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Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training Program Illinois Law Enforcement Alarm System Illinois Terrorism Task Force Illinois Emergency Management Agency

Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

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Page 1: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence

Prevention Initiative

Presented by:

Mr. Ronald Ellis

Sandra Ellis, Ph.D.

School & Campus Security Training ProgramIllinois Law Enforcement Alarm System

Illinois Terrorism Task ForceIllinois Emergency Management Agency

Page 2: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Planning for Incidents Involving Violence

– Ft. Hood, TX– Newtown, Conn.– Aurora Colorado Theatre– Northern Illinois Univ.– Virginia Tech.– Bailey, Colorado

Page 3: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Early Warning

• Research has shown that perpetrators of targeted acts of violence engage in both covert and overt troubling behaviors preceding their attacks.

• School faculty and staff need to learn pre-attack warning signs and indicators that may develop into an extreme violent incident or active shooter.

Page 4: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Pathway to Violence

Ideation

Planning

Acquisition

Implementation

Page 5: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Key Points about Violence

Violence is the product of an interaction among four factors:

S The subject who may take violent action;

T Vulnerabilities of the target of such actions;

E An environment that facilitates or permits violence, or does not discourage it; and,

P Precipitating events that may trigger reactions.

Page 6: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Precipitory Events

Catalyst…final straw with underlying theme of loss of face, humiliation, injured pride or shame.

May be in the form of a bullying incident, loss of romantic relationship, administrative or disciplinary investigation

FBI, National Center for Analysis of Violent Crime

Page 7: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Precipitating Events

Page 8: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Facts About Serious School Violence

Most consider, plan, and prepare before engaging in violent behavior;

Most discuss their plans with others before the attack.

Perpetrators of serious campus violencedon’t “just snap.”

These incidents are not impulsive or random.

Page 9: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Top Findings of Study: School Based Attacks

1. Attacks are rarely sudden impulsive acts2. In 81% of cases, others knew about the

attackers idea/plan3. Most attackers did not threaten their victims

directly prior to the attack4. There is no accurate profile of a “school

shooter”5. Most attackers had seriously concerned

others in their lives prior to the attack

US Secret Service/US Dept. of Education, Safe School Initiative

Page 10: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Key Findings—School Based Attacks (continued)

6. Most attackers had difficulty coping with significant loss or failure

7. Many felt bullied, persecuted or injured by others. (Over 50% motive was revenge)

8. Most had access to weapons9. In many cases, others (students) were

involved in some way10. Most are suicidal at the point of desperation11. Most attacks were over before police arrived

(lasting only 3-4 minutes)

PREVENTION IS THE KEY!US Secret Service/US Dept. of Education, Safe School Initiative

Page 11: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

“The only real way of preventing school violence is to get into the heads and hearts of faculty, staff and students.”

Page 12: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

K-12 School Threat AssessmentRecommended by U.S. Departments of

Education, Homeland Security, HHS, FEMA, Justice, FBI and Secret Service

Form multidisciplinary threat assessment teams.

Train schools how to identify, investigate, assess and intervene in cases of threats or other concerning behavior.

Page 13: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Warning Signs: Indicators & Red Flags

Violent fantasy content

Anger problems

Fascination with weapons & accoutrements

Boasting & practicing fighting, combat

Loner

Injustice Collector

Suicidal ideation, depression

Narcissism

Page 14: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Red Flags (continued)

Non-compliance & disciplinary problems

Imitation of other murderers

Interest in previous school shootings

Victim/martyr self-concept

Aberrant or troubling behavior

Violence & cruelty

Lack of empathy

Inability to express/experience joy/pleasure

Page 15: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

“Bystander Study”U.S. Secret Service May 2004

School climate affected whether bystanders came forward with information related to the threats.

Explored the factors that influenced bystanders on why they did or did not report to adults/staff what they knew.

Page 16: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Bystander Study

Why didn’t someone report concerning or troubling behavior?

We increasingly try to suggest to young people that you can save lives.

School shooters themselves would often say, “I wish somebody had told on us.”

Page 17: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Bystander Study- Findings

1. School climate and a connection to an adult matters.

2. School staff training on how to properly

respond to students who provide

information about a threatening situation,

as well as actual threats, is important.

Page 18: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

© SIGMA Threat Management Associates (2013)

What is School Threat Assessment?

1• Identify students of

concern

2• Gather

information/investigate

3• Assess student and

situation

4• Manage the student /

situation

A systematic process that is designed to:

Slide 18

Page 19: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

© SIGMA Threat Management Associates (2013)

Threat Assessment Process

Facts Conclusions Strategies

Threat assessment is fact-based and deductive:

Slide 19

Page 20: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Implications for Prevention

Many school targeted attacks can be prevented.Information about a person’s ideas and plans for violence can be observed or discovered before harm can occur.But information available is likely to be scattered and fragmented.Key is to act quickly upon an initial report of concern, see who else has a piece of the puzzle, then pull all the information together to see what picture emerges.

Page 21: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Behavioral Threat Assessment • Student Behavioral Threat

Assessment (K-12) AA#990

• Advanced Student Behavioral Threat Assessment (K-12)

• Forming a Campus Threat Assessment Team

• Advanced Campus Threat Assessment

Page 22: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

Bomb Threat Planning

Understanding & Planning for School Bomb Incidents (K-12)

Incident Response to Terrorist Bombings (DHS courses)

Page 23: Student Behavioral Threat Assessment: A Violence Prevention Initiative Presented by: Mr. Ronald Ellis Sandra Ellis, Ph.D. School & Campus Security Training

To schedule the Student BehavioralThreat Assessment Course contact Ronald Ellis, Co-Director SCSTP

[email protected] [email protected]

(217) 871-6010

Dr. Sandra Ellis, Co-Director [email protected]

(217) 871-0023