• Providing authoritative research

• Identifying employment trends

• Targeting workforce opportunities

• Initiating development projects

• Bringing people together

DWA

we’re trying to improve the odds for

successful entrepreneurs.

SMEs – significant to our economy

Small-and medium-sized suppliers are said to be critical to

the success of our globally competitive firms and exporters.

It is generally accepted that ambitious entrepreneurial firms

challenge the current business environment, making the

status quo uncomfortable

- economist, Joseph Schumpeter.

DWA Data: Increasing Industries

Highest numbers of firms by industry:

Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

• 16% of all employers

Construction

• 14.5% of all employers

Highest number of firms by size and industry:

Among large firms (100+ employees), Retail

Trade, Manufacturing , Health Care and Social

Assistance have by far the biggest numbers

Top Small Business Ideas for 2015

Food Businesses

Detailing

Landscaping

Party Services

Kids

Website Sales

Cleaning Services

Junk Hauler

Property

Management

Mail Order

http://www.sbomag.com/2014/10/top-twenty-businesses/

Personalized Products

Sports

Handyman

Backyard Bonanza

Home Inventory

MedTech

Cloud Advisors

Senior Care

Yoga

Drones for Business

Small Business Trends for 2015

• Resurgence in Small Business Formation

• Marketing – digital media

• Social Media

• Work-life balance

• Retail

• Technology

• Data and the Cloud

• SEO & the Web

• Internet Security

http://www.businessnewsdaily.com/7608-2015-small-business-predictions.html

DWA: Durham’s Priority Sectors

• Advanced Manufacturing

• Information Technology

• Multi-Model Transportation

• Health Care

• Film

• Wholesale trade

• Agri-business

• Smart Energy

Industrial Structures of Employers

Number Of Employers By Employee Size Range

June 2013

Industry Sector

2-digit Naics

NUMBER OF EMPLOYERS %

RA

NK

0

1-4

5-9

10-19

20-49

50-99

100+

TOTAL

23 Construction 3060 1021 343 152 69 23 5 4673 15 2

31-33 Manufacturing 482 256 132 108 94 41 31 1144 4 12

41 Wholesale Trade 554 270 142 114 66 16 12 1174 4 11

44-45 Retail Trade 1258 787 541 380 176 73 65 3280 10 3

48-49 Transportation/Warehousing 1121 304 57 36 31 11 16 1576 5 8

52 Finance and Insurance 1010 298 88 57 100 4 3 1560 5 9

53 Real Estate 2538 384 77 43 13 5 1 3061 10 4

54 Professional Scientific Tech 3389 1398 167 57 48 10 5 5074 16 1

56 Administrative Support 960 415 168 76 50 16 15 1700 5 7

62Health Care & Social Assist 558 719 305 223 79 25 24 1933 6 6

72 Accommodation & Food 324 264 227 224 163 73 18 1293 4 10

81 Other Services 1259 881 301 117 29 11 4 2602 8 5

Employment in Small & Medium Enterprises

SME are primarily responsible for community

economic renewal and growth.

Durham SMEs:

•58% have no employees

•23% have 1-4 employees

•90% have nine or fewer employees

•98% have 49 or fewer employees.

Industry Sub-Sector 3-Digit NAICS Total Employment 2013

Total Employment 2014

Percent Change

531 - Real Estate 2869 3130 9 541 - Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 5059 5286 4

238 - Specialty Trade Contractors 3002 3136 4

621 - Ambulatory Health Care Services 1444 1559 8

236 - Construction of Buildings 1382 1456 5

561 - Administrative and Support Services 1619 1688 4

722 - Food Services and Drinking Places 1137 1203 6

484 - Truck Transportation 904 966 7

813 - Religious, Grant-Making, Civic, and Professional and Similar Organizations

656 713 9

812 - Personal and Laundry Services 807 851 5

Top 10 Industry Sub-Sectors with Increase in SME Employment, June 2013 to June 2014 (under 50)

Top 10 Industry Sub-Sector with Decrease in Sme Employment

June 2013 to June 2014 (under 50)

