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Colmar Brunton 2015 1
Ministry of Civil
Defence & Emergency
Management
Campaign Monitoring
Research
June 2015
Colmar Brunton 2015 2
Table of Contents
Background and methodology 3
Summary 6
Events and situations that may have influenced awareness of, and preparedness for, disasters in 2015
10
How prepared is New Zealand? 16
Why aren’t people prepared? 28
How effective is the advertising? 31
Awareness 39
Attitudes 46
Action 49
Conclusion 53
Colmar Brunton 2015 3
Colmar Brunton 2015 4Colmar Brunton 2015 4
Background and objectives
The Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management needs to shift
people’s level of preparedness for disasters.
The Get Ready Get Thru social marketing campaign began in June 2006 and has
now been running for nine years.
This survey builds upon a previous 2006 pre-campaign benchmark survey, and
eight annual tracking surveys conducted from 2007 to 2014. All surveys are
carried out in April and May each year, with the exception of the 2011 survey
which was delayed by four weeks due to the February 2011 Canterbury
earthquake.
Background
ObjectiveTo measure New Zealand residents’ disaster preparedness, and to assess the
effectiveness of the campaign over time.
Colmar Brunton 2015 5Colmar Brunton 2015 5
How the survey was carried out
Methodology Random telephone interviewing of New Zealand residents aged 15 years and
over. In total 1,000 interviews were carried out from 4 to 31 May 2015.
The methodology for all annual measures has been very similar to that used in
the benchmark, exceptions being:
Additional interviews were carried out from 2011 to 2014 to allow more
robust regional analyses.
Additional interviews were not carried out in 2015.
The maximum margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points at the 95%
confidence level (for a simple random sample).
The overall results have been weighted to 2013 Census figures to align the data
with Census counts for age and gender.
All differences cited in this report are statistically significant at the 95%
confidence level.
Colmar Brunton 2015 6
© Colmar Brunton 2015 7
Summary of key results
Fifteen percent of all New Zealand residents are fully prepared for an emergency.
Being fully prepared means having an emergency survival plan that includes what to do when away from home, having
emergency survival items and water, and regularly updating these items. This level of preparedness is in line with results from last
year.
Have a survival plan for at
home: 58%
Nearly six in ten New Zealand
residents have an emergency
survival plan for their household
while they are at home.
Have emergency survival
items: 84%
More than eight in ten New
Zealand residents have
necessary emergency items
needed to survive a disaster,
e.g., tinned food etc.
Have a survival plan that
includes what to do when away
from home: 26%
Just three in ten New Zealand
residents have an emergency
survival plan for while they are
away from home.
Understanding
Since 2014 there has been a decrease in the proportion of New Zealand residents who have a good understanding of the effects if a disaster struck.
Down to 82% in 2015 from 87% in 2014.
Awareness
There has also been a decrease in the proportion who have an understanding of the types of disasters that could occur. Down to 82% in 2015 from
87% in 2014.
Prepared at home: 29%
Nearly a third of all New
Zealand residents are prepared
at home for an emergency,
which is a similar result to the
past four years following the
Canterbury earthquakes.
© Colmar Brunton 2015 8
Summary of key results
Who is most vulnerable when disaster strikes?
Auckland residents are less likely than average to be fully prepared, committed, have an understanding or awareness, have a plan that includes
what to do when away from home, have emergency survival items, or have taken steps to prepare.
Those who have lived in New Zealand for less than 10 years are less likely than average to be committed, have an understanding or awareness, or
have emergency survival items.
Residents who's first language is not English are less likely than average to be committed, or have an understanding or awareness, have emergency
survival items, or have taken steps to prepare.
Young people, aged under 30 are less likely than average to be committed, or have an understanding or awareness.
Asian residents are less likely than average to be committed, have an understanding or awareness, have emergency survival items, or have taken
steps to prepare.
Those with a low personal income, under $30k are less likely than average to be committed, have an awareness, or have taken steps to prepare.
© Colmar Brunton 2015 9
Summary of key results
Taken action or thought about taking action as a result of seeing the ads: 81%
The advertising campaign continues to be effective, with most people who have seen the ads having done something or thought about doing something as a result (81% this year compared with 76% in 2014).
Actually taking action because of the ads has risen slightly since 2014, with around seven in ten people (70% compared to 63% last year) who have seen the ads actually going beyond thinking to preparing. They’ve taken at least one of the following actions as a result:
talked to family/friends (53%, up from 45% last year)
made/updated a survival kit (44%, compared to 40% in 2014)
made a survival plan (34%, up from 28% in 2014)
visited the Get Ready Get Thru website (16%, compared to 13% in 2014)
or visited other disaster preparation websites (8% in line with 2014)
Awareness of the Get Ready Get Thru
tag line: 48%
Prompted awareness of the tag line is
down from 59% in 2014.
Awareness of the advertising: 58%
Prompted awareness of the Get Ready Get
Thru TV advertising in 2015 is 58% compared
to 62% in 2014. The ratecard spend in 2015
was $1m, comparable to $0.9m in 2014.
