Smart Mobility for Sustainable Urban

Transport

O.P. Agarwal

Director General, IUT (India)

Presented at the 2nd Asia BRTS Conference

29th September, 2014

Our current situation: Registered Motor Vehicles

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 20110

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0.3 0.7 1.9 5.4

21.4

55

142

Registered Motor Vehicles

Our current situation: what kind of vehicles

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 20120

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

All Vehicles('000) Two Wheelers('000) Cars, Jeep and Taxis('000)Buses('000) Goods Vehicles('000) Others('000)

Our current situation: Vehicular growth in cities

Agartala

Agra

Ahmedabad

Amritsa

r

Bengaluru

Metro

politan Regio

n

Bhopal

Chandigarh

ChennaiDelhi

Hyderabad

Indore

Kolkata

Lucknow

Ludhiana

Meerut

Mumbai

Patna

Shillong

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

92

333

240

320

175212

574

289262

125

303

76

157

350

12486

171

99

208

407

304

543

446 421

575

738

441

319

609

133

429

494

238

150

245193

2001 2011

Our current situation: Vehicle density (vehicles/sq kms)

Agartala

Agra

Ahmedabad

Amrit

sar

Bengaluru

Metro

politan R

egion

Bhopal

Chandigarh

ChennaiDelh

i

Hyderabad

Indore

Kolkata

Lucknow

Ludhiana

Meerut

Mumbai

Patna

Shillong

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2001 2011

Our current situation: Growth in fuel consumption (Million Tonnes)

Petrol Diesel0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1981 2011

Our current situation: Growth in the oil import bill (Rs. Billion)

1981 20110

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

53

7400

Projections: Motorized travel demand (in Billion Passenger Kms)

2011 2021 20310

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

671

1448

2316

Projections of fuel consumption (MBOE)

2011 2021 20310

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Obviously not a sustainable

scenarioNeed Smarter Mobility

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,0000

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

Japan

Switzerland

Hong Kong

Qatar

UK

Singapore

Canada

United Arab Emirates

DKorea

Saudi Arabia

Gabon

Iran

US

GDP per capita (2000 US$)

Road

sec

tor e

nerg

y co

nsum

ptio

n pe

r cap

ita (k

toe)

, 200

7

Smart planning (1)

Smart planning (2)

II-13

Smart Planning (3) – What kind of city

Elevated roads or walk friendly

environment

Smart planning (4) Compact cities Focus on public transport and NMT – not cars and

motor bikes Pay for free parking Pay for road use No cheap fuel

Mass transit – not elevated highways and flyovers Seoul demolished an elevated highway and 46

flyovers in the city Optimal utilization of available resources – not just

adding capacity

Smart planning (5) Financial sustainability

Fares are not the only source of finance for public transport

Make all beneficiaries pay, not just users Invest sensibly - Don’t over-invest or under invest

Building a BRT where the demand is 60,000 persons for hour or a metro where it is 3000 persons per hour does not make financial sense

Capacity Utilization on the Delhi metro

LinesLength

(Km.)Passengers

Passenger

/ km

Red Line 25.09 3,60,512 14,369

Yellow Line 44.65 8,87,003 19,866

Blue Line 58.67 9,81,252 16,725

Green Line 18.46 90,669 4,912

Violet Line 23.24 1,85,464 7,980

Total 170.11 25,04,900 14,725

Smart planning (6) Environmental sustainability:

Reduce emission of GHGReduce emission of local pollutants

Smart planning (7) Social sustainability

Inclusive – available equally to all – women, aged, children, physically challenged, rich, poor

Building elevated highways or flyovers primarily provide for those who can afford or are allowed to drive personal motor vehicles

ICT for what

General belief that use of ICT makes things smart

However, ICT has to be used as a tool for optimal utilization of a resource – not an end in itself

Be sure what you want it for – don’t deploy without such an understanding

A city is smart if it uses its resources efficiently and reduces waste – not by investing more only to continue its waste

Thank You