Industry Sub-Sector 3-Digit NAICS

Total Employment 2013

Total Employment 2014 Percent Change

814 - Private Households 178 123 -31 551 - Management of Companies and Enterprises 933 897 -4 454 - Non-Store Retailers 250 236 -6 532 - Rental and Leasing Services 173 163 -6

448 - Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 415 408 -2 113 - Forestry and Logging 15 10 -33 419 - Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 131 126 -4 443 - Electronics and Appliance Stores 199 195 -2 321 - Wood Product Manufacturing 48 45 -6 331 - Primary Metal Manufacturing 8 5 -38

Commuting Patterns

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Pickering 38,065 29,125 7,875 0.77 0.73 27%

Ajax 48,345 23,570 9,325 0.49 0.52 40%

Whitby 52,160 33,610 13,595 0.64 0.69 40%

Oshawa 58,400 50,850 24,780 0.87 0.95 49%

Clarington 35,845 16,535 9,585 0.46 0.46 58%

Scugog 8,285 5,670 2,870 0.68 0.56 51%

Uxbridge 8,190 5,240 2,465 0.64 0.61 47%

Brock 3,840 2,575 1,515 0.67 0.55 59%

Commuting flows by municipality, Durham Region, 2011 Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011

Occupation Overview

NOC Occupation

Individuals Employed in Durham

Region

Residents Employed

Average Salary

Median Salary

All Occupations 189,570 274,640 $45,837 $37,152

1122 Professional Occupations in Business Management Consulting

485 1,135 $61,156 $75,002

1123 Professional Occupations in Advertising, Marketing and P.R.

470 1,215 $49,993 $52,654

1321 Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners 345 925 $57,632 $57,375

