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The MINNI Project lian Agency for New Technologies rgy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10- 12, 2004 Development of an Integrated National Model as supporting tool to the International Negotiation on Atmospheric Pollution F.Monforti, P.Ornelli, T.Pignatelli, G.Vialetto, G.Zanini ENEA, Bologna and Casaccia Research Centres G.Brusasca, G.Calori, S.Finardi, P.Radice, C.Silibello ARIANET, Milano

The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

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Page 1: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

The MINNI Project

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Development of an Integrated National Model as supporting tool to the International Negotiation on Atmospheric Pollution

F.Monforti, P.Ornelli, T.Pignatelli, G.Vialetto, G.Zanini

ENEA, Bologna and Casaccia Research Centres

G.Brusasca, G.Calori, S.Finardi, P.Radice, C.Silibello

ARIANET, Milano

Page 2: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

The MINNI Project

A 3 year project for the development of a National Integrated Modelling System

Carried out under the leadership of ENEA in cooperation with ARIANET

Project financed by ENEA and the Italian Ministry for the Environment (total investment 1,268 million Euros)

Page 3: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Ultimate Objectives :

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

- Development of emission Scenarios, for SO2, NOx, NH3, VOC, O3 e PM

- Development of national/regional cost curves, analysis of the abatement costs, optimised cost allocation

- Analysis of impact on environment and human health

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

- Analysis of pollutant transport, dispersion and multiphase chemical transformations

- Development of deposition/concentration maps at national and regional level

Page 4: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Three different simulation models are integrated in a coherent framework:

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

Meteorological model (RAMS)

Pollution transport and chemistry model (FARM)

Integrated Assessment Model (RAINS-Italy)

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Page 5: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Minni Modelling System – flow chart

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Page 6: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

The meteorological sub-system

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Prognostic and non-hydrostatic model RAMS (Cotton et al., 2003)

2 way nested grid system

ECMWF analysis fields and surface synoptic observations used as input data for RAMS simulations

RAMS has provided the hourly meteorological fields of interest for the base year 1999.

Assessment based upon cross-checking with available record data

Page 7: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Transport and Chemistry Model FARM

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Derived from STEM Model (Carmichael et al., 1998).

Three-dimensional Eulerian model

Acid pollutants are treated by means of the (Hov et al., 1988) chemical scheme

Photochemical reactions are described by the SAPRC-90 chemical scheme

Models-3/CMAQ Aero-3 module (Binkowski, 1999) used for PM

Chemical boundary conditions are assigned by the EMEP Model

Page 8: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Example of FARM output : NOx concentration at soil level

Page 9: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Emission Sub-System

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Based upon the National Emission Inventory

The reference year (1999) national emission inventory data are disaggregated at NUTS3 level (“Province”) by means of a number of specific activities indicators

The emissions of the neighbouring countries are based upon the EMEP European inventory

140 Italian large point sources are considered individually .

Page 10: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

The Rains Italy Model

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

The MINNI Project

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Subject of a joint research project IIASA-ENEA to be completed byDecember 2004

Emission and Cost Modules complete. EMCO used to developemission scenarios for CAFÉ, NEC and CRLTAP

20 Administrative Regions

4 Metropolitan Areas, 1 National Sea Traffic Area

14 Large Power Sources

Page 11: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Grids – Comparison EMEP - MINNI

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004EMEP 50 km MINNI 20 km

Page 12: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Atmosferic Transfer Matrix for RAINS-Italy

Piemonte

“Atmosferic Transfer matrix”

ImplementedIn RAINS-Italy

Page 13: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

Deposition maps in RAINS-Italy

Example of SOx deposition map (mgS/m2/y) using the Atmosferic Tranfer Matrix elaborated by the MINNI Eulerian Model.Map elaborated by Rains-Italy Dep Module (Web version).Emissions from Lazio region, only. Inventory data 1999 [IIASA, W. Schopp,]

Page 14: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

The MINNI Project

Eulerian ModelEulerian Model RAINS ItalyRAINS Italy

Page 15: The MINNI Project Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention TFIAM Meeting, Amiens,

Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment

Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention

TFIAM Meeting, Amiens, May, 10-12, 2004

The MINNI Project

More details at:

www.atmet.com RAMS

www.aria-net.it Atmosferic dispersion and chemistry