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The New Foodservice Landscape THE PATH FORWARD Asad Amin, Vice President, Market Strategy & Understanding 30 April, 2020

THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

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Page 1: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

The New Foodservice Landscape

THE PATH FORWARD

Asad Amin, Vice President, Market Strategy & Understanding30 April, 2020

Page 2: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

MERCURY ESPRESSO

TROPICALJOE’S

AVLINGBREWERY

POOR ROMEO

ED’S REALSCOOP

2 ‒

Page 3: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

An ongoing daily tracking of what

individual consumers ate and

drank sourced from foodservice

yesterday.

FSM links consumer needs with

consumer behaviour to offer

subscribers a 360 degree look at

the commercial foodservice

experience in Canada.

❖ FAB New Reality Reports

❖ Path Forward Behaviour Tracker

3 ‒ © Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

Average Annual Counts

❖ 36,500 individual completes

❖ 46,400 occasions captured

❖ 118,600 Menu Items Consumed

Page 4: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape4 ‒

MARCH FOODSERVICE DECLINES

Source: Ipsos Foodservice Monitor Mar 2020 vs. YoY

Foodservice Dollars Mar 2020

-47%

-$2.6 billion

Foodservice Traffic Mar 2020

-39%

-439 million individuals

QUICK

SERVICE

-32%

FULL

SERVICE

-67%

RETAIL &

OTHER

-47%

DO

LL

AR

% C

HA

NG

E

Page 5: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

5 ‒

Source: Restaurants Canada Operations Report 2019

4.3%QSR

3.8%FSR

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

CANADIAN FOODSERVICE PROFIT MARGINS

Page 6: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape6 ‒

CONFIDENCE

Page 7: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape7 ‒

ALL EYES ARE ON CHINA’S RECOVERY

Page 8: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape8 ‒

GLOBAL SEARCH TRENDS FOR ‘RESTAURANT’

Source: Google Trends

0

20

40

60

80

100

4/28/2019 10/23/2019 4/18/2020

CANADA

0

20

40

60

80

100

4/28/2019 10/23/2019 4/18/2020

SOUTH KOREA

0

20

40

60

80

100

4/28/2019 10/23/2019 4/18/2020

CHINA

0

20

40

60

80

100

4/28/2019 10/23/2019 4/18/2020

HONG KONG

Page 9: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

NEW ZEALANDERS RUSH FOR FAST FOOD AND COFFEE

Page 10: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

WHILE A CONSIDERABLE SHARE OF CANADIANS REMAIN UNDERSTANDABLY CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM

48% 58%

OPTIMISTIC

Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more

than every

CAUTIOUS

Once the crisis ends I will be more cautious

with my activities

10 ‒

Sources: Ipsos Path Forward COVID-19 Behavior Tracker Wave 2 Apr 14-20, 2020, N=1,000

Q. Below are a number of behaviours and attitudes that people could have as a result of the Covid-19 health crisis. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree. % in Circles Based on Top 2 Box

CONSUMER OPTIMISM SCALE

48% 58%

OPTIMISTIC

Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more

than every

CAUTIOUS

Once the crisis ends I will be more cautious

with my activities

18% 28%

CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC

I will enjoy my life more than every andwill be more cautious

with my activities moving forward

EXTREMELY OPTIMISTIC

I will enjoy life more than ever and I will

not be more cautious with my activities

EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS

I will be more cautious with my activities and

I will not enjoy life more than ever

30%

Page 11: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

11 ‒

WHAT IS YOUR OFF-PREMISE STRATEGY?

11 ‒ © Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

62%OFF-PREMISE

38%ON-PREMISE

+9%5 Yr Traffic Share Growth

-9%5 Yr Traffic Share Drop

Source: Ipsos Foodservice Monitor 12ME Feb 2020

Page 12: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape12 ‒

Entrees

Sides

AppetizersBakery/Dessert

Beverages

TOP GROWING ITEMS

TOP DECLINING ITEMS

Source: Ipsos Foodservice Monitor Mar 2020

Page 13: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape13 ‒

WHAT IS THE PATH

FORWARD IN THE CURRENT

FOODSERVICE LANDSCAPE?

Page 14: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

THE PATH FORWARD

1. SAFETY

2. VALUE

3. SOCIAL

4. PIVOT

5. COMPASSION

14 ‒

Page 15: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

SAFETY

62%Restaurants Taking Precautions

15 ‒ © Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

Source: Ipsos Path Forward COVID-19 Behavior Tracker Wave 2 Apr 14-20, 2020, N=1,000

Page 16: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

16 ‒ © Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

VALUE

24%Dealing

Source: Ipsos Foodservice Monitor Mar 2020

Page 17: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

SOCIAL

17%Virtual Happy Hour

17 ‒ © Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

Source: Ipsos Path Forward COVID-19 Behavior Tracker Wave 2 Apr 14-20, 2020, N=1,000

Page 18: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape18 ‒

PIVOT

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape

Page 19: THE PATH FORWARD...CAUTIOUS ABOUT THE FUTURE, IT’S CERTAINLY NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM 48% 58% OPTIMISTIC Once the crisis ends I will enjoy life more than every CAUTIOUS Once the crisis

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape19 ‒

COMPASSION

© Ipsos | The Path Forward - The New Foodservice Landscape