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Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI Unclassified//FOUO 1 Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Dallas/Ft. Worth/Arlington UASI December 2013

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Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

Unclassified//FOUO 1

Threat and Hazard Identification and

Risk Assessment

Dallas/Ft. Worth/Arlington UASI

December 2013

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

Unclassified//FOUO 2

Acknowledgements

This document was developed by a multi-jurisdictional, multi-discipline team of

individuals from the Dallas/Ft. Worth/Arlington UASI. Their input and work contributed

to the successful development and implementation of this document.

THIRA Development Team:

Marcie Bruner, NCTCOG Jason Carriere, City of Irving

Justin Cox, NCTCOG

Mark Fulmer, Tarrant County

Mistie Gardner, City of Richardson

Matthew Garrett, City of Richardson

Kwa heri Harris, City of Arlington

David McCurdy, DFW Airport

Pat McMacken, City of Irving

Kevin Oden, City of Dallas

Billy Owens, City of Irving

Mike Penaluna, City of Denton

Lacie Reitmeyer, Collin County Randy Renois, Tarrant County

Molly Thoerner, NCTCOG

Keith Wells, City of Ft. Worth

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

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In troduct ion

This Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (THIRA) provides a comprehensive

overview of assessed risks and associated impacts for the Dallas/Ft. Worth/Arlington Urban

Area. It expands on existing Hazard Identification and Risk Assessments (HIRAs) and other risk

methodologies by broadening the factors considered in the process, incorporating the whole

community throughout the entire process, and by accounting for important community-specific

factors. This THIRA was developed using a step-by-step process:

Step One assessed the various threats and hazards facing the Urban Area.

Step Two assessed the vulnerability of the Urban Area to those hazards using varying time,

season, location, and community factors.

Steps Three and Four estimated the consequences of those threats and hazards impacting the

Urban Area and, through the lens of core capabilities, established capability targets.

Step Five captures the results of the THIRA process to set an informed foundation for

planning and preparedness activities across prevention, protection, mitigation, response, and

recovery.

This process can be illustrated with the following example: The DFWA Urban Area identifies

tornadoes as a hazard and assesses our vulnerabilities if multiple tornado strikes at different times

and locations. Using the core capabilities identified in the National Preparedness Goal, the Urban

Area assessed the impacts and identified the highest potential capability target level across each

of the Core Capabilities. These resources are either built or sustained through collaboration with

non-traditional partners, mutual aid planning, or direct investment by the jurisdiction. The

jurisdiction may also undertake mitigation planning and projects such as safe rooms and warning

systems that have been proven to lessen fatalities. Taking these actions will reduce vulnerability,

lowering the Core Capability target in future THIRAs.

THIRA-informed planning is consistent with and expands on nationally accepted emergency

management standards, which have long required using risk assessments, such as HIRAs, as the

basis for planning across the mission areas. A continuous cycle of assessing capabilities, plans,

and programs and incorporating the results into future THIRAs allows the Urban Area to manage

changes to its risk landscape. It also provides the means to educate and update individuals,

families, businesses, organizations, community leaders, and senior officials on the risks facing a

community. An informed public is the best advocate for building required capabilities and

creating a secure and resilient community.

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

Unclassified//FOUO 4

THIR A Threats and Context Sta tements

Natural Technological Human-caused

Tornado

Snow and Ice Storms

Flooding

Dam or Levee Failure

Hazardous Materials Incidents

Terrorism

Disease Outbreak

Haz ard Descr i pt i on s Natural

Tornado

A multiple strike tornado event occurs on a Saturday afternoon in mid-May. The tornadoes range from EF-2 to EF-4 and impact densely populated urban areas including the Cities of Arlington, Dallas, Ft. Worth, Irving and Richardson. Significant structural damage occurs to residential and business areas significantly damaging an estimated 75,000 households and causes 30,000 people to be in need of short-term public shelter.

Snow and Ice Storms

A significant winter weather front moving south from Canada stalls over the DFW Metroplex in February. The front drops maximum temperatures into the teens, and causes up to 14” of snow and ice over a week long period. This causes tremendous stress on the electricity grid leading to prolonged large scale power outages. Public transportation systems including regional airports experience significant delays in service. Many roads are deemed impassable due to the ice and general ineffectiveness of de-icer. Commerce in cities is impacted due to stores not being able to stock.

