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S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 23, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box

S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

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Page 1: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

S&P 500/400/600Revenues, Earnings, Margins,

NERI, P/E, P/SYardeni Research, Inc.

June 23, 2020

Dr. Edward Yardeni516-972-7683

[email protected]

Joe Abbott732-497-5306

[email protected]

Please visit our sites atwww.yardeni.comblog.yardeni.com

thinking outside the box

Page 2: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Table Of Contents Table Of ContentsTable Of Contents

June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Earnings 3S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Annual Earnings: 2020 4S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Annual Earnings: 2021 5S&P 500 Sectors Forward Earnings 6S&P 500 Sectors Forward Revenues 7S&P 500 Sectors Forward Profit Margin 8S&P 500 Sectors Forward P/Es 9S&P 500 Sectors Forward P/Sales 10S&P 500 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index 11S&P 500 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index 12S&P 400 Sectors Forward Earnings 13S&P 400 Sectors Forward Revenues 14S&P 400 Sectors Forward Profit Margin 15S&P 400 Sectors Forward P/Es 16S&P 400 Sectors Forward P/Sales 17S&P 400 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index 18S&P 400 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index 19S&P 600 Sectors Forward Earnings 20S&P 600 Sectors Forward Revenues 21S&P 600 Sectors Forward Profit Margin 22S&P 600 Sectors Forward P/Es 23S&P 600 Sectors Forward P/Sales 24S&P 600 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index 25S&P 600 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index 26S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Profit Margin 27S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward P/Es 28S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward P/Sales 29

Page 3: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 1.

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

6/18

S&P 500 SECTORS:FORWARD EARNINGS PER SHARE*

Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth CareIndustrials

Information TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

-25

0

25

50

75

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125

150

175

6/18

S&P 400 SECTORS:Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth CareIndustrials

Information TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

6/18

S&P 600 SECTORS: Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth CareIndustrials

Information TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Earnings

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 4: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 2.

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2018 2019 2020 2021

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

6/18

S&P 500 SECTORS:2020 EARNINGS PER SHARE*

Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2018 2019 2020 2021

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

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200

225

-25

0

25

50

75

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175

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225

6/18

S&P 400 SECTORS: Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2018 2019 2020 2021

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

6/18

S&P 600 SECTORS: Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

* Consensus expected operating earnings per share. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Annual Earnings: 2020

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 5: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 3.

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2019 2020 2021 2022

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

6/11

S&P 500 SECTORS:2021 EARNINGS PER SHARE*

Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2019 2020 2021 2022

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

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225

6/11

S&P 400 SECTORS: Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II2019 2020 2021 2022

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

6/11

S&P 600 SECTORS: Consumer DiscretionaryConsumer StaplesEnergyFinancialsHealth Care

IndustrialsInformation TechnologyMaterialsReal EstateCommunication ServicesUtilities

* Consensus expected operating earnings per share. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Annual Earnings: 2021

Page 5 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 6: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 4.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2160

90

120

150

180210240

19

20 21

6/18

S&P 500(forward earnings*)

Annual consensusestimatesForward earnings

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2113

19

25

3137434955

1920 21

6/18

INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

20

35

5065

1920 21

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

30

45

607590105

1920 21 6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2113

19

25

31

3743

19 20 216/18

CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

12

18

243036

19

2021

6/18

MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.2

40.280.2

120.2

1920 21

6/18

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

3

5

79

19 206/18

18REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

20

32

4456

1920 21

6/18

FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 217

9

11

13

15

17

19

20

21

6/18

COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2120

35

50

65

8095

1920 21

6/18HEALTH CARE

* Time-weighted average (in blue) of consensus operating earnings estimates for current and next year (in red). Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2111

12

13

14

15

161718

19

20 216/18

UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 500 Sectors Forward Earnings

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 7: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 5.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1920

21

6/18

S&P 500(forward revenues*)

Annual consensusestimatesForward revenues*

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21210

260

310

360

410

460

1920 21

6/18

INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

375

500

625

750

1920

216/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21125

175

225

275

325375425

1920

21 6/18INFORMATI0N TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200

275

350

425

500

19 20 21 6/18CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21160

180

200

220

240

19

2021

6/18

MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

350

450

550

650750850

1920 21

6/18

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2120

25

30

35

40

45

1920 21

6/18

REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21120

160

200

240

280

1920

216/18

FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2145

65

85

105

125145

20

216/18

19

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21175

375

575

775

975

1920

21 6/18HEALTH CARE

*Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21100

120

140

160

180

1920 21

6/18

UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 500 Sectors Forward Revenues

