Thomas LAGAILLARDE Airbus Olivier MARRE - Willis … Lagaillarde... · Thomas LAGAILLARDE Head of ROPS Programme Airbus Olivier MARRE Senior Vice President Aviation Insurance

February 2015 ROPS Risk Management Service

Thomas LAGAILLARDE

Head of ROPS Programme

Airbus

Olivier MARRE

Senior Vice President

Aviation Insurance

Allied World Assurance

Company (Europe) plc

http://www.awac.com/

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Content

1. Facts and figures about safety at landing

2. Airbus answer: ROPS

3. ROPS in service experience

4. ROPS Risk Management Service In Detail




1. Safety at landing: the # 1 Air Transportation Safety Issue AIRBUS-WILLIS Analysis on 1985-2010 Period : Claims Data

Source : ASCEND Database * Includes WTC

Excursions, the n°1 source of claims (mainly hull losses)


Flight Phase Incident

Count #

Pax

Fatalities

Crew

Fatalities

Hull Loss

USD m

Liability

USD m

En Route (Cruise) 287 3,766 462 1,576 2,727

Ground (Taxi) 301 24 18 473.89 76.74

Landing - Approach 1,120 8,718 1,802 2,937.49 3.316.70

Landing - Go Around 107 1,324 209 511.22 498.68

Landing - Initial Descent 178 2,450 415 442.46 948.56

Landing Roll -

Excursions 1,020 970 112 5,429 1,133

Landing – Landing Roll Others 1,567 291 90 1,139.66 186.05

Take Off - Climb to Cruise* 298 5,250 722 1,324.16 6,976.04

Take Off - Initial Climb 541 3,936 854 1,231.18 1,860.20

Take Off Aborted 113 146 20 352.43 61.55

Take Off Run 407 725 106 1,237.67 989.55

Total 5,939 27,600 4,810 16,655 18,774

Landing Roll -

Excursions 1,020 970 112 5,429 1,133



1. Safety at landing: the #1 Air Transportation Safety Issue Hull Losses Claims Data over 1985-2010 Period (only claims above 10m$)

Source : ASCEND Database

Landing excursions claims – Now 33% of all claims: a deteriorating situation Aviation industry now needs a game changer...




1. Safety at landing: the #1 Air Transportation Safety Issue Existing Situation

• Airbus statistical analysis was recently confirmed by Boeing

• Contributors to runway excursions at landing accidents and incidents

59% touched down in the recommended touchdown zone 76% respected FSF/IATA* stable approach criteria

62% experienced tailwind 93% were on wet or water contaminated runways

100% where with perfectly healthy aircraft

Only a real-time performance based system can predict the stopping distance of the aircraft and mitigate the risk.

Airbus concrete answer is

* FSF : Fligh

t Safety Fo

un

da

tion

– IATA : In

terna

tion

al A

ir Tran

spo

rt Asso

ciatio

n




Content








400ft

2. Runway Overrun Prevention System ROPS, 2 protections depending on available options for the crew


ROPS monitors continuously total energy and aircraft landing performance vs. runway end, from short final to assess if the aircraft can stop safely.

Simple SOP for pilots

ROPS provides a clear unambiguous aural AND visual alert to ensure crew awareness of the safest option

2 key design principles:

No unprotected areas No undue conservatism



2. Runway Overrun Prevention System Air-Phase , Runway Overrun Warning (ROW)

400ft

“RUNWAY TOO SHORT”

During Air-Phase ROPS performs a real time in-flight landing distance assessment for dry & wet runways with respect to detected landing distance available.

→ If the detected landing distance available is assessed too short, ROPS triggers an alert to encourage the crew to go around




400ft

BRAKE MAX BRAKING MAX BRAKING

SET MAX REVERSE SET MAX REVERSE

During Ground-Phase performs a real time on-ground stopping distance assessment with respect to detected landing distance available

→ If the detected landing distance available is assessed too short, ROP triggers an alert to encourage the crew to apply AND keep all available retardation means

2. Runway Overrun Prevention System Ground-Phase , Runway Overrun Protection (ROP)




2. Runway Overrun Prevention System A Natural Link with in-flight realistic landing distance assessment

Introduction of In-flight landing distance assessment and ROPS, A consistent approach

Covering training, procedure and cockpit technology ... Airbus is ready and active

Crew proactive one-shot landing performance assessment

Real-time automated proactive landing performance assessment

+ Crew alerting

Real-time automated actual stopping distance calculation

+ Crew alerting

In-flight realistic landing distance assessment by

the crew

VFR stabilization gate As recommended per SOP In

Flig

ht

On

Gro

un

d

Pilot action based on

simple SOP





2. Runway Overrun Prevention System The aviation industry is moving



Content








3. ROPS in-service experience Is a reality

1st Prototype

April 2004

A380 - 2009

A320 - 2013

A330 - 2015

A350 - 2014

Research Oct. 1998 - Feb. 2002


Certified by EASA, FAA, CAAC

20+ airlines have selected or already operate it: AAL, AAR, AFR,

ALK, AVA, BAW, CSN, DLH, ETD, KAC, KAL, LNI, MAS, PAL, QTR, TCX,

TSO, UAE, USA, VOI, VRE, 07P

190 aircraft in-service: 122 A380, 1 A350, 67 A320

1,500+ commitments: 160 A380, 750 A350, 650 A320

Active talks with airlines for the retrofit of 1000+ aircraft.



