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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF NEW, RENEWABLE ENERGY AND ENERGY CONSERVATION PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015 Ritz Carlton-Jakarta, 4 December 2014 Delivered By: Rida Mulyana Director General of New, Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation

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Page 1: PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015 - nusantarainitiative.comnusantarainitiative.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Day2-Bahan... · PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015 ... ... Slide 1 Author: Erick

Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES

DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF NEW, RENEWABLE ENERGY AND ENERGY CONSERVATION

PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015

Ritz Carlton-Jakarta, 4 December 2014

Delivered By:

Rida Mulyana

Director General of New, Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

I. ENERGY: CURRENT CONDITION 3

II. ENERGY POLICY AND TARGET 5

III. THE POTENTIAL OF NRE RESOURCES AND EC IMPLEMENTATION 7

IV. POLICY BREAKTHROUGH AND STRATEGY FOR NREEC DEVELOPMENT AND

UTILIZATION 9

V. WHAT’S HAVE WE DONE AND WHAT’S NEXT 12

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

1. Energi has become a basic needs;

2. The Indonesian economy grew by 5-6% per year with a population growth of 1,2% per year Energy Growth 7 – 8% per year;

3. Dependence on fossil energy is still high, while its reserves are limited;

4. The sources of new renewable energy has not been optimized.

Oil 49,7 %

Gas 20,1 %

Coal 24,5 %

NRE

5,7%

INDONESIA AS A NET OIL IMPORTER

TOTAL OF PRIMARY ENERGY: 1176 MBOE

ENERGY MIX PRIMARY ENERGY (MBOE)

Oil 584

Coal 288

Gas 236

NRE 67

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

1. ENERGY CONSERVATION: to increase energy efficiency on

supply and demand side, e.g industrial sector, transportation,

household and commercial.

2. ENERGY DIVERSIFICATION: to increase the share of new

renewable energy use in the primary energy mix. e.g:

NEW ENERGY

a. Liqiufied Coal

b. Coal Bed Methane

c. Gasified Coal

d. Nuclear

e. Hidrogen

f. Others methane

RENEWABLE ENERGY

a. Geothermal,

b. Hidro,

c. Bioenergy,

d. Solar,

e. Wind,

f. Ocean wave and current.

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

*) Preliminary figures up to December 2013 excluding biomass and the use of non-energy

NO NEW RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES INSTALLED CAPACITY

(IC)

RATIO OF IC/RESOURCES (%)

1 2 3 4 5 = 4/3

1 Hydro 75,000 MW 7,572 MW 10.1 %

2 Geothermal 28,910 MW 1,403.5 MW 4.9 %

3 Biomass 32,654 MW 1,717.9 MW 5.4 %

4 Solar 4.80 kWh/m2/day 48.05 MW -

5 Wind 3 – 6 m/s 1.87 MW -

6 Ocean 49 GW ***) 0.01 MW ****) -

7 Uranium 3,000 MW *) 30 MW **) -

*) Only in Kalan – West Borneo

**) As a center of research, non-energy

***) Source: National Energy Council

****) BPPT’s Prototype

NO SECTOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION PER

SECTOR 2012 (MBOE) *)

POTENTIAL OF ENERGY

CONSERVATION

TARGET OF SECTORAL

ENERGY

CONSERVATION (2025)

1 Industry 305 (39,7%) 10 – 30% 17%

2 Transportation 311 (40,4%) 15 – 35% 20%

3 Household 92 (12%) 15 – 30% 15%

4 Commercial 34 (4,4%) 10 – 30% 15%

5 Others (Agriculture, Construction, and Mining)

26 (3,4%) 25% -

POTENTIAL OF NRE RESOURCES

POTENTIAL OF ENERGY CONSERVATION

Source: Draft on National Energy Conservation Master Plan 2011

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

1. Revision/enhancement of existing regulations:

which relate with NRE priority and clarity on management/permitting

issues;

on the FiT provide more simplicity yet firm capacity addition per

annum;

on the market price index which could be linked with MOPS provide

more assurances in terms of subsidy allocation;

Grid connectivity regulation particularly for integrating intermittent RE

source.

2. Financing:

Revolving fund for energy conservation program/activities;

New mechanism in the form of guarantee for RE projects (f/e risk

guarantee fund, geothermal exploration fund).

3. Mandatory:

Acceleration for biofuel mandatory (increased percentage per annum);

RPS for utility company / off taker.

