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ER
DC
TR
/E
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7-D
RA
FT
SCENARIO ANALYSIS OF FREMONT WEIR NOTCH – INTEGRATION OF
ENGINEERING DESIGNS, TELEMETRY, AND FLOW FIELDS
En
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David L. Smith, Tammy Threadgill, Yong Lai, Christa Woodley,
R. Andrew Goodwin, Josh Israel
February 2017
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
1
The US Army Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC) solves the
nation’s toughest engineering and environmental challenges. ERDC develops innovative
solutions in civil and military engineering, geospatial sciences, water resources, and
environmental sciences for the Army, the Department of Defense, civilian agencies, and
our nation’s public good. Find out more at www.erdc.usace.army.mil.
To search for other technical reports published by ERDC, visit the ERDC online library
at http://acwc.sdp.sirsi.net/client/default.
Program Title ERDC EL/TR-17-DRAFT
February 2017
SCENARIO ANALYSIS OF FREMONT WEIR NOTCH – INTEGRATION OF
ENGINEERING DESIGNS, TELEMETRY, AND FLOW FIELDS
David L. Smith
Environmental Laboratory
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center
3909 Halls Ferry Road
Vicksburg, MS 39180-6199
others
Final report
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Prepared for US Army Corps of Engineers
Washington, DC 20314-1000
Under Project <####>, “Project Title”
Monitored by Lead ERDC Laboratory [FOR CRs ONLY]
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center
Street, City, ST ZIP-FOUR
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT ii
Abstract
[Insert a 200-word summary here and use exactly the same one in Block 2
14 of the SF 298.] 3
The United States Bureau of Reclamation and the California Department 4
of Water Resources are planning a notch in the Fremont Weir on the Sac-5
ramento River. The notch is intended to provide access to the Yolo Bypass 6
floodplain for juvenile salmon across a range of flows. This study estimat-7
ed the entrainment rate of 12 separate notch scenarios. Entrainment es-8
timates vary from approximately 1 to 25%. Across all scenarios larger 9
notch flows entrain greater fish numbers, although not proportionally to 10
the volume through the notch. West located notches entrain more fish 11
than central and east and intake perform better than shelfs. However, in-12
takes and shelfs both performed poorly, regardless of notch flows, when 13
intake channels were angled from the mainstem. Entrainment estimates 14
are comparable to measured entrainment rates elsewhere in the Sacra-15
mento River suggesting that the modeled estimates are reasonable. The 16
results further suggest that the approach used is valuable for incorporating 17
structural modifications and evaluating expected outcomes. 18
DISCLAIMER: The contents of this report are not to be used for advertising, publication, or promotional purposes.
Citation of trade names does not constitute an official endorsement or approval of the use of such commercial products.
All product names and trademarks cited are the property of their respective owners. The findings of this report are not to
be construed as an official Department of the Army position unless so designated by other authorized documents.
DESTROY THIS REPORT WHEN NO LONGER NEEDED. DO NOT RETURN IT TO THE ORIGINATOR.
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT iii
Contents
Abstract .................................................................................................................................... ii 19
Figures and Tables .................................................................................................................. iv 20
Unit Conversion Factors .......................................................................................................... v 21
1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 1 22
1.1 Fremont Weir...................................................................................................... 3 23
2 Goals and Objectives ....................................................................................................... 5 24
3 Scenario Descriptions and Domain Development ....................................................... 6 25
3.1 Scenarios ........................................................................................................... 6 26 3.2 Domain development ........................................................................................ 7 27
4 Study Design and Model Application............................................................................. 9 28
4.1 Fish telemetry .................................................................................................. 10 29 4.2 2D hydraulic models ........................................................................................11 30 4.3 ELAM description ............................................................................................ 23 31
4.3.1 Movement .................................................................................................................. 23 32 4.4 Fish movement modeling procedure .............................................................. 24 33
5 Results ............................................................................................................................. 26 34
5.1 Spatial distribution ......................................................................................... 26 35 5.2 Kernel density estimates ............................................................................... 26 36 5.3 Speed Estimates ............................................................................................. 28 37 5.4 Entrainment across all scenarios .................................................................. 28 38 5.5 Flow and entrainment relationships for Scenario 1 and 2 .......................... 30 39
6 Discussion ....................................................................................................................... 38 40
6.1 Distribution and speed comparisons ................. Error! Bookmark not defined. 41 6.2 Notch style ........................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 42 6.3 Notch location ...................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 43 6.4 Notch flow ........................................................................................................ 41 44 6.5 Entrainment trends across flows ........................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 45 6.6 Unknown factors that influence entrainment ............................................... 42 46 6.7 Background .......................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 47 6.8 Fremont Weir........................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 48
7 Bibliography .................................................................................................................... 43 49
Report Documentation Page 50
51
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT iv
Figures and Tables
Figures 52
Figure 1. Map of project site......................................................................................................... 4 53
Figure 2. Scenario notch locations .............................................................................................. 7 54
Figure 3. Workflow for development of fish movement model ................................................ 9 55
Figure 4. Detection array at Fremont Weir ............................................................................... 10 56
Figure 5. Measured and Modeled Fish Locations ................................................................... 26 57
Figure 6. Contour lines showing the density Speed estimates ............................................. 27 58
Figure 7. Box plot of fish speed .................................................................................................. 28 59
Figure 8. Scenario vs Entrainment ............................................................................................ 30 60
Figure 9. Scenarios 1 and 2 ....................................................................................................... 31 61
Tables 62
Table 1 Physical properties of modeled scenarios.................................................................... 8 63
Preface 64
This study was conducted for the United States Bureau of Reclamation us-65
ing Interagency Agreement xxxx. The technical monitor was Dr. Patrick 66
Deliman. 67
The work was performed by the Water Quality and Contaminant Modeling 68
Branch (EPW) of the Environmental Processes and Effects Division (EP), 69
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Environmental La-70
boratory. At the time of publication, Mark Noel was Acting Chief, CEERD-71
EPW; Warren Lorenz was Chief, CEERD-EP; and Pat Deliman, CEERD-72
XX-X was the Technical Director. The Deputy Director of ERDC-EL was 73
Dr. Jack Davis and the Director was Dr. Beth Fleming. 74
COL Bryan Green was the Commander of ERDC, and Dr. David Pittman 75
was the Director. 76
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT v
Unit Conversion Factors
Multiply By To Obtain
acres 4,046.873 square meters
acre-feet 1,233.5 cubic meters
angstroms 0.1 nanometers
atmosphere (standard) 101.325 kilopascals
bars 100 kilopascals
British thermal units (International Table) 1,055.056 joules
centipoises 0.001 pascal seconds
centistokes 1.0 E-06 square meters per second
cubic feet 0.02831685 cubic meters
cubic inches 1.6387064 E-05 cubic meters
cubic yards 0.7645549 cubic meters
degrees (angle) 0.01745329 radians
degrees Fahrenheit (F-32)/1.8 degrees Celsius
fathoms 1.8288 meters
feet 0.3048 meters
foot-pounds force 1.355818 joules
gallons (US liquid) 3.785412 E-03 cubic meters
hectares 1.0 E+04 square meters
horsepower (550 foot-pounds force per second) 745.6999 watts
inches 0.0254 meters
inch-pounds (force) 0.1129848 newton meters
kilotons (nuclear equivalent of TNT) 4.184 terajoules
knots 0.5144444 meters per second
microinches 0.0254 micrometers
microns 1.0 E-06 meters
miles (nautical) 1,852 meters
miles (US statute) 1,609.347 meters
miles per hour 0.44704 meters per second
mils 0.0254 millimeters
ounces (mass) 0.02834952 kilograms
ounces (US fluid) 2.957353 E-05 cubic meters
pints (US liquid) 4.73176 E-04 cubic meters
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT vi
Multiply By To Obtain
pints (US liquid) 0.473176 liters
pounds (force) 4.448222 newtons
pounds (force) per foot 14.59390 newtons per meter
pounds (force) per inch 175.1268 newtons per meter
pounds (force) per square foot 47.88026 pascals
pounds (force) per square inch 6.894757 kilopascals
pounds (mass) 0.45359237 kilograms
pounds (mass) per cubic foot 16.01846 kilograms per cubic meter
pounds (mass) per cubic inch 2.757990 E+04 kilograms per cubic meter
pounds (mass) per square foot 4.882428 kilograms per square meter
pounds (mass) per square yard 0.542492 kilograms per square meter
quarts (US liquid) 9.463529 E-04 cubic meters
slugs 14.59390 kilograms
square feet 0.09290304 square meters
square inches 6.4516 E-04 square meters
square miles 2.589998 E+06 square meters
square yards 0.8361274 square meters
tons (force) 8,896.443 newtons
tons (force) per square foot 95.76052 kilopascals
tons (long) per cubic yard 1,328.939 kilograms per cubic meter
tons (nuclear equivalent of TNT) 4.184 E+09 joules
tons (2,000 pounds, mass) 907.1847 kilograms
tons (2,000 pounds, mass) per square foot 9,764.856 kilograms per square meter
yards 0.9144 meters
[AUTHOR: delete all units that are not used in your report.]
