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1 Quarterly load update July 19, 2021 Photo: Hawley Substation Operational July 9, 2021

Quarterly load update

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Page 1: Quarterly load update

1

Quarterly load updateJuly 19, 2021

Photo: Hawley Substation Operational July 9, 2021

Page 2: Quarterly load update

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Why we are here today

• Growth trends through 2nd quarter 2021• Load forecast update• Heat impacts on load and utility systems• Large projects of interest• Substation build status• West Wenatchee water reservoir planning and siting

• No action requested today

Page 3: Quarterly load update

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System growth observations into Q3 2021

• New residential housing and multi-family housing construction continues at high volumes throughout the County

• Emerging new development in commercial- including hotels and retail shops

• Restaurants, bars and retail space back to full occupancy level

• Commercial electrical loads back to pre-covid occupancy

Photo: New Hotel – North Wenatchee Ave

Page 4: Quarterly load update

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County demographic observations- 2021

Source data: Washington State- Office of Financial Management. June 30, 2021

Page 5: Quarterly load update

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County demographic observations cont. - 2021

Top 25 Cities in WA state – population change

Source data: Washington State- Office of Financial Management. June 30, 2021

Page 6: Quarterly load update

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New large project applications since April of 2021:

Hiland Subdivision ~400 lots above golf course Chelan 2.25 MWAg fruit warehouse Wells dam area Chelan 1.50 MWVarious new residential developments Wenatchee 0.60 MWVarious residential development – Chelan 0.75 MW_________________________________________________________________

Peak Demand ~ 5.10 MW

All energy is shown in estimated(Peak) Megawatts

Active projects of note- Q3 2021

• Some calls and inquiries about cryptocurrency mining loads• No completed applications for mining loads currently

Page 7: Quarterly load update

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486427

655

775

649

310

108

73

118

118

76

35

1

1

2

1

2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7 2 0 1 8 2 0 1 9 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 1

Electric - Residential Electric - Commercial Electric - Industrial

Projectedrange

ThroughJune

Electric meter installs through June 2021

Page 8: Quarterly load update

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Date of Forecast

BaseCase

HighCase

LowCase

Jan 2020 26 aMW * -1 aMW130 aMW

Annualgrowth rate

1.1 % 4.6 % - 0 %

Current

forecast

April 2021 26 aMW * -1 aMW130 aMW1.1 % 4.6 % - 0 %

July 2021 26 aMW * -1 aMW130 aMW1.1 % 4.6 % - 0 %

10-year load forecast(net of energy conservation plans)

Action item for the load forecast team is to understand how to incorporate climate change into future load forecasts.

Page 9: Quarterly load update

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Impacts of high regional temperatures

Fiber system• Approx. 50 of 17K optical network terminals (ONT) devices failure during high heat• Root cause of failures under evaluation, likely aged equipment and high heat• Long term ONT replacement program under consideration• Fiber node A/C units upgrades in 2019, functioned well under high heat conditions

Water system• High heat inside booster pump stations, resulting in momentary interruptions in the

operator interface with SCADA- introduced exhaust fans to resolve issues• Higher retail water consumption than normal• Electrical cable failure resulted in interruption of regional water system on July 3

Electric system• Substation control building A/C unit failures- replaced as needed• Power transformer temperatures and other SCADA alarms triggered investigations• Marginal increase in underground cable failures- replaced or repaired as needed

Page 10: Quarterly load update

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Electrical system consumption(June 25 through July 10, 2021)

Me

ga

wa

tts

Tem

pe

ratu

re

New summer peakdemand onJune 29, 2021:

276 MWh

114 F.Pangborn

Winter peakdemand in 2017:

491 MWh

-1 F.Jan 5, 2017

Page 11: Quarterly load update

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Water system consumption

0

1

2

3

4

5

Mil

lio

n g

all

on

s

D a i l y P e a k U s a g e

4.1

4.57

Historical daily peak water usage 4.1 M gallons

June 30, 2021 -new daily peak water usage: 4.57 M gallons

11% overhistorical peak

Page 12: Quarterly load update

Substation build activity

Station Next Build Phase Expected Complete

Hawley Energize & in-service July 2021

Ohme Energize planned September 2021

North Shore Outreach and civil design August 2021

Leavenworth (Bavarian) Outreach and civil design September 2021

Wenatchee (upsize) Finalize project plan Q4 2021

Wenatchee Foothills Siting and utility plans Q4 2021

Malaga/Stemilt Site property evaluations ongoing

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Please note:- Schedules are subject to change (station build team is updating)- See 2021 District Performance Plan for more details

Page 13: Quarterly load update

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Existing west Wenatcheereservoir

Existingupper Skylinereservoir

Reservoir siteevaluations

No.1 canyonNo.2 canyonPreferred locationnew reservoir

New water reservoir planning –(Wenatchee system)

Page 14: Quarterly load update

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Questions

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