Flood

In September, in the days following moderate-to-heavy rainfall, a stalled frontal system sits over the DFW Metroplex region dumping very heavy precipitation across the DFW area for a three-day period. Stream flows overwhelm the channels throughout the city and flood stages are exacerbated by excess water making its way down the Trinity River. Inundation reaches the 500-year floodplains in most areas, especially along the Trinity Corridors. Medical districts and facilities within the region are severely impacted by the heavy floods causing large amounts of patient relocation.

Technological

Dam or Levee Failure

A weakness in a lake’s dam system reaches failure point releasing millions of gallons of water towards regional cities. Immediately power systems, major thorough fares, and water delivery systems are heavily impacted or completely inoperable. Citizens with little or no warning of the event immediately require swift water rescue from homes or businesses. Estimated economic losses are expected to be in the billions with recovery operations lasting multiple years.

Hazardous Materials Incident

A chemical spill involving sulfuric acid being transported on a 90-ton rail car occurs during morning rush hour in Ft. Worth in mid-March. High winds generate a corrosive plume moving due east from the accident site into areas with a high daytime population.

Human-caused

Terrorist Incident (Explosive Attack)

Description:

An unknown terrorist group carries out a coordinated IED attack on four targets in the DFW Metroplex during a major sporting event in autumn. Incident 1: During a sold-out Saturday football game with over 100,000

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

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patrons in attendance, three suicide bombers are strategically pre-positioned inside the stadium. At approximately 1 p.m., one hour after the event begins, the first incident occurs when the bombers detonate their devices in the AT&T (Cowboys) Stadium at 1 Legends Way, Arlington, Texas 76011. Incident 2: The next attack is a small 50kg vehicle bomb at the main entrance to the stadium. The attack occurs at approximately 1:15 p.m., 15 minutes after the initial blast, and once law enforcement, EMS, Fire Department, and Bomb Squad officials have arrived on the scene. Incident 3: At 1:20 p.m., within a few minutes of the second incident, incidents 3 and 4 occurred simultaneously. Incident 3 involves a 220kg vehicle bomb is detonated among sold-out crowds of over 200,000 attendees at Texas Motor Speedway, located at 3545 Lone Star Circle, Fort Worth, Texas 76177. Incident 4: Five minutes after the blast at the second venue (at 1:20 p.m.), a small 50kg vehicle bomb disguised as an emergency response vehicle is detonated at the intersection outside of the entrance to the Arlington Memorial Hospital Emergency Room at 800 West Randol Mill Road, Arlington, TX 76012. Incident 5: Approximately 20 minutes after the incident 3 at Texas Motor Speedway (at 1:40 p.m.), suicide bombers detonate vehicle borne IEDs near the Fort Worth Intermodal Transportation Center (ITC) Station at 1001 Jones Street, Fort Worth, Texas 76102, the largest bus transfer center which also includes access to taxis, Amtrak Passenger Train, and Greyhound Bus service. The area surrounding and including the platform is packed with 600 individuals waiting to take the next train when the large 500kg vehicle bomb goes off 20 meters to the side of the station.

Disease Outbreak

Infections with a novel, highly pathogenic influenza virus, followed by the onset of Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus pneumonia spreads among the region’s population.

First Wave: The first wave begins in October, and the last cases appear in late March. The first wave produces a 20 percent infection rate in the general population. A vaccine becomes available in late February, and the region conducts a mass vaccination campaign to vaccinate up to 100 percent of the eligible population.

Second Wave: The second wave is modeled after the 1918 influenza pandemic. The virus mutates between the first and second wave, becoming more virulent in the process. Exposure to or vaccination against the first wave’s virus provides partial immunity to the mutated form of the virus. The second wave begins in May and lasts until late August. During the second wave, 20 percent of the population becomes infected (a rate that would have been higher without the partial immunity developed after infection with or vaccination against the first wave’s virus). An updated vaccine becomes available in late September, and a second mass vaccination campaign occurs.

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Desired Outcomes for DFWA U ASI

Core Capability Desired Outcome

Co

mm

on

Planning

Maintain, every five years, an all-hazards emergency operation plan and hazard mitigation plan for each jurisdiction within the DFWA UASI that address functional areas with specific annexes as required.

Maintain scenario-specific, stand alone plans every two years.

Maintain, a Continuity of Operations (COOP)/Continuity of Government (COG) plan for all City Owned critical infrastructure.