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 1
1 Introduction
As California’s largest river, the Sacramento is an important economic, 77
recreational, and ecological resource. The river has an extensive flood 78
control infrastructure that includes a system of dams, levees, and flood-79
ways intended to protect agricultural and urban regions. In particular, the 80
metropolitan area of Sacramento with some 2 million residents is protect-81
ed from flooding from this system. Protection is due to levees but flood 82
events are conveyed out of the river channels and onto floodways such as 83
the Yolo Bypass. The floodways are historic floodplains that when inun-84
dated protect the city. The floodways also receive sediment, nutrients, and 85
fish. [1]. The flood protection system has also impacted ecosystem pro-86
cess including those associated with floodplain access by fish. 87
The Yolo Bypass is a 24,000 ha basin protected by levees and inundated 88
during high flow on the Sacramento River. The floodway is 61 km long 89
and is flooded approximately 7 out of 10 years with a peak flow of 14,000 90
m3/s. Water is conveyed over the Fremont Weir downstream from Knights 91
Landing and just upstream from the confluence with the Feather River. 92
[2]. 93
The Fremont Weir was constructed in 1924 by the USACE. It is the first 94
overflow structure on the river's right bank and its two-mile overall length 95
marks the beginning of the Yolo Bypass. It is located about 15 miles 96
northwest of Sacramento and eight miles northeast of Woodland. South of 97
this latitude the Yolo Bypass conveys 80% of the system’s floodwaters 98
through Yolo and Solano Counties until it connects to the Sacramento Riv-99
er a few miles upstream of Rio Vista. The weir’s primary purpose is to re-100
lease overflow waters of the Sacramento River, Sutter Bypass, and the 101
Feather River into the Yolo Bypass. The crest elevation is approximately 102
32.0feet (NAVD88) and the project design capacity of the weir is 343,000 103
cfs. Adding the notch to this weir will change the amount of time that wa-104
ter flows over it and increase access to the floodplain for juvenile salmon. 105
On June 4, 2009, the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) issued its 106
Biological Opinion and Conference Opinion on the Long-term Operation 107
of the Central Valley Project (CVP) and State Water Project (SWP) (NMFS 108
Operation BO). The NMFS Operation BO concluded that, if left un-109
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 2
changed, CVP and SWP operations were likely to jeopardize the continued 110
existence of four federally-listed anadromous fish species: Sacramento 111
River winter-run Chinook salmon, Central Valley spring-run Chinook 112
salmon, Central Valley steelhead (O. mykiss), and Southern Distinct Popu-113
lation Segment (DPS) North American green sturgeon (Acipenser 114
medirostris). The NMFS Operation BO sets forth Reasonable and Prudent 115
Alternative (RPA) actions that would allow continuing SWP and CVP op-116
erations to remain in compliance with the federal Endangered Species Act 117
(ESA). These include restoration of floodplain rearing habitat, through a 118
“notched” channel that increases seasonal inundation within the lower 119
Sacramento River basin. A significant component of these risk reduction 120
actions is lowering a section of the Fremont Weir (Figure 1) to allow juve-121
nile fish to enter the bypass and adult fish to more easily ascend this haz-122
ard. Questions remain on the details of notch implementation (size, 123
location), fish entrainment efficiency, and species-specific and ontology-124
based behaviors. 125
Among actions being considered are alternatives to “increase inundation 126
of publicly and privately owned suitable acreage within the Yolo Bypass.” 127
During inundation, the Yolo Bypass has been shown to have beneficial ef-128
fects on growth of juvenile salmonids (Sommer et al. 2001) due to the fa-129
vorable rearing conditions (e.g., increased primary productivity, relatively 130
slow water velocities, abundant invertebrates). In order to increase inun-131
dation within the Yolo Bypass, a notch of some configuration will need to 132
be constructed in the vicinity of Fremont Weir. Entrainment of juvenile 133
salmonids into the bypass routes them around the Delta, thereby minimiz-134
ing the potential for entrainment by the pumps at the State Water Project 135
and Central Valley Project. Therefore, maximizing entrainment into the 136
bypass, particularly at lower stages, is of particular interest. Uncertainty 137
exists about how the location, approach channel, and notch design and 138
setting influence the effectiveness for entraining juvenile salmonids from 139
the Sacramento River onto the Yolo Bypass. 140
It is generalized recognized that fish are unevenly distributed across a 141
channel cross section and that the position of the fish influences the prob-142
ability that entrainment occurs [3]. The distribution of fish is in part re-143
lated to secondary circulations which tend to concentrate passive particles 144
such as sediment away from the channel margins and towards the bank of 145
long radius of a river bend. This conceptual model is often applied to 146
downstream movement of fish such as juvenile salmon in the Sacramento 147
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 3
River. Notch entrainment efficiency is potentially improved by placing the 148
notch where fish density is maximized along the outside bend. Of course, 149
the specifics of the fish distribution are related to the unique attributes of 150
each cross section, notch design and the behavior of fish therein. The effi-151
ciency of an entrainment channel is most important factor impacting fish 152
benefits based on the Fishery Benefit Model (Cramer Fish Science, in 153
prep). 154
In 2015, two-dimensional (2-D) positions were measured for hatchery late 155
fall and winter run Chinook along a portion of the Fremont Weir. These 156
tracks provided the basis for this study. The objective of this study was to 157
validate an existing fish behavior model for use on this project, simulate a 158
range of alternate notch designs, and evaluate the sensitivity on entrain-159
ment to different locations and designs. Additionally, this modeling ap-160
proach allowed for exploration of different hypotheses regarding fish 161
behavior and the influence they could have on movement and entrainment 162
through the simulated notches. These results are useful for evaluating and 163
comparing probable outcomes of different notches. 164
1.1 Fremont Weir
Fremont Weir is a 1.8-mile long flood control structure designed with a 165
concrete, energy-dissipating splash basin, which minimizes scouring dur-166
ing overtopping events at the weir. The splash basin lies just downstream 167
of the crest of the weir and spans the full length of the weir. 168
When the river stage is sufficiently higher than the weir, all juvenile salm-169
onids are hypothesized to enter the bypass due to the overwhelming extent 170
of Sacramento River flows being pushed out of the channel and onto the 171
bypass. It is also hypothesized that during lower-stage overtopping events, 172
when the Sacramento River is just barely above the crest of Fremont Weir, 173
this effect is also the predominant cause of entrainment of Sacramento 174
River fish onto the bypass. Overtopping events can vary in duration from 175
just a few hours to several weeks, but are relatively short-lived compared 176
with the resulting flooded footprint of the Yolo Bypass, which persists fol-177
lowing the overtopping events. This footprint is a result not just of over-178
topping at the Fremont Weir, but substantial out-of-channel flows from 179
four westside tributaries: Knights Landing Ridge Cut, Cache Creek, Willow 180
Slough, and Putah Creek. 181
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 4
As part of Action I.6.1, inundation flows from the Sacramento River onto 182
the Yolo Bypass will occur at river flows lower than when the weir is over-183
topped, while species of interest are migrating past the Fremont Weir 184
reach towards the Delta. It is during this period that the action aims to in-185
crease entrainment of salmonids. Acierto et al. (2015) evaluated the po-186
tential for entrainment based on proportion of flow entering the bypass 187
and identified that it was potentially limited. Uncertainty exists about how 188
fish utilize the channel for migration and rearing and their relationship to 189
cross-channel flow patterns and secondary circulations and this study 190
evaluates how these bathymetric and hydraulic structures may influence 191
fish entrainment and flow relationships. 192
Fremont Weir modifications. As part of Action I.6.1, Fremont Weir will be 193
modified to allow seasonal, partial floodplain inundation in order to pro-194
vide increased habitat for salmonid rearing and to improve fish passage. 195
The same physical feature used for floodplain inundation flows will be 196
used for juvenile fish entrainment. The primary modification of Fremont 197
Weir will add a notch with one or more bays. 198
Figure 1. Map of project site. 199
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 5
2 Goals and Objectives
This study analyzes 12 notch scenario in the Fremont weir in terms of entrainment 200
of juvenile salmon. The goal is to quantify the relative entrainment rates (be-201
tween 0 and 1) across the suite of scenarios and to identify possible strategies for 202
enhancing entrainment outcomes. This study does not predict future entrainment 203
as models generally don’t predict future outcomes so much as highlight trends. 204
As there is no notch yet built, predictions of absolute entrainment rates risk miss-205
ing any number of unforeseen variables driving the movement of complex ani-206
mals like salmon in riverine systems. In a planning context, relative changes 207
across scenarios are an accepted standard practice. The outcomes of this study 208
will be one factor of the overall decision on which alternative is most suited for 209
meeting the larger project objectives. Once the notch is constructed, follow on 210
evaluation studies will provide the opportunity for additional calibration and veri-211
fication of model output. 212
The objectives of this study necessary to meet the goals include the following: 213