1431 Accounting and Related Clerks 1,350 2,765 $37,862 $38,413

4412 Home Support Workers, Housekeepers and Related Occupations

605 795 $20,391 $22,824

5223 Graphic Arts Technicians 60 100 $34,500 $39,075

6232 Real Estate Agents and Salespersons 1,300 1,480 $30,649 $43,059

7241 Electricians (Except Industrial and Power System)

430 680 $53,003 $53,719

National Household Survey, 2011

Commuting Patterns - Occupations NOC Occupation Durham

Region to Oshawa

Durham Region to Whitby

Durham Region to Ajax

Durham Region to Toronto

Durham Region to York

All Occupations 45,290 30,775 20,245 78,370 22,100

11 Professional Occupations in Business and Finance

1,165 705 155 5,130 700

12 Administrative and Financial Supervisors and Administrative Occupations

2,510 1,580 1,080 7,605 1,630

14 Office Support Occupations 2,230 1,640 900 5,120 1,535

44 Care Providers and Educational, Legal and Public Protection Support Occupations

790 535 390 735 70

51 Professional Occupations in Art and Culture

125 195 70 635 20

52 Technical Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport

490 340 155 1,325 330

62 Retail Sales Supervisors and Specialized Sales Occupations

840 635 400 1,975 1,035

65 Service Representatives and Other Customer and Personal Service Occupations

2,955 1,220 1,140 3,505 835

National Household Survey, 2011

Occupation and Commuting Patterns Analysis NOC Occupation Residents

Employed Durham Region to Oshawa

% of Residents Employed in Oshawa

Durham Region to Toronto

% of Residents Commuting to Toronto

All Occupations 274,640 45,290 16.5% 78,370 28.5%

11 Professional Occupations in Business and Finance

9,995 1,165 11.7% 5,130 51.3%

12 Administrative and Financial Supervisors and Administrative Occupations

18,900 2,510 13.3% 7,605 40.2%

14 Office Support Occupations

14,610 2,230 15.3% 5,120 35.0%

44 Care Providers and Educational, Legal and Public Protection Support Occupations

4,265 790 18.5% 735 17.2%

51 Professional Occupations in Art and Culture

2,140 125 5.8% 635 29.7%

52 Technical Occupations in Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport

4,975 490 9.8% 1,325 26.6%

62 Retail Sales Supervisors and Specialized Sales Occupations

7,350 840 11.4% 1,975 26.9%

65 Service Representatives and Other Customer and Personal Service Occupations

13,240 2,955 22.3% 3,505 26.5%

National Household Survey, 2011

Health and Wellness

• Detentak Laboratory

• Orthodent

• Holburn Biomedical Group

• Purdue Pharma

• Extendicare

• Thornton View

Bioscience and Agriculture

• Greenwood Mushroom Farm

• Hermann Laue Spice

• Dutchmaster Nurseries

• Ocala Orchards

• Pefferlaw Peat Products

Research, Development, Advance

Manufacturing

• Mead Westvaco Packaging Systems

• McNairn Packaging

• Search Engine People

Manufacturing

•Custom Steel Fabrication

•Autodyne Machinery

•Global Emission Systems

•Noranco

•NAPA Auto Parts

•Volkswagen Canada

Sustainable Energy

•OPG

•Whitby Hydro

•Veridian

•Direct Energy

Information Technology

•Hubbell Canada

•Trench

•Messier Dowty

Durham Region Employers

Employment by Occupation

Number in

2011

Distribution of occupations

Durham GTA Ont-GTA

ALL OCCUPATIONS 308,865 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Management occupations 39,735 12.9% 12.6% 11.2%

Business, finance, administration 56,120 18.2% 19.3% 15.3%

Natural and applied sciences 20,700 6.7% 8.6% 6.6%

Health occupations 17,725 5.7% 5.2% 6.8%

Education, law, social, government 37,605 12.2% 11.6% 12.7%

Art, culture, recreation and sport 8,045 2.6% 3.7% 2.4%

Sales and service occupations 68,635 22.2% 22.6% 22.9%

Trades, transport, equipment operators 42,005 13.6% 10.8% 14.6%

Natural resources, agriculture 4,250 1.4% 0.8% 2.2%

Manufacturing + utilities occupations 14,050 4.5% 4.8% 5.4%

Not in Labour Force Both Sexes

No certificate, diploma or degree 50,945

Certificate, diploma or degree 77,475

High school certificate or equivalent 34,770

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 10,600

College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma 17,530

University certificate, diploma or degree 14,565

University certificate or diploma below bachelor level 3,595

University certificate or degree 10,970

Bachelor's degree 7,200

University certificate or diploma above bachelor level 1,565

Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or

optometry 305

Master's degree 1,635

Earned doctorate 270

Total 128,415

Education

Ontario Labour Force Status by Education Level (15 – 24)

Highest certificate, diploma or degree

Employed Unemployed Not in the

labour force Employment

rate Unemployment

rate

Total - Highest certificate, diploma or degree

795,585 201,150 705,615 46.7 20.2

No certificate, diploma or degree 148,135 48,955 390,815 25.2 24.8

High school diploma or equivalent 362,965 101,960 225,015 52.6 21.9

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma

28,160 4,245 8,060 69.6 13.1

Trades certificate or diploma (other than apprenticeship)

15,080 2,805 5,305 65 15.7

Registered Apprenticeship certificate 13,085 1,440 2,760 75.7 9.9

College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma

125,655 20,375 29,515 71.6 14

Bachelor's degree 89,415 17,675 31,530 64.5 16.5

University certificate or diploma above bachelor level

12,455 2,290 4,855 63.5 15.5

Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or optometry

425 80 695 35.6 15.8

Master's degree 5,060 985 2,715 57.7 16.3

Top Industries of Employment

Employed 15 - 24 - Durham Region 40,250

1 7222 Limited-service restaurants 4,160

2 4451 Grocery stores 3,020

3 7221 Full-service restaurants 2,625

4 4481 Clothing stores 1,380

5 7139 Other amusement and recreation industries 1,315

6 4529 Other general merchandise stores 1,010

7 4521 Department stores 955

8 5617 Services to buildings and dwellings 940

9 9130 Local, municipal and regional public administration 925

10 2382 Building equipment contractors 800

Total Employed in Top 10 Industries 17,130

% Employed in Top 10 Industries 42.56%

Population Dynamics

The unemployment rate for individuals aged 15 to 24,

Oshawa CMA in December 2012,was a startling 23 per

cent, the overall unemployment rate for the same CMA

was 6.2 per cent.

Toronto’s youth unemployment was slightly better at 15

per cent at the same period.

It was recommended that the DWA undertake a survey of

Durham youth to better understand their needs. The

survey results would be used to better understand local

organization programming needs.