Public Information and Warning

Deliver coordinated, prompt, reliable, and actionable information to the whole community through the use of clear, consistent, accessible, culturally and linguistically appropriate methods, including social media, to effectively relay information regarding any threat or hazard and, as appropriate, the actions being taken and the assistance that is being made available.

Operational Coordination

During response operations within three hours of the decision to activate the Emergency Operations Center establish and maintain a National Incident Management System (NIMS) compliant operational structure and process which integrates all critical stakeholders in order to stabilize an incident within 72 hours and effectively support and manage the execution of capabilities and supporting activities.

Pre

ve

nti

on

Forensics and Attribution

Prioritize evidence collection and analysis to assist in preventing initial or follow-on terrorist acts.

Pre

ve

nti

on

an

d

Pro

tec

tio

n

Intelligence and Information Sharing

Promptly share relevant, timely, and actionable information and analysis with federal, state, local, tribal, and private partners with appropriate classified/unclassified products in accordance with established protocols.

Interdiction and Disruption

Interdict 100% of specific conveyances, cargo, and persons associated with an imminent threat to the DFWA UASI.

Screening, Search, and Detection

Screen 100% of targeted conveyances, cargo, and persons associated with an imminent terrorist threat using all means.

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

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Core Capability Desired Outcome P

rote

cti

on

Access Control and Identity Verification

Ensure 100% verification of identity to authorize, grant, or deny physical and cyber access to specific locations, information, and networks.

Cybersecurity Detect 100% of malicious activity directed against all critical infrastructure, key resources, and networks. Educate workforce on proper security protocol.

Physical Protective Measures

Protect people, structures, materials, products, and systems of key operational activities and critical infrastructure sectors against an identified or perceived threat.

Risk Management for Protection Programs and Activities

Complete risk assessments for 100% of prioritized critical infrastructure assets.

Supply Chain Integrity and Security

Secure all identified priority supply routes, transit methods, and materials.

Mit

iga

tio

n

Community Resilience

Implement hazard mitigation plans for communities with highest risk through partnerships with whole community representatives. Identify opportunities to mitigate risk through public education, effective code policies and enforcement, project development, and implementation.

Long-term Vulnerability Reduction

Achieve decrease in the long-term vulnerability posed by an increased risk to a similar incident. Ensure that long term community development plans and design incorporate hazards and risk information into consideration and encourage development of appropriate ordinances and resources to implement risk reduction activities for similar future events.

Risk and Disaster Resilience Assessment

Provide technical assistance to the whole community and to regional jurisdictions to identify, analyze, and maintain a risk assessment that includes information about localized vulnerabilities and consequences.

Threats and Hazard Identification

Identify threats and hazards in collaboration with whole community partners and incorporate findings into analysis and planning process for all mission areas.

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

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Core Capability Desired Outcome R

es

po

nse

Critical Transportation

Ensure multi-modal transportation access is established in support of response operations, transportation of vital response personnel, equipment, and services into the affected area is provided, and accessible transportation services are available to support the evacuation of people and service animals.

Environmental Response/Health Safety

Provide both guidance and resources to address environmental issues / health and safety issues during a disaster response, whether the disaster is man-made or natural, that can impact both responders and affected community members.

Fatality Management Services

Coordinate and provide temporary mortuary solution and fatality management services, including support in identifying location of remains, remains processing, victim identification as well as provide professional counseling to the bereaved and reunification with family members and caregivers.

Mass Care Services

Coordinate and ensure that timely life-sustaining services are provided to the affected population, to include providing food, water, shelter and other essential commodities and life sustaining services to those who have the most need, and support the re-entry operations and family reunification efforts.

Mass Search and Rescue Operations

Using pre-existing teams and resources, deliver timely SAR capabilities to disaster survivors in need, including personnel, services, animals, and assets, with the goal of saving the greatest number of endangered lives in the shortest time possible.

On-Scene Security and Protection

Ensure a safe and secure environment for response personnel engaged in lifesaving and life-sustaining operations and will also support efforts to provide a safe and secure environment for people and communities located within the affected communities.

Operational Communications

Ensure that interoperable voice and data communications are established and maintained among and between all response forces as they activate and deploy forward, whether mobile or fixed, and between affected communities in support of operations, security, and situational awareness.

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Res

po

nse

Public and Private Services and Resources

In support of state partners, FEMA R6 will coordinate with state to provide essential public and private services and resources to the affected population and surrounding communities, to include emergency power to critical facilities, fuel support for emergency responder, access to essential services, and access to fire and other first response services.