Awareness of the Get Ready Get Thru
website: 36%
Prompted awareness of the website is
also down from 44% in 2014.
Who is least aware of the adverts?
The most at risk have lower awareness of the advertising. They are:
• Those who have lived in New Zealand for less than 10 years
• Residents who's first language is not English
• Asian residents
Colmar Brunton 2015 10
Colmar Brunton 2015 11
Before interpreting research results it is useful to consider the context, or events that occurred, prior or during fieldwork (4 to 31 May 2015).
Putting the survey into context…
Recent factors that may have influenced the results
include:
New Zealand 6.0 earthquake, Canterbury (early January) Scrub fire, Canterbury (late January) 6.5 earthquake, Marlborough (late April) 5.8 earthquake, Otago (early May) 5.3 earthquake, Southland (early May) Tornado, Tauranga (mid May) Tornado, Taranaki (mid May) Flooding, Wellington (mid May)
Overseas Bush fires, Australia (Early January to late February) Cyclone Lam and Marcia, Australia (mid to late February) Cyclone Pam, Vanuatu (Early March) 7.8 earthquake and resulting aftershocks and landslides, Nepal (late April to late May) Flooding, Queensland Australia (late April to early May) Tropical storm, Thailand (early May) 7.5 earthquake, Papua New Guinea (early May) Tornadoes, United States (mid to late May) Typhoon Noul, Philippines (mid May) 7.8 earthquake, Japan (late May)
Colmar Brunton 2015 12
Compared to 2014 more people are aware that a volcanic eruption or fire could occur in New Zealand.
Q1 First I’d like to ask about the types of major disasters that could happen in New Zealand. What types of disasters can you think of that could happen in New Zealand in your lifetime? Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n= 1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000). Note: Only the top six disasters for 2015 are shown.
Possible disasters in New Zealand in your lifetime
Residents of different regions more likely than average to mention specific disasters:
• Auckland: Volcanic eruption (60%), and hurricane/cyclone /storm (53%)
• Bay of Plenty: Tsunami (77%)
• Manawatu: Flood (78%), and fire (46%)
• Wellington: Flood (68%)
• West Coast: Fire (38%)
• Otago: Flood (81%), and fire (44%)
Significantly different from the 2014 result
9796979797
92929191
9592
62
697272
70
76
59
63
686868
5654565657
54
59
58
64
6358
48
40
5045
51514244
48
54
4347
43
3938
53
3133
35
3033
28
24
17
2724232230
2024
27
25
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
20152013201120092007Benchmark
Hurricane/cyclone/storm
Fire
Earthquake
Flood
Volcanic eruption
Tsunami
Colmar Brunton 2015 13
The proportion of New Zealand residents who
have taken steps to prepare has now reverted to
pre-2011 levels.
40
45
60
55
51
47
45
59
54
40
45
49
53
54
1
1
1
1
1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Taken steps to prepare in last twelve months Not taken steps to prepare in last twelve months Don't know
Q11a: In the last 12 months, have you taken any steps to prepare yourself or your household for a disaster? Base: All Respondents, 2009 (n = 1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Just under half (45%) of those living in New Zealand have taken steps to prepare for a disaster in
the last 12 months. This is equivalent to the 2010 result, before the Canterbury earthquakes struck.Those involved in volunteer work are more likely (54%) than average to have taken steps to prepare for a disaster.
Those less likely than average to have taken steps to prepare for a disaster in the last 12 months are:
• Pacific or Asian (25% and 31% respectively)
• Personally earning less than $30k (37%)
• English is not their first language (34%)
Taken steps to prepare for a disaster in the last 12 months
Colmar Brunton 2015 14
Taken steps to prepare in the last
12 months: Regional differences.
Higher than average
Average
Below Average
Canterbury region
61%
Average
45%
Note: Percentages are presented that are statistically higher or
lower than the national average at the 95% confidence level.
A higher than average
proportion of Canterbury
residents have taken steps to
prepare in the last 12
months. Auckland residents
are the least likely to have
taken steps to prepare.
Auckland region
37%
Colmar Brunton 2015 15
12
7
4
3
2
2
12
6
4
1
3
1
3
4
1
1
2
1
6
4
3
1
1
1
5
3
1
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
1
6
4
4
4
4
4
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Disasters that have occurred in New Zealand remain the main prompt to prepare for a disaster, however since 2014 there has been a decrease in the proportion of New Zealand residents saying this.
15
12
29
11
7
19
23
23
13
8
73
24
7
6
4
4
75
18
11
9
4
11
61
15
11
10
3
10
62
10
7
5
3
8
48
15
9
8
8
7
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Disasters that
occurred in
New Zealand
Disasters that
occurred
overseas
News /
article in the
media
Just want
to be
prepared
Advertising I
saw / heard
/ read
My work/job/
training makes
me aware
Checking /
restocking
Previous
experience of
disasters
Info my child(ren)
bought home
Q11b: What prompted you to do this? Base: Those who have taken steps towards preparing
for a disaster in the last 12 months, 2009 (n = 422), 2010 (n = 465), 2011 (n = 726), 2012 (n=731),
2013 (n=662), 2014 (n=613), 2015 (n=449). Note: The top twelve responses for 2015 are shown.
