Thursday, July 18, 2019

8:30 a.m. EDT

National Current Operations & Monitoring

Significant Incidents or Threats:

• Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible – Upper Midwest to upper Great Lakes

• Extreme heat continues – Central and Eastern U.S.

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – No activity affecting U.S. interests

• Eastern Pacific – No threat to U.S. interests

o Disturbance 1: Medium (50%)

o Disturbance 2: Medium (40%)

• Central Pacific – No activity affecting U.S. interests

• Western Pacific – Tropical Storm 06W (Danas); Invest 91W

Declaration Activity:

• Amendment No. 1 to FEMA-3416-EM-LA

• Amendment No. 2 to FEMA-4447-DR-OH

• Major Disaster Declaration approved – TX

Tropical Outlook – Five Day

Central Pacific AtlanticEastern Pacific

Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT)

• Several hundred miles S of Acapulco

• Moving WNW at 10-15 mph

• A tropical depression could form by the weekend

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%)

• Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)

Disturbance 2 (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT)

• 1,350 miles SW of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula

• Moving WNW 10-15 mph

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (30%)

• Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)

2(40%)

1(50%)

Tropical Outlook – Western Pacific

Tropical Storm 06W (Danas) (as of 5:00 a.m. EDT)

• Located 230 miles WSW of Kadena AB

• Moving N at 20 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 40 mph

Invest 91W (as of 5:00 a.m. EDT)

• A second system (Invest 91W) is trailing the track of TS

Danas (06W) and could become a tropical cyclone in the

next 24 hours

Kadena Air Base

Kadena Air Base

Invest 91W

National Weather Forecast

Today Fri

Sat

Precipitation Forecast

Fri

Sat

Thu

Thu – Sat

Severe Weather Outlook

Today

Sat

Fri

https://go.usa.gov/xRTzFhttps://www.weather.gov/images/erh/gis/CONUS_AptMax.png

Forecast Heat Index

National Heat Index Watches, Warnings, and Advisories

As of 7:00 a.m. EDT July 18, 2019

Hazards Outlook – July 20-24

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

RegionState /

LocationEvent IA/PA

Number of CountiesStart – End

Requested Completed

II NJSevere Rain Storm

June 19-20, 2019

IA 3 0 7/15 – TBD

PA 3 0 7/15 – TBD

Declaration Approval

Declaration: FEMA-4454-DR–Texas

Requested: Jul 10

Approved: July 17

Incident: Severe Storms and Flooding

Incident Period: Jun 24 – 25, 2019

Includes:

• IA Only: 3 counties

• Hazard Mitigation: Statewide

FCO: Sandra L. Eslinger

Texas

IA

State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested

MI – Severe Storms and Flooding DR X X Jun 10

TX – Severe Storms and Flooding – APPROVED (Jul 17) DR X X Jul 10

Declaration Requests in Process – 1

Declaration Amendments

Declaration Amendment No. Issued Action

FEMA-3416-EM-LA 1 July 17Adds 6 parishes for emergency protective measures (Category B) under the Public

Assistance program

FEMA-4447-DR-OH 2 July 17Adds 1 county for Public Assistance and 3 counties for PA (already designated for

Individual Assistance)

Team:Status

US&R(>66%)

MERS(>66%)

FCOs(= 2 Type I)

FDRCs(=2)

IM

WORKFORCE

IM CADRE AVAILABILITY SUMMARY

Cadres with 25% or Less AvailabilityAssigned: 28 36 29 12 13,690 DFTO 21% (48/232); EA 20% (104/511); EHP 6% (33/535); ER 9% (6/69); FL 10%

(15/153); FM 18% (52/287); HM 13% (153/1190); HR 15% (35/233); IT 16% (108/683);

LOG 17% (223/1334); NDRS 21%(58/280); OPS 20% (57/283); PA 6% (168/2589); PLAN

14% (56/411); SAF 9% (5/58); SEC 7% (8/120)

Unavailable 0 0 2 (-1) 2 3,899 Deployed: 0 4 (-2) 25 (+1) 9 6,619 Available: 28 32 (+2) 2 1 3,028 / 22%