Public Health and Medical Services

In support of state partners, FEMA R6 will coordinate with state to ensure that

lifesaving medical treatment, emergency medical services, and related

operations are provided to the affected population during a disaster and that

steps are taken to avoid additional disease and injury by providing targeted

public health and medical support and products to people in need within the

affected area.

Situational Assessment

In support of state partners, FEMA R6, in coordination with state reporting processes, will provide relevant, accurate, consistent, and timely information to decision makers at all levels and across all federal agencies regarding damage assessments, anticipated resource needs, and the status of all response operations.

Re

sp

on

se

an

d R

ec

ov

ery

Infrastructure Systems

In support of state partners, FEMA R6 will coordinate with state to identify, stablize, and report immediate infrastructure threats. FEMA R6 will stabilize critical infrastructure functions, minimize health and safety threats, and efficiently restore and revitalize infrastructure systems and related services to support response operations and to assist the affected community in recovering from infrastructure damage and cascading effects. An Infrastructure Systems Mission Scoping Assessment Report (MSAR) will be conducted within 60 days of an incident to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions and identify jurisdictions which will require enhanced federal support.

Re

co

ve

ry

Economic Recovery

An Economic Recovery Mission Scoping Assessment Report (MSAR) will be conducted within 60 days of an incident to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions and identify jurisdictions which will require enhanced federal support.

Health and Social Services

A Health and Social Services Mission Scoping Assessment Report (MSAR) will be conducted within 60 days of an incident to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions and identify jurisdictions which will require enhanced federal support.

Housing

A Housing Mission Scoping Assessment Report (MSAR) will be conducted within 60 days of an incident to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions and identify jurisdictions which will require enhanced federal support.

Natural and Cultural Resources

A Natural and Cultural Resources Mission Scoping Assessment Report (MSAR) will be conducted within 60 days of an incident to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions and identify jurisdictions which will require enhanced federal support.

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Est imated Impacts Based on Threat and Hazard Descr ipt ions

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DFWA U ASI Capabi l i t y Targets

Core Capability Desired Outcome

Co

mm

on

Planning

Maintain, every five years, an all-hazards emergency operation plan and hazard mitigation

plan for each jurisdiction within the DFWA UASI that address functional areas with specific

annexes as required.

Maintain scenario-specific, stand alone plans every two years.

Maintain a Continuity of Operations (COOP) /Continuity of Government (COG) plan for all City

Owned critical infrastructure.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Create immediate Crisis Action Plans in response to specific threats in order to stabilize the incident within

72 hours.

Capability Target:

Response: Execute emergency operation and hazard specific plan(s) and associated annexes within one hour of impact from a natural,

technological, or manmade hazard. Mitigation: Ensure Hazard Mitigation plans are in effect and address identified threats and hazards,

identify changing risk patterns, and create strategy to reduce the increased risk.

Recovery: Execute a recovery plan within 60-days an incident

Public Warning and

Information

Deliver coordinated, prompt, reliable, and actionable information to the whole community through the

use of clear, consistent, accessible, culturally and linguistically appropriate methods, including social

media, to effectively relay information regarding any threat or hazard and, as appropriate, the actions

being taken and the assistance that is being made available.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Simultaneously warn over 6M citizens in up to 4 counties before or during an incident

Capability Target:

Protection: Provide warning leading up to the expected impacts of an incident using Outdoor Warning Systems, Reverse phone

notification, social, print, and audio/visual media.

Response: During the first 72 hours of an incident’s impact, inform citizens by all means necessary, including accessible tools to take

appropriate actions.

Mitigation: Provide access to risk data and maps and identify and conduct risk assessments and strategies to avoid or reduce loss of life

and property.

Recovery: Sustain Public Information and warning systems to be able to provide general recovery information to citizens.

Operational

Coordination

During response operations within three hours of the decision to activate the Emergency Operations

Center establish and maintain a National Incident Management System (NIMS) compliant operational

structure and process which integrates all critical stakeholders in order to stabilize an incident within 72

hours and effectively support and manage the execution of capabilities and supporting activities.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Support multiple Incident Command Posts, Emergency Operations Centers, Incident Management Teams,

and Joint Information Centers in response to a multi-jurisdictional impact event.