What prompted you to prepare?
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Info I got at
school/my
school
35% of those who had
taken steps towards
preparing for a disaster
specifically said it was
because of the
Christchurch earthquakes.
Friends or
family
Common sense/
sensible thing to do
Colmar Brunton 2015 16
Colmar Brunton 2015 17
How prepared is New Zealand?
FULLY PREPARED = 15%• 15% - 2014 measure
• 17% - 2013 measure
• 16% - 2012 measure
• 18% - 2011 measure
• 11% - 2010 measure
• 10% - 2009 measure
• 10% - 2008 measure
• 8% - 2007 measure
• 7% - Benchmark
Fifteen percent are fully prepared
Have an
emergency survival
plan that includes
what to do when
not at home
Have
emergency
items and
water
Regularly update
emergency
survival items
Colmar Brunton 2015 18
Fully prepared: Regional differences.
Higher than average
Average
Below Average
Wellington region
32%
Average
15%
Note: Percentages are presented that are statistically higher or
lower than the national average at the 95% confidence level.
Canterbury region
27%
A higher than average
proportion of Wellington and
Canterbury residents are fully
prepared. Auckland and Otago
residents are least likely to be
fully prepared.
Auckland region
9%
Otago region
4%
Colmar Brunton 2015 19
How prepared is New Zealand
(when at home)?
Have an
emergency
survival plan
Have
emergency
items and
water
Regularly update
emergency
survival items
Around one third are prepared at home
PREPARED AT HOME = 29% • 30% - 2014 measure
• 32% - 2013 measure
• 32% - 2012 measure
• 32% - 2011 measure
• 24% - 2010 measure
• 23% - 2009 measure
• 26% - 2008 measure
• 24% - 2007 measure
• 21% - Benchmark
Colmar Brunton 2015 20
Prepared at home: Regional differences.
Higher than average
Average
Below Average
Auckland region
19%
Canterbury and
West Coast regions
41%
Average
29%
Note: Percentages are presented that are statistically higher or
lower than the national average at the 95% confidence level.
Wellington, Canterbury, and West Coast residents are more likely
than average to be prepared at home. Auckland residents are least likely to be prepared at
home.
Wellington region
52%
Colmar Brunton 2015 21
80
83
77
67
47
49
42
8
1
79
82
79
69
50
50
46
9
2
79
81
80
67
49
50
44
8
3
79
79
80
62
47
46
46
9
3
84
82
84
67
63
56
53
10
1
81
78
81
61
60
52
51
10
3
85
81
83
65
58
50
56
10
2
86
90
87
63
59
51
53
9
1
84
82
82
63
58
53
52
8
1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Benchmark
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Eight in ten New Zealand residents say they have
the necessary disaster supplies, are aware of the
type and likelihood of different disasters in NZ,
and have a good understanding of the
effects if disaster struck locally.
Since 2014 there has been a decrease in the
number of New Zealanders who agree
the latter two statements apply to them.
Q10 Which of the following
statements apply to you? Base: All
Respondents: Benchmark (n= 1001),
2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016),
2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000),
2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255),
2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264),
2015 (n=1000). Significantly different from the 2014 result
You have the necessary
emergency items needed to
survive a disaster, e.g. tinned
food etc.
You have a good
understanding of effects if
disaster struck your area
You have good understanding
of types of disasters that could
occur in NZ & the chances of
them occurring
You are familiar with the
Civil Defence info in the
Yellow Pages
You have stored 3L
water pp for 3 days for
household
You have an
emergency survival
plan for your household
You regularly update
your emergency
survival items
You attend meetings with
community groups about
disaster planning
None of these
Colmar Brunton 2015 22
Eighty four percent of New Zealand residents have emergency survival items.
Q10. You have necessary emergency items needed to survive a disaster, e.g. tinned food etc
Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n= 1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000),
2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
80
85
79
79
79
84
81
85
86
84
20
15
21
21
21
16
19
15
14
16
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Has emergency survival items No survival items
Less likely to have emergency survival
items:
• Younger people, under 30 (73%,
compared to 88% of those over 30)
• Māori (76%, compared to 88% of
New Zealand Europeans)
• Have lived in New Zealand for less
than 10 years (73%)
• Studying full time (67%)
• English is not their first language (73%)
Colmar Brunton 2015 23
Higher than average
Average
Below Average
Average
84%
Note: Percentages are presented that are statistically higher or
lower than the national average at the 95% confidence level.
Emergency survival items: Regional differences.
A higher than average
proportion of Wellington
residents have emergency
survival items. Auckland and
Manawatu residents are least
likely to have emergency
survival items.
Manawatu region
71%
Wellington region
95%
Auckland region
78%
Colmar Brunton 2015 24
Over one quarter of New Zealand residents (26%) have a plan that includes what to do when away from home. This remains significantly higher than before the Canterbury earthquake.