Develop a base fish movement data set under existing conditions (no 214
notch). This work was completed as part of Steel et al (2016). 215
Develop a calibrated three dimensional and two dimensional time varying 216
hydrodynamic model of the project reach. This work was completed as 217
part of Lai (2016). 218
Integrate engineering designs of proposed notches into existing bathyme-219
try and landscape (LiDAR) data capturing important differences in loca-220
tion, widths, invert elevations, and construction techniques. 221
Develop two dimensional flow fields for each of the scenarios that capture 222
the hydraulic impacts of each unique notch. 223
Calibrate a fish movement model using data from Steele et al (2016) and 224
Lai (2016). 225
Apply the calibrated fish movement model to the flow fields produced by 226
each scenario and summarize relative entrainment rates between 0 and 1. 227
Make recommendations on next steps and possible improvements. 228
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 6
3 Scenario Descriptions and Domain
Development
3.1 Scenarios
A suite of twelve notch scenarios was developed by the California Department of 229
Water Resources (DWR) and the United States Bureau of Reclamation (USBR). 230
The scenarios fall into two broad categories: 1) those with an extensive shelf ad-231
jacent to the notch and 2) those with a narrow channel or intake leading to the 232
notch headworks. The headworks are where fish will exit the Sacramento River 233
and enter the Yolo Bypass. The shelf based scenarios have a larger project foot-234
print than does the intake based scenarios. The primary purpose of the headworks 235
for the shelf and intake configurations is to create a hydraulic connection between 236
the Sacramento River and the Yolo Bypass during lower flows in the Sacramento 237
River than currently exists. The headworks will consist of the inlet transition, the 238
control structure, and the outlet transition, and will control the diversion of flow 239
(up to about 12,000 cfs) from the River into the Yolo Bypass. 240
Scenario notch locations are concentrated in the west, central, and east portion of 241
the Fremont Weir (Figure 2). Table 1 highlights the dimensions captured in the 242
landscape model of each scenario. Each scenario is different in terms of size, lo-243
cation, notch invert elevations, and width. These differences are translated into 244
the 2D simulation of the flow field which, in turn, translates into simulated fish 245
movement. 246
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 7
Figure 2. Scenario notch locations 247
3.2 Domain development
An IGES (initial graphic exchange specification) file was received from the 248
USBR for each of the scenarios. Upon receipt of these files, each file was loaded 249
into Capstone and an STL (stereolithography) file was created of the intake area. 250
Once the intake area had a mesh associated with it, the original STL file of the 251
river and intake STL file were then merged to create one mesh that represented 252
the mesh used for the scenario. The STL was exported as a 2dm file using Para-253
view and extraneous faces were removed from the dataset or modified to best 254
work with SRH-2D. 255
Fremont weir
1, 2, 3, 4, 9
5, 10, 10B
6, 7, 8, 9
11, 12
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 8
Table 1 Physical properties of modeled scenarios. Notch/River is the ratio of notch 256 flow to river flow 257
Scenario Lower Intake Upper Intake # of
Points # of El-ements
Notch Flow (cfs)
River Flow (cfs)
Notch/ River
Elevation Width Elevation Width
Original NA NA NA NA
Scenario 1
14 ft 31 ft 20 ft 44 ft 31200 33924 6000.22 42202.51 0.14
Scenario 2
14 ft 32 ft 20 ft 44 ft 33427 36126 6000.22 42202.51 0.14
Scenario 3
17 ft 21 ft 23 ft 24 ft 32858 35596 3000.11 42202.51 0.07
Scenario 4
22 ft 14 ft NA NA 32913 35782 1105.75 48289.31 0.02
Scenario 5
14 ft 31 ft 20 ft 41 ft 31308 33702 5981.18 42202.51 0.14
Scenario 6
14 ft 32 ft 20 ft 43 ft 29238 32313 5952.99 44843.49 0.13
Scenario 7
14 ft 33 ft 20 ft 44 ft 37538 40628 6000.22 47957.43 0.13
Scenario 8
17 ft 21 ft 23 ft 25 ft 31115 33941 3000.11 47029.93 0.06
Scenario 9 – West
17 ft 21 ft 23 ft 37 ft
38372 41453
3000.11 47029.93 0.06
Scenario 9 – East
17 ft 21 ft 23 ft 25 ft 3000.11 47029.93 0.06
Scenario 10 – West (A/B)
14 ft 33 ft 17 ft 35 ft 42119 45016 480.91 30809.31 0.02
Scenario 10 – Central (C)
18 ft 142 ft - - 42119 45016 2379.52 30809.31 0.07
Scenario 10 – East (D)
21 ft 146 ft - - 42119 45016 542.32 30809.31 0.02
Scenario 11
16 ft 220 ft - - 34037 36504 12077.32 44843.49 0.27
Scenario 12
16 ft 40 ft 20 ft 60 ft 33288 35711 6105.22 47029.93 0.13
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 9
4 Study Design and Model Application
Developing a fish movement model to assist with scenario evaluation for the 258
Fremont weir notch requires integration of data and information from several 259
sources and professional disciplines (Figure 3). The report used biological data 260
from a telemetry study, hydrodynamic data and models, and landscape modeling 261
techniques. 262
Figure 3. Workflow for development of fish movement model. SOG is speed over 263 ground. 264
265
266
Telemetry
SOG, distributions
Measure WRC LFC movement at
project site
CFD Demonstrate model can
simulate Fremont weir
flow fields
Scenario development
12 notch scenarios
Integrate with CFD domain
Fish movement model of Fremont
weir site, calibrate to measured fish
movement data
Fish movement model for scenario
notches – relative entrainment es-
timates
CFD model of all twelve
notches/scenarios
Biological
data Hydraulic/bathymetric
data
Landscape
data modifi-
cation
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 10
4.1 Fish telemetry
In 2015, 250 winter run Chinook (mean fork length of 103 mm) from Livingston 267
Stone Hatchery and 250 late fall run Chinook (mean fork length of 145 mm) from 268
Coleman National fish hatchery were tagged with acoustic tags and released 269
through a detection area at Fremont weir. The array was in a long sweeping bend 270
located at the head of the upstream end of the Fremont weir. This location was 271
thought to have the best conditions for redistributing fish to the outside bend 272
where susceptibility to entrainment by a future notch would be higher. All fish 273
were released over 24 hour periods at Knights Landing. River discharge was low 274
and stable with gage readings at Fremont weir of approximately 14 ft and flows of 275
approximately 5700 cfs. Analysis suggested little difference in movement be-276
tween winter run Chinook and late fall run Chinook at Fremont weir. Speeds over 277
grounds and size were not statistically different for winter and late fall run Chi-278
nook. The combined mean speed over ground was 0.67 m/s. 279
Cross-channel spatial distributions were also similar for winter and late fall run 280
Chinook. There was a moderate shift in the spatial distribution to the outside 281
bend of approximately 5 to 8 m away from the channel center. Chanel width is 282
approximately 70 m with the centerline, therefore 35 m away from either bank. 283
Figure 4. Detection array at Fremont Weir 284
For more detail please refer to Steele et al (2015) describes in detail the telemetry 285
study that was completed to support work described in this report. 286
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 11
4.2 2D hydraulic models and landscape modeling
SRH-2D is a 2D depth-averaged hydraulic and sediment transport model for river 287
systems. It was developed at the Technical Service Center, Bureau of Reclama-288
tion. The hydraulic flow modeling theory and user manual were documented by 289
Lai (2008; 2010). 290
SRH-2D adopts the arbitrarily shaped element method of Lai et al. (2003a, b), the 291
finite-volume discretization method, and an implicit integration scheme. The nu-292
merical procedure is very robust so SRH-2D can simulate simultaneously all flow 293
regimes (sub-, super-, and trans-critical flows) and both steady and unsteady 294
flows. A special wetting-drying algorithm makes the model very stable in han-295
dling flows over dry surfaces. The mobile-bed sediment transport theory has been 296
documented by Greimann et al. (2008), Lai and Greimann (2010), and Lai et al. 297
(2011). The mobile-bed module predicts vertical stream bed changes by tracking 298
multi-size, non-equilibrium sediment transport for suspended, mixed, and bed 299
loads, and for cohesive and non-cohesive sediments, and on granular, erodible 300
rock, or non-erodible beds. The effects of gravity and secondary flows on the sed-301
iment transport are accounted for by displacing the direction of the sediment 302
transport vector from that of the local depth-averaged flow vector. 303
Major capabilities of SRH-2D are listed below: 304
• 2D depth-averaged solution of the St. Venant equations (dynamic wave 305
equations) for flow hydraulics; 306
• An implicit solution scheme for solution robustness and efficiency; 307
• Hybrid mesh methodology which uses arbitrary mesh cell shapes. In 308
most applications, a combination of quadrilateral and triangular meshes 309
works the best; 310
• Steady or unsteady flows; 311
• All flow regimes simulated simultaneously: subcritical, supercritical, or 312
transcritical flows; 313
• Mobile bed modeling of alluvial rivers with a steady, quasi-unsteady, or 314
unsteady hydrograph. 315
• Non-cohesive or cohesive sediment transport; 316
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 12
• Non-equilibrium sediment transport; 317
• Multi-size sediment transport with bed sorting and armoring; 318
• A single sediment transport governing equation for both bed load, sus-319
pended load, and mixed load; 320
• Effects of gravity and secondary flows at curved bends; and 321
• Granular bed, erodible rock bed, or non-erodible bed. 322
SRH-2D is a 2D model, and it is particularly useful for problems where 2D ef-323
fects are important. Examples include flows with in-stream structures such as 324
weirs, diversion dams, release gates, coffer dams, etc.; bends and point bars; 325
perched rivers; and multi-channel systems. 2D models may also be needed if cer-326
tain hydraulic characteristics are important such as flow recirculation and eddy 327
patterns; lateral variations; flow overtopping banks and levees; differential flow 328
shears on river banks; and interaction between the main channel, vegetated areas 329