Capability Target:

Response: Establish and maintain unified and coordinated operational structure and processes across the 4 county region within 12 hours

of an incident.

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

34

Core Capability Desired Outcome P

rev

en

tio

n

Forensics and

Attribution

Prioritize evidence collection and analysis to assist in preventing initial or follow-on terrorist acts.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Multiple events affecting various sites that would cause a major strain on the law enforcement community

on providing timely forensics and attribution support.

Capability Target:

Conduct site exploitation for evidence, physical evidence analysis, biometric and DNA analysis, and digital media and network

exploitation in the first 24 hours during a multiple event regional emergency.

Pre

ve

nti

on

an

d P

rote

cti

on

Intelligence and

Information Sharing

Promptly share relevant, timely, and actionable information and analysis with federal, state, local,

tribal, and private partners with appropriate classified/unclassified products in accordance with

established protocols.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Establish the intelligence and information requirements.

Capability Target:

In the initial hours of an event be able to provide relevant, timely and actionable information to the established emergency management

and intelligence distribution list within the classified/unclassified protocols.

Interdiction and

Disruption Interdict 100% of specific conveyances, cargo, and persons associated with an imminent

threat to the DFWA UASI.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Disrupt terrorist financing or prevent other material support from reaching its target.

Capability Target:

Prior to the execution of a terrorist event interdict 100% of specific conveyances, cargo and persons associated with the possible threat

against the communities within the DFWA UASI.

Screening, Search, and

Detection Screen 100% of targeted conveyances, cargo, and persons associated with an imminent

terrorist threat using all means.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Locate persons and networks associated with imminent terrorist threats.

Capability Target:

Prior to the execution of a terrorist event screen, search and detect 100% of specific conveyances, cargo and persons associated with the possible threat against the DFWA UASI.

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment DFWA UASI

35

Core Capability Desired Outcome P

rote

cti

on

Access Control and

Identity Verification Ensure 100% verification of identity to authorize, grant, or deny physical and cyber access to

specific locations, information, and networks.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Control and limit access to critical locations and systems to authorized individuals carrying out legitimate

activities.

Capability Target:

Prior to an execution of cyber access to critical infrastructure, ensure 100% of intruder identity verification is achieved to deter further

impact and mitigate cascading effects.

Cyber security Detect 100% of malicious activity directed against all critical infrastructure, key resources, and

networks. Educate workforce on proper security protocol.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Multiple cyber terrorism attacks within the region specifically attacking the critical infrastructure such as

power and water systems.

Capability Target:

Prior to the execution of a cyber terrorism attached have the ability to Detect 100% of malicious activity directed against all critical

infrastructure, key resources, and networks.

Pro

tec

tio

n

Physical Protective Measures Protect people, structures, materials, products, and systems of key operational activities and

critical infrastructure sectors against an identified or perceived threat.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Prioritized assets, systems, networks, and functions are vulnerable and compromised.

Capability Target:

Implement security training for workers, focused on awareness and response

Risk Management for

Protection Programs and

Activities Complete risk assessments for 100% of prioritized critical infrastructure (CI) assets.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Risk Management programs do not adequately address changing hazards or assess impacts to critical

infrastructure.

Capability Target: Obtain and utilize appropriate threat, vulnerability, and consequence tools to identify and assess threats, vulnerabilities, and

consequences.

Supply Chain Integrity and

Security

Secure all identified priority supply nodes, transit methods, and materials.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Rail and highway lines become inoperable due to hazard impacts.

Capability Target:

Use risk management principles to identify, mitigate vulnerabilities, and protect key assets, infrastructure, and support systems.

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Core Capability Desired Outcome M

itig

ati

on

Community Resilience

Implement hazard mitigation plans for communities with highest risk

through partnerships with whole community representatives. Identify

opportunities to mitigate risk through community education, effective code

policies and enforcement, project development, and implementation.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Emergency event impacts community centers such as: hospitals, faith-based facilities, shopping centers, and

entertainment venues. Creating a strain on citizens and the local economy.

Capability Target:

Work with Local Jurisdictions to ensure Vulnerability Assessment Plans are in place, and use findings to develop plans for long term

recovery.

Long-term Vulnerability

Reduction

Achieve decrease in the long-term vulnerability posed by an increased risk to a similar

incident. Ensure that long term community development plans and design incorporate hazards

and risk information into consideration and encourage development of appropriate ordinances

and resources to implement risk reduction activities for similar future events.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Current Hazard Vulnerability assessments and hazard mitigation plans do not adequately detail steps for long

term mitigation or recovery.