Q11 Does your survival plan include what to do when you are not at home? Base: All Respondents:
Benchmark (n= 1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164),
2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
13
16
15
19
21
30
27
27
26
26
34
33
34
30
27
33
33
30
32
30
53
52
50
51
53
37
40
42
41
42
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Bench- mark
2007*
2008*
2009
2010*
2011
2012
2013*
2014*
2015*
Have a plan which includes what to do when away from home
Have a plan (but not for when away from home)
No survival plan
*Percentages do not add to 100% due to rounding
Those more likely than average to have a plan
that includes what to do when away from
home:
• Personally or as a household earn more
than $50k (32% and 31% respectively)
• Are involved in volunteer work (33%)
Older people, aged 70 or more are less likely
(15%) than average to have a survival plan
that includes what to do when away from
home.
Colmar Brunton 2015 25
Having a plan that includes what to do when
away from home: Regional differences.
Higher than average
Average
Below Average
Average
26%
Note: Percentages are presented that are statistically higher or
lower than the national average at the 95% confidence level.
A higher than average
proportion of Wellington
and Canterbury residents
have a plan in place for
when they are not at
home. Auckland residents
are least likely to have a
plan in place for when they
are not at home.
Wellington region
42%
Auckland region
20%
Canterbury region
38%
Colmar Brunton 2015 26
17% 18% 18% 19% 21% 18% 22% 19%
83% 82% 82% 81% 79% 82% 78% 81%
77% 81% 79% 80% 80% 84% 81% 83%
Preparedness continuum
Bench-mark 2007 20092008 2010 2011 2012 2013
7% 8% 10% 10% 11% 18% 16% 17%
39% 41% 43% 41% 43% 49% 48% 52%
Unaware
Fully prepared
15%
CommitmentHave water and survival items
50%
UnderstandingHave a good understandingof the effects if disaster struck
82%
AwarenessHave an understanding of the types
of disasters that could occur
82%
18%
Unaware
10%
90%
87%
2014
15%
51%
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 27
Who are the decreases in understanding and awareness most notable among?
Unaware
UnderstandingHave a good understandingof the effects if disaster struck
82%
AwarenessHave an understanding of the types
of disasters that could occur
82%
18%
Unaware
10%
90%
87%
Significantly different from the 2014 result
2014 2015 Auckland residents:
Understanding (down to 76% from 84% in 2014)
Awareness (down to 76% from 88% in 2014)
Those who have lived in New Zealand for less than
10 years:
Understanding (down to 68% from 84% in 2014)
Awareness (down to 69% from 84% in 2014)
Younger people, aged under 50:
Understanding (down to 78% from 83% in 2014)
Awareness (down to 77% from 86% in 2014)
Asian residents:
Awareness (down to 69% from 84% in 2014)
Low personal income, under $30k:
Awareness (down to 76% from 85% in 2014)
English is not their first language:
Awareness (down to 69% from 85% in 2014)
Colmar Brunton 2015 28
Colmar Brunton 2015 29
There has been a increase in the proportion of
people saying they don’t expect it to happen and it’s not a high priority for them.
Q6. You said that being prepared for a disaster is important, but you are not well prepared for one. What stops you from being prepared?
Base: Those who stated that being very well/ quite well prepared for a disaster was important but said that they were not well prepared for
one: Benchmark (n=341), 2007 (n=387), 2008 (n=398), 2009 (n=431), 2010 (n=417), 2011 (n=383), 2012 (n=427), 2013 (n=432), 2014 (n=397),
2015 (n=343). Note: The top ten reasons are shown. *Less than 0.5%
Barriers to being prepared BM ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15
Haven’t got around to it/no motivation/no time 40% 44% 34% 25% 23% 32% 31% 30% 31% 27%
Don’t expect it to happen/unlikely to happen 36% 29% 22% 21% 17% 17% 25% 27% 18% 25%↑
Complacency 5% 3% 21% 23% 23% 14% 16% 20% 15% 20%
The cost/don’t have enough money 8% 5% 6% 10% 11% 16% 18% 16% 14% 14%
Not enough information on being prepared 15% 6% 4% 8% 9% 9% 10% 13% 11% 13%
Priorities/not a high priority compared to everyday life - - - - 7% 6% 6% 10% 3% 13%↑
Haven’t thought about it/don’t think about disasters 13% 10% 11% 11% 8% 5% 7% 7% 10% 12%
Haven’t got supplies/shortage of emergency survival
items2% * 1% 4% 6% 4% 6% 8% 9% 8%
Partly prepared/have some emergency supplies 6% 15% 7% 10% 3% 16% 12% 8% 10% 6%↓
Don’t know what disaster will occur/what to prepare for 6% 9% 2% 4% 3% 4% 9% 7% 7% 6%
↑↓ Significantly different from the 2013 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 30
Most at risk when disaster strikes…
Auckland residents:
Less likely to be fully prepared (9%), committed (40%), or
have an understanding (76%) or awareness (76%)
Those who have lived in New Zealand for less than 10 years:
Less likely to be committed (36%), or have an
understanding (68%) or awareness (69%)
English is not their first language:
Less likely to be committed (38%), or have an
understanding (72%) or awareness (69%)
Asian residents:
Less likely to be committed (36%), or have an
understanding (72%) or awareness (69%)
Young people, aged under 30:
Less likely to be committed (36%), or have an
understanding (70%) or awareness (70%)
Low personal income, under $30k:
Less likely to be committed (43%), or have an awareness
(76%)
Fully prepared
15%
CommitmentHave water and survival items
50%
UnderstandingHave a good understandingof the effects if disaster struck
82%
AwarenessHave an understanding of the types
of disasters that could occur
82%
18%
Unaware
Colmar Brunton 2015 31
Colmar Brunton 2015 32
Recall is lower amongst those groups who are most at risk:
• Those born outside of New Zealand (44%)
• Asian people (36%)
• Those who’s first language isn’t English (30%)
Prompted recognition: More than half of New
Zealand residents specifically recall the Get
Ready Get Thru television advertising
66%
56%
62%68%
63%
69% 68%
62%58%
2.3
1.6
1.6
1.9
1.0
1.5
1.3
0.91
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Percentage of New Zealanders who have seen theCivil Defence advertising on TV and the ratecard value of the TV advertising.
