 42

5 Rapid / 5 Fulton Service

• Route restructuring and optimizing of bus stop locations, addition of 60-ft buses from 40 ft buses

• Safety improvements, including pedestrian bulbs, pedestrian countdown signals and improved crosswalk markings

• Traffic modifications with right turn pockets, replacement of all-way stop-controlled intersections with traffic signals, and installation of a traffic circle

Key Highlights:

• 60% increase in ridership from 14,000 in 2009 to 21,000 daily passengers in 2019

• Reduced collision rate by almost 40% on the route

• Faster travel: Time savings of 9-12% on 5 Rapid

Outcomes: Improved Transit

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Improved Transit

43

9 Rapid / 9 San Bruno Project

• Travel time improvements with transit signal priority and stop consolidation/optimization

• Safety improvements including installation of transit islands and transit bulbs

Key Highlights:

• 40% increase in ridership since 2009

• Advances SFMTA’s Muni Service Equity Strategy, especially for residents of Visitation Valley, who rely heavily on this route

• 9 Rapid runs every 8 mins instead of every 12 mins

• 9 Rapid extended to cover all existing local stops in Visitation Valley

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Improved Transit

44

1 / 1AX / 1BX California

• Transit improvements: traffic signal priority and stop optimization/consolidation

• Safety improvements include installation of transit islands and transit bulbs

Key Highlights:

• Improves Muni travel time and increases daytime weekend service for over 30,000 daily riders

• Supports California Laurel Village Improvement Project to improve safety, provide a more attractive pedestrian environment; and reinforce the neighborhood identity of the Laurel Village Shopping Center

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Improved Transit

45

10 Townsend Bus Line

• Installation of new contra-flow lane for transit, bicyclists and commercial vehicles

• Upgrade of traffic signals to transit signal priority

• Safety improvements include daylighting corners, upgrading crosswalks, and adding curb ramps

Key Highlights:

• Average savings of 3 minutes of travel time with more direct route

• Service expansion from early evening to midnight

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Safer Streets

46

• Over $300 million in infrastructure upgrades to support Vision Zero

• Protect people walking with targeted safety improvements, includes the 13% of streets where 75% of fatal injuries occur

• Build bicycle network upgrades; creating a safer, more well-defined bicycle network to reduce conflict and improve safety for all users

Vision Zero’s goal is to eliminate all traffic deaths and reduce severe and fatal injuries in San Francisco by 2024.

Bike lanes increase the safety of bikers while helping the flow of traffic, causing fewer collisions.

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Traffic Fatalities – San Francisco: 2019 & 5-year Averages

Outcomes: Safer Streets

Vision Zero High Injury Network 2017.

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Safer Streets

7th & 8th St South of Folsom Streetscape Project

• Bicycle and pedestrian improvements along 7th and 8th Streets between Harrison Street and Market Street

• Aligned with the Eastern Neighborhoods Transportation Implementation Planning Study

• Includes a new concrete buffered bike lane, concrete boarding islands, sidewalk bulbs, new striping, and safe hit posts

Pedestrian Countdown Signals (PCS) Added on High Injury Corridors

• PCS added to 15 High Injury Corridor locations including California/Jones and California/ Leavenworth

• PCS allow people to determine if they have enough time to safely cross or if they should wait for the next cycle

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Safer Streets

Potrero Avenue Roadway Improvements

• Installation of audible pedestrian signals at 12 intersections on Potrero Avenue between 17th Street and 25th Street

8th & Market Street Transit Boarding Island

• Introduced a Class IV bikeway to one of the busiest cycling intersections in the city –at 8th, Market, Hyde, and Grove Streets – to separate bicyclists from transit

• Includes two-stage turn boxes, green pavement parking, and a safer transit boarding design

• Connects to an existing buffered bicycle lane on 8th Street

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Outcomes: Safer Streets

50

• New or improved signals at more than 28 high-injury network intersections

• Curb bulbs at 19 high-injury network intersections

• Construction of Geary Boulevard Pedestrian Improvements

• Additional pedestrian safety improvements coordinated with Muni Forward

For Geary Boulevard Pedestrian Improvements, the Steiner pedestrian overcrossing isproposed for removal to make way for aneasier crossing at street level.

