Setting the Stage

Dr. J. Phillip LondonExecutive Chairman and Chairman of the Board

CACI International Inc

Dealing with Today’s Asymmetric Threat

2

The Symposium Reports

2008 to Present

An Ancient Challenge

3

“All warfare is based on

deception”The Art of War

Sun Tzu6th Century BC

What If…

4

Washington hadn’t crossed the Delaware?

The Surprise at Trenton

Operation Fortitudehad failed?

The Deception at Pas de Calais

The Oldest Tricks in the Book

5

Assess

Decide

Influence

Trojan Horsec. 1194–1184

BC

Battle of Agincourt

1415

9/11

Arab Spring2010-2011

Today’s Symposia

6

Frame the highly complex challenges of surprise, denial and deceptionStrengthen our threat assessment capabilities, improve Indications and Warning systems

Facilitate better decision-making across government

Stop falling for the age old tricks of surprise, denial and

deception

Decision Superiority – Perception

7

Surprise – Contradicts perception

Denial – Prevents perception

Deception – Distorts perception

8

Decision Superiority – Perception

Battle of Waterloo – 1815

Decision Superiority – Target vs. Victim

9

Decision Superiority – Duality

10

Knowledge

Capabilities Private Sector

Public Sector

Technical

Human

Moving Toward Decision Superiority

11

“Men are so simple and yield so readily to the desires of the moment that he who will trick will always find another who

will suffer to be tricked.”

–Niccolo Machiavelli “The Prince”