An
nu
al ra
tec
ard
va
lue
($ m
illion
)*
Q18. Have you seen any television advertisements for Civil Defence presented by Peter Elliot? The ads featured emergency services, public transport, and hospitals. The ads show what services may not be there to help you in an emergency and what you need to do to help you survive a disaster. Peter also directs us to the Yellow Pages for further information as well as telling us to go to the “Get Ready, Get Thru” website. Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
*Ratecard value for TV ads
Pro
mp
ted
TV
ad
ve
rtis
ing
re
ca
ll
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 33
Q20 What if anything have you done as a result of seeing the ads? Have you…Base: Those respondents who stated that they had seen the Civil Defence TV advertising, 2007 (n=631), 2008 (n=518), 2009 (n=608), 2010 (n=654), 2011 (n=710), 2012 (n=830), 2013 (n=845), 2014 (n=771), 2015 (n=571).
More than eight in ten people (81%) have thought about
preparing or have taken action as a result of seeing the ads,
this is higher than 76% in 2014
Compared to 2014 more New Zealand residents who have seen the ads have
gone beyond thinking about preparing, and have taken at least one of the
following actions as a result: talked to family/friends, made a survival kit, made
a survival plan, visited the Get Ready Get Thru website, or visited other disaster
preparation websites (up to 70% in 2015 from 63% in 2014).
Action taken as a result of seeing the ads
Significantly different from the 2014 result
6361
65
75
6265
67
6261
53
45
53
58
6048
50
4038
44
40
44
50
42
3837
303434
28
34
41
373130
24
27
1613
1814
1413876
88910106765
1823
18
12
191920
26
24
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
201520142013201220112010200920082007
NothingVisited GRGT website
Thought about preparing for disasters
Made/updated survival kit
Made a survival plan
Talked to family/friends
Visited other disasterpreparation websites
Colmar Brunton 2015 34
Familiarity with the tagline has decreased
since 2014. Half of New Zealand residents
(48%) are aware of the ‘Get Ready, Get Thru’
tagline
35% 34%
41%
46%49%
59%57%
59%
48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pro
mp
ted
re
ca
ll o
f G
et
Re
ad
y G
et
Thru
ta
glin
e
Q21. Before I mentioned it earlier, had you previously heard of the tagline “Get Ready, Get Thru”?
Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012
(n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
The tagline continues to be particularly familiar to those who are:
Under 50 (58% compared to 34% among those over 50)
Employed full time (58%)
Living in a household with a personal or combined income of more than $50k (55%
and 53% respectively)
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 35
Awareness of the getthru.govt.nz website
has declined over the last three years.
Significantly so between 2014 and 2015.
28%24%
35%38% 40%
49% 48%44%
36%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Q22 And had you also previously heard of the website ‘getthru.govt.nz’?
Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012
(n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Pro
mp
ted
re
ca
ll o
f g
ett
hru
.go
vt.
nz
Awareness of the website is lower among older people, aged over 50 (24%
compared to 45% among those under 50)
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 36
74
9
19
13
19
6
10
3
14
7
4
81
7
14
9
12
10
14
3
5
2
4
81
13
19
11
17
10
12
2
6
5
4
80
25
22
13
18
13
13
7
5
11
6
73
25
18
13
9
10
13
4
4
3
3
78
18
26
14
8
12
10
4
3
8
5
71
31
21
13
11
10
10
5
5
4
4
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Be prepared
Telling us how to prepare
Make sure you have supplies
Make a plan
Disasters can strike at any time
Don't rely on others
Be aware of what could happen
Where to get information
Disaster will happen/ is going to
happen
Take care of your family/neighbours
Be prepared for several days
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
The main message
take out continues to
be ‘be prepared’
however more people
are saying the ads are
telling them how to
prepare (up from 18%
to 31%).