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 8: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 6.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

8

10

12

14

19

20 21

6/18

S&P 500(profit margin, percent)

AnnualForward* (10.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

6

8

10

12

1920 21

6/18

INDUSTRIALS

(7.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

3

5

7

9

11

1920

21

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(4.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

19

20 216/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(21.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

19

2021

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES

(7.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

6

8

10

12

14

1920

21

6/18

MATERIALS

(9.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-3

0

3

6

9

12

15

19

2021

6/18

ENERGY

(0.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

9

12

15

18

21

24

6/1821

1920

REAL ESTATE

(14.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

8

12

16

20

24

19

2021

6/18

FINANCIALS

(13.8)

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

21

6/18

19

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(13.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 219.5

10.0

10.5

11.0

11.5

12.0

19 2021

6/18

HEALTH CARE

(10.1)

* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

19

20 216/18

UTILITIES

(13.9)yardeni.com

S&P 500 Sectors Forward Profit Margin

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Page 9: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 7.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

1012141618202224

6/18S&P 500(forward P/E)

P/E (21.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

11

14

17

20

23

26

29

6/18

INDUSTRIALS(23.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

6/18CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(39.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY(24.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

12

14

16

18

20

22

6/18CONSUMER STAPLES

(19.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

6/18MATERIALS

(21.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

10

20

30

40

50

60

6/18ENERGY

Capped at 50 dueto extreme values.

(50.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

25

35

45

55

65

75

6/18

REAL ESTATE(48.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

6/18

FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

(14.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

12

16

20

246/18COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(22.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

10

12

14

16

18

20

6/18

HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s.

(16.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(17.9)

S&P 500 Sectors Forward P/Es

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Figure 8.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.56/18S&P 500

(forward P/S ratio)

P/S (2.27)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

6/18INDUSTRIALS

(1.78)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4

.8

1.2

1.6

2.06/18CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(1.88)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

6/18INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(5.29)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.6

.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

6/18CONSUMER STAPLES

(1.42)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

2.25

6/18MATERIALS

(1.88)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

6/18

ENERGY(0.97)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

6/18REAL ESTATE

(6.80)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

(2.02)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

6/18COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(2.94)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

2.25

6/18

HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s Corporation.

(1.64)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(2.49)

S&P 500 Sectors Forward P/Sales

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Figure 9.

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-50

-30

-10

10

30

Jun

S&P 500

Net Earnings Revisions Index*NERI (-30.7)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-70

-50

-30

-10

10

30

50

Jun

INDUSTRIALS

(-41.9)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Jun

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-36.3)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Jun

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-24.9)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-16.7)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

MATERIALS

(-40.4)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Jun

ENERGY

(-34.8)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-30.9)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Jun

FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

(-34.1)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-27.0)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-50

-30

-10

10

30

Jun

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-23.3)

95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

UTILITIES

(-17.1)

S&P 500 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index

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Figure 10.

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

Jun

S&P 500Net Revenue Revisions Index*NERI (-28.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

INDUSTRIALS

(-40.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

Jun

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-25.6)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-26.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Jun

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-12.7)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

MATERIALS

(-38.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Jun

ENERGY

(-52.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-32.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

FINANCIALS

(-24.5)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Jun

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-21.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-20.2)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

UTILITIES

(-24.7)

S&P 500 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 13: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 11.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2130

55

80

105

130155

19

20 21

6/18

S&P 400(forward earnings)

Annual consensusestimatesForward earnings

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

30

50

7090

1920 21

6/11

INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

24

446484

19 20 21

6/11

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2130

60

90

120150180210

1920 21

6/11

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2125

55

85

115

145

19 20 216/11

CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 219

19

29

39

49

19

2021

6/11

MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

19

2021

6/11

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

4

6

81012

19 20

6/18

18

REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

35

55

7595

1920 21

6/11

FINANCIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

19

2021

6/11

COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

40

65

90115140

1920 21

6/11

HEALTH CARE

* Time-weighted average (in blue) of consensus operating earnings estimates for current and next year (in red). Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2113

18

23

28

33

38

1920

216/11

UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 400 Sectors Forward Earnings

Page 13 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 14: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 12.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21600

900

1200

1500

180021002400

19 2021

6/18

S&P 400(forward revenues*)