Durham Region Youth

Unemployment Durham Region Youth (January 2014- January 2015)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan

Population (x 1,000)* 52 51.9 51.4 50.9 50.9 52 53 53.8 54.9 56.5 58.2 59.2 60.7

Labour Force 32.3 32.2 31.6 31.6 33.5 34.6 37.4 37.2 36.8 36.2 35.5 35.9 34.7

Employment 26.5 26.6 26 26.3 27.4 29 30.9 30.9 29.6 29 29 30.2 29.5

FT Employment 11.6 11.6 11.4 11.8 13.5 15.5 17 17.3 15.4 15 14 14.8 13.8

PT Employment 14.9 15 14.6 14.4 13.9 13.6 13.9 13.7 14.2 14 15 15.40 15.7

Unemployment 5.8 5.5 5.6 5.4 6.1 5.6 6.4 6.3 7.2 7.2 6.5 5.8 5.1

Not in Labour Force 19.6 19.8 19.8 19.3 17.3 17.3 15.6 16.6 18.1 20.3 22.7 23.3 26

Unemployment Rate 18 17.1 17.7 17.1 18.2 16.2 17.1 16.9 19.6 19.9 18.3 16.2 14.7

Labour Force Survey

*All figures x 1,000

Top Occupations - DR Youth Employed 15 - 19 - Durham Region 14,450

1 6711 Food counter attendants, kitchen

helpers and related support occupations 2,420

2 6421 Retail salespersons 2,035

3 6611 Cashiers 1,925

4 6622 Store shelf stockers, clerks and order

fillers 940

5 5254 Program leaders and instructors in

recreation, sport and fitness 525

6 6322 Cooks 445

7 6513 Food and beverage servers 390

8 8612 Landscaping and grounds

maintenance labourers 325

9 1513 Couriers, messengers and door-to-

door distributors 290

10 1411 General office support workers 255

Total Employed in Top 10 Occupations 9,550

Percent Employed in Top 10

Occupations 66.09%

Employed 20 -24 - Durham Region 25,800

1 6421 Retail salespersons 2,895

2

6711 Food counter attendants, kitchen

helpers and related support occupations 1,395

3 6611 Cashiers 1,090

4 6622 Store shelf stockers, clerks and

order fillers 860

5 6513 Food and beverage servers 805

6 8612 Landscaping and grounds

maintenance labourers 720

7

6552 Other customer and information

services representatives 585

8 1411 General office support workers 520

9 6322 Cooks 485

10 7611 Construction trades helpers and

labourers 485

Total Employed in Top 10

Occupations 9,840

Percent Employed in Top Ten

Occupations 38.14%

Durham Region Non Youth – Top Occupations

Employed 25-64 - Durham Region 259,980

6421 Retail salespersons 7,215

0621 Retail and wholesale trade managers 6,440

4032 Elementary school and kindergarten teachers

6,260

3012 Registered nurses and registered psychiatric nurses

5,235

1221 Administrative officers 4,725

6552 Other customer and information services representatives

4,310

1411 General office support workers 3,975

2171 Information systems analysts and consultants

3,805

4031 Secondary school teachers 3,755

7452 Material handlers 3,445

Total Employed in Top 10 Occupations 49,165

Percent Employed in Top 10 Occupations 18.91%

The Bigger Picture

• More than half of the workforce of 2015 is already in the labour market

• The next cohort of youth workers will be smaller than in the past

• By 2011, immigration will account for all net labour force growth in Canada

Employer Identified Top PS

Migration

An area’s migration patterns are often indicative of its

labour force characteristics. An area offering the greatest

employment growth can attract more people than they lose.

Durham has strong net growth among 25-44 year olds, part of the prime working age population. Young

families, with steady responsibilities.

Durham Region continues to grow at a strong pace, around one and a half times that for Ontario as a

whole.