Construction of a traffic signal on Jessie and 6th

Streets.

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –1st Issuance and 2ndIssuance

51

• The 1st Bond Issuance is currently 97% expended and expected to be fully expended by mid-calendar year 2020.

• The 2nd Bond Issuance is currently 65% expended and expected to be fully expended by end of calendar year 2021.

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –1st Issuance

52

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Muni Forward RapidNetwork

Improvements

Muni FacitlityUpgrades

Pedestrian SafetyImprovements

Caltrain UpgradesMajor Transit

CorridorImprovements

Balance $- $2,551,424 $291,565 $- $1,482

Encumbered $8,859 $134,650 $10,842 $28,030 $-

Expended $22,980,422 $23,513,927 $3,778,335 $7,311,970 $5,498,518

$-

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

Expended Encumbered Balance

1st Bond Issuance Expenditures

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –1st Issuance

53

1st Bond Issuance Expenditures

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$39,768,945

$44,777,036

$56,371,079

$58,165,370

$60,589,492 $62,670,614 $63,624,386

$63,301,922

$-

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

$70,000,000

12/1/2017 3/1/2018 6/1/2018 9/1/2018 12/1/2018 3/1/2019 6/1/2019 9/1/2019

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –2nd Issuance

54

2nd Bond Issuance Expenditures

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Muni Forward RapidNetwork

Improvements

Muni FacitlityUpgrades

Pedestrian SafetyImprovements

Caltrain UpgradesMajor Transit

CorridorImprovements

Balance $13,959,809 $5,130,806 $9,660,277 $- $1,375,024

Encumbered $6,012,630 $3,752,469 $4,866,066 $235,227 $6,828,816

Expended $29,616,332 $32,639,068 $10,922,182 $19,784,773 $13,385,098

$-

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

Expended Encumbered Balance

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –2nd Issuance

55

2nd Bond Issuance Expenditures and Projections

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$29,246

$13,449,008

$21,097,398

$36,556,066

$53,759,799

$83,550,219

$91,431,532

$107,071,572

$112,804,032

$138,927,584

$147,191,626

$152,640,533

$157,107,657

$159,519,227

$168,653,343

$-

$20,000,000

$40,000,000

$60,000,000

$80,000,000

$100,000,000

$120,000,000

$140,000,000

$160,000,000

$180,000,000

9/1/2018 12/1/2018 3/1/2019 6/1/2019 9/1/2019 12/1/2019 3/1/2020 6/1/2020 9/1/2020 12/1/2020 3/1/2021 6/1/2021 9/1/2021 12/1/2021 3/1/2022

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Transportation: San Francisco

Update –3rd Issuance

56

3rd Bond Issuance Projections

Needs Management Improvement Financial

$4,420,000

$19,725,000

$38,130,000

$61,935,000

$86,841,813

$103,409,643

$114,709,643

$121,709,643

$128,209,643 $134,300,000

$-

$20,000,000

$40,000,000

$60,000,000

$80,000,000

$100,000,000

$120,000,000

$140,000,000

$160,000,000

6/1/2020 9/1/2020 12/1/2020 3/1/2021 6/1/2021 9/1/2021 12/1/2021 3/1/2022 6/1/2022 9/1/2022

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Transportation: San Francisco 57

Faster, More Reliable Transit $69.1 m

$18.1 million – 19th Avenue• Improve reliability, travel times and

pedestrian safety of the 28 and 28 Rapid. Implementing various enhancements throughout the corridor.

$25 million – 22 Fillmore • Transform the 16th Street corridor by

improving transit reliability, travel time, safety, and accessibility for all users.

$26 million – L Taraval• Replace track, Overhead Catenary System

wires, trolley wire and trolley poles and provide safety and pedestrian enhancements along the corridor.

3rdIssuance Projects

Needs Management Improvement Financial

Passengers exit an L-Taraval Muni train at Taraval Street and 30th Avenue in Parkside..