Capability Target:

Achieve consistently integrated long-term risk reduction culture in impacted community. Provide technical assistance to update hazard

mitigation plans, utilize federal grant opportunities, produce studies (as appropriate), work together to determine resources available to

communities, provide guidance for recovery programs and policies.

Risk and Disaster Resilience

Assessment

Provide technical assistance to the whole community and to regional jurisdictions to identify, analyze, and maintain a risk assessment that includes information about

localized vulnerabilities and consequences.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Assessments completed to ensure reconstitution of normal activities do not adequately identify weaknesses

for risk reduction action and take inadequate action has been taken.

Capability Target:

Evaluate ability to withstand similar incident and take appropriate action to mitigate that risk, create defensible space for all hazards, and

implement smart growth policies.

Threats and Hazard

Identification

Identify threats and hazards in collaboration with whole community partners and incorporate

findings into analysis and planning process for all mission areas.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Results from THIRA process are not applied to existing capabilities and create gaps in mitigation and

response planning.

Capability Target:

Ensure all probable threats and hazards are identified, assessed, and prioritized and integrated into each hazard mitigation plan.

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Core Capability Desired Outcome R

es

po

nse

Critical Transportation Ensure multi-modal transportation access is established in support of response operations,

transportation of vital response personnel, equipment, and services into the affected area is

provided, and accessible transportation services are available to support the evacuation of

people and service animals.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Road and overpasses impede traffic and mass transportation inhibiting transportation of resources, personnel,

and supplies. Flights delayed which impacts other flights around the nation

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, Clear Debris from damaged or destroyed buildings. Clear blockages to incident sites and

railways.

Environmental Response/Health and

Safety

Provide both guidance and resources to address environmental issues / health and safety

issues during a disaster response, whether the disaster is man-made or natural, that can impact

both responders and affected community members.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: A massive amount of uncollected debris poses a threat to the health and safety of the environment and to

citizens and responders.

Capability Target:

Within 72 hours, identify critical or hazardous infrastructure sites affected by threat or hazard and prioritize clean-up. Within 30 days,

clear debris to support environmental health and safety actions for response personnel and the affected population.

Fatality Management

Services

Coordinate and provide temporary mortuary solution and fatality management services,

including support in identifying location of remains, remains processing, victim identification

as well as provide professional counseling to the bereaved and reunification with family

members and caregivers.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Multiple events at multiple sites create more than 500 fatalities.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, conduct operations to recover approximately 500 fatalities.

Mass Care Services

Coordinate and ensure that timely life-sustaining services are provided to the affected

population, to include providing food, water, shelter and other essential commodities and life

sustaining services to those who have the most need, and support the re-entry operations and

family reunification efforts.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: 30,000 people require shelter, 10% have functional needs

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, shelter 30,000 people to meet the needs of disaster survivors, including individuals with access

and functional needs and others who may be considered at-risk. During the first 72 hours, feed 60,000 people to meet the needs of disaster

survivors, including individuals with access and functional needs and others who may be considered at-risk.

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Core Capability Desired Outcome R

esp

on

se

Mass Search and Rescue

Operations

Using pre-existing teams and resources, deliver timely SAR capabilities to disaster

survivors in need, including personnel, services, animals, and assets, with the goal of

saving the greatest number of endangered lives in the shortest time possible.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: A catastrophic event occurs with such force that all access to the affected area is removed and only

limited resources can be provided.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, conduct search and rescue operations within the DFWA UASI residential neighborhoods

and critical infrastructure facilities.

On-Scene Security and

Protection

Ensure a safe and secure environment for response personnel engaged in lifesaving and

life-sustaining operations and will also support efforts to provide a safe and secure

environment for people and communities located within the affected communities.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: A secondary event occurs within a event, directed toward the safety and secure zone.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, establish a safe and secure environment for the affected area.

Operational

Communications

Ensure that interoperable voice and data communications are established and

maintained among and between all response forces as they activate and deploy forward,

whether mobile or fixed, and between affected communities in support of operations,

security, and situational awareness.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Multiple wide-spread catastrophic events that destroy key communication areas within the DFWA

UASI causing a strain on the communications grid causing it to collapse.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, restore damaged repeaters to ensure capacity to communicate with both the emergency

response community and the affected populations is sufficient; establish interoperable voice and data communications between

responders.