and floodplains. Some of the scenarios listed above may be modeled in 1D, but 330
additional empirical models and input parameters are needed and extra calibration 331
must be carried out with unknown accuracy. 332
The 2D model was built and calibrated for the same conditions under which fish 333
were released and their locations measured at Fremont Weir in 2015. This served 334
as the base case. Refer to Lai (2016) for model specifics. 335
We represented each of the twelve scenario notch designs by integrating basic 336
CAD designs into topography and bathymetry data. We used the Capstone soft-337
ware which is part of the DOD CREATE software suite. Capstone is a feature-338
rich application designed to produce analyzable representations of geometry for 339
use with physics based solvers. In particular the geometry, mesh and associative 340
attribution required for a computational simulation can be produced. 341
Geometry-related capabilities include: 342
• Geometry import and export for the IGES and STEP file formats 343
• Low-level geometry creation 344
• Edge and face splitting and merging 345
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 13
• Boolean operations 346
• Lofting, sweeping and extrusion 347
• Fillet and chamfer 348
• Various healing and stitching operations 349
Capstone excels at generating unstructured meshes for complex geometries. Due 350
to the robust topology model, high-quality meshes can be generated for the mani-351
fold and non-manifold geometries often required in aerospace applications. 352
Meshing-related capabilities include: 353
• Mesh import and export for common formats including STL, CGNS, SURF and 354
UGRID 355
• Mesh import and export for Create file formats including Kestrel (avm) 356
and Sentri (Exodus) 357
• Robust and flexible sizing field 358
• Robust unstructured surface mesh generation 359
• Unstructured tet-dominant volume mesh generation 360
• Extruded boundary layer generation via the third-party AFLR volume 361
mesher 362
• Sliding interfaces 363
• Mesh manipulation and repair operations 364
• Mesh export with associated attribution 365
One of the most important capabilities that Capstone provides is a framework for 366
attributing a mesh based on the underlying geometry. For supported output for-367
mats the mesh is exported with associated attributes to be used in a physics-based 368
analysis 369
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 14
By integrating the CAD designs with existing landscape data and then modeling 370
the 2D flow fields we captured the influence of notch details such as size, angle, 371
step heights and the subsequent influence the local flow field and thus fish distri-372
bution and potential for entrainment. 373
Each of the notch designs are represented in Figure 6. Flows through the notch 374
were represented using rating curves developed by the CA DWR. See Lia (2017, 375
under development) 376
4.3 Scenario descriptions
4.3.1 Scenario 1 West 377
This scenario is located past the west end of the Fremont Weir. It has a 378
minimum invert of 14 feet and a maximum flow of 6000 cfs. A broad shelf 379
starts from the river and tapers toward the notch structure. The location is 380
coincident with the Steele (2016) fish movement study location. 381
382
4.3.2 Scenario 2 West 383
This scenario is located past the west end of Fremont Weir. It has a mini-384
mum invert of 14 feet and a maximum flow of 6000 cfs. A narrow intake 385
channel starts from the river and leads toward the notch structure. Com-386
paring Scenario 1 and 2 allows for direct evaluation of the shelf versus in-387
take approach. The location is coincident with the Steele (2016) fish 388
movement study location. 389
4.3.3 Scenario 3 West 390
This scenario is located past the west end of the Fremont Weir. It has a 391
minimum invert of 17 feet and a maximum flow of 3000 cfs. A broad shelf 392
starts from the river and tapers toward the notch structure. Scenario 3 is 393
most comparable to Scenario 1 with the exception of the minimum invert 394
height. In addition, Scenario 3 and Scenario 1 have different rating curves 395
leading to different notch flows at similar stages (Figure 5). The location is 396
coincident with the Steele (2016) fish movement study location. 397
4.3.4 Scenario 4 West 398
This scenario is located past the west end of the Fremont Weir. It has a 399
minimum invert of 22 feet and a maximum flow of 1,106. A broad shelf 400
starts from the river and tapers toward the notch structure. Scenario 4 is 401
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 15
placed in a similar location to Scenario 1, 2 and 3. It is distinct because of 402
the high minimum invert elevation and low maximum flow. Scenario 4 403
represents the smallest scenario in terms of concrete. 404
Figure 5. rating curves for notches 405
(1) For Scenario 1, 2, 5, 6, 7 (2) For Scenario 3, 8, 9
(3) Scenario 4 (4) Scenario 10
(5) Scenario 11 (6) Scenario 12
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 16
4.3.5 Scenario 5 Central 406
This scenario is in the central portion of the Fremont Weir located past the 407
west end of the Fremont Weir. It has a minimum invert of 14? feet and a 408
maximum flow of 6000 cfs. A broad shelf starts from the river and tapers 409
toward the notch structure. Scenario 5 and Scenario 1 are similar in terms 410
of size, have the same rating curve (Figure 5) and therefore allow compari-411
son of the entrainment rate between the west and central positions. How-412
ever, fish movement data was not collected in the Scenario 5 location in 413
2015. This reach has some remnant pilings, revetment and may require 414
bank modification if constructed. 415
4.3.6 Scenario 6 East 416
This scenario is at the east portion of the Fremont Weir. It has a mini-417
mum invert of 14 feet and a maximum flow of 6000 cfs. A broad shelf 418
starts from the river and tapers toward the notch structure. Scenario 6 is 419
comparable to Scenario 1 in terms of terms of size, have the same rating 420
curve (Figure 5) and therefore allow comparison of the entrainment rate 421
between the west and east positions. 422
4.3.7 Scenario 7 East 423
This scenario is in the east portion of the Fremont Weir. It has a mini-424
mum invert of 14 feet and a maximum flow of 6,000 cfs. A narrow intake 425
channel broad shelf starts from the river and leads toward the notch struc-426
ture. Scenario 7 is comparable to Scenario 6 and allows entrainment esti-427
mates between a shelf and intake style notch at the east location. In 428
addition, Scenario 7 is comparable to Scenario 2 in terms of terms of size, 429
have the same rating curve (Figure 5) and therefore allow comparison of 430
the entrainment rate between the west and central positions. However, 431
fish movement data was not collected in the Scenario 7 location. 432
4.3.8 Scenario 8 East 433
This scenario is in the east portion of the Fremont Weir. It has a mini-434
mum invert of 17 feet and a maximum flow of 3000 cfs. A broad shelf 435
starts from the river and tapers toward the notch structure. Scenario 8 436
and Scenario 3 are comparable in terms of size and rating curves. 437
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 17
4.3.9 Scenario 9 East and West 438
This scenario has a structure located off of the west end of the Fremont 439
Weir and in the east portion of the Fremont Weir. The east and the west 440
structures are identical with minimum inverts of 17 feet and maximum 441
flows of 3000 cfs each for a total of 6000 cfs. Both structures have a broad 442
shelf that tapers to the notch. Scenario 9 has the same rating curves as 443
Scenario 3 and 8. 444
4.3.10 Scenario 10 and 10B Central 445
This scenario has a three structure cluster in the central portion of the 446
Fremont Weir. The structures combine to have a maximum flow of ap-447
proximately 3600 cfs. The structures have a range of minimum inverts of 448
14, 18 and 21 feet. The structures are connected to the river with a narrow 449
intake channel. Scenario 10B is structurally the same as 10 with some 450
modifications to the underlying bathymetry and landscape model. Scenar-451
io 10 and 10B are not readily comparable to other scenarios in terms of 452
size, invert elevations and rating curves. Scenario 10 is most comparable 453
to 10B and allows estimating entrainment as a function of terrain modifi-454
cation. 455
4.4 Scenario 11 West
Scenario 11 is located at the west end of Fremont Weir. Unlike Scenarios 1 456
through 4, which are set off the end of the Fremont weir, Scenario 11 457
placement is further downstream and intersects the Fremont weir struc-458
ture. An intake channel leads from the river to the structure. Scenario 11 459
has a minimum invert of 16 feet and a maximum flow of 12,000 cfs. It is 460
the largest structure in the study. 461
4.5 Scenario 12 West
Scenario 12 is located at the west end of Fremont Weir and like Scenario 11 462
intersects the Fremont weir structure. An intake channel leads from the 463
river to the structure. Scenario 12 has a minimum invert of 16 feet and a 464
maximum flow of 6,000 cfs. It is comparable to Scenario 1 in terms of size 465
but has a different rating curve. 466
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 18
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 19
Figure 6. Images of notches as modeled. 467
Scenario 1 – West - 6K – Shelf
Scenario 2 – West - 6K - Intake
Scenario 3 – West - 3K – Shelf
Scenario 4 – West - 1K - Shelf
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 20
Scenario 5 – Central - 6K – Shelf
Scenario 6 – East - 6K - Shelf
Scenario 7 – East - 6K – Intake
Scenario 8 – East - 3K - Shelf
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 21
Scenario 9 – West - 3K – Shelf
Scenario 9 – East - 3K - Shelf
Scenario 10 – Inundation - Central - 3K
Scenario 11 – Inundation - West - 12K
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 22
Scenario 12 – Inundation - West - 6K – Intake
468
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 23
4.6 ELAM description
The ELAM is a mechanistic representation of individual fish movement 469
which accounts for local hydraulic patterns represented in computational 470
fluid dynamic models (CFD) such as the 2D models developed for this pro-471
ject. Rule-based behaviors can be implemented within the model to drive 472
fish movement. The model is agent based providing a mathematical 473
