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Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET

Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

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Page 1: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Sunday, July 12, 2020

8:30 a.m. ET

Page 2: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

National Current Operations & Monitoring

Significant Incidents or Threats:

• Severe thunderstorms possible – Central/Southern High Plains

• Excessive Heat Warnings in effect – Central CA to Southeast

• Red Flag Warnings – Idaho, northern California, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Wyoming, and Utah

• COVID-19

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic: No new tropical cyclones expected during the next five days

• Eastern Pacific:

o Tropical Storm Cristina

o Disturbance 1 – High (70%)

• Central Pacific: No new tropical cyclones expected during the next five days

• Western Pacific: No activity affecting U.S. interests

Declaration Activity: FMAG Approved – Road 11 Fire, WA

Page 3: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Road 11 Fire – WA

Current Situation:

• Fire began July 11th; burning 24 miles east of the city of Chelan

• Burning private land

• Threatening infrastructure: Power/telephone lines, school, fire

station, municipal airport, and ecological resources in and around

the town of Mansfield (pop 330)

• Damaged/destroyed infrastructure: Power/telephone lines

Response:

• FMAG approved July 12

• WA EOC at Full Activation (COVID-19)

• NWC & Region X / Bothell MOC continue to monitor

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other) Fatalities /

InjuriesThreatened Damaged Destroyed

Road 11 Fire(Douglas County, WA)

XXXX-FM-WA 10,000 0%M: 330

V: 0

H: 200

O: 0

H: 0

O: 0

H: 1

O: 00 / 0

Evacuations: M = Mandatory / V = Voluntary

https://www.esri.com/en-us/disaster-response/disasters/wildfires

Page 4: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Wildfire Summary

Evacuations: M = Mandatory / V = Voluntary

Structures: H = Homes and Mixed Commercial/Residential / O = Nonresidential Commercial/Other Minor Structures

Fire Name

(County, ST)FMAG #

Acres

Burned

Percent

ContainedEvacuations

Structures (Homes / Other) Fatalities /

InjuriesThreatened Damaged Destroyed

Numbers Fire (FINAL)

(Douglas County, NV)5319-FM-NV 18,342 (+42) 88% (+48)

M: Lifted H: 0 H: 0 H: 3 0 / 2

V: 0 O: 0 O: 0 O: 40

Page 5: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 1 XXXX-WA

Approved FMAG Data

Fiscal Year Current FYTD MTDMonthly

Average*

Cumulative

Acres Burned FYTD

Cumulative

Denied FMAGs FYTD

2020 28 0 9.3 235,374 0

Fiscal Year Total Previous FY Yearly Average** Total Acres Burned

Previous Fiscal Year

Total Denied FMAGs

Previous Fiscal Year

2019 15 46.3 63,278 2

* Reflects the three year average for current month

** Reflects three year total average

Page 6: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Tropical Outlook – Five Day

Central Pacific AtlanticEastern PacificTropical Storm Cristina (Advisory #23 as of 5:00 a.m. ET)

• 870 miles W of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico

• Moving W at 13 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 45 mph

• Tropical-storm-force winds extend 70 miles

• Forecast to weaken during the next 48 hours; likely to

degenerate into a remnant low Monday

Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. ET)

• South of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico

• Conditions likely to become favorable a tropical

depression could form during the next couple of days

• Formation chance through 48 hrs.: Medium (40%)

• Formation chance through 5 days: High (70%)

Page 7: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

COVID-19 Update

Situation: Upward trajectory in COVID-19 case count

continues across 14 states, including TX with, 21 states in a

plateau status, including NC, TX and FL. 31,403 Federal

employees deployed / activated; 2,292 FEMA employees

deployed.

Nationwide Testing: 40,045,940 cumulative as of July 10.

COVID-19 positive cases continue to increase globally (CDC COVID-19 Response Update as of July 11)

• Confirmed Cases of COVID-19

o United States: 3,173,212 (+66,281)

o Worldwide: 12,102,328 (+228,102)

• Deaths caused by COVID-19

o United States: 133,666 (+811)

o Worldwide: 551,046 (+5,565)

Response:

• NRCC at Level I

• Regions I, II, III, VI, & X RRCCs at Level III

• Regions VII, VIII, & IX RRCCs are rostered

• Regions IV, VII, VIII, & IX COVID-19 response being worked

from the Virtual JFO

• NWC, all RWCs, and MOCs are monitoring

(COVID-19 SLB, July 10)

Page 8: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

National Weather ForecastSun Mon

Tue

Page 9: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Severe Weather Outlook

Sun Mon

Tue

Page 10: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Mon

Tue

Precipitation & Excessive Rainfall

Sun

Sun-Tue

Page 11: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Fire Weather Outlook

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Today Tomorrow

Page 12: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product

s/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictio

ns/610day/610temp.new.gif

Long Range Outlooks – July 17-21

6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability

Page 13: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

RegionState /

LocationEvent IA/PA

Number of CountiesStart – End

Requested Complete

V ILSevere Weather

May 28

IA 0 0 N/A

PA 1 0 7/14 –TBD

Page 14: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Declaration Requests in Process – 2

State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested

Poarch Band of Creek Indians – COVID-19 Pandemic DR X X May 15

MS – Tropical Storm Cristobal DR X X Jul 7

Page 15: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

Team:Status

US&R>65%

MERS>66%

FCOs= 2 Type I

FDRCs= 2

IM

WORKFORCE

IM CADRE AVAILABILITY SUMMARY

Cadres with 25% or Less Availability

Assigned: 28 36 47 11 13,737

FL 19% (31/161); PA 21% (646/3,125); PLAN 23% (100/426); SAF 20% (11/56)Unavailable 3 0 0 0 2,868

Deployed: 0 0 40 9 5,553

Available: 25 36 7 2 5,316 / 39%

N-IMATs3 Teams

Red

Blue

Gold

R-IMATs≥ 7 Teams

I RRCC

II

III

IV-1

IV-2 Virtual SC

V

VI-1

VI-2

VII VJFO-COVID

VIII

IX-1

IX-2

X RRCC

FMC PMC

NMC Deployed

FEMA Common Operating PictureFEMA HQ

NWC NRCCMonitoring Level I

FEMA REGIONS

WATCH RRCC

Monitoring I Level III

Monitoring II Level III

Monitoring III Level III

Monitoring IV Rostered

Monitoring V Level III

Monitoring VI Level III

Alt Location VII Rostered

Monitoring VIII Rostered

Monitoring IX Rostered

Monitoring X Level III

Notes:

NRCC and RRCCs

activated for COVID-

19

GA: Flooding

MS: Flooding

PR : Earthquake

TN: Tornadoes

All EOCs activated for

COVID-19

Page 16: Sunday, July 12, 2020 8:30 a.m. ET Daily Ops Briefing 07-12-2020.pdf · Tropical Outlook –Five Day . Central Pacific Eastern Pacific Atlantic. Tropical Storm Cristina (Advisory

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