The following slides contains an analysis of two separate de-identified

events* which triggered ROPS alerts.

• Event 1 – As the tail-wind increased, the aircraft ground speed increased

and ROW stop distance increased. At 10ft RAH the system triggered alerts

as the safe stop distance was longer than the LDA.

• Event 2 – When the crew inadvertently selected FWD idle and the

deceleration decreased, the ROP system detected the estimated stop

distance was longer than the remaining runway length and triggered alerts.

2 runway excursions prevented on A380.

And our analysis of excursions on Airbus aircraft shows ROPS would

have prevented them.


3. ROPS in-service experience Example of events where ROPS prevented excursion




1. ROW « IF WET: TOO SHORT» message on PFD triggers at 500ft (start of ROW monitoring) and

remained throughout the approach

2. ROW « RWY TOO SHORT» message on PFD and audio « RUNWAY TOO SHORT » triggered at

10ft RAH the crew promptly applied the Go-Around procedure

3. ROPS in-service experience Example of go-around with an A380

Calculated Dry and

Wet distances

Aircraft trajectory




TD

Max Rev

ROP

SET MAX REVERSE

Fwd Idle

Max Rev

3. ROPS in-service experience Example of deceleration instruction with an A380

"SET MAX REVERSE"



Content









4. ROPS Risk Management Service Combining technological and risk management innovation

ROPS is a real safety game changer

It WILL reduce the frequency of Overruns and therefore Hull Losses

Airbus is confident due to years of research and certification and

in service experience

Allied World is convinced as we know that technology is the basis of safety stepping stones

AIRBUS have decided to “put their money where their mouth is” and for the first time, in partnership with Allied World

• Offer ROPS as an integrated risk management solution rather than a pure technical product

• Offer systematically the product as a “bundle” including a 5 years Hull protection contract

• If a ROPS equipped aircraft overruns whilst the pilot has followed all ROPS procedures, the contract will reimburse hull damages up to 15M$ for narrow bodied aircraft and 25M$ for wide bodied aircraft *

* Subject to terms and conditions of the ROPS cover





The ROPS protection scope of cover is simple and clear

We cover

• Hull damages to equipped aircraft following an overrun

• We automatically incorporate all the conditions of the main policy

We exclude

• Accidents where the pilots have not followed ROPS warnings

• Accidents due to other insurable issues (hard landing, brakes failure…)

• Any Legal Liability

The ROPS cover is NOT a warranty policy





The ROPS cover is designed to be nimble and non disruptive

Placement Administration In case of a loss

• Organised through Willis products team who represent Airbus

• No premium impact for the client

• Simple declaration of equipped aircraft

• The main insurers will adjust and pay

• They will then claim against AW if policy triggered

• Unlikely disputes due to the simple triggers and the support of Airbus data for technical analysis

• Managed by the Airline’s broker

• No need for local policy

• No contractual impact for the client in his relation with Airbus

• All that is needed is to endorse the main policy





This combined proposition presents UNIQUE values for airlines risk managers

Accidents reduction

• Risk managers want a safe airline

• ROPS equipped aircraft are less likely to overrun

• Accidents go far beyond insurance

Loss Ratio protection

• Hull losses are difficult to subrogate

• Loss record is a key element of insurance prices

• Loss related rate movements take years to correct





90

100

110

120

130

140

150

Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Premium evolution Impact of a hull accident





This combined proposition presents UNIQUE values for airlines risk managers

Accidents reduction

• Risk managers want a safe airline

• ROPS equipped aircraft are less likely to overrun

• Accidents go far beyond insurance

Loss Ratio protection Premium reductions

• Hull losses are difficult to subrogate

• Loss record is a key element of insurance prices

• Loss related rate movements take years to correct

• Insurers insure a safer airline

• Insurers clearly benefit from a new direct way of recourse

• They should recognise this via a premium reduction

• The “starting point” is a key factor of airlines renewal





Insurance related cost savings are NOT the main reason why airlines will buy ROPS

But once the technical solution is chosen by operations

It can become a key element of the buyers business case

It is the role of the risk manager to explain the benefits of the bundle beyond the apparently modest probable premium reduction





We need your support

It’s happening now It won’t work without

you It’s the right thing to do

• Insurers can recognise the value of the product in their pricing

• Brokers can help convincing them

• Risk managers can explain the value internaly

• Increased risk in case of discovery

• It will help to make the world a safer place

• Airbus offers the bundle to EVERY ROPS fit whether line fit or retrofit

• This applies retroactively to past orders to be delivered



© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document

or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express wri tten consent of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is

supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS Operations S.A.S will be pleased to

explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.



Documents

Thomas LAGAILLARDE Airbus Olivier MARRE - Willis … Lagaillarde... · Thomas LAGAILLARDE Head of ROPS Programme Airbus Olivier MARRE Senior Vice President Aviation Insurance