Q17. What do you think the ads were trying to tell you? Base: Those respondents who stated that they have seen or
heard advertising about preparing for a disaster, 2009 (n=549), 2010 (n=659), 2011 (n=713), 2012 (n=797), 2013 (n=718),
2014 (n=694), 2015 (n=432). Note: The top eleven messages are shown.
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Advertising message take-out
Colmar Brunton 2015 37
Unprompted awareness of any disaster preparedness advertising has decreased
in the last 12 months.
67%
57% 56%
67%
60%
65%
56% 56%
44%
2.3
1.6 1.6
1.9
1.0
1.51.3
0.9
1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Percentage of New Zealanders who have seen, heard, or read any advertising about preparing for a disaster and the
ratecard value of the TV advertising.
An
nu
al ra
tec
ard
va
lue
($ m
illion
)**Ratecard value for TV ads
Ad
ve
rtis
ing
re
ca
ll
Q15 Have you seen, heard or read recently any advertising about preparing for a disaster?
Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255),
2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Note that this question
measures awareness of
non-MCDEM advertising
(e.g., regional council
campaigns) as well as
MCDEM advertising.
Colmar Brunton 2015 38
Most people recall preparedness advertising
on TV, however there has been a visible
decline since 2012.
75
8083
87
78
898786
88
19192020
33
14151519
14151616
18
1412
89
73
4453111
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
201520142013201220112010200920082007
Q16 Where did you see, hear or read the ads? Base: Those respondents who stated that they have seen, heard or
read advertising about preparing for a disaster, 2007 (n=651), 2008 (n=543), 2009 (n=549), 2010 (n=659), 2011 (n=713),
2012 (n=797), 2013 (n=718), 2014 (n=694), 2015 (n=432). Note: Responses 5% and below in 2015 are not shown.
Sources of awareness of preparedness advertising
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Internet
Television
Radio
Newspaper
Colmar Brunton 2015 39
Colmar Brunton 2015 40
Awareness remains
high that a wide
range of services can
help following a
disaster.
Since 2014 there has
been an increase in
the proportion of
people saying Civil
Defence, police, and
hospitals would be
able to help.
81
80
79
72
67
67
64
45
80
80
77
70
66
64
59
45
82
83
81
76
72
69
65
47
81
76
78
70
66
61
62
38
84
79
80
73
71
64
63
48
87
85
83
81
77
72
69
51
88
87
82
83
77
74
69
52
86
84
80
78
74
71
67
49
87
87
85
83
77
72
72
49
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Neighbours
Fire Service
Civil Defence
Police
Ambulance
Hospitals
Army
Local/ regional council
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Q7. Now I’d like you to imagine that there has been a disaster in the town, city or rural area where you live. What groups orindividuals do you think would be able to help you following a disaster? Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n=1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Who would be able to help following a disaster?
Colmar Brunton 2015 41
The majority of New
Zealand residents
are aware that a
number of services
may be disrupted
following a disaster.
Over time we can
see a continued
increase in the
number of New
Zealanders who
realise mobile
phone services
could be disrupted.
99
95
89
85
87
84
79
56
98
95
88
87
86
81
75
59
99
95
88
87
85
81
78
62
98
95
88
88
88
83
79
69
98
92
90
88
89
88
78
73
99
92
92
90
91
90
85
75
99
94
90
87
89
86
82
72
99
94
93
88
92
90
83
75
99
96
93
91
90
88
82
79
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Electricity
Land line telephones
Roading
Access to medical/ health services
Water
Sewerage
Gas
Mobile phone
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Q8 Still imagining there had been a disaster, some of the normal services may not be available. Which of the following household utilities or infrastructure services do you think could be disrupted? Base: All Respondents: 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n=1016), 2009(n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Which services could be disrupted?
Colmar Brunton 2015 42
The most common places people look
to for preparedness
information continues
to be the Yellow Pages or online.
Q12 Before a disaster, where can you get information about how to prepare for a disaster?Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n= 1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000). Note: The top eight results for 2015 are shown.
Significantly different from the 2014 result
40
30
29
7
24
8
9
15
62
32
32
17
19
11
9
9
55
35
31
12
13
7
6
6
57
29
31
26
18
12
9
8
58
37
27
27
12
9
6
7
52
44
27
30
11
12
7
7
51
41
28
42
11
12
8
8
45
43
31
43
7
11
8
8
48
37
22
39
6
7
4
7
42
39
33
32
17
12
11
10
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Yellow Pages
A Civil Defence website
Local/Regional Council
Internet (other than a CD
website)
Civil Defence (unspecified)
TV
Police
Radio
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Finding information before a disaster on how to prepare
Colmar Brunton 2015 43
More than eight in ten (83%) New Zealand
residents agree there is enough information
available about preparing for an earthquake
54 30 8 6 1 2
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly agree Slightly agree Neither agree nor disagree Slightly disagree Strongly disagree Don't know
Q13 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement…
There’s plenty of information available about preparing for an earthquake.
Base: All Respondents: 2015 (n=1000).
Nett agree
%
83%
Is there enough information available about
preparing for an earthquake?