FEMA HQ

NWC NRCC

Monitoring Gold Team

FEMA REGIONS

WATCH RRCC

Monitoring I Rostered

Monitoring II Rostered

Monitoring III Rostered

Monitoring IV Rostered

Monitoring V Rostered

Enhanced

WatchVI Rostered

Monitoring VII Rostered

Monitoring VIII Rostered

Monitoring IX Rostered

Monitoring X Rostered

Activation Details

RVI: Post Tropical Cyclone Barry

(dayshift)

N-IMATs2 Teams

East

West

Crisis

R-IMATs≤ 3 Teams

I MO

II

III

IV-1

IV-2

V OH

VI-1 LA

VI-2

VII

VIII SD

IX-1 CA

IX-2 CA

X OR/ID

FMC PMC

NMC Deployed

FEMA Common Operating Picture

Incident Overview

April 23, 2019

DR-4429-MS

• Public Assistance (Categories A-G) – 24 counties

• Hazard Mitigation statewide

April 24, 2019

• Individual Assistance request denied

April 30, 2019

• Amendment #1 adding 13 counties for Public Assistance

May 22, 2019

• Amendment #2 adding 4 counties for Public Assistance

FEMA-DR-4429-MS Declared April 23, 2019 Incident Period Feb 22, 2019 to Mar 29, 2019

FEMA-DR-4429-MS

County Designation

State / FEMA Priorities

1. Ensure the safety of all staff

2. Provide resource support for storm related recovery

3. Promote coordination between State, Local, and Federal

partners

4. Keep stakeholders, assigned personnel, and the public informed

of recovery activities

FEMA Common Operating Briefing

FEMA-DR-4429-MS

Public Assistance

Declared: April 23, 2019

Request for Public Assistance

Total RPAs Received 67

Total Eligible RPAs 63

Total Ineligible / Withdrawn RPAs 0

Total RPAs Pending Review 4

Recovery Scoping Meetings Completed 61

Recovery Scoping Meetings Pending 2

Project Worksheets

PWs Formulated 273

PWs at CRC 16

PWs Obligated 1

406 Mitigation

PWs with 406 Mitigation Proposal 21

Total $ 406 Mitigation Proposal $0

Dollar Amounts

Current Estimate 100% $29,128,490

Obligated Amount (Federal Share) $311,566

Applicants

Applicants Open: 67

Applicants Complete: 0

FEMA-DR-4429-MS Declared April 23, 2019 Incident Period Feb 22, 2019 to Mar 29, 2019

FEMA Common Operating Briefing

Finance and Administration

FEMA-DR-4429-MS Declared: April 23, 2019

Local Hires Breakdown Total

Resumes Received 54

Resumes Selected 18

Interviews Scheduled 11

Candidates Selected 5

Offer Sent 5

Offer Accepted 5

FEMA Common Operating BriefingFEMA-DR-4429-MS Declared April 23, 2019 Incident Period Feb 22, 2019 to Mar 29, 2019

Backwater Overview

Backwater Flooding Overview

• The backwater high levels in Humphreys, Issaquena,

Sharkey, Warren, and Yazoo counties have prevented

local officials from safely documenting damages, and

cost projections for the restoration of damaged homes

and infrastructures

• The economic damage to the region and workers in

the agricultural industry is severe. Within the

backwater counties alone, the aggregate total for crop

damages collected by the USDA stands at $648 million

and is expected to exceed $800 million

• Both USACE and Mississippi Levee Board data clearly

shows the water levels in the backwater counties have

remained at or above flood levels exceeding 130 days,

with some areas exceeding 150 consecutive days

FEMA-DR-4429-MS

FEMA-DR-4429-MS

FEMA Common Operating Briefing

Overall Map

FEMA-DR-4415-4429-4450-MS

FEMA-DR-4415-4429-4450-MS

FEMA Common Operating Briefing

FEMA-DR-4415-4429-4450-MS

Closing Comments

Challenges:

• Ongoing inclement weather patterns and flooding

• Inaccessible areas

Strengths/Successes:

• Local Hire Initiative for PA, MIT, LOG and EHP staff

• Utilization of (3) no cost to the government remote Area Field Offices

• Utilization of virtual FL staff for Mitigation

• Utilization of Region IV Finance and Administration, External Affairs and Recovery

Division support

• The great working relationship with the State

FEMA Common Operating BriefingFEMA-DR-4415-4429-4450-MS

FEMA’s mission is helping people

before, during, and after disasters.

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