PHILIPPINE INSTITUTE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE … · PHILIPPINE INSTITUTE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE ... Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research ... The Nur Misuari

PHILIPPINE INSTITUTE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE AND TERRORISM RESEARCH

www.pipvtr.com

Email: [email protected]


www.pipvtr.com


Imam Imam SamudraSamudra Amrozi bin Nurhasyim

Ali Ali GufronGufrona.k.a. a.k.a. MukhlasMukhlas

Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (www.pipvtr.com)RESTRICTED

SOURCES OF TERRORIST THREATS IN THE

PHILIPPINES

A. Communist Terrorist Movement (CTM) B. Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG)C. Rajah Solaiman Islamic Movement

(RSIM)D. Remnants of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI)

Operating in the Philippines E. Rouge Elements of the Moro Islamic

Liberation Front (MILF) F. The Nur Misuari Break Away Group (NBG)

of the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF)

G. Al Khobar Group

SOURCES OF TERRORIST THREATS IN THE

PHILIPPINES

A. Communist Terrorist Movement (CTM) B. Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG)C. Rajah Solaiman Islamic Movement

(RSIM)D. Remnants of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI)

Operating in the Philippines E. Rouge Elements of the Moro Islamic

Liberation Front (MILF) F. The Nur Misuari Break Away Group (NBG)

of the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF)

G. Al Khobar Group

Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism ResearchRESTRICTED

Communist Party of the Philippines

New Peoples’ Army

National Democratic Front

CPP-NPA-NDF

RESTRICTED

SAMAR

LEYTE

PANAY

NEGROSCEBU

BOHOL

MISAMIS OCC

LANAODEL NORTE

ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR

DAVAODEL SUR

SARANGANI

SOUTH COTABATO

NORTH COTABATO

BUKIDNON

MISAMIS OR

SURIGAO DEL

NORTEAGUSAN DEL

NORTE SURIGAO DEL SUR

AGUSAN DEL SUR

DAVAO OR

COMVAL

MANILA

CAVITE

BATANGASQUEZON

PANGASINAN

ZAMBALES

TARLAC NUEVA ECIJA

ISABELA

CAGAYAN

AURORALA UNION

ILOCOS SUR

ILOCOS NORTE

MT PROVINCE

MINDORO

PALAWAN

PAMPANGA

DAVAO DEL

NORTE

Bases of Operation

RESTRICTEDRESTRICTEDSource: AFPSource: AFP

CPP/NPA/NDFMoro Resistance Liberation Organization

• The NPA has a Muslim fighting unit belonging to the Moro Resistance Liberation Army (MRLA) of the Moro Resistance Liberation Organization (MRLO), the precursos of the Moro Revolutionary Organization (MRO).

• Even the Mindanao Commission has a Moro Army Committee (MAC) operating largely in Central Mindanao.

• Through their Moro members, the NPA has built alliances with the MILF, the ASG and the MBG (MNLF).

Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (www.pipvtr.com)RESTRICTEDRESTRICTED

RESTRICTEDRESTRICTED

ISLAMIC ISLAMIC EXECUTIVE COUNCILEXECUTIVE COUNCIL

Khadaffy JANJALANI

SULU-BASED

RadullanSAHIRUN

@ Putol

BASILAN-BASED

IsnilunHAPILUN

@ Abu Musab/

Tuan Isnilun

Jainal SALI @ Apung/ Abu

SOLAIMAN

URBAN TERRORIST GRP

Past Organization and Membership



IdzmarIdzmar HayudiniHayudiniASG Intel officerASG Intel officer

YacubYacub BasugBasugASG Intel officerASG Intel officer

ArrestedArrested


SULU

BASILAN

LANAOLANAO

MAGUINDANAOMAGUINDANAOSULTAN KUDARATSULTAN KUDARAT

SARANGANISARANGANI

GENERAL GENERAL SANTOS CITYSANTOS CITYTAWITAWI--TAWITAWI

Current ASG strength = less than 200Current ASG strength = less than 200

-- ASG baseASG base -- areas where the ASG sought sanctuaryareas where the ASG sought sanctuaryRESTRICTEDRESTRICTED

MINDANAO


• ASG is now under the leadership of Yasser Igasan.

• Born on 22 April 1972 in Talipao, Sulu, he is known be a versatile religious preacher and highly trained combat leader.


• He also has deep experience in NGO organizing.

• He is expected to reinvigorate the Islamic militancy of the ASG.

• He was involved in the abduction of Father Bossi through the operation of Commander Bravo who was a classmate in the Dar’ul Imam Shaffee.


• Despite the military offensive against the ASG, Igasan has been monitored to be reorganizing and consolidating the group.

• Igasan is utilizing his networks with the Dar’ul Imam Shaffee and with existing networks with Al-Qaida particularly those based in the Middle East.

• Igasan is also recruiting new members from the disgruntled elements of the MILF, particularly those based in ZamboangaSibugay and several towns of Central Mindanao.