Public and Private Services

and Resources

Provide essential public and private services and resources to the affected population

and surrounding communities, to include emergency power to critical facilities, fuel

support for emergency responder, access to essential services, and access to fire and

other first response services.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Initial Resource requests are unable to be filled by local, county, or regional jurisdictions, affected

populations are unable to procure essential supplies or equipment.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, mobilize and deliver governmental, nongovernmental, and private-sector resources within

and outside the affected area by restoring damaged critical facilities to save lives, sustain lives, meet basic human needs, stabilize

the incident, and transition to recovery, which may include moving and delivering resources and services to disaster survivors.

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Core Capability Desired Outcome R

esp

on

se

Public Health and Medical

Services

Ensure that lifesaving medical treatment, emergency medical services, and related

operations are provided to the affected population during a disaster and that steps are

taken to avoid additional disease and injury by providing targeted public health and

medical support and products to people in need within the affected area.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: A wide spread pandemic creates panic and overfill at regional emergency medical centers causing

those with legitimate life threatening ailments to not receive adequate levels of care.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, establish locations to distribute Medical Countermeasures

Situational Assessment Using existing technologies provide relevant, accurate, consistent, and timely

information to decision makers at all levels and across all disciplines regarding damage

assessments, anticipated resource needs, and the status of all response operations.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Widespread impacts of threat does not allow for a common operating picture or initial situation

summary to be developed. Rumor spreading via media and social networks causes shaken confidence in local government.

Capability Target:

During the first 72 hours of an incident, restore critical nodes (Internet, Phone, video teleconference) that provide situational

awareness in order to deliver information sufficient to inform decision making regarding immediate life-saving and life-sustaining

activities and engage governmental, private, and civic-sector resources within and outside the affected area to meet basic human

needs and stabilize the incident.

Re

sp

on

se

an

d R

ec

ov

ery

Infrastructure Systems

Identify, stabilize, and report immediate infrastructure threats. Jurisdictions should

stabilize critical infrastructure functions, minimize health and safety threats, and

efficiently restore and revitalize infrastructure systems and related services to support

response operations and to assist the affected community in recovering from

infrastructure damage and cascading effects.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Utilities (electricity, water and sewer) delivery is compromised.

Capability Target:

During the first 72-hours of an incident, stabilize immediate critical infrastructure for life safety and life sustainability. Post 72-

hours prioritize and restore critical facilities and utilities (hospitals, water treatment plants, and public buildings).

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Core Capability Desired Outcome R

ec

ove

ry

Economic Recovery Conduct an Economic Impact Assessment within 60 days of an incident to determine

breadth of support needed from outside Recovery Support Functions and identify

jurisdictions which will require enhanced support.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Loss of tax base and business failure.

Capability Target:

Within 90 days of an incident, develop a Recovery Strategy in concert with Whole Community partners, with a specific timeline

to restore community infrastructure sites to contribute to resiliency, accessibility and sustainability. Work with the business

community to increase economic viability of the community.

Health and Social Services Conduct needs assessment to determine breadth of support needed for the whole

community to be provided pre-disaster levels of health and social services.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Impacts of emergency event critically damages regional medical centers causing hospitals to divert

patients.

Capability Target:

Within 30-days of an incident develop a Recovery Strategy to restore hospitals, community health facilities, and other social

services institutions to restore basic health and social services functions, to include mental health.

Housing Conduct a needs assessment to determine breadth of support needed to provide long

term suitable housing for the whole community.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Impacts of emergency event displaces 30,000 citizens for periods of more than 90 days.

Capability Target:

Within 90-days of an incident, develop a Recovery Strategy to identify housing needs and then determine available options for

temporary housing for people sheltered and then plan for permanent housing.

Natural and Cultural

Resources

Conduct a Natural and Cultural Resources Mission Scoping Assessment Report

(MSAR) to determine breadth of support needed for the Recovery Support Functions

and identify jurisdictions which will require additional support.

Greatest Estimated Impacts: Impacts of emergency event damages or destroys historic sites, cultural resources, vital records or

landmarks. Event may also displace or affect endangered species.

Capability Target:

Within 90-days of an incident, develop a Recovery Strategy to mitigate impacts and stabilize natural and cultural resources by

removing debris, repairing historic sites, and restoring personnel/community records/key documents that were destroyed.

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Capabi l i t y Est imates

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