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

1. Improvement of national electricity supply through the development of

Geothermal and Hydro Power Plant.

2. Improvement of access to electricity in remote and frontier areas through

Microhydro and Solar PV Power Plant.

3. Development of Bioenergy Power Plant including based on agricultural

waste and municipal waste for electricity supply as well as increasing

environment cleanliness.

4. Pilot projects deployment for wind, ocean current and wave power plant in

the context for heightening the commercialization stage.

5. Biofuel utilization (in the form of solid, gas, and liquid) for fuel oil substition.

6. New energy development (CBM and shale gas) both commercially and

directly in accordance with existing conventional energy regulation in their

undertaking.

7. Increasing efficiency in the energy supply, undertaking, and utilization.

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

RENEWABLE ENERGY POWER PLANT REGULATION POLICY

1. MEMR Regulation No. 10/2012

2. MEMR Regulation No. 17/2013

3. MEMR Regulation No. 19/2013

4. MEMR Regulation No. 21/2013

5. MEMR Regulation No. 17/2014

6. MEMR Regulation No. 22/2014

7. MEMR Regulation No. 27/2014

Implementation of New Energy and Renewable Energy Infrastructure Ceiling Price for Solar Photovoltaic Based Power Plant FiT for Municipal Solid Waste Based Power Plant List of Projects to Accelerate Development of Power Plant Using Renewable Energy, Coal and Gas Transmission Ceiling Price for Geothermal Based Power Plant FiT for Hydro Based Power Plant FiT for Biomass and Biogas Based Power Plant

NO ENERGY TYPE

CUMULATIF INSTALLED CAPACITY AS OF 2014 (MW)

OFF GRID ON GRID TOTAL

1 GEOTHERMAL - 1,403.50 1,403.50

2 HYDRO 71.30 7,501.00 7,572.30

3 BIOENERGY 1,626.00 91.90 1,717.90

4 SOLAR 43.05 5.00 48.05

5 WIND 0.10 1.77 1.87

6 HYBRID 0.54 0.54

T O T A L 1,740.89 9,003.17 10,744.16

21% from

cumulative

installed capacity

of national power

plant in 2014 of

51,981 MW

ACHIEVEMENT OF RE POWER PLANT INSTALLED CAPACITY

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

MANDATORY OF BIOFUEL UTILIZATION

1. Utilization 10% biodiesel (B-10) mixed by diesel fuel and will increase to 20% (B-20) by 2016 and 30% (B-30) by

2020.

2. The need for biofuels will increase significantly doubled by 2016 (the implementation of B-20) and 1.5 times in

2020 (the implementation of B-30).

3. With the condition of the installed capacity of the existing biodiesel industry, biodiesel plant new investment should

be accelerated to anticipate the needs of the growing.

REGULATION POLICY ACHIEVEMENT

MEMR Regulation No. 25/2013 that has been revised to MEMR Regulation No. 20/2014

Mandatory policy of biofuel utilization: 10% biodiesel blended (B-10) since 1st September 2013

Biofuel utilization increased significantly from year to year. Utilization of biodiesel for domestic consumption in 2013 amounted to 1,05 million KL (an increase of 56,62% from the use of biodiesel in 2012).

*) Status September 2014

There is a lead time between production and distribution data about 428 kL

ACHIEVEMENT OF BIODIESEL PRODUCTION

Biodiesel industry production capacity : 4,47 million

KL/year

MAP OF BIODIESEL INDUSTIES

190 243

1,812

2,221

2,805

3,217

70 20

1,453 1,552

1,757

1,358

119 223 359

669

1,048 1,219

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*

Th

ou

san

d k

L

Production Export Domestic

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

1. Improving coordination between stakeholder related on NREEC

development (Academic, Business, Government, and Community);

2. Encourage the local supporting industries (appliances and services

related to NREEC);

3. Encourage the national banking to involve on NREEC development;

4. Dissemination on energy efficiency program to all community;

5. Development of new renewable energy infrastructure by the

Government;

6. Incentive on NREEC development (fiscal policy support, RE subsidy,

Feed-in Tariff policy, market creation through mandatory policy,

investment policy).

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Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare

JALAN PEGANGSAAN TIMUR NO. 1, MENTENG, JAKARTA 10320

Phone: +62 21 39830077 Fax: +62 21 31901087

www.esdm.go.id - www.ebtke.esdm.go.id

MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF NEW RENEWABLE ENERGY AND ENERGY CONSERVATION