means of representing the environment from the perspective of animal 474
perception. The approach is informed by observations of fish movement 475
such as was collected at Fremont weir (Steel et al. 2016) but individual 476
tracks are not directly modeled. Rather, statistical properties of the meas-477
ured tracks are used to guide model coefficient development. The ap-478
proach supports extension of empirical observations toward unmeasured 479
environmental conditions such as the wide scenario range evaluated as 480
part of this project. The ELAM is documented in a number of publications 481
(Appendix 1). 482
Hydrodynamic information generated at discrete points in the Eulerian 483
mesh is interpolated to locations anywhere within the physical domain 484
where fish may be. This conversion of information from the Eulerian mesh 485
to a Lagrangian framework allows the generation of directional sensory 486
inputs and movements in a reference framework similar to that perceived 487
by real fish. Movement is treated as a two-step process: first, the fish eval-488
uates agent attributes within the detection range of its sensory system and, 489
second, it executes a response to an agent by moving (Bian 2003). The 490
volume from which a fish acquires decision-making information is repre-491
sented as a 2-D sensory ovoid. A virtual fish’s sense of direction at each 492
time increment is based on its orientation at the beginning of the time in-493
crement. Directional sensory inputs are tracked relative to the horizontal 494
orientation of the fish because fish response to laterally-located versus 495
frontally-located stimuli can be different (Coombs et al. 2000). The senso-496
ry ovoid has a vertical reference because fish detect accelerations and grav-497
itation through the otolith of its inner ear (Paxton 2000). It also senses 498
three-dimensional information on motion (Braun and Coombs 2000). In 499
this individual-based model (IBM) a symmetrical (spherical) sensory 500
ovoid is used. 501
Movement 502
Two fish swim speeds were used, the drift velocity set at 0.25 BL/s and the 503
cruising velocity of 1.5 BL/s. Fish speed variability was induced by calcu-504
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 24
lating a random seed from a normal distribution centered on 0 with a 505
standard deviation of 1 termed RRR. Swim speed variability was simulat-506
ed by first calculating a deviation as 507
𝜎 = 𝑅𝑅𝑅 ∗ 𝐶𝑟𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑒 − 𝐷𝑟𝑖𝑓𝑡 508
where cruise is the cruising velocity and drift is the drift velocity. Next the 509
swim speed is computed as 510
𝑆𝑝𝑒𝑒𝑑 = 𝐵𝐿 ∗ (𝐶𝑟𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑒 + 𝜎) 511
Many behaviors can be implemented within the ELAM. For this study on-512
ly one behavior, a biased random walk in the downstream direction was 513
used. The 2015 Fremont weir fish movement data suggest no additional 514
behaviors are represented. 515
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process was used to simulate sensing and 516
orientation in the fish, i.e. how straight or variable a fish track composed 517
of multiple sequential points is. The process was implemented by first 518
calling a random seed from a wrapped uniform distribution. Two coeffi-519
cients, lamda_xy and c_xy are used to calibrate computed fish positions 520
using measured fish positions as a guide. Sensing describes the ability of 521
the fish to locate the proper swim direction. For example, lamda_xy = 1 522
would be perfect sensing ability and the fish would always know which 523
movement direction was correct. On the other hand, c_xy represents the 524
orientating ability with a value of 0 being perfect. 525
4.7 Fish movement modeling procedure
There were 13 separate hydraulic models representing the base condition 526
and 12 scenarios. The base condition matched the location, discharge and 527
stage under which late fall and winter run chinook were tagged and re-528
leased in 2105. Thus the base condition was used to calibrate the fish 529
movement model. The calibration was done using 2D depth averaged hy-530
draulic models. This was done in lieu of 3D hydraulic models for two rea-531
sons. First, the telemetry data is also 2D due to technology limitations of 532
the telemetry gear that was used. Second, since there were are twelve sce-533
narios to be considered, developing 3D models was time and cost prohibi-534
tive. Additional 3D models may be developed in the future if required for 535
particular questions. 536
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 25
For calibration, fish were released in the model at Knights Landing. A to-537
tal of 500 particles or fish were placed in a lateral cross section. The fish 538
length was set to the mean size of fish released as part of Steele (2016) 539
equaling 124 mm. No differentiation in the fish movement model is made 540
between late fall chinook and winter run chinook. Fish moved down-541
stream, passed through the Fremont weir reach, and exited the model at 542
Verona. 543
Fish movement model data was post processed to produce speed over 544
ground (SOG) and spatial distributions (kernel densities) using JMP 2012. 545
The estimates were compared to the measured data, adjustments made to 546
model parameters, and the model rerun until measured and computed 547
values were similar. The two coefficients lamda_xy and c_xy were adjust-548
ed to approximate the speed over ground and spatial distribution through 549
the project reach. Coefficient lamda_xy was set to 0.1 and c_xy was set to 550
2.0. Speed was insensitive and spatial distribution was sensitive to the pa-551
rameters. 552
The calibrated model was then run for the twelve proposed scenarios and 553
the proportion of fish entering the notch versus exiting the model domain 554
at Verona was computed. Ten to thirty runs each with 500 fish were com-555
pleted in order to estimate model variability. Each run was made with a 556
different random seed to start the model. Higher levels of variability were 557
possible by adjusting calibrated model parameters but results begin to dif-558
fer from measured results. Thus, for the final runs we only modified the 559
random seed. 560
Estimates of entrainment percentages for each scenario were made for the 561
maximum anticipated notch flow ranging from 1,000 to 12,000 cfs. Addi-562
tional analysis was done for Scenarios 1 and 2 representing an intake and 563
shelf style notch respectively. The analysis required running across a 564
range of anticipated notch flows and estimating the entrainment for each. 565
In addition, Scenario 10 and 10B involved three separate structures and a 566
complicated rating curve. Additional analysis for 10 and 10B across a 567
range of flows was also done. 568
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 26
5 Results
5.1 Spatial distribution
Spatial distribution was assessed qualitatively by overlying measured fish 569
positions from Steele et al (2015) with modeled fish tracks (Figure 5). 570
Tracks overlapped and have similar cross channel distributions. 571
Figure 7 Measured and Modeled Fish Locations 572
573
5.2 Kernel density estimates
Kernel densities for the measured and modeled fish distributions were cal-574
culated (Figure 5). Bivariate density estimation models a smooth surface 575
that describes how dense the data points are at each point in that surface. 576
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 27
The plot adds a set of contour lines showing the density (Figure 8). Op-577
tionally, the contour lines are quantile contours in 5% intervals with thick-578
er lines at the 10% quantile intervals. This means that about 5% of the 579
points are below the lowest contour, 10% are below the next contour, and 580
so forth. The highest contour has about 95% of the points below it. 581
Figure 8. Contour lines showing the density speed estimates for modeled (A) and 582 measured fish positions (B) 583
This nonparametric density method first requires dividing each axis into 584
50 binning intervals, for a total of 2,500 bins over the whole surface, 2) 585
counting the points in each bin, 3) decide the smoothing kernel standard 586
deviation (handled in JMP), 4) run a bivariate normal kernel smoother us-587
A
B
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 28
ing an FFT and inverse FFT to do the convolution, and 5) create a contour map 588
on the 2,500 bins using a bilinear surface patch model. 589
5.3 Speed Estimates
Speed over ground was computed for measured and modeled fish. Mod-590
eled fish estimates were based on 500 individual particles. Fish were re-591
leased at Knights Landing Bridge and exited the domain at Verona. The 592
resulting data set was subsampled to capture track data corresponding to 593
the measured fish position data. Fish speed was computed for each fish 594
and represented as a box plot (Figure 9). Modeled fish speed was 0.71 m/s 595
and measured fish speed was 0.67 m/s with arrange of 0 to 2.o m/s. 596
Figure 9. Box plot of fish speed for modeled (A) and measured (B) fish speed over 597 ground estimates. 598
5.4 Entrainment across all scenarios
Entrainment, as depicted in Figure 11, varied as a function of notch type 599
(intake versus shelf), location (west, central, or east weir) and notch flow 600
volume (cfs). Scenarios 1(intake) and 2 (shelf) had entrainment rates of 601
approximately 8% with Scenario 2 slightly superior to Scenario 1. Both 602
Scenarios 1 and 2 have a maximum notch flow of 6,000 cfs. In contrast, 603
Scenarios 3 and 4, while in the same location as Scenarios 1 and 2, have 604
entrainment estimates of approximately 5 and 1% respectively. However, 605
it is important to note that Scenario 3 and 4 have higher invert elevations 606
and lower notch flows when compared to Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 607
A B
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 29
Scenario 5 is located in the central portion of the Fremont Weir but is oth-608
erwise similar to Scenario 2. Scenario 5 entrains approximately 4%. Sce-609
nario 5 is the only single notch structure evaluated for the central Fremont 610
weir location. Scenarios 10 and 10B structures are in a similar location 611
and are described below. 612
Scenarios 6 through 8 are all located on the east portion of Fremont weir. 613
Scenarios 6 and 7 entrain approximately 5%, and Scenario 8 entrains ap-614
