Opening ceremonyOscar Molina Tejerina, President SEBOL

Sergio Daga, Vice-Rector UPSA

DAY 1 – NOV 18TH

SessionFrom To

8:15 9:30

Break9:30 9:45

Break11:15 11:30

9:45 11:15

Break14:30 14:45

Parallel B3Educa�on 1

Parallel B5Ins�tu�ons 1

Parallel B4Firms and the Macroeconomy

Parallel B1Conflict and violence

13:00 14:30

11:30 12:30

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2021BCDE

PROGRAM

Parallel A3Health 1

Parallel A5Poli�cal Economy 1

Parallel A4Demography and mobility

Parallel A2Informality and Labor 1

Parallel A1Refugees and Migra�on

INEQUALITREES: A Novel Look at Socio-Economic Inequali�es using Electricity Consump�on Data

• ELBOL: An anonymized research database with monthlyhousehold/firm level electricity consump�on in Bolivia from 2012 to 2016. Ariel Zeballos (UPB).• Assessing the importance of nigh�me light imagery for modelling electricity consump�on and poverty in Bolivia. Andrea Sofia Garcia de Leon (German Aerospace Center).• The impact of income level and household composi�on on energy consump�on in Bolivia: A simula�on approach. Claudia Sánchez (UMSS).• Unfinished migra�on and structural poverty in Bolivia: ananalysis with electricity consump�on data. Guillermo Guzmán (CIDES-UMSA and UPB)

Chair: Lykke Andersen (SDSN Bolivia).

Special session Special sessionEvaluación de la calidad del crecimiento en Bolivia

• Presentación del libro: Evaluación de la calidad del crecimiento en Bolivia. Beatriz Muriel (INESAD)• Capítulo: Equidad y oportunidades educa�vas: Evidencia para el periodo 2000-2019. Ernesto Yañez (Fundación ARU) • Capítulo: Ins�tuciones, desigualdad y Crecimiento en Bolivia (1996-2018). Iván Velásquez (Fundación Konrad Adenauer)

Chair: Beatriz Muriel (INESAD).

Keynote lecture Christina Gravert

"Steering Attention" University of Copenhagen

Session chair: Pablo Selaya

Live Streaming

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12:30 13:00 Lunch Break

Registration

DAY 1 – NOV 18TH

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2021BCDE

PROGRAM

Break15:45 16:0016:00 17:00

14:45 15:45

Registration

Análisis cuan�ta�vo de tópicos del bienestar social

Augmented Proxy Mean Tests. Can Machine Learning Improve Targe�ng Effec�veness?. Werner Hernani-Limarino (ABCE).

Entre la sostenibilidad y el mercado:El dilema de los productores de quinua del Al�plano Sud de Bolivia. Elizabeth Jiménez Zamora (ABCE).

Chair: Oscar Molina (SEBOL).

Special session¿Cómo acelerar el crecimiento económico y fortalecer la clase media en Bolivia?

Speaker: Osmel Manzano, Regional Economic Advisor, Country Department Andean Group, Inter-AmericanDevelopment Bank

Chair: Beatriz Muriel (INESAD)

Special sessionLa vía rápida hacia nuevas competencias. Programas cortos de educación superior en América La�na y el Caribe

Speaker: Maria Marta Ferreyra, Senior economist at the Office of the Chief Economist for La�n America and the Caribbean, The World Bank.

Chair: Sergio Daga (UPSA).

Special session

Keynote lecture Paulina Restrepo-Echavarría

"The International Consequences of Bretton Woods’ Capital Controls and the Value of Geopolitical Stability"

Federal Reserve Bank of St. LouisSession chair: Sergio Daga

Live Streaming

Registration

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SessionFrom To

9:30 10:45

Break10:45 11:00

Lunch break12:30 13:00

11:00 12:30

Break

Break

Break

14:45 16:15

16:15 16:30

16:30 17:30

17:30 17:45

14:30 14:45

13:00 14:30

Welcoming words Fabiola Saavedra-Caballero, UC Louvain

Bolivian Women in Economics Network (BOWEN) – Conversatorio Mujeres en economía: Experiencias en la Academia

Guests:• Raquel Fernández (NYU). • Paulina Restrepo-Echavarría (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).