Those living in Auckland, those on a low income (personally earning less than $30k),
and those who do not have a yellow pages directory in their home are less likely than
average to agree there is enough information available about preparing for an
earthquake (77%, 78%, and 73% respectively).
Colmar Brunton 2015 44
Almost 9 in 10 New Zealand residents have a Yellow
Pages directory in their home. However this finding
has decreased significantly since 2013.
Do you currently have a Yellow Pages directory in your home?
92%
89%
86%
8%
9%
12%
2%
2%
2013
2014
2015
Have a Yellow Pages at home Do not have a Yellow Pages at home Don't know
Those over the age of 50 are more likely to have a Yellow Pages directory in their home (94%, compared to 80% for those under 50)
Those less likely than average to have a Yellow Pages directory in their home: Have a personal or household income over $80k (78% and 80% respectively) Auckland residents (78%) Pacific or European (67% and 78% respectively) Are studying full time (71%)
Q22f. Do you currently have a Yellow Pages directory in your home?
Base: All Respondents: 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Colmar Brunton 2015 45
78
76
42
12
3
6
4
3
1
4
3
73
81
39
6
4
5
3
3
5
3
77
74
47
11
4
6
3
5
1
14
3
83
75
44
10
5
5
2
4
1
7
4
78
75
44
14
3
4
4
5
2
16
3
83
77
32
9
3
1
3
2
6
3
79
75
42
10
5
4
3
1
1
8
5
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Have a supply of essential items (eg,
torch, batteries, etc)
Have food/water supplies
Have a survival plan
Discuss with family and friends
Investigate risks/hazards in my area
View Civil Defence advice (eg,
webpage or Yellow Pages)
Regularly check/update supplies
Keep documents, valuables in a safe
place
Maintain insurance coverage
Other
Don’t know
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
How to prepare for a disaster (unprompted)
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Q6a What things do you think households should do to prepare for a disaster? Base: All Respondents: Benchmark 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Similar to previous years, most New
Zealand residents
mention that to
prepare for a disaster
they need a supply of
survival items, and
food and water.
Since 2014 there has
been an increase in
the number of New
Zealand residents who
know they need a
survival plan.
Colmar Brunton 2015 46
Colmar Brunton 2015 47
Attitudes toward disasters.
981191110917
1011
242024222123242223
18
40424143413942454341
41383940
3536424040
34
8990869087898981
8783
1516121471314
88
7
3734363134
263530
2724
3635383339
2834
3127
27
23262326282528313029
1316151515
2114171922
11161414141815181924
37353936
413732
373742
87798
127
710
10
1097
1210
168
913
13
-100% -75% -50% -25% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
In a disaster there will be
someone there to help
you
In a disaster, emergency
services would be there
to help you
It’s my responsibility to
look after myself & family
in a disaster
There will always be
adequate warning
before disaster hits
Strongly agreeSlightly agreeSlightly disagreeStrongly disagreeDon’t know
61
67
76
71
64
74
73
77
74
77
% agree
65
70
75
77
65
75
75
77
76
77
25
31
30
38
36
28
36
36
36
39
94
97
98
98
99
98
98
97
98
98
Q2 On a scale of strongly agree, slightly agree, slightly disagree and strongly disagree, how much do you agree or
disagree with the following statements? Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n=1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n=1016),
2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
Two in five New Zealand
residents believe there will
always be adequate
warning before a disaster
hits.
Those more likely to agree with
this statement are:
• Auckland residents (51%
agree)
• Younger people, under 30
(61%)
• Māori, Pacific, or Asian (58%,
70%, and 65% respectively)
• Personally earn under $50k
(46%)
• Born outside of New
Zealand (52%)
• Studying full time or
unemployed (56% and 57%
respectively)
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 48
50
29
50
34
47
32
49
28
48
33
45
38
42
35
49
46
44
37
46
39
11
68
11
62
10
65
10
68
12
63
7
57
8
60
5
49
8
56
6
55
30
2
29
3
34
3
30
3
30
3
35
3
36
5
33
5
33
6
35
5
9
10
8
10
10
13
13
-
12
15
13
-100% -75% -50% -25% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
Preparedness
Importance
20
15
20
14
20
13
20
12
20
11
20
10
20
09
20
08
20
07
BM
Very important/prepared
Quite important/prepared
Not that important/prepared
Not at all important/prepared
Q3 How important is it that you are prepared for a disaster? Is it… Q5. How well prepared for a disaster do you feel you are? Do you feel you are… Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n=1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000).
The importance of preparing for a disaster, and self-rated preparedness, remain consistent with last year.
