Macro Lecture 1 - Mankiw

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    CHAPTER 1CHAPTER 1 The Science of MacroeconomicsThe Science of Macroeconomics slide 0

    Macroeconomics by G.MankiwMacroeconomics by G.Mankiw

    PART 1, CHAPTER 1 :

    The Science of Macroeconomics

    Lecture 1

    Source : Slide Database by Ron Cronovich + Slides by Nathalie Bolh

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    Learning objectivesLearning objectives

    This chapter introduces you to

    some important concepts inmacroeconomic analysis

    the issues macroeconomists study

    the tools macroeconomists use

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    What is Macroeconomics?What is Macroeconomics?

    A global definition

    Explanations and Policy prescriptions

    Macroeconomics+ Microeconomics =Economics

    The study of macroeconomic variables

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    Important issues in macroeconomicsImportant issues in macroeconomics

    3 major indicators of economicperformance :

    - GDP and Growth

    - Unemployment rate

    - Inflation rate

    3major economic areas under review :the USA, the EU and Japan

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    Recent data in the USARecent data in the USA

    Source:

    OECD (Y/Y)1960-2000

    1992-2000

    2000/

    2001

    Output

    growthrate

    3.5 3.7 4.1/

    1.1

    Unemployment

    rate

    6.1 5.4 4.0/

    4.8

    Inflation

    Rate

    5.1 1.7 2.3/

    2.1

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    Recent Data in the EURecent Data in the EU

    Source:

    OECD1960-2000

    1992-2000

    2000/

    2001

    Output

    growthrate

    3.1 2.1 3.3/

    1.7

    Unemployment rate

    6.5 9.9 8.1/

    7.8

    Inflation

    Rate

    5.6 1.7 1.5/

    2.5

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    Recent Data in JapanRecent Data in Japan

    1960-2000

    1992-2000

    2000/

    2001

    Output

    growthrate

    5.5 1.2 1.5/

    -0.7

    Unemployment

    rate

    2.0 3.0 4.7/

    5.0

    Inflation

    Rate

    4.5 -0.1 -1.6/

    -1.6

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    Economic modelsEconomic models

    Mathematics

    Observation of data => simplified reality

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    The example of a model of supplyThe example of a model of supplyand demand for riceand demand for rice

    explains the factors that determine the price ofManggo and the quantity sold.

    assumes the market is competitive

    Variables:Qd = quantity of rice that buyers demand

    Q s = quantity that producers supply

    P = price of riceY = aggregate income

    Pg = price of grapes (an input)

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    The rice marketThe rice market

    The supply for rice :

    Q s = S(P+, Pf-)

    The demand for rice :

    Qd =D(P-, Y+)

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    The market for rice:The market for rice: equilibriumequilibrium

    QQuantityof rice

    PPrice

    of rice S

    D

    equilibrium

    price

    equilibrium

    quantity

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    The effects of an increase in income:The effects of an increase in income:

    D2

    QQuantityof rice

    PPrice

    of rice S

    D1

    Q1

    P1

    P2

    Q2

    demand equation:

    ( , )!dQ D P Y

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    Endogenous vs. exogenous variables:Endogenous vs. exogenous variables:

    The values ofendogenous variablesare determined in the model.

    The values ofexogenous variables

    are determined outside the model:the model takes their values & behavioras given.

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    Prices: Flexible Versus StickyPrices: Flexible Versus Sticky

    Marketclearing: an assumption that pricesare flexible and adjust to equate supply anddemand.

    In the short run, many prices are sticky.

    In models : Prices are supposed to besticky in the short run and flexible in thelong run.

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    QuestionQuestion

    1) Macroeconomic issues in the news overthe last month?

    2) What would be the effect of an increasein the price of Fertilizers on the rice market

    equilibrium3) Give the 2 definitions of a recession (theNBER definition and the popular definition)

    4) Identify the main recession episodes inthe Indonesia economy since 1900