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  • National Alabama Autauga County, Alabama · 2020. 8. 24. · Oliver Wyman Columbia ISU UCLA LANL...
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National Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 200,000 400,000 New Cases Reported Covid19Sim Oliver Wyman ESG UCLA DDS Geneva UM ERDC MIT-ORC Columbia Columbia-UNC Karlen USC TTU LNQ QJHong JHU UGA-CEID LANL ISU Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 200,000 400,000 New Cases 0 50 100 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Alabama Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 5,000 10,000 New Cases Reported Karlen IQVIA Columbia ESG UGA-CEID Geneva DDS LANL UM LNQ UCLA MIT-ORC Oliver Wyman ERDC TTU USC ISU Covid19Sim JHU Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 5,000 10,000 New Cases 0 100 200 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Autauga County, Alabama Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 50 100 150 New Cases Reported Oliver Wyman Columbia UCLA LANL ISU ESG JHU LNQ UGA-CEID PandemicCentral Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 50 100 150 New Cases 0 100 200 300 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Baldwin County, Alabama Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 200 400 600 New Cases Reported ESG Oliver Wyman Columbia ISU UCLA LANL UGA-CEID LNQ JHU UMass-MB PandemicCentral Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 200 400 600 New Cases 0 100 200 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Barbour County, Alabama Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 20 40 60 80 New Cases Reported ISU JHU ESG UCLA Columbia UGA-CEID LNQ Oliver Wyman LANL PandemicCentral Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 20 40 60 80 New Cases 0 100 200 300 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html Bibb County, Alabama Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 50 100 New Cases Reported Columbia ESG JHU UCLA ISU UGA-CEID Oliver Wyman LNQ LANL PandemicCentral Jul-01 Jul-15 Aug-01 Aug-15 Sep-01 Sep-15 0 50 100 New Cases 0 100 200 300 400 New cases per 100,000 ● ● ● ● Ensemble Individual models Inner Bands: 50% Prediction Intervals Outer Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals Update: 2020-08-25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html

National Alabama Autauga County, Alabama · 2020. 8. 24. · Oliver Wyman Columbia ISU UCLA LANL UGA−CEID LNQ JHU UMass−MB PandemicCentral Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15

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  • National

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    0,00

    040

    0,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedCovid19SimOliver WymanESGUCLADDS

    GenevaUMERDCMIT−ORCColumbiaColumbia−UNC

    KarlenUSCTTULNQQJHongJHU

    UGA−CEIDLANLISU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    0,00

    040

    0,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedKarlenIQVIAColumbiaESG

    UGA−CEIDGenevaDDSLANLUM

    LNQUCLAMIT−ORCOliver WymanERDC

    TTUUSCISUCovid19SimJHU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●

    ●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Autauga County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanColumbiaUCLA

    LANLISUESGJHU

    LNQUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Baldwin County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaISUUCLA

    LANLUGA−CEIDLNQ

    JHUUMass−MBPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Barbour County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUJHUESG

    UCLAColumbiaUGA−CEIDLNQ

    Oliver WymanLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    80N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bibb County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaESGJHU

    UCLAISUUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    LNQLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Blount County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUUGA−CEIDLNQ

    ColumbiaESGUCLALANL

    JHUOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bullock County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISULNQ

    ESGUGA−CEIDLANLUCLA

    JHUOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Butler County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    esReportedColumbiaESGLNQ

    UCLAUGA−CEIDISUJHU

    Oliver WymanLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Calhoun County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedColumbiaLNQESG

    UCLAUGA−CEIDJHUOliver Wyman

    ISULANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Chambers County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedColumbiaJHUESG

    UCLAUGA−CEIDISULNQ

    LANLOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cherokee County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbiaOliver Wyman

    ESGLANLJHUUCLA

    ISUUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Chilton County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQOliver WymanJHU

    ColumbiaISUUGA−CEIDESG

    UCLALANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Choctaw County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQJHUOliver Wyman

    ISUUGA−CEIDUCLAESG

    LANLColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clarke County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQOliver WymanJHU

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaISUUCLA

    LANLESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clay County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLANLISUJHU

    LNQUGA−CEIDOliver WymanColumbia

    UCLAESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cleburne County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanISUUGA−CEID

    LANLLNQESGColumbia

    UCLAJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coffee County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQOliver WymanISU

    LANLUCLAJHUUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Colbert County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQLANLJHU

    UCLAOliver WymanISUUGA−CEID

    ESGColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Conecuh County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQISUUCLA

    Oliver WymanColumbiaJHUESG

    LANLUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coosa County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISULNQColumbia

    LANLUCLAJHUUGA−CEID

    ESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Covington County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanLNQISU

    UCLALANLESGUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Crenshaw County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQISUOliver Wyman

    UGA−CEIDUCLALANLJHU

    ESGColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Cullman County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQOliver WymanISU

    LANLESGColumbiaJHU

    UGA−CEIDUCLAPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Dale County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUOliver WymanColumbia

    LNQUGA−CEIDUCLAJHU

    LANLESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Dallas County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGISUColumbia

    LNQOliver WymanJHUUGA−CEID

    UCLALANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    DeKalb County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGJHUColumbia

    LNQOliver WymanISUUGA−CEID

    UCLALANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Elmore County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUColumbiaOliver Wyman

    ESGLANLISUUGA−CEID

    LNQUCLAPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Escambia County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISUESG

    Oliver WymanLNQLANLUCLA

    UGA−CEIDJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Etowah County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanESGISU

    LNQUCLAJHUColumbia

    UGA−CEIDLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Fayette County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQISUESG

    Oliver WymanColumbiaLANLUCLA

    JHUUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Franklin County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGColumbiaISU

    LANLLNQUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    JHUUCLAPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Geneva County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaESGISU

    JHULNQUCLAOliver Wyman

    UGA−CEIDLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Greene County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedESGJHUColumbia

    UGA−CEIDISULNQUCLA

    LANLOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Hale County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUESGUCLA

    JHULNQUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaLANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Henry County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedISULNQESG

    UCLAJHULANLUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Houston County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaESGISU

    LANLUCLALNQJHU

    UGA−CEIDOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Jackson County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGJHUUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaISUOliver WymanLNQ

    LANLUCLAPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Jefferson County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    esReportedColumbiaESGJHU

    LNQISUUGA−CEIDCMU

    Oliver WymanUCLAUMass−MBLANL

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lamar County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedISUOliver WymanUGA−CEID

    ESGColumbiaLNQUCLA

    JHULANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lauderdale County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUESGJHU

    UCLAOliver WymanLANLColumbia

    UGA−CEIDLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lawrence County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISUJHU

    ESGLNQUGA−CEIDLANL

    UCLAOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Lee County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUUMass−MB

    ColumbiaUGA−CEIDJHU

    UCLAESGLANL

    LNQOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Limestone County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUESGColumbia

    UGA−CEIDLNQJHUUCLA

    LANLOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lowndes County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    esReportedUCLALANLISU

    UGA−CEIDJHUESGColumbia

    LNQOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Macon County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQUGA−CEIDJHU

    UCLAISULANLColumbia

    ESGOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Madison County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHUUCLA

    LNQUMass−MBOliver WymanESG

    ISULANLColumbiaCMU

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Marengo County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHULANLISU

    UCLAUGA−CEIDLNQESG

    ColumbiaOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Marion County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQJHU

    ISUUGA−CEIDESGUCLA

    Oliver WymanColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Marshall County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLESGUCLA

    ColumbiaJHULNQISU

    Oliver WymanUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Mobile County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    esReportedLANLCMUESG

    JHUColumbiaUMass−MBUCLA

    LNQISUUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Monroe County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLANLESGLNQ

    JHUISUUCLAColumbia

    Oliver WymanUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Montgomery County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQCMU

    ColumbiaUMass−MBJHUUGA−CEID

    UCLAISUESGOliver Wyman

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Morgan County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLLNQColumbia

    JHUUGA−CEIDUCLAISU

    ESGOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Perry County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLANLISU

    LNQOliver WymanESGJHU

    UCLAUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pickens County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLNQLANL

    ISUUGA−CEIDESGUCLA

    JHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pike County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLNQOliver Wyman

    LANLUCLAESGUGA−CEID

    ISUJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Randolph County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLNQLANL

    ISUOliver WymanUGA−CEIDESG

    UCLAJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Russell County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLANLLNQ

    ISUUGA−CEIDJHUUCLA

    ESGOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Shelby County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    LANLISUUMass−MB

    UCLAUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    ESGJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • St. Clair County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbiaISU

    UGA−CEIDLANLESGUCLA

    Oliver WymanJHU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Sumter County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQColumbiaLANL

    ESGUCLAISUJHU

    UGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Talladega County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaLNQOliver Wyman

    LANLISUUGA−CEIDUCLA

    JHUESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Tallapoosa County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISULANLColumbia

    UCLAUGA−CEIDOliver WymanLNQ

    JHUESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Tuscaloosa County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISU

    UGA−CEIDJHULNQ

    UMass−MBESGUCLA

    LANLOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Walker County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUJHUOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaLANLUCLAUGA−CEID

    ESGLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Washington County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedISUJHUColumbia

    UCLAOliver WymanESGLANL

    LNQUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Wilcox County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUUCLALANL

    ColumbiaESGISUOliver Wyman

    LNQUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Winston County, Alabama

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUColumbiaLANL

    ESGUCLAISUUGA−CEID

    LNQOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedCovid19SimColumbiaJHUUCLA

    GenevaESGLANLMIT−ORCOliver Wyman

    DDSUSCERDCKarlenTTU

    LNQUGA−CEID

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Aleutians East County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUUCLA

    UGA−CEIDColumbiaOliver Wyman

    ESGLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Aleutians West County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHUUGA−CEID

    UCLAColumbiaESG

    LNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Anchorage County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaJHUUGA−CEID

    LANLUCLAOliver WymanESG

    UMass−MBLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bethel County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedUCLAUGA−CEIDJHU

    ColumbiaOliver WymanLNQESG

    LANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bristol Bay County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    esReportedColumbiaUGA−CEID

    JHUESGLANL

    Oliver WymanLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Denali County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaESGLNQ

    JHU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Dillingham County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaLANLJHULNQ

    ESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Fairbanks North Star County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDOliver WymanUCLA

    ESGLNQColumbiaLANL

    JHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Haines County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    UCLAJHUESG

    LNQColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Hoonah−Angoon County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanUGA−CEID

    ESGJHULNQ

    Columbia

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Juneau County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUOliver WymanLNQ

    UCLAUGA−CEIDColumbiaESG

    LANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Kenai Peninsula County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQJHULANL

    Oliver WymanESGColumbiaUCLA

    UGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Ketchikan Gateway County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHUOliver Wyman

    ESGUGA−CEIDColumbia

    LANLUCLALNQ

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Kodiak Island County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHUOliver WymanUCLA

    UGA−CEIDLANLColumbiaESG

    LNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Kusilvak County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLA

    ColumbiaUGA−CEID

    ESGLNQ

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Lake and Peninsula County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanUGA−CEID

    ColumbiaESGJHU

    LNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    02

    46

    8N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Matanuska−Susitna County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGOliver WymanUGA−CEID

    UCLALANLJHULNQ

    ColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Nome County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGOliver Wyman

    UGA−CEIDLNQLANL

    ColumbiaJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    North Slope County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQESG

    JHUUGA−CEIDLANL

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Northwest Arctic County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQESG

    JHULANLColumbia

    UGA−CEIDOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Petersburg County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    01

    23

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGLNQ

    Oliver WymanColumbiaUGA−CEID

    LANLUCLAJHU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    01

    23

    4N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Prince of Wales−Hyder County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLANL

    ESGLNQ

    JHUUGA−CEID

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Sitka County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    esReportedColumbiaJHU

    LANLUGA−CEIDUCLA

    ESGLNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    1015

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Skagway County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGJHU

    ColumbiaLNQUGA−CEID

    Oliver Wyman

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Southeast Fairbanks County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLColumbia

    JHUESGUGA−CEID

    LNQOliver WymanPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Valdez−Cordova County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUGA−CEID

    ESGColumbiaLNQ

    JHUOliver Wyman

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Wrangell County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGJHU

    UGA−CEIDUCLAColumbia

    LNQ

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yakutat County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDColumbia

    JHULNQESG

    Oliver WymanUCLA

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    10N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yukon−Koyukuk County, Alaska

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHULNQ

    UGA−CEIDLANLESG

    ColumbiaOliver Wyman

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    40N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    American Samoa