Chair: Fabiola Saavedra-Caballero (UC Louvain).

Parallel D3Public 1

Special session Special session

Graduate Programs in Economics and Finance

• Universidad Alberto Hurtado.• Universidad de Talca.• Pon�ficia Universidad Católica de Chile.• Universidad Privada de Santa Cruz de la Sierra.

Chair: Mauricio Tejada (SEBOL).

DAY 2 – NOV 19TH

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2021BCDE

PROGRAM

Keynote lecture Henrik Vigh

"Social Death and Dangerous Life Chances: On conflict, crime and livelihoods in Bissau" University of CopenhagenSession chair: Pablo Selaya

Live Streaming

Parallel C1Social mobility 1

Registration

Parallel C2Bolivia and Growth

Registration

Parallel C5Business cycles and macro 1

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Parallel C3Macroeconomic Risk

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Parallel C4Educa�on 2

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Parallel D1Bolivia 1

Registration

Parallel D2Labor 1

Registration Registration

Parallel D4Macro 3

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Parallel D5Technology 1

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Parallel E1Finance 1

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Parallel E2Public health 1

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Parallel E3External 1

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Parallel E4Methods and Theory 1

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17:45 19:00

DAY 2 – NOV 19TH

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2021BCDE

PROGRAM

Keynote lecture Raquel Fernandez

"El Cambio Cultural"New York University

Session chair: Fabiola Saavedra-Caballero

Closing words by organizersFabiola Saavedra, UC Louvain – BCDE 2021 Co-Chair

Sergio Daga, UPSA – BCDE 2021 Co-ChairDiego Escobari, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley – BCDE 2022 Chair

Live Streaming

Registration

PARALLELSESSION TITLE, AUTHOR (AFFILIATION)A1 - Refugees and migra�on Should Host Countries Regulate or Deregulate the Labour Immigra�on Policy

When Accep�ng Study Migrants?Akira Shimada (Nagasaki University, Japan)Interna�onal migra�on and government policies: Immigra�on vs. emigra�on restric�onsChristoph Deuster (Ins�tute for Employment Research - IAB)The “Refugee Rate”: Evidence from a Field Experiment of Discrimina�on Against Refugees and Asylum SeekersJamie Simonson (Univeristy of Cape Town)

A2 - Informality and Labor 1 Import Compe��on, Labor Market Regula�ons, and Firm Outsourcing Pavel Chakraborty (Lancaster University)Informal Input Suppliers, Quality Choice and WelfareSergio Daga (Universidad Privada de Santa Cruz de la Sierra - UPSA)

A3 - Health 1 Es�mated impact of the 2020 economic downturn on under-5 mortalityfor 129 countriesMarcelo Cardona (Rockwool Fonden)Spa�al inequality in Health: Non-Communicable Diseases in Bolivia, determinants and current challenges at the Municipal levelSoraya Román (UPB)Epidemics, Diversity, and Group Iden��es: Evidence from West African Ebola OutbreakAlexander Yarkin (Brown University)

A4 - Demography and mobility Displacement: a step on early marriage? Natural disasters and brideprice tradi�onLaura Muñoz Blanco (Trinity College Dublin)The Role of Non-Cogni�ve Skills in Improving Academic Performance: Evidence from a field experiment in PakistanMaryiam Haroon (Lahore School of Economics)¿Cuál es el legado que los padres dejan a sus hijos en cuanto a educación?: Análisis de la persistencia educa�va en Bolivia para las cohortes de edad de 1980 y 1990Fá�ma Zambrana (Centro de Estudios Superiores Universitarios - Universidad Mayor de San Simón)

A5 - Poli�cal economy 1 Electoral Cycles in Inequality Emekcan Yucel (Bogazici University) Persistent ProtestsSofia Correa (University of Chile)The Poli�cal Economy of Government AuditsMariella Gonzales (University of Chicago)