Annual consensusestimatesForward revenues

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21300

500

700

900110013001500

1920

21

6/11

INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

450

650

850

10501250

19 2021

6/11

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21500

900

1300

1700210025002900

19 20

21 6/11INFORMATI0N TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21600

1200

1800

2400

3000

19 20 21 6/11

CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200

300

400

500

600

1920 21

6/11MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

500

750

100012501500

1920 21

6/11

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2125

35

45

55

65

75

19 20

6/1818

REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200

300

400

500

600700

1920

216/11

FINANCIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2150

300

55080010501300

19

20

216/11

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200

600

1000

14001800

19 2021 6/11

HEALTH CARE

* Time-weighted average (in blue) of the current year’s and next year’s consensus revenues estimates (in red).Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21200

250

300

350

19 2021 6/11

UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 400 Sectors Forward Revenues

Page 14 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 15: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 13.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

5

6

7

8

9

19

20

21

6/18

S&P 400(profit margin)

AnnualForward* (5.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 213

4

5

6

7

8

19

20

21

6/11

INDUSTRIALS

(4.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21012345678

19

20

21

6/11

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(2.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 213

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

19

20

21

6/11

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(5.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

3

4

5

6

7

1920 21

6/11

CONSUMER STAPLES

(4.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1920

21

6/11

MATERIALS

(4.1)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

1920

216/11

ENERGY(-0.8)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

6/18

18

19 20

REAL ESTATE

(9.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

9

12

15

18

21

19

20

21

6/11

FINANCIALS

(13.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-4

0

4

8

12

19

20

216/11

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(5.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21456789

101112

1920

21

6/11

HEALTH CARE

(6.4)

* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

6

8

10

12

14

16

1920 21

6/11

UTILITIES

(10.7) yardeni.com

S&P 400 Sectors Forward Profit Margin

Page 15 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 16: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 14.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

11

14

17

20

23

26

6/18S&P 400(forward P/E)

P/E (22.8)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

256/18INDUSTRIALS

(23.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

1015202530354045

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY(32.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

256/18INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(23.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES(18.5)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

6/18MATERIALS

(20.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

20

40

60

80

4/2

ENERGY(NA)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

20

30

40

50

60

6/18

REAL ESTATE(46.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

9

12

15

18

21

24

6/18

FINANCIALS(12.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215101520253035404550

6/18

COMMUNICATION SERVICES(29.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

35

6/18HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s Corporation.

(28.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 218

12

16

20

24

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(16.3)

S&P 400 Sectors Forward P/Es

Page 16 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 17: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 15.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

6/18

S&P 400(forward P/S ratio)

P/S (1.23)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

6/18

INDUSTRIALS(1.02)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4

.6

.8

1.0

1.2

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(0.88)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY(1.26)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES(0.82)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

6/18

MATERIALS(0.85)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

6/18

ENERGY(0.37)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

7

6/18

REAL ESTATE(4.16)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

FINANCIALS(1.71)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

6/18

COMMUNICATION SERVICES(1.55)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

2.25

6/18

HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s Corporation.

(1.83)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(1.76)

S&P 400 Sectors Forward P/Sales

Page 17 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

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Figure 16.

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

S&P 400

Net Earnings Revisions Index*NERI (-28.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INDUSTRIALS

(-46.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-37.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-31.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-4.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-50-40-30-20-100102030

May

MATERIALS

(-37.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

ENERGY

(-42.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-50-40-30-20-100102030

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-25.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

FINANCIALS

(-47.2)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

May

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-45.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-22.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

UTILITIES

(-25.2)

S&P 400 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index

Page 18 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 19: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 17.

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Jun

S&P 400

Net Revenue Revisions Index*NERI (-25.7)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INDUSTRIALS

(-43.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-29.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-32.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-7.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

May

MATERIALS

(-38.5)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

ENERGY

(-43.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-34.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

FINANCIALS

(-26.7)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

May

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-43.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-19.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

UTILITIES

(-27.3)

S&P 400 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index

Page 19 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 20: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 18.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

25

40

557085

19

20 21

6/18

S&P 600(forward earnings)

