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Online Resource 12. Regional Variability in POL3.7 Carbon Storage Flow Impact in Figures and TablesClimatic Change Article: Quantifying and Monetizing Potential Climate Change Policy Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Wildfires in the United States
Authors: David Mills, Russell Jones, Karen Carney, Alexis St. Juliana, Richard Ready, Allison Crimmins, Jeremy Martinich, Kate Shouse, Benjamin DeAngelo, and Erwan Monier
Corresponding author: David Mills, Stratus Consulting Inc., [email protected]
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Fig. 12.1 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) Community Atmospheric Model (CAM) WIND = 1
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Fig. 12.2 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 13
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Fig. 12.3 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 14
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Fig. 12.4 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 26
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Fig. 12.5 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 28
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Fig. 12.6 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under Community Climate System Model (CCSM)
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Fig. 12.7 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC)
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Table 12.1 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 1
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 1, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)
California North Ops 0.004 (0.026) 0.036 (0.035) 0.012 (0.016) (0.033) (0.015) 0.024 (0.019) (0.068)
California South Ops (0.002) (0.006) 0.010 (0.017) 0.008 (0.008) 0.012 0.009 0.003 (0.012) (0.003)
East Basin 0.001 (0.017) 0.004 (0.013) 0.012 0.031 0.031 (0.081) (0.015) (0.016) (0.064)
Eastern Area (0.028) (0.155) 0.026 0.192 0.258 0.177 0.131 0.014 (0.015) (0.118) 0.480
Eastern Great Basin 0.016 (0.030) (0.016) 0.014 (0.019) 0.020 0.011 (0.027) 0.012 0.039 0.020
Northern Rockies (0.089) 0.074 (0.017) (0.064) 0.097 (0.065) 0.121 (0.125) (0.056) (0.151) (0.275)
Northwest (0.027) 0.051 (0.072) 0.031 (0.004) 0.158 (0.068) 0.036 0.110 0.016 0.231
Rocky Mountain (0.000) 0.094 (0.189) 0.038 0.036 (0.248) 0.355 (0.357) (0.125) (0.024) (0.420)
Southern Area (0.147) 0.234 0.276 (0.460) 0.234 0.417 0.115 (0.557) 0.330 (0.007) 0.436
Southwest (0.066) 0.196 (0.187) 0.032 (0.121) 0.062 0.011 (0.081) 0.060 (0.015) (0.108)
Western Great Basin 0.011 (0.030) 0.047 (0.013) (0.004) 0.021 0.011 0.004 0.016 0.021 0.085
Total (0.326) 0.386 (0.082) (0.294) 0.509 0.548 0.697 (1.180) 0.343 (0.286) 0.316
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Table 12.1 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 1
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 1, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops $0.56 ($3.40) $4.36 ($3.81) $1.33 ($1.30) ($2.22) ($0.61) $1.06 ($0.74) ($4.77)
California South Ops ($0.21) ($0.79) $1.14 ($1.88) $0.90 ($0.66) $0.82 $0.37 $0.01 ($0.43) ($0.74)
East Basin $0.11 ($2.18) $0.68 ($1.60) $1.21 $2.43 $2.31 ($4.64) ($0.48) ($0.67) ($2.84)
Eastern Area ($3.68) ($20.18) $3.32 $20.34 $22.91 $14.25 $9.41 ($0.28) $0.43 ($4.65) $41.87
Eastern Great Basin $2.07 ($3.86) ($2.31) $1.40 ($1.60) $1.54 $0.83 ($1.66) $0.63 $1.23 ($1.72)
Northern Rockies ($11.52) $9.61 ($2.48) ($7.12) $9.13 ($4.44) $8.74 ($7.22) ($2.30) ($5.75) ($13.35)
Northwest ($3.46) $6.75 