PARALLELSESSION TITLE, AUTHOR (AFFILIATION)B1 - Conflict and violence Iden�ty conflict, ethnocentrism and social cohesion

Ma�eo Ses�to (Aix-Marseille School of Economics)NAFTA and drug-related violence in MexicoEduardo Hidalgo (University of Cologne)The Effects of An�-Drug Announcements on Child Labor Diego Mar�n (Purdue University)

B3 - Educa�on 1 Ending the Musical Chairs Game in Higher Educa�on: How a So�ware Dashboard (SPADIES) Improved Informa�on Flow and Educa�onal Outcomes in ColombiaLuis Omar Herrera Prada (Goe�ngen University)Does BRAC Provide Highly Effec�ve Schooling in Developing Countries?Saima Khan (New York University, Abu Dhabi)Assessing the impact of long-term exposure to nine outdoor air pollutants on spa al spread of Covid-19: evidence from 107 Italian provincesGaetano Perone (University of Bergamo)

B4 - Firms and theMacroeconomy

Startups, Labor Market Fric�ons, and Business CyclesGonzalo García-Trujillo (Central Bank of Chile)Realloca�on and Produc�vity during Commodity CyclesRodrigo Heresi (Inter-american Development Bank)Poli�cal Connec�ons, Alloca�on of S�mulus Spending, and the Jobs Mul�plier Veronika Penciakova (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta)

B5 - Ins�tu�ons 1 Democracy, technocracy and economic growth: evidence from 20th century SpainAlessandro Melcarne (University of Paris-Nanterre)A Domino Theory of Regionalism Revisited: The Role of Homogeneity/Heterogeneity in Ins�tu�onsRenliang Liu (University of Guelph, Canada)Pollu�on, Corrup�on and Economic DevelopmentGonzalo Forgues-Puccio (Abertay University)

PARALLELSESSION TITLE, AUTHOR (AFFILIATION)C1 - Social mobility 1 The Geography of Intergenera�onal Mobility in La�n America and the

CaribbeanErcio Munoz Saavedra (CUNY Graduate Center)How far does the apple really fall from the tree? Prac�cal guidance on measuring intergenera�onal mobility from a simula�on frameworkMarcelo Cardona (Rockwool Fonden)Understanding the Growth of the Middle Class in BoliviaAlejandro Puerta (Universidad Carlos III)

C2 - Bolivia and Growth ¿La inversión en telecomunicaciones promueve un crecimiento decalidad en Bolivia?Sergio Mansilla Bustamante (INESAD)Behind Santa Cruz development: Sources and challengesPablo Mendieta (Chamber of Industry, Commerce and Services ofSanta Cruz - CAINCO)Impacto del Stress Sistémico en el Crecimiento Económico: Caso Guatemala Daney Valdivia Coria

C3 - Macroeconomic Risk Hidden in plain sight: China's contribu�on to the global business andfinancial cycleEva Van Leemput (Federal Reserve Board)Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-cas�ng ModelDanilo Cascaldi-Garcia (Federal Reserve Board)Understanding Growth-at-Risk: A Markov-Switching ApproachPablo Cuba-Borda (Federal Reserve Board)

C4 - Educa�on 2 Do Inclusive Educa�on Policies Improve Employment Opportuni�es?Evidence from a Field ExperimentFrancisco Galarza (Universidad del Pacífico)Income Support and School Choice of Children: Evidence from Bolivia’sUniver-sal Pension PlanSabyasachi Das (Ashoka University)Is feedback always posi�ve? Experimental evidence from public schools in PeruAntonio Campos (Universidad de San Andrés)

C5 - Business cycles and macro 1 Price, sales, and the business cycle: microeconomic evidenceFernando Borraz (Banco Central del Uruguay)Pronós�cos de los precios del petróleo WTI. Un enfoque con modelos de heterocedas�cidad condicionalRolando Caballero Mar�nez (UNAM México)Monetary Policy, Trade, and Commodity Price Fluctua�onsGalip Ozhan (Bank of Canada)