proximately 2%. Like Scenarios 1 and 2, scenarios 6 and 7 are a direct 615
comparison of an intake versus shelf. Like Scenarios 1 and 2, scenarios 6 616
and 7 have similar entrainment estimates. Compared to Scenarios 1 and 2, 617
scenarios 6 and 7 have lower entrainment estimates. Scenario 8 is directly 618
comparable to scenario 3 with the exception of its location on the east por-619
tion of Fremont weir. Both scenarios 3 and 8 have approximately 2% en-620
trainment. 621
Scenario 9 is a combination of scenarios 3 and 6 with one structure located 622
on the west portion and one located on the east portion of Fremont weir. 623
Scenario 9 has an approximately 2% entrainment rate similar to either 624
scenario 3 or scenario 6 alone. 625
626
Scenario 10 was similar to scenario 5, 6, and 7 at a flow of 3402 cfs. Sce-627
nario 10B was modified based on input provided by CA DWR (Figure 10). 628
Figure 10. Modifications completed for Scenario 10B based on
email from Josh Urias to David Smith, 12/2/2016
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 30
The modification required generating a new spatial model and running the 629
2D hydraulic model to produce the new flow fields. We attempted to cap-630
ture as much of the input as possible. We modified the bathymetry and 631
resloped the bank. We flattened the bathymerry signal from the existing 632
piles and we softened the edges of the intake structure to round them. The 633
resulting flow field and subsequent entrainment estimates were improved 634
over Scenario 10 with approximately 10% of the fish entrained at 3402 cfs. 635
Figure 11. Mean entrainment estimates for each scenario at maximum flow with 636 standard deviations. Scenario number is placed above each error bar. 637
638 Scenario 11, with the flow of 12,000 cfs entrained the greatest number of 639
fish at approximately 25%. Scenario 12 is comparable to Scenario 2 as 640
both are intake style notches. Entrainment rates for both are approxi-641
mately 7%. 642
5.5 Flow and entrainment relationships
For scenario 1 (intake) and scenario 2 (shelf) entrainment was modeled for 643
a range of flows to establish the notch entrainment trends over the range 644
of expected operating conditions. Scenarios 1 and 2 were chosen because 645
each is located in the reach were fish were tracked in 2015. The hydro-646
graph from the time period of December 1 to December 30 2015 was used 647
as it contained the low and high river flows (represented as stages from 648
Fremont weir gage) need to capture the full range of notch entrainment 649
and was also used for the base model. The figures are entrainment esti-650
mates for simulated fish for scenarios 1 and 2 at Fremont across a range of 651
10B
11
1 2
12
10 6 7
9 8
5
4
3
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 31
notch flows. Each data point is the mean entrainment rate at each notch 652
flow. Error bars are the standard deviation based on a minimum of 6 runs 653
of 500 fish each. Entrainment increases with notch flow for both but the 654
transition from low entrainment (~1%) versus high entrainment (~8%) is 655
slower for the shelf. Both scenarios entrain similar percentages of fish but 656
Scenario 1 (intake type notch) uses less water to achieve maximum en-657
trainment. 658
Figure 12. Scenarios 1 and 2 659
660
661
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 32
Scenario 3 through 12 lack error bars for the entrainment estimates because the 662
runs are not done. Error bars are expected to be similar to what has already been 663
reported. Scenario 3 entrains relatively few fish over the range of flows evaluat-664
ed with the trend suggesting maximum entrainment of approximately 1 to 2% 665
from 1500 to 3000 cfs. 666
Figure 13 667
668
Scenario 4 is the smallest in terms of flow and entrainment across flows remains 669
below 1%. 670
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 33
Figure 14. 671
672
Scenario 5 has a peak entrainment of approximately 5 % and reaches a plateau 673
near 5000 cfs. 674
Scenario 6 reaches a peak entrainment of approximately 10% at approximately 675
3000 cfs or half of the rated maximum notch flow. This appears to be related to 676
the interaction of the excavated bench and stage that tend diminish near bank re-677
circulation zones and promote direct streamlines along the bank. 678
Figure 15. 679
680
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 34
Scenario 7 entrains approximately 3 to 4% across a wide range of notch flows but 681
has more variability across flows than other scenarios. 682
Figure 16. 683
684
Scenario 8 entrains approximately 3 to 4% and the entrainment trend sug-685
gest that a entrainment plateau has not been reached. 686
Figure 17. 687
688
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 35
Scenario 9 entrains approximately 1% and the entrainment trend suggest 689
that a entrainment plateau has been reached. 690
Figure 18. 691
692
Scenario 10 and 10B represent a different notch design on comparison to 693
the other designs. Flows from 37.5 cfs to 3648 cfs (27.5, 54.9, 197.1, 499, 694
1043, 1363, 2098, 2521, 3039, 3358, 3402, 3648 cfs) were run incremen-695
tally for both Scenario 10 and 10B covering the range of flows dictated by 696
the rating curve. For both scenarios a flow of 3402 cfs maximized en-697
trainment. All other flows entrained less than 1% of fish. This is likely re-698
lated to the complicated bank and bathymetry at this location and a 699
recirculation zone that is established in the bend. 700
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 36
Figure 19. 701
702
Scenario 11 shows a strong increase in entrainment rates with notch flow 703
and even at the midpoint of flow of 6000 cfs is entraining approximately 704
15% of the fish and reaching a maximum of approximately 24% at 12000 705
cfs. Scenario 11 and 12 are located deeper into the bend than other west 706
scenarios and has a different design lacking a two-step weir and instead 707
relying on a single invert elevation. The width of the structure is wide 708
(220 ft) and it attracts a large cross section of streamlines from the river. 709
Figure 20. 710
711
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 37
Scenario 12 entrains approximately 5 % of the fish. The trend suggests a 712
plateau is reached at around 3000 cfs. 713
Figure 21. 714
715
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 38
Discussion
The ELAM was calibrated using fish telemetry data collected in 2015 716
(Steele et al. 2016) and the CFD simulations (Lia 2016). Once complete, 717
additional CFD runs were made for proposed notches that represented dif-718
ferent locations and notch designs. This allows the considerable 719
The broad pattern of entrainment across all scenarios finds that entrain-720
ments estimates vary from a low of approximately 1% to a high of approx-721
imately 25%. Ratio of entrainment flow to river flow correspondingly was 722
2 to 27%. These numbers broadly agree with several studies completed at 723
the Georgianna Slough junction with the Sacramento River. Perry et al. 724
(2014) measured the fraction of fish measured in 2011 entering Georgian-725
na Slough, which ranged from 1 to 30% with 20 to 30% entering when a 726
non-physical barrier was not operating. The flow split between Georgian-727
na Slough and the Sacramento River was approximately 20% during the 728
study period. Entrainment into Georgianna Slough is strongly dependent 729
on tides and flows. The 2011 year was dominated by high non-reversing 730
flows, conditions under which entrainment probabilities decline dramati-731
cally (Perry et al. 2015). Perry et al. (2015) summarized data from a wide 732
range of sources and estimated an entrainment probability from negative 733
to approximately 55% across a number of low flow years. The mean flow 734
ratio between Georgianna Slough and the Sacramento River was 22% with 735
a low of 15 and a high of -17% (more water going down Georgianna Slough 736
than the Sacramento River). Perry (2010) found mean daily flow ratios 737
between Georgianna Slough and the Sacramento River from 2007 to 2009 738
varied from approximately 30% to 80% and entrainment probabilities 30 739
to 55%. Finally, Cavallo et al. (2015) summarized data from Sacramento 740
River diversions (including Perry 2010) and concluded entrainment rates 741
varied from 10% to 60% with diversion ratios of approximately 18% to 742
60%. 743
We plotted summary data from Peery (2010) and Cavallo et al. (2015) with 744
the ELAM entrainment estimates to contextualize our findings (Figure 13). 745
The data suggest that our entrainment estimates trend well with meas-746
ured entrainment values within the Sacramento River. However, the di-747
version ratios proposed at the Fremont Weir notch are generally less than 748
the reported data. In addition the slope relating river diversion ratio to 749
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 39
entrainment differs with the ELAM estimates being the most sensitive to 750
river diversion ratio. However, the entrainment estimates we developed 751
overlap suggesting that the ELAM entrainment estimates are reasonable. 752
The Ferment weir notch scenarios differ from Georgianna Slough in im-753
portant ways. First, the proportion of water entrained varies from approx-754
imately 1% (Scenario 4) to 27% (Scenario 11). Only Scenario 11 approaches 755
the ratios of flow diverted at Georgianna Slough. The remainder are con-756
siderably less. Georgina Slough is also tidal and can be slow or even re-757
versed whereas the Fremont Weir reach is rarely less than 0.75 m/s. This 758
suggests the exposure time of a fish to the diversion point is less in the 759
Fremont Weir. Finally, cross channel distributions of fish in the Fremont 760
Weir reach and the nearby USACE test reach at river mile 85.6 and 43.7 761
are insensitive to discharge (Sandstrom et al 20xx, Singer et al. 20xx, Steel 762
et al 2016, Steele et al in prep, Woods et al. in prep) with most fish tending 763
toward center channel. In comparison, cross channel distributions at 764
Georgianna Slough vary with discharge and stage. Entrainment at any of 765
the Fremont Weir notches may not be as dynamic or of similar magnitude 766
as it is to Georgianna Slough. 767
Figure 13. Plot of ELAM estimates with comparable estimates from the Sacramento 768 River. Cavallo et al (2015) line estimated by pulling values from graph and thus is an 769