ISLAMIC ISLAMIC EXECUTIVE COUNCILEXECUTIVE COUNCIL

Yasser Igasan

SULU-BASED

RadullanSAHIRUN

@ Putol

BASILAN-BASED

IsnilunHAPILUN

@ Abu Musab/

Tuan Isnilun

Current Organization


Source: PNPSource: PNP--IGIG



Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (www.pipvtr.com)

Superferry14 BombingFebruary 2004



DaulahDaulah IslamiyahIslamiyah NusantaraNusantara

Source: Rodolfo “Boogie” Mendoza


MalaysiaMalaysiaSingaporeSingaporeSouthern ThailandSouthern Thailand

SoloSoloCentral JavaCentral JavaWhole of Indonesia except Sulawesi and KalimantanWhole of Indonesia except Sulawesi and Kalimantan

BruneiBruneiEast Malaysian States of Sarawak and SabahEast Malaysian States of Sarawak and SabahKalimantan and Sulawesi, IndonesiaKalimantan and Sulawesi, IndonesiaSouthern PhilippinesSouthern Philippines

IrianIrian JayaJayaAustraliaAustraliaRESTRICTEDRESTRICTED

RESTRICTEDRESTRICTEDSource: NACTAGSource: NACTAG

Between 1996 and 1998, former JI leader and Mantiqi 3 head Nassir bin Abbas established a training camp in Camp Abubakar

Between 1996 and 1998, former JI leader and Between 1996 and 1998, former JI leader and MantiqiMantiqi 3 head Nassir 3 head Nassir bin bin AbbasAbbas established a training camp in Camp established a training camp in Camp AbubakarAbubakarRESTRICTEDRESTRICTED

MARWANMARWAN

RESTRICTEDRESTRICTEDSource: NACTAGSource: NACTAG


MILF presently headed by MILF presently headed by AhodAhodIbrahim @Al Ibrahim @Al HajHaj MuradMurad

Strength: Strength: 11,150 11,150

Firearms: Firearms: 8,2008,200

Affected Affected BrgysBrgys : : 1,6581,658

RESTRICTEDSource: PNPSource: PNP--IGIG

12,00012,47412,570

8,270 8,000

10,860

13,460

15,690

8,0009,1909,129

11,270

10,230

8,1206,960

8,020

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

STRENGTHFIREARMS

Source: J2, AFP


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MaguindanaoMaguindanao

LanaoLanao del Surdel Sur

CotabatoCotabato

Sultan Sultan KudaratKudarat

ZamboangaZamboangaProvincesProvinces

MILF manpower and logistical buildMILF manpower and logistical build--up occur up occur in the following provincesin the following provinces

RESTRICTEDSource: AFPSource: AFP

In March 2008, Malaysia announced the pulling out of its 41-member IMT.

Military clashes between the GRP and MILF forces resumed.


Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (www.pipvtr.com)

• 4 Aug 2008 – The Philippine Supreme Court was requested to issue TRO on the signing of Memorandum of Understanding on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD) scheduled on 5 August 2008.

• 5 Aug 2008 – MILF forces attacked Midsayyaptown of North Cotabato, Northern Kabuntalantown of Shariff Kabunsuan, and Tipo-Tipo town in Basilan.

– Commander Bravo and Commander Kato declared all-out war against the Philippine government.

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The current GRP-MILF war has already caused the death of 56 persons, injury of 65 others and the displacement of around 300,000 civilians.


What triggered the current military confrontation between the GRP and

MILF forces?


Misunderstanding of some stakeholders on the concept of “Bangsamoro Juridical Entity” (BJE) contained in the

Memorandum of Agreement on the Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD)


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Habir malik


The Al Khobar Group

• The NPA has a special Muslim unit called the Al Khobar Group (AKG).

• The AKG has repeatedly claimed responsibility on the bombing of several buses and stations of prominent bus companies.

• There are intelligence reports that the AKG has established links with JI and MILF rouge members because the AKG carried the “bomb signature” of JI and MILF.

• Some law enforcement authorities claim, however, that the AKG is a mere criminal gang.



This crisis in the peace process demonstrates that the attainment of just and lasting peace in Mindanao remains elusive.


Even if a formal agreement is eventually signed between the GRP and the MILF, groups like the NurMisuari Break-Away Group (MBG) of the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF), the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG), the Rajah Solaiman Islamic Movement (RSIM) and the Muslim members of the New People’s Army (NPA) are challenging the wisdom of the GRP-MILF peace process.


These groups, labeled by the GRP as terrorist organizations, are apparent threats not only to the GRP-MILF peace process but also to Philippine national security and the regional stability of Southeast Asia.


Unless the GRP wins the hearts and minds of these groups through

effective governance, the Philippines is doomed to suffer the vicious cycle of

political violence and terrorism.



www.pipvtr.com



www.pipvtr.com


THANK YOU VERY MUCH and Mabuhay

THANK YOU VERY MUCH and Mabuhay

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PHILIPPINE INSTITUTE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE … · PHILIPPINE INSTITUTE FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE ... Philippine Institute for Political Violence and Terrorism Research ... The Nur Misuari