PARALLELSESSION TITLE, AUTHOR (AFFILIATION)D1 - Bolivia 1 Acumulación de reservas, vulnerabilidad externa y crecimiento económico

en BoliviaErick Larrazabal Antezana Exchange rate policy in Bolivia: A synthe�c control approachCarlos Machicado (INESAD)The Devil’s in the Dance: Elements of a Growth Diagnos�c in BoliviaBoris Branisa (Universidad Católica Boliviana)

D2 - Labor 1 Local State-owned Enterprise Presence: Growth, Realloca�on and Selec�onDifei Ouyang (University of Interna�onal Business and Economics) Show and No Go: The Elusive Effects of Child Labor Legisla�onLeah Lakdawala (Wake Forest University)Fric�ons and Labour Market Outcomes, evidecen from PeruJorge Dávalos (Universidad del Pacífico, Perú)

D3 - Public 1 The Informa�onal Founda�ons of the Tax State: La�n America in Compara�ve Perspec�veJosé Peres-Cajías (University of Barcelona)When do tax amnes�es work?Lorena Heller Vilela (Universidad Privada Boliviana)Public Transporta�on Infrastructure and Consumer Prices: Chain Stores, Street Vendors and Mom and Pop StoresAngel de Jesus Espinoza Escobar (Banco de México)

D4 - Macro 3 The Por�olio Choice Channel of Wealth InequalityMauricio Calani (Central Bank of Chile)The effects of management prac�ces on effec�ve tax rates: Evidence from EcuadorLyliana Gayoso de Ervin (Meredith College)Foreign Reserves, Fiscal Capacity and Lender of Last ResortHumberto Mar�nez (Rutgers University)

D5 - Technology 1 Aiding Urbanisa�on? The Impact of DAC and Chinese Aid on Urbanisa�on Rates in Sub-Saharan AfricaCalumn Hamilton (University of Groningen)Technology, Iden�fica�on and access to social programsDiego A Vera-Cossio (Inter-American Development Bank)Digital Infrastructure and Local Economic Growth: Early Internet inSub-Saharan AfricaValen�n Lindlacher (ifo Ins�tute Munich)

SESSION TITLE, AUTHOR (AFFILIATION)E1 - Finance 1 Financial Development, Firm Growth, and Aggregate Produc�vity Divergence

in EuropeXiaomei Sui (University of Rochester)Financial Literacy and Economic Behaviour: Evidence from ColombiaMaria Padilla (University of Sheffield)Compe�ng for Funds: Evidence from Peer-to-Peer Lending MarketsDiego Escobari (The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley)

E2 - Public health 1 Human development and decentraliza�on: The importance of public health expenditureRonald Miranda (Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona)The role of contracep�ve method preferences on women’s decision to adopt contracep�onCarolina Cardona (Johns Hopkins University)Fer�lidad y Resultados Laborales: Evidencia a par�r de una VariaciónExógena del Tamaño del Hogar en BoliviaElvis Choque Sánchez (Universidad Mayor de San Andrés)

E3 - External 1 Firm growth, age and the intensity of interna�onal trade SegundoCamino-Mogro (Universidad Complutense de Madrid) Lexical Distance and the Diffusion of TechnologyEvan Wigton-Jones (Husson University)Determinantes de la diversificación de exportaciones en Sudamérica:un análisis con datos de panelDiego Peñaranda Molina (Delega�on of the European Union in Bolivia)

E4 - Methods and Theory 1 Iden�fica�on and Es�ma�on of Dynamic Heterogeneous Unbalanced Panel Data Models with ClusteringMonika Avila Marquez (Institute of Economics and Econometrics University of Geneva)Algoritmos Machine Learning (ML): Predicción de casos SARS-CoV-2en BoliviaJuan Ruiz Otondo (Universidad San Francisco Xavier de Chuquisaca)Learning to CommitJorge Ramos-Mercado (University of Minnesota)