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www.linx-consulting.com Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry Mike Corbett Business of Cleans, 2019

Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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Page 1: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry

Mike Corbett

Business of Cleans, 2019

Page 2: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

2

Linx Consulting Service Portfolio

Page 3: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

3

Background & Market Trends

Page 4: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

4

Industry Has a Strong Growth Outlook

Semiconductor may be

set to capture a larger

share of global GDP.

Connected World Growth Drivers

Page 5: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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5

Connected World Drives Many Opportunities

Opportunities for Cleans

• Novel Materials

• Cobalt, Mo, Ru, etc.

• Novel Integrations

• Al PERR for 200mm wafers

• Replacement chemistries

• Novel strippers

• Copper compatible products

• Advanced Packaging

Page 6: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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6

There are Still Many Technical Challenges

Scaling and New Materials

• RC considerations impacting Logic Interconnect

– Limitations of current architectures/materials

• FinFET gate deposition

– GAA Nanowire development

– High mobility materials

• Memory technology extension

– 3D-NAND growth

– DRAM capacitor dielectric

– Novel architectures

• Patterning

– Low temperature spacers

– Lithography aids

– EUV insertion

Challenges

• BEOL

– Novel barriers, Liners

– Novel cleans and CMP

• FEOL/MOL

– WF metals

– Novel MHM

– Cobalt Contacts

– Novel cleans and CMP

– Gap fill

• Memory

– Novel cleans and CMP

– Gap fill

– Horizontal fill

Page 7: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

7

Cleaning Trends

Page 8: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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8

PERR - FEOL, MOL and BEOL Materials

• The introduction of new metals for FEOL, MOL and BEOL and novel integration schemes

has led to an increase in the number of unique PERR cleaning steps in advanced logic

• Some new formulations can be utilized/tuned across multiple metals so the number of

cleaning steps is difficult to know exactly

• Above are some of the different potential combinations of metals that may be present on

advanced logic device

Location/

Step

FEOL, MOL and BEOL Metals & Combinations (Illustrative)

Layers

FEOL MHM

FEOL WF

Metals W Co

TiX

Liner/MHM

Al203

Replacemnt

Plug Co SEL/Cap Copper TaN

FEOL/

CleansX X X X X X

MOL/

CleansX X X X X X X X X

BEOL/

CleansX X X X X X X

Page 9: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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9

FEOL MHM

FEOL WF

Metals W Co

TiX

Liner/MHM

Al203

Replacemnt

Plug Co SEL/Cap Copper TaN

FEOL

MHMFEOL

FEOL WF

MetalsMOL

W BEOL

Co

TiX

Liner/MH

M

Al203

Replacemnt

Plug

Co

SEL/Cap

Copper

TaN

PERR Has Fragmented

• PERR has fragmented. End-users are trying to find

chemicals to control infrastructure and costs.

• End-users need chemistries that solve multiple

problems.

• They cannot afford to have 6 different cleans and are

trying to minimize the number of unique cleans,

however.

• There are some key selectivity including: Copper,

Cobalt, TiN, MHM, W

Page 10: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

10

PCMP Evolution

Copper

• Memory

• Logic

Copper/Cobalt

• Advanced Logic

• SEL and Cap

Cobalt

• Advanced Logic

• Bulk Metal

Tungsten

• Advanced Logic

• Contacts

• MG

Ceria

• Advanced Logic

• 3DNAND

• STI

• Oxide

• Whereas historically the major home for formulated PCMP cleans was in copper CMP, the

industry is now using advanced formulated products for Cobalt, W and ceria-based polishes,

as shown below

• As the requirements to develop products for these applications becomes increasingly difficult,

the industry is relying more heavily on the larger multi-national chemical companies to develop

technology based solutions

Formulated Post CMP Cleans

Page 11: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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11

CMP Intensity Continues to Increase

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

ASIC 10nm DRAM 15nm 2DNAND 3DNAND 96 layers

# CMP Steps per Wafer

ASIC 10nm DRAM 15nm 2DNAND 3DNAND 96 layers

Page 12: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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12

Highest Growth CMP Segments All Have Cleaning Challenges

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Slurry Growth

Cobalt FEOL Ceria

Page 13: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

13

Outlook & Suppliers

Page 14: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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14

2,800

2,900

3,000

3,100

3,200

3,300

3,400

17 18 19 20

March 2019 Update

ESF 2019 Q1 (February)

SEMI MSI (History to 18Q4)

Millio

n S

qu

are

In

ch

es

History: Semi.org

Forecasts: Hilltop Economics, LLC

Annual Percent Change In MSI

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2.9% 10.0% 7.9% -1.5% 2.9%

Semiconductor MSI Outlook

Latest MSI Forecast by ESF Model

Page 15: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

15

MSI Vs. All Cleans

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

MSI All Cleans (US$ Million)

All Cleans includes Bulk Wet + Strippers + Formulated Cleans

Page 16: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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Overall Outlook

• The total market size of the segments studied is $2,378 million in 2018 and is expected to

grow to $2,945 million in 2023. Overall AAGR of 4.4% during forecast period driven by new

products.

• Key challenges around metrology, defectivity and particles will lead to increased

management of supply chain.

• There is minimal impact from Chinese suppliers at this time.

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

US$ Million

Formulated Strip Bulk

Page 17: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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17

MSI Vs. Formulated Cleans

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

MSI Formulated Cleans (US$ Million)

Page 18: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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All Formulated Products

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

US$ Million

Al PERR Cu SAC Co PERR PCMP Ceria PCMP W PCMP Cu PCMP Co

AAGR + 8.8% over the forecast period

Page 19: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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19

“New” Formulated Products

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

US$ Million

Al PERR Cu SAC PCMP Cu Co PERR PCMP Ceria PCMP W PCMP Co

New Products – Ceria PCMP, W PCMP,

Co PCMP, Co PERR

Existing Products – Cu

PCMP, Cu PERR, Al PERR

Page 20: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

20

Leading Suppliers Formulated Cleans

EKC Tech

Entegris

Avantor

Versum

FFEMPS / Wako

MCC

BASF

JSR Micro

TOK

Other

2018, US$ Million

Page 21: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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21

Leading Electronic Materials Suppliers in Semi

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

WF

M R

even

ue

s / $

m 2

01

7 b

asis

CMP Dep Cleans Wet Litho Bulk Gas Spec Gas

Page 22: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

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22

Versum and Entegris Combined Materials Business

Cleans Dep ESG CMP Litho

$M

Entegris Versum

Page 23: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

23

Versum and Merck Combined Business

Cleans Dep ESG CMP Litho

$M

Versum Merck

Page 24: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

24

Conclusions

Page 25: Outlook for Cleans in the Semiconductor Industry · • Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor industry • Still many technical challenges

www.linx-consulting.com

25

Conclusions

• Downturn expected in a few years but overall strong outlook for semiconductor

industry

• Still many technical challenges ahead that will drive demand for new cleans in

PERR

• Critical challenges for PCMP will continue and drive needs for more cleans here

as well

• Good growth outlook for cleaning chemicals, which require continuous

investment to meet end-user needs

• Regional suppliers are not meeting leading edge fab needs for innovative

solutions

• M&A will continue to impact cleaning suppliers