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUSC

    LNQUGA−CEID

    ESG

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLANLISUESGUCLA

    LNQJHUGenevaOliver WymanUM

    UGA−CEIDIQVIAColumbiaCovid19SimKarlen

    MIT−ORCDDSUSCERDCTTU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    5,0

    0010

    ,000

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Apache County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLESGLNQ

    ISUOliver WymanColumbiaJHU

    UCLAUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Cochise County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedESGOliver WymanLNQ

    LANLUGA−CEIDJHUColumbia

    UCLAISUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Coconino County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaUMass−MB

    LNQOliver WymanISU

    UGA−CEIDLANLUCLA

    ESGJHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Gila County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAJHUColumbia

    ESGLANLISUOliver Wyman

    LNQUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Graham County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaUCLAUGA−CEID

    ESGJHUISULANL

    LNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Greenlee County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaOliver WymanJHU

    ESGLNQUCLALANL

    ISUUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    20N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    La Paz County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedOliver WymanUCLAUGA−CEID

    JHUColumbiaESGLNQ

    ISULANLPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Maricopa County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanJHUUCLA

    UGA−CEIDLANLLNQCMU

    ISUColumbiaESGUMass−MB

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Mohave County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHUUGA−CEID

    UCLAESGOliver Wyman

    ColumbiaLNQUMass−MB

    LANLISUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Navajo County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHULNQUGA−CEID

    Oliver WymanUCLAColumbiaISU

    LANLESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pima County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    2,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLAUGA−CEIDOliver Wyman

    JHUCMULNQISU

    ESGColumbiaUMass−MBLANL

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    01,

    500

    2,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Pinal County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaOliver WymanISU

    UCLAUGA−CEIDLNQLANL

    CMUESGJHUUMass−MB

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    500

    1,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Santa Cruz County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaISUOliver Wyman

    LNQUCLALANLESG

    JHUUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Yavapai County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUCLA

    ColumbiaOliver WymanUMass−MB

    LNQESGISU

    JHUUGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Yuma County, Arizona

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedOliver WymanUCLALANL

    UMass−MBUGA−CEIDCMUESG

    JHULNQISUColumbia

    PandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUSCCovid19SimLANLUCLA

    Oliver WymanGenevaJHUKarlenDDS

    UGA−CEIDESGIQVIAISUMIT−ORC

    ERDCLNQUMColumbiaTTU

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0

    2,00

    04,

    000

    6,00

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Arkansas County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUCLAJHU

    LNQESGISUColumbia

    UGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Ashley County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUCLALANLLNQ

    JHUESGColumbiaISU

    UGA−CEIDPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Baxter County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDJHULNQ

    ESGUCLALANLISU

    ColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Benton County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedUGA−CEIDUMass−MBLANL

    LNQJHUUCLAISU

    ESGColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●

    ●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Boone County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedJHULNQUGA−CEID

    LANLColumbiaISUUCLA

    ESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    010

    020

    030

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Bradley County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLNQLANLJHU

    ColumbiaUCLAUGA−CEIDESG

    ISUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    080

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ●●

    ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Calhoun County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedLNQColumbia

    UGA−CEIDISUESG

    JHUPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    010

    2030

    New

    Cas

    es

    020

    040

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●●

    ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Carroll County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLColumbiaUCLA

    JHUUGA−CEIDESGISU

    LNQPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    010

    015

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ● ● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Chicot County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedLANLUCLALNQ

    UGA−CEIDISUJHUESG

    ColumbiaPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 5

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    0

    500

    New

    cas

    es p

    er 1

    00,0

    00

    ●●

    ●●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

  • Clark County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    ReportedJHUUCLAColumbia

    LANLUGA−CEIDISULNQ

    ESGPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    020

    4060

    New

    Cas

    es

    010

    020

    030

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html

    Clay County, Arkansas

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    ReportedColumbiaUGA−CEIDISU

    LANLJHULNQESG

    UCLAPandemicCentral

    Jul−01 Jul−15 Aug−01 Aug−15 Sep−01 Sep−15

    0 2

    0 4

    0 6

    0 8

    0N

    ew C

    ases

    020

    040

    060

    0N

    ew c

    ases

    per

    100

    ,000

    ● ●● ●

    EnsembleIndividual models

    Inner Bands: 50% Prediction IntervalsOuter Bands: 95% Prediction Intervals

    Update: 2020−08−25 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019−ncov/cases−updates/forecasts−cases.html


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