approximation. 1:1 line denotes when entrainment is proportional to entrainment 770 flow. 771
772
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 40
The difference in slope between the ELAM and the Georgianna Slough 773
may also be partially explained through differences in the river environ-774
ment. The Fremont weir is strongly advective and fish movement though 775
this reach reflects that. In comparison, the tidal junction at Georgianna 776
Slough induces upstream movement, station holding along the bank and 777
in general more complicated swim paths. Of the studies, Perry et al. 778
(2014) is the most comparable to the Fremont Weir because reversing 779
flows were rare. The ratio between Georgianna Slough and the Sacramen-780
to River was approximately 16% and entrainment was approximately 22% 781
when a non-physical barrier was not operating. This compares with a ratio 782
of 27%flow for 25% entrainment for Scenario 11 (the largest notch evaluat-783
ed). 784
We may underestimate entrainment in for scenarios 1,2, 3,4, 9 11 and 12 785
all located in the western portion of the notch. This is because the spatial 786
distributions of the modeled fish are deviate from the measured distribu-787
tion with the measured fish having a larger outside bend density. Broadly 788
the kernel density estimate overlap and agree but entrainment is sensitive 789
to lateral position in the channel. The difference is likely due not repre-790
senting secondary circulations in the 2D hydraulic model. We believe this 791
is acceptable because of the following reasons. First, developing 3D time 792
varying RANS simulations for all 12 alternatives was infeasible. Working 793
in 2D allowed all the spatial domains to be represented. Future design 794
work (as opposed to planning work) may need to consider 3D simulations. 795
Second, the bias introduced by the lateral distribution is equal across all 796
alternatives. Third, the ELAM estimates are comparable to other entrain-797
ment estimates from the Sacramento River suggesting whatever potential 798
underestimation we report is likely within the range of variation we expect 799
to see within existing measured entrainment data sets. 800
There are some additional caveats to this study as we presented model re-801
sults that will apply to future engineering design and analysis. 802
5.6 Accuracy and precision in planning studies
This study has provided entrainment estimates for a range of scenarios. 803
The results should be viewed cautiously for several reasons. First, there is 804
no fish entrainment data for any notch that was modeled. We simply cali-805
brated to existing conditions (Base scenario) and extended that calibration 806
to the 12 notch scenarios. Each notch scenario reported has an error bar 807
associated with it which captures the variability of the entrainment as 808
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 41
modified by varying ELAM boundary conditions slightly. Thus each sce-809
nario entrainment estimate is an ensemble estimate which is considered a 810
best practice for physical system numerical modeling. However, since the 811
real entrainment rate is unknown the raw estimates should not be viewed 812
as absolute numbers. Rather, the entrainment estimates should be used 813
as relative entrainment rates to highlight differences across scenarios. 814
This is consistent with USACE best practice. Future work should include 815
more detailed modeling and after construction measurement of notch per-816
formance. 817
5.7 Behavior
Fish have a near limitless level of behaviors that can be implemented and 818
our representation is inherently limited by incomplete understanding. 819
The behavior quantified in Steele (2015) was simple but undoubtedly other 820
behaviors which might influence movement were occurring but were not 821
measured. In addition, the notch will change the local environment and 822
expose fish to acceleration gradients in excess of what is found in the river. 823
Elevated acceleration gradients generally repel migrating juvenile salmon. 824
In addition, data and behavior for fry sized salmon are largely unavailable. 825
USACE studies (need refs) suggest very limited numbers of fry size salmon 826
near banks in this reach. Susceptibility of fry size salmon to the notch may 827
be greater than smolts or, if fry size fish are migrating similarly to parr and 828
smolts then entrainment estimates may correspond to results in this study. 829
5.8 Notch flow and design
Across all scenarios larger notch flows entrain greater fish numbers, alt-830
hough not proportionally to the volume through the notch. West located 831
notches entrain more fish than central and east and intake perform better 832
than shelfs. However, intakes and shelfs both performed poorly, regardless 833
of notch flows, when intake channels were angled from the mainstem. 834
A primary exception to notch flows being the most important design crite-835
ria is demonstrated with Scenario 10B. Scenario 10B was a late modifica-836
tion of Scenario 10 and those modifications improved notch performance. 837
These findings highlight the importance of hydrodynamics along the up-838
stream bank and angle of the intake off of the Sacramento River are im-839
portant design factors for optimizing fish entrainment. Addi-tionally, the 840
substantial biological response resulting from stakeholder-generated sce-841
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 42
nario design changes suggest this model can further analyze advance op-842
timization exercises and higher-order design drawings. 843
5.9 Unknown factors that influence entrainment
When a notch is constructed it may closely resemble the scenarios exam-844
ined in this study or it may deviate. We captures many details of each 845
scenario including structural changes and bankline, bathymetry and over-846
bank changes. As the design goes forward additional details will be added 847
and these details may begin to deviate from what was analyzed as part for 848
this study. 849
5.10 2D data in 3D river
Depth information for fish is unavailable. The measured positions there-850
fore are in 2D. Not having depth information induces uncertainty in the 851
measured positions. As fish move deeper, as may occur in the river bend, 852
the estimated path length measured in 2D diverges from the 3D path 853
length. This bias is inherent in the fish position data used for this study. 854
5.11 Impact of bank structures on secondary circulations
Secondary circulations are one factor driving the lateral distribution of fish 855
in the Sacramento River with the likely result of shifting fish positions to-856
ward the outside bank. When one of the scenarios is implemented and 857
constructed, we would expect that the existing secondary circulation pat-858
terns in the vicinity of the notch will change. For example, bend way weirs 859
are put along the outside bends of river expressly to disrupt secondary cir-860
culations. The end result may be that the constructed structure diminish-861
es the tendency of to skew lateral distributions to the outside bend. 862
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 43
6 Bibliography (being updated, issues with
reference manager)
Acierto. 2015. 863
Bian. 2003. 864
Bowman, a. and Foster, P. 1992. Density Based Exploration of Bivariate Data. Dept. of 865 Statistics, Univ. of Glasgow. 866
Coombs. 2000. 867
Coombs. 1999. 868
Coombs, Braums. 2000. 869
Foster, Bowman and. 1992. 870
Goodwin. 2001. 871
Greimann. 2008. 872
Greimann. 2010. 873
Jones, Marsh and. 1988. 874
lai. 2010. 875
Lai. 2016. 876
Lai. 2011. 877
Paxton. 2000. 878
Railsback. 1999. 879
Singer, Aalto, and James. 2008. 880
Sommer. 2001. 881
1993. "Statistics and computing ." 171-177. 882
Steel. 2015. 883
Steel. 2016. 884
Wu. 2000. 885
886
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 44
Appendix 1. ELAM documentation 887
THEORETICAL: 888
1. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, and D. P. Loucks. 2000. Coupled Ecological 889 Modeling for Improved Water Resources and Ecosystem Management. 890 Proceedings of the ASCE 2000 Joint Conference on Water Resources En-891 gineering and Water Resources Planning and Management, Minneapolis, 892 MN 30 Jul- 1 Aug 2000. 893
2. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, and L. Toney. 2002. Simulating movement 894 of highly mobile aquatic biota: foundation for population modeling in an 895 ecosystem context. Technical Note ERDC/EL TN-EMRRP-EM-02 Janu-896 ary 2002, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicks-897 burg, MS 39180-6199. 898
3. Gustafson, E., J. Nestler, L. Gross, K. Reynolds, D. Yaussy, T. Maxwell, and 899 V. Dale. 2003. Evolving approaches and technologies to enhance the role 900 of ecological modeling in decision-making, ed., V. Dale. in Ecological 901 Modeling for Resource Management, Springer Verlag Publishers, New 902 York. 903
4. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, and D. P. Loucks. 2005. Coupling of biolog-904 ical and engineering models for ecosystem analysis. ASCE Journal of Wa-905 ter Resources Planning and Management 131(2): 101-109. 906
5. Goodwin, R. A., D. L. Smith, J. M. Nestler, J. J. Anderson, L. J. Weber, and 907 R. L. Stockstill. 2006. Agent-based approach enhances conventional 908 aquatic habitat description and species utilization methods. In American 909 Society of Civil Engineers Proceedings of the World Environmental and 910 Water Resources Congress 2006: Examining the Confluence of Environ-911 mental and Water Concerns” held in Omaha, Nebraska, May 21-25 2006. 912 Pp 1-8. doi: 10.1061/40856(200)90 913
6. Goodwin, R. A., J. M. Nestler, J. J. Anderson, D. Peter Loucks. 2006. Fore-914 casting 3-D fish movement behavior using a Eulerian-Lagrangian-Agent 915 Method (ELAM). Ecological Modeling 192: 197-223. 916
7. Goodwin, R. A., Smith, D. L., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., Weber, L. J., 917 and Stockstill, R. L. 2006. Agent-based approach enhances conventional 918 aquatic habitat description and species utilization methods. Proceedings of 919 the World Environmental & Water Resources Congress, American Society 920 of Civil Engineers, 21 – 25 May 2006, Omaha, Nebraska. 921
8. Nestler, J. M., Goodwin, R. A., Smith, D. L., and Anderson, J. J. 2007. A 922 Mathematical and Conceptual Framework for Ecohydraulics,” In Wood, 923 P. J., D. M. Hannah, and J. P. Sadler, eds, Hydroecology and Ecohydrolo-924 gy: Past, Present, and Future, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. pp 205-224. 925