Annual consensusestimatesForward earnings

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

35

55

7595

6/1119

20 21INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

15

25

354555

6/11

1920 21CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

20

35

5065

6/1119 20 21INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

40

65

90115140

6/1119 20 21CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

25

45

65

6/11

1920 21MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-50-25

0255075

100125150

6/11

19

20

21

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25

5.25

10.2515.2520.25

1920

6/4

18

REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

35

60

85110

6/1119

20 21FINANCIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-1.5

-1.0

-.5

.0

.5

1.0

1.5

6/1119 20 21

COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115

45

75

105135

6/1119

2021

HEALTH CARE

* Time-weighted average (in blue) of consensus operating earnings estimates for current and next year (in red). Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2120

30

40

50

6/1119 20 21UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 600 Sectors Forward Earnings

Page 20 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

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Figure 19.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21300

500

700

900

11001300

1920 21

6/18S&P 600(forward revenues*)

Annual consensusestimatesForward revenues

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21400

700

1000

1300

1600

19

2021 6/11

INDUSTRIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21300

600

900

1200

1500

19

20 216/11

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21125

250

375

500625750875

1920 21

6/11INFORMATI0N TECHNOLOGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21600

2600

4600

66008600

1920

21

6/11CONSUMER STAPLES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21300

450

600

750

9001050

19

2021

6/11

MATERIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21150

1150

215031504150

19 20 21

6/11

ENERGY

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2125

35

45

55

65

75

85

19 20

6/18

18

REAL ESTATE

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21150

250

350

450

550650

19 2021

6/11

FINANCIALS

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

6

111621

19

20 216/11

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

1000

1750

25003250

1920 21 6/11HEALTH CARE

* Time-weighted average (in blue) of the current year’s and next year’s consensus revenues estimates (in red).Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21250

325

400

475

550625700

19 20 21 6/11

UTILITIES

yardeni.com

S&P 600 Sectors Forward Revenues

Page 21 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 22: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 20.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

3

4

5

6

7

8

19

20

21

6/18

S&P 600(profit margin)

AnnualForward* (3.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

3

4

5

6

7

1920

21

6/11

INDUSTRIALS

(3.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

1

2

3

4

5

6

19 20 21

6/11

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(1.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2134567891011

19 20 21

6/11

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(5.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

1920

216/11

CONSUMER STAPLES

(1.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

7

1920 21

6/11

MATERIALS

(2.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

19

20

21

6/11

ENERGY

(-8.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-10

0

10

20

30

40

1819

20

6/18

REAL ESTATE

(0.1)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

19

2021

6/11

FINANCIALS

(15.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

19 20 21 6/11

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(1.8)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

3

5

7

9

1920

216/11

HEALTH CARE

(2.8)

* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

6

8

10

12

19 20 21 6/11UTILITIES

(10.5) yardeni.com

S&P 600 Sectors Forward Profit Margin

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Figure 21.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

306/18S&P 600

(forward P/E)

P/E (28.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

256/18INDUSTRIALS

(23.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

256/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY(26.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY(23.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES(18.5)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

MATERIALS(22.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

20

40

60

80

4/2

ENERGY(NA)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

20

30

40

50

60

70

6/18REAL ESTATE

(60.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 216

9

12

15

18

21

24

6/18

FINANCIALS (12.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215101520253035404550

6/18COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(40.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21101520253035404550

6/18HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s.

(41.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

30

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(22.4)

S&P 600 Sectors Forward P/Es

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 24: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 22.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4

.6

.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

6/18

S&P 600(forward P/S ratio by sector)

P/S (0.85)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.4

.6

.8

1.0

6/18

INDUSTRIALS(0.77)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.2

.4

.6

.8

1.0

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(0.47)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY(1.10)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.2

.4

.6

.8

1.0

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES(0.34)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.2

.4

.6

.8

1.0

1.2

6/18

MATERIALS (0.61)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

6/18

ENERGY(0.54)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

7

6/18

REAL ESTATE(2.50)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

6/18

FINANCIALS(2.12)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

COMMUNICATION SERVICES(1.06)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

6/18

HEALTH CARE

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor’s.

(1.17)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

6/18

yardeni.com

UTILITIES(2.36)

S&P 600 Sectors Forward P/Sales

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Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 25: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 23.

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Jun

S&P 600

Net Earnings Revisions Index*NERI (-27.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INDUSTRIALS

(-40.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-34.6)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-33.5)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-9.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

MATERIALS

(-46.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

ENERGY

(-41.9)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-24.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

FINANCIALS

(-39.6)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-10.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-25

-5

15

May

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-25.6)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

UTILITIES

(-21.1)

S&P 600 Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index

Page 25 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 26: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 24.