Durham Region

Migration Data And Population Change, 2006-2011

MIGRATION FIGURES, 2006 To 2011 Net Total Population Change,

2006 To 2011

In-migrants Out-migrants Net-migrants Net change

0-17 year olds 31,541 20,077 11,464

0-14 year olds -2,100

18-24 year olds 12,773 14,140 -1,367

15-24 year olds 8,185

25-44 year olds 53,176 37,495 15,681

25-44 year olds -4,090

45-64 year olds 21,283 19,225 2,058

45-64 year olds 31,415

65 years & older 9,987 6,567 3,420

65 years & older 13,455

TOTAL 128,760 97,504 31,256

TOTAL

46,865

NUMBER PERCENTAGE

To

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2011

All

Imm

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6-

20

11

Pickering 87,920 27,430 1,605 31.2% 1.8%

Ajax 109,225 37,315 3,010 34.2% 2.8%

Whitby 120,290 25,160 2,105 20.9% 1.7%

Oshawa 147,680 21,620 1,525 14.6% 1.0%

Clarington 83,720 9,395 450 11.2% 0.5%

Scugog* 21,190 1,955 85 9.2% 0.4%

Uxbridge 20,420 2,120 130 10.4% 0.6%

Brock* 11,075 845 35 7.6% 0.3%

Immigrations & Newcomers by City

Skilled Trades in Durham Region – Occupation(x 1,000)

National Occupational Classification 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Retail salespersons, sales clerks, cashiers, including retail trade supervisors

13 11.4 12.8 12.1 11.9

Chefs and cooks, and occupations in food and beverage service, including supervisors

4.6 6.2 4.5 5.1 6.4

Contractors and supervisors in trades and transportation

3.4 2.7 3.5 2.9 3.6

Construction trades 3 5.7 3.7 5.2 4.2

Other trades occupations 11.5 11.4 13.9 12.1 13.4

Transport and equipment operators 6.1 7.1 7 7.6 5.9

Trades helpers, construction, and transportation labourers and related occupations

3.7 4.1 4.8 4.3 4.7

Occupations unique to primary industry 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.4

Machine operators and assemblers in manufacturing, including supervisors

8.1 5.9 8.4 9.4 9.4

Skilled Trades in Durham Region – Employer

North American Industry Classification

System (NAICS) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Utilities 5 6.5 6.5 5.6 4.7

Construction 11.6 15 12.8 15.4 17.1

Manufacturing 20.9 18.4 20.4 20.8 21.1

Trade 30.6 29.3 30.3 30 28.6

Transportation and warehousing 8.2 10.2 9.2 9.6 9.1

Health care and social assistance 21.5 23 22 21.9 23.8

Information, culture and recreation 7.4 9.7 10.4 10.9 9.6

Accommodation and food services 10.4 11.1 11 10.8 12.1

Other services 6.6 6.7 9.1 6.6 7.7

Sector Studies & Local Research

• Annual Labour Market Plan

• 2013, 2014 Labour Shed Study

• 2012 Nuclear Energy Sector Study

• 2011 Construction Sector Study

• 2012 Trades Service Sector Study

• 2015 Creative Service Sector Study

• 2014, 2015 Youth Survey

Employer Engagement Roundtables

DWA to host employer engagement round tables to

research best practises in employer engagement strategies

to develop best practises, recommendations for integrating

the aims of partners to ensure that employer engagement

is effective, coordinated and grounded in labour market

information.

Consultations with SMEs, business needs to include those

issues in our Learning Communities initiatives, develop

action plans to be included in the annual Labour Market

Plan

Sources of LMI

• DWA, Local economic development offices

• Region of Durham Planning Department

• Ministry of Finance –Ontario’s population &

demographic information

• Ministry of Finance –economic updates

• MTCU

• Statistics Canada –census

• Service Canada

CanadaOntario Job Grant Canada-Ontario Job Grant - for employers to invest in their workforce, with help

from the government

Grant will provide direct financial support to individual employers to purchase

training for their employees

Available to small, medium and large businesses with a plan to deliver short-term

training to existing and new employees:

• Up to $10,000 in government support per person for training

• Employers required to contribute 1/3 total cost - additional flexibility for small

businesses to provide an in-kind contribution towards their share

• Training must be delivered by an eligible, third-party trainer

• Employment Ontario Services Providers will help employers complete &

submit your application at no cost

• Additional Questions and Answers for Employers available at:

http://www.tcu.gov.on.ca/eng/eopg/cojg/cojg_faq.html

Community Partners