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Chapter 24 Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLM Model

Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

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Page 1: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

Chapter 24

Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMModel

Page 2: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-2

Shift in the ISCurve

1. C ↑: at given iA, Yad ↑, Y↑ ⇒ IS shifts right

2. Same reasoning when I↑, G ↑, NX ↑, T ↓

Page 3: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-3

Shift in the LM Curve from a Rise in Ms

1. Ms ↑: at given YA, i ↓ in panel (b) and (a) ⇒ LM shifts to the right

Page 4: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-4

Shift in the LM Curve from a Rise in M d

1. M d ↑: at given YA, i ↑ in panel (b) and (a) ⇒ LM shifts to the left

Page 5: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-5

Response to an Increase in Ms

1. M s ↑: i ↓, LM shifts right ⇒ Y ↑ i ↓

Page 6: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-6

Response to Expansionary Fiscal Policy

1. G ↑ or T ↓: Yad ↑, ISshifts right ⇒ Y ↑ i ↑

Page 7: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-7

Summary: Factors that Shift IS and LMCurves

Page 8: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

24-8

Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy

1. M d is unrelated to i ⇒ i ↑, M d = M s at same Y ⇒ LM vertical

2. Panel (a): G ↑, IS shifts right ⇒ i ↑, Ystays same (complete crowding out)

3. Panel (b): M s ↑, Y↑ so M d ↑, LM shifts right ⇒ i ↓ Y ↑Conclusion: Less interest sensitive is Md, more effective is monetary policy relative to fiscal policy

Page 9: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-9

Ms vs. i Targets When IS Unstable

1. IS unstable: fluctuates from IS' to IS''

2. i target at i*: Yfluctuates from YI' to YI''

3. M target, LM = LM*: Y fluctuates from YM' to YM''

4. Y fluctuation is less with M target

Conclusion: If IScurve is more unstable than LMcurve, M target is preferred

Page 10: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-10

Ms vs. i Targets When LM Unstable

1. LM unstable: fluctuates from LM' to LM''

2. i target at i*: Y = Y*

3. M target: Yfluctuates from YM' to YM''

4. Y fluctuation is less with i target

Conclusion: If LMcurve is more unstable than IScurve, i target is preferred

Page 11: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-11

The ISLM Model in the Long Run

Panel (a)1. Ms ↑, LM right to LM2, go to point 2, i to i2, Y to Y22. Because Y2 > Yn, P ↑, M/P ↓, LM back to LM1, go back to point 1Panel (b)1. G ↑, IS right to IS2, go to point 2 where i = i2 and Y = Y22. Because Y2 > Yn, P ↑, M/P ↓, LM left to LM2, go to point 2', i = i2` and Y = Yn.

Page 12: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-12

Deriving AD Curve

P ↑, M/P ↓, LM shifts in, Y ↓Points 1, 2, 3

Page 13: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-13

Shift in AD from Shift in IS

At given PA, IS shifts right: Y ↑ in panel (b) ⇒ AD shifts right in panel (a)

Page 14: Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the ISLMssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/mishkin_ch24.pdf · Microsoft PowerPoint - mishkin_194195_ppt24 Author: Mchinn Created Date: 11/30/2005 3:26:52 PM

© 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved 24-14

Shift in AD from Shift in LM

At given PA, LM shifts right: Y ↑ in panel (b) ⇒ AD shifts right in panel (a)