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Jun

S&P 600

Net Revenue Revisions Index*NERI (-27.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INDUSTRIALS

(-41.1)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(-36.6)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

May

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(-34.4)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

CONSUMER STAPLES

(-3.3)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-45

-30

-15

0

15

30

45

May

MATERIALS

(-42.2)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

May

ENERGY

(-53.2)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Jun

REAL ESTATE

(-32.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

May

FINANCIALS

(-20.0)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

May

COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(-14.2)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-40

-20

0

20

May

HEALTH CARE

* Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

(-25.8)

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

May

UTILITIES

(2.4)

S&P 600 Sectors Net Revenue Revisions Index

Page 26 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

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Figure 25.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

6/18

S&P 500/400/600(profit margin)

S&P 500 LargeCap (10.4)S&P 400 MidCap (5.4)S&P 600 SmallCap (3.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 212

4

6

8

10

12

6/18

INDUSTRIALS

(7.6) (4.4) (3.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

3

5

7

9

6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY(4.7)(2.7)(1.8)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

5

10

15

20

256/18INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(21.9)(5.3)(5.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

2

4

6

8

10

12

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES (7.2)(4.4)(1.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

6/18

MATERIALS

(9.0)(4.1)(2.7)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

6/18

ENERGY(0.9)(-0.9)(-8.2)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

5

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

REAL ESTATE

(14.0)(9.0)(0.1)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

6/18

FINANCIALS(13.8)(13.6)(15.1)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

6/18COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(13.4)(5.4)(1.8)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

3

6

9

12

15

18

6/18

HEALTH CARE (10.1)(6.4)(2.8)

* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 214

6

8

10

12

14

16

6/18UTILITIES

(13.9)(10.8)(10.5)

yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Profit Margin

Page 27 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

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Figure 26.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

35

6/18

S&P 500/400/600(forward P/Es)

S&P 500 LargeCap (21.9)S&P 400 MidCap (22.8)

S&P 600 SmallCap (28.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

256/18INDUSTRIALS

(23.4)(23.3)(21.4)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2105

10152025303540 6/18

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(39.6)(32.2)(26.3)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(24.2)(23.9)(20.6)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

15

20

25

6/18

CONSUMER STAPLES(19.7)(18.5)(20.5)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

35

6/18

MATERIALS(21.0)(20.7)(22.9)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

10

20

30

40

506/18ENERGY

(45.0)(NA)(NA)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2110

20

30

40

50

60

70

6/18

REAL ESTATE

(48.7)(46.2)(60.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

35

6/18

FINANCIALS(14.6)(12.6)(14.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

10

20

30

40

50

60

6/18

COMMUNICATION SERVICES(22.0)(29.0)(40.0)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

10

20

30

40

50

6/18

HEALTH CARE(16.2)(28.6)(41.9)

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 215

10

15

20

25

30

6/18

UTILITIES

(17.9)(16.3)(22.4) yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward P/Es

Page 28 / June 23, 2020 / S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S www.yardeni.com

Yardeni Research, Inc.

Page 29: S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S · S&P 500/400/600 Revenues, Earnings, Margins, NERI, P/E, P/S Yardeni Research, Inc. June 12, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni

Figure 27.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.56/18S&P 500/400/600

(forward P/Sales)

S&P 500 LargeCap (2.27)S&P 400 MidCap (1.23)S&P 600 SmallCap (0.85)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.00.25.50.751.001.251.501.752.00

6/18INDUSTRIALS

(1.78)(1.02)(0.77)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.4

.8

1.2

1.6

2.06/18CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(1.88)(0.88)(0.47)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 210

1

2

3

4

5

66/18INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

(5.29)(1.26)(1.10)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.00

.25

.50

.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

6/18CONSUMER STAPLES

(1.42) (0.82) (0.34)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.25.50.751.001.251.501.752.002.25

6/18MATERIALS

(1.88)(0.85)(0.61)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6/18

ENERGY (0.97)(0.37)(0.54)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

6/18REAL ESTATE

(6.80)(4.16)(2.50)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

6/18

FINANCIALS(2.02)(1.71)(2.12)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.06/18COMMUNICATION SERVICES

(2.94)(1.55)(1.06)

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

6/18

HEALTH CARE

(1.64)(1.83)(1.17)

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21.0

.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

6/18

UTILITIES(2.49)(1.76)(2.36)

yardeni.com

S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward P/Sales

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http://blog.yardeni.com

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