2011 – 62%
2010 – 54%
2009 – 52%
2008 – 56%
2007 – 54%
2006 – 54%
% of those who say it’s important who also say they are very or quite prepared
2012 – 60%
Those more likely than average (61%) to say they are quite or very well prepared are:
• Older people, over 50 (67%)• New Zealand European (66%)• Canterbury or West Coast
residents (75%)• Involved in volunteer work
(69%)• Personally earn more than $50k
(67%)
2013 – 59%
2014 – 62%
% important/prepared
94
52
93
52
95
54
95
50
95
52
96
60
96
59
97
57
97
61
97
61
2015 – 62%
Colmar Brunton 2015 49
Colmar Brunton 2015 50
56%
41%
34%
24%
21%
18%
12%
9%
Take shelter under a desk/table
Take shelter in doorway
Go outside/go out into the open
Move to a safe place
Drop, cover and hold
Alert or check on family/friends/neighbours
Stay where you are/stay put
Stay indoors/dont go outside
Actions to take during an Earthquake
Two in five New Zealand residents say they
would ‘drop, cover, and hold’ during a strong
earthquake
Q9b(i) Now imagine that there is a strong earthquake in your area, what actions should people take during a
strong earthquake? Base: All Respondents: 2015 (n=1000). Note: The top eight results for 2015 shown.
Who is more likely than average to go outside during an earthquake?
• Males (41%)
• Asian people (52%)
• Those who have lived in New Zealand for less than 10 years (48%)
• Residents who's first language is not English (49%)
Colmar Brunton 2015 51
70%
21%
17%
16%
12%
11%
11%
8%
7%
7%
7%
Alert or check on
family/friends/neighbours
Go outside/go out into the open
Turn off electricity/power/gas
Check damage/check everything is
stabilised/safe/secure
Check emergency survival items
Listen to the radio for further
information
Make sure other people are
okay/help others
Stay where you are/stay put
Move to a safe place
Contact Civil Defence/Authorities
Don't know
Q9b And what actions should people take immediately following a strong earthquake?
Base: All Respondents: 2015 (n=1000). Note: The top ten results for 2015 shown.
Actions to take immediately following an Earthquake
Seven in ten New Zealand residents say they
would alert or check on family/friends/
neighbours following a strong earthquake
Colmar Brunton 2015 52
86% of New Zealand
residents know to
move to higher ground in the event of
a tsunami warning.
Since 2014 there has been a decrease in
the proportion of
people who say move
inland.
84
15
15
19
13
0
6
84
23
16
18
20
12
6
84
18
12
13
19
5
7
83
25
19
12
16
12
8
87
21
18
9
16
6
15
89
28
19
12
16
6
11
90
31
19
15
17
9
11
89
33
17
17
20
4
12
85
23
19
12
12
4
9
86
29
15
13
12
10
8
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Move to higher ground
Alert or check on family /neighbours
Move inland
Check emergency get away kit
Prepare to be evacuated
Take emergency survival items
Listen to radio for further info
Benchmark
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Q9a Now imagine that a tsunami warning has been issued, what actions should people take when a tsunami warning has been issued? Base: All Respondents: Benchmark (n= 1001), 2007 (n= 1000), 2008 (n= 1016), 2009 (n=1000), 2010 (n=1000), 2011 (n=1164), 2012 (n=1255), 2013 (n=1263), 2014 (n=1264), 2015 (n=1000). Note: The top seven results for 2015 are shown.
Actions to take in the event of a Tsunami warning
Significantly different from the 2014 result
Colmar Brunton 2015 53
Colmar Brunton 2015 54Colmar Brunton 2015 54
Conclusions
Following the 2011 Christchurch earthquakes New Zealand residents had an increased sense
of urgency to take action to get better prepared for disasters and as such preparedness
increased substantially. The quakes also increased awareness and understanding among
New Zealanders of what could happen in an emergency.
Preparedness remains higher than it was pre-2011, however there has been an evident
decline in preparedness levels over the past 4 years.
Since 2014 there has been a decrease in the number of New Zealand residents who have a
good understanding of the effects if a disaster were to strike and are aware of the types of
disasters that could occur.
Some groups continue to be less well prepared than others. In particular it is necessary to
increase awareness, knowledge, and relevance for Auckland residents, young people, and
immigrant groups.
Fifteen percent of all New Zealand residents
are fully prepared for an emergency
Eighty four percent have emergency
survival items
The majority are aware of the types of disasters that could occur (82%)
and have an
understanding of the effects if one struck
(82%).
Colmar Brunton 2015 55Colmar Brunton 2015 55
Conclusions (continued)
Awareness of the TV ads is consistent with 2014
but has been declining steadily since 2012.
The ads are still effectively prompting action.
Most people who have seen the ads (81%)
have done something or thought about doing
something as a result.
Awareness of the Get Ready Get Thru tagline
and website has decreased.
Colmar Brunton 2015 56Colmar Brunton 2015 56
Key challenges
Although the increased preparedness that followed the 2011 Christchurch
earthquakes has reduced slightly over the years, the levels of preparedness are still
higher than pre-2011.
The mass market TV campaign is effective at helping to maintain awareness and
preparedness among the majority of people living in New Zealand. However, this
approach is not as effective at engaging with some of the groups who are most at risk
(Auckland residents, young people, immigrant groups).
A more targeted approach is recommended to help increase awareness among
those groups. Strategic activities at the community level (schools, churches, student
unions etc.) could be an effective way to achieve an increase in preparedness.