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Transportation: San Francisco

Pedestrian Safety Improvements $27.9 m

$7.7 million – Western Addition Area-Traffic Signal Upgrades

• Build pedestrian countdown signals (PCS) and/or signal visibility improvements at 24 intersections.

• Build pedestrian-activated flashing beacons at 9 intersections in the Western Addition area.

$20.2 million – Taylor Safer Streets• Design and construct a new Taylor Street that

meets the city's Vision Zero goals of ending traffic fatalities for all road users.

• Widen sidewalks from Turk to Ellis, reduce travel lanes from Market to Sutter, and upgrade signals in addition to other pedestrian safety improvements along the corridor.

Conceptual design of Taylor Safer Streets intersection.

58

Needs Management Improvement Financial

3rd Issuance Projects

Example Traffic Signal Visibility Improvement that will be created for Western Addition.

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Transportation: San Francisco 59

Accessibility Improvements $21.1 mCaltrain Upgrades $11.2 m

$21.1 million - BART Canopies

• Part of larger BART’s Escalator Renovation and Canopy Program.

• Canopies will include a digital display to show train arrival times, new security grille, new LED lighting, security cameras, and other improvements.

• Canopies will protect the escalators from the elements, to help limit breakdowns.

$11.2 million - Caltrain Electrification• Funds the electrification at the northern terminal

of the Caltrain Corridor starting at San Francisco’s 4th and King Caltrain Station

• Improves safety and service to the public

3rdIssuance Projects

BART canopy at Powell Station on Market Street.

Needs Management Improvement Financial

The current diesel trains will be replaced by electric multiple units (EMUs).

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Transportation: San Francisco

Transportation and Road Improvement Bond Program Schedules (Transit)

60

FY 19/20 FY 20/21 FY 21/22 FY 22/23

Program/Project Name Third Issuance Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Faster, More Reliable Transit (Muni Forward)

*19th Avenue $ 18,100,000

*22-Fillmore Muni Forward $ 25,000,000

*L-Taraval Muni Forward $ 26,000,000

*Caltrain Electrification – San Francisco contribution $ 11,220,000

Accessibility Improvements

*BART Canopies $ 21,120,000

Muni Facilities

*Taylor Safer-Street $ 20,192,170

*Western Addition Signals $ 7,693,259

Planning Design, Bid & Award Construction

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Transportation: System Financial Update

• Addressing the Need• Future Revenue Measures

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Transportation: San Francisco

Summary Needs

62

Needs Management Improvement Financial

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan: $30.7 billion needs

CCSF 10-Year Capital Plan: $10.9 billion deferred needs

2018 SGR Backlog: $ 3.3 billion backlog

State of Good Repair: $756 million/annualeliminate backlog

$600 million/annualreduce backlog 50%

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63

2014 Proposition AGeneral Obligation Bond

Passed – 71.9% yes$500 million/one-time

2014 Proposition BGeneral Fund Population Baseline

Passed – 61.4% yes$23 million/annually (est. at time)

Vehicle License FeeIncrease by 2% - Not PursuedEstimate: $73 million/annually

2016 Proposition J/K3/4 cent Sales Tax

Prop J Dedication: Passed – 67.2% yesProp K Tax: Failed - 65.3% no

$101.6 million/annually

2018 Proposition DRide Hailing Tax

Passed – 67.7% yes$15 million Transit/annually

$15 million Vision Zero/annually

Congestion Pricing$80 million/annually (Estimated)

Proposition K Sales Tax Reauthorization$100 million/annually (Post 2034)

Voter approval of a new 30-year expenditure plan for the existing Proposition K ½ Transportation Sales Tax

+ ¼ Cent Sales Tax$51 million/annually (Estimated)

General Obligation Bond$500 million/one time (June 2022)

Community Benefit DistrictVaries Depending on District

Federal and State GrantsFTA Capital Investment Grant Program: $200 million/one-time

State Transit and Intercity Rail Capital Program: $120 million/one-time

Other opportunities:

63

Transportation Task Forces –Revenue Measures/Past and Proposed Future

Needs Management Improvement Financial

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Capital Planning

March 3,2020

San Francisco Municipal Transportation AgencyCommittee Update

Thank you.