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 45
9. Goodwin, R. A., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., and Weber, L. J. 2007. A 926 new tool to forecast fish movement and passage. HydroReview. 26(4), 58-927 71. 928
10. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, J. J. Anderson, and D. L. Smith. 2007. Un-929 derstanding hydrodynamics from the fish’s point of view, Part II: Integrat-930 ing Flow Field Distortion, Sensory Biology, and Geomorphology. 931 Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Ecohydraulics, 18 - 23 932 February 2007, Christchurch, New Zealand 933
11. Goodwin, R. A., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., and Cheng, J.-R. 2007. Un-934 derstanding hydrodynamics from the fish’s point of view, Part I: Integrat-935 ing CFD modeling, individual movement, and spatial/cognitive ecology. 936 Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Ecohydraulics, 18 - 23 937 February 2007, Christchurch, New Zealand 938
12. Nestler, J. M, R. A. Goodwin, D. L. Smith, and Toni Toney. 2007. Innova-939 tive Integration of Engineering and Biological Tools Aids Hydraulic 940 Structure Design for Restoring Threatened and Endangered Fish. In Pro-941 ceedings of the Fifth LACCEI International Latin American and Caribbe-942 an Conference for Engineering and Technology (LACCEI’2007), 943 “Developing Entrepreneurial Engineers for the Sustainable Growth of 944 Latin America and the Caribbean: Education, Innovation, Technology and 945 Practice” 29 May – 1 June 2007, Tampico, México. 946
13. Goodwin, R. A., J. M. Nestler, J. J. Anderson, D. L. Smith, D. Tillman, T. 947 Toney, L. J. Weber, S. Li, J. R. Cheng, and R. M. Hunter. 2008. The Nu-948 merical Fish Surrogate: Converting Observed Patterns in Fish Movement 949 and Passage to a Mechanistic Hypothesis of Behavior for Engineering De-950 sign Support. U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Wa-951 terways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS. 952
14. Goodwin R. A., M. Politano, J. W. Garvin, J. M. Nestler, D. Hay, J. J. An-953 derson, L. J. Weber, E. Dimperio, D. L. Smith, and M. Timko. 2014. Fish 954 Navigate Large Dams by Modulating Flow Field Experience. Proceed-955 ings of the National Academies of Science 111(14): 5277-5282. 956 DOI:www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1311874111 957
15. Nestler, J. M., M. J. Stewardson, D. Gilvear, J. Angus Webb, and D. L. 958 Smith. 2016. Does Ecohydraulics have guiding principles? Paper 26780 959 in, Webb JA, Costelloe JF, Casas-Mulet R, Lyon JP, Stewardson MJ (eds.) 960 Proceedings of the 11th International Symposium on Ecohydraulics. Mel-961 bourne, Australia, 7-12 February 2016. The University of Melbourne, 962 ISBN: 978 0 7340 5339 8. 963
16. Nestler, J. M., M. J. Stewardson, D. Gilvear, J. A. Webb, and D. L. Smith. 964 2016. Ecohydraulics exemplifies the emerging “Paradigm of the Interdis-965 ciplines”. Journal of Ecohydraulics DOI 966 10.1080/24705357.2016.1229142. Available at: 967 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/24705357.2016.1229142 . 968
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 46
17. Nestler, J. M., C. Baigun, and I. Maddock. 2016. Achieving the aquatic 969 ecosystem perspective: Interdisciplinary integration describes instream 970 hydraulic processes. In River Science: Research and Management for the 971 21st Century, First Edition pp 84-102..Edited by David J. Gilvear, Mal-972 colm T. Greenwood, Martin C. Thoms and Paul J. Wood. 2016 John 973 Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Published 2016 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 416 pp. 974 DOI: 10.1002/9781118643525.ch5 975
METHODOLOGICAL: 976
18. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, and R. S. Chapman. 2000. “Development of a 977 Numerical Fish Surrogate for Improved Selection of Fish Passage Design 978 and Operational Scenarios for Lower Granite Dam: Phase I,” ERDC/EL 979 TR-00-12, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Water-980 ways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS. 981
19. Nestler, J. M. and R. A. Goodwin. 2000. Simulating Population Dynamics 982 in an Ecosystem Context Using Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian Ecological 983 Models (CEL HYBRID Models). ERDC/EL TR-00-04. U.S. Army Engi-984 neer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS. 985
20. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, and L. Toni Schneider. 2000. Linking Bio-986 logical Models and Spatial Descriptions of Environmental Complexity 987 with Coupled Models. Technical Note ERDC TN-EMRRP-EM-01 July 988 2000, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, 989 MS 39180-6199. 990
21. Goodwin, R. A., and J. M. Nestler. 2000. Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian 991 Hybrid (CEL Hybrid) Ecological Modeling and Hydroinformatics. Pro-992 ceedings of the 4Th International Conference on HydroInformatics, Cedar 993 Rapids, IA, 23-27 July 2000 (CD). 994
22. Goodwin, R. A., J. M. Nestler, L. Weber, Y. G. Lai, and D. P. Loucks. 2001. 995 Ecologically Sensitive Hydraulic Design for Rivers: Lessons Learned in 996 Coupled Modeling for Improved Fish Passage. Proceedings of ASCE 997 Specialty Conference on Wetlands Engineering and River Restoration 998 2001 held on 25-31 August 2001 in Reno, Nevada 999
23. Goodwin, R. A., J. M. Nestler, D. P. Loucks, and R. S. Chapman. 2001. 1000 Simulating mobile populations in aquatic ecosystems. ASCE Journal of 1001 Water Resources Planning and Management 127(6): 386-393. 1002
24. Goodwin, R. A., Anderson, J. J., and Nestler, J. M. 2004. Decoding 3-D 1003 movement patterns of fish in response to hydrodynamics and water quality 1004 for forecast simulation. Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on 1005 Hydroinformatics 2004, Liong, Phoon, and Babovic, eds., World Scientific 1006 Publishing Company, 21 – 24 June 2004, Singapore. 1007
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 47
25. Parasiewicz, P., J. Nestler, N.L. Poff and A. Goodwin. 2008. Virtual Refer-1008 ence River: A Model for Scientific Discovery and Reconciliation. 2008. 1009 In: M. S. Alonso, I. M. Rubio (ed) Ecological Management: New Re-1010 search , Nova Science Publishers, Inc pp. 189-206. ISBN: 978-1-60456-1011 786-1. 1012
26. Daraio, J. A, Weber, L. J., Newton, T. J., and Nestler, J. M. 2010. A meth-1013 odological framework for integrating computational fluid dynamics and 1014 ecological models applied to juvenile freshwater mussel dispersal in the 1015 Upper Mississippi River. Ecological Modelling 221 (2):201-214 1016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.10.008 1017
27. Daraio, J. A., L. J. Weber, T. J. Newton, and J. M. Nestler. 2010. A meth-1018 odological framework for integrating computational fluid dynamics and 1019 ecological models applied to juvenile freshwater mussel dispersal in the 1020 Upper Mississippi River. Ecological Modelling 221 (2):201-214 1021 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.10.008 1022
28. Nestler, J. M. and R. A. Goodwin. 2000. Patent Number 6,160,759 Method 1023 for Determining Probable Response of Aquatic Species to Selected Com-1024 ponents of Water Flow Fields. 1025
APPLICATION: 1026
29. Nestler, J. M., Goodwin, R. A., T. Cole, D. Degan, and D. Dennerline. 2002. 1027 Simulating movement patterns of blueback herring in a stratified southern 1028 impoundment. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 131:55-69. 1029
30. Goodwin, R. A., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., and Weber, L. J. 2004. 1030 Forecast simulations of 3-D fish response to hydraulic structures. Proceed-1031 ings of the ASCE World Water & Environmental Resources Congress 1032 2004, 27 June – 1 July 2004, Salt Lake 1033
31. Goodwin, R. A., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., and Weber, L. J. 2004. Vir-1034 tual fish to evaluate bypass structures for endangered species. Proceedings 1035 of the 5th Symposium on Ecohydraulics, 12 – 17 September 2004, Madrid, 1036 Spain.City, Utah. 1037
32. Goodwin, R. A., Nestler, J. M., Anderson, J. J., Kim, J., and Toney, T. 2005. 1038 Evaluating Wanapum Dam Bypass Configurations for Outmigrating Juve-1039 nile Salmon Using Virtual Fish: Numerical Fish Surrogate (NFS) Analysis. 1040 ERDC/EL TR-05-7, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Cen-1041 ter, Vicksburg, Mississippi 39180-6199. 1042 http://el.erdc.usace.army.mil/elpubs/pdf/trel05-7.pdf 1043
33. Weber, L.J., Goodwin, R.A., Li, S., and Nestler, J.M. 2006. Application of 1044 an Eularian-Lagrangian-Agent-Method to rank scenario designs of a juve-1045 nile fish passage facility. Journal of Hydroinformatics. 8(4):271-295. 1046
ERDC/EL TR-17-DRAFT 48
34. Nestler, J. M., R. A. Goodwin, D. L. Smith, and J. J. Anderson. 2008. Op-1047 timum fish passage designs are based on the hydrogeomorphology of natu-1048 ral rivers. River Research and Applications: 24: 148-168. 1049
35. Daraio, J.A., L.J. Weber, S. J. Zigler, T. J. Newton, and Nestler, JM. 2010. 1050 Simulated effects of host fish distribution on juvenile unionid mussel dis-1051 persal in a large river. River Research and Application: Article first pub-1052 lished on line: 2010, DOI: 10.1002/rra.1469. 1053
36. Nestler, J. M., P. Pompeu, R. A. Goodwin, D. L. Smith, L. Silva, C. R. M. 1054 Baigún, and N. O. Oldani. 2012. The River Machine: A Template for 1055 Fish Movement and Habitat, Fluvial Geomorphology, Fluid Dynamics, 1056 and Biogeochemical Cycling. River Research and Application 28(4): 490-1057 503 (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/rra.1567 1058
37. Smith, D. L., R. A. Goodwin, Y. Long, and J. M. Nestler. 2014. Fish Path Se-1059 lection and Fatigue in Complex, Continuous Velocity Fields (Extended ab-1060 stract). Proceedings : 10th International Symposium on Ecohydraulics 1061 2014 , Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 1062 Norway, 23rd - 27th June 2014. SINTEF Energi AS:Paper 323. 1063
38. Smith, D. L., J. M. Nestler, T. Threadgill, R. A. Goodwin. 2016. Movement 1064 analysis of fish near a low head dam on the Mississippi River. Proceed-1065 ings of RiverFlow 2016 held at St. Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri, 1066 July 12-15, 2016. 1067