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Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcity WRRC Annual Conference | March 21, 2016 Amy McCoy

Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

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Page 1: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcity

WRRC Annual Conference | March 21, 2016

Amy McCoy

Page 2: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

scarcity!1.  Deficient in quantity compared with the demand!2.  Very small in amount or number, not plentiful!

Definitions!

Page 3: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

scarcity!1.  Deficient in quantity compared with the demand!2.  Very small in amount or number, not plentiful!

trade-off!1.  A balancing of factors all of which are not attainable at the same time. !2.  A giving up of one thing in return for another.!

Definitions!

Page 4: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

scarcity!1.  Deficient in quantity compared with the demand!2.  Very small in amount or number, not plentiful!

When Scarcity Meets Trade-offs!

Source: USBR Supply and Demand Study (2013)!

Page 5: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Responses to Trade-offs from Increased Demands

Inno

vatio

ns T

owar

ds W

ater

Sus

tain

abilit

y

Evolution of Water Management!

Page 6: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Traditional Sources

Surface Water!Dams/Storage!Groundwater!

Basin Transfers!

New Sources

Recharge!Storage & Recovery!

Treated Effluent!Desalinization!

Supply Development

Responses to Trade-offs from Increased Demands

Inno

vatio

ns T

owar

ds W

ater

Sus

tain

abilit

y

Evolution of Water Management!

Page 7: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Traditional Sources

Surface Water!Dams/Storage!Groundwater!

Basin Transfers!

New Sources

Recharge!Storage & Recovery!

Treated Effluent!Desalinization!

Water ConservationSurface Water!Dams/Storage!Groundwater!

Basin Transfers!

Institutional ApproachesPricing!

Planning!Training!

System Consolidation!Water Users Associations!

Supply Development Demand Development

Responses to Trade-offs from Increased Demands

Inno

vatio

ns T

owar

ds W

ater

Sus

tain

abilit

y

Evolution of Water Management!

Trade-Offs

Price Signals

Page 8: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Traditional Sources

Surface Water!Dams/Storage!Groundwater!

Basin Transfers!

New Sources

Recharge!Storage & Recovery!

Treated Effluent!Desalinization!

Water ConservationSurface Water!Dams/Storage!Groundwater!

Basin Transfers!

Institutional ApproachesPricing!

Planning!Training!

System Consolidation!Water Users Associations!

Regulatory(Involuntary)

Uncompensated!Compensated!

Market-Based(Voluntary)Market Tools!

Water User Agreements!Transfers!Banking!

Exchanges!

Supply Development Demand Development Reallocation

Trade-Offs

Price Signals

Responses to Trade-offs from Increased Demands

Inno

vatio

ns T

owar

ds W

ater

Sus

tain

abilit

y

Evolution of Water Management!

Trade-Offs

Price Signals

Page 9: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Arizona CAP Delivery Curtailments Under Shortage

Additional “Excess” 132,000 AF

Ag Settlement Pool “Excess” 400,000 AF

Non-Indian Agriculture Priority 177,000 AF

Indian Priority 318,000 AF

M&I Priority 431,000 AF

Tier 1 Shortage-300,000 AF !71% chance

2015-2019!

Tier 2 Shortage-400,000 AF

Tier 3 Shortage-480,000 AF

Potential cuts to Arizona CAP deliveries under the 2007 Shortage Sharing Plan to ensure Lake Mead levels do not drop below 1,025 ft elevation!

Page 10: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Market-Based (Voluntary) Reallocation !

Source of Water

Duration of Use

Purpose of Use

Pricing for Use

Actions taken!

to save water!

Outer Circle Amount of

Water Needed to Meet Uses!

Inner Circle !Volume of Water Available During

Shortage!

Considerations in Valuing Trade-offs !

Page 11: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

Market-Based (Voluntary) Reallocation !

Water Management Transactions

Tools!

Consumptive Use Reductions

Changing When/Where/How Water is Diverted and Used

Reducing Overall Water Use

Page 12: Trade-offs in Water Management: Adapting to Scarcityscarcity! 1. Deficient in quantity compared with the demand! 2. Very small in amount or number, not plentiful! trade-off! 1. A

"It's all a question of story. We are in trouble just now because we do not have a good story. We are in between stories. The old story, the account of how the system came to be and how we fit into it, is no longer effective. Yet we have not learned the new story.”

~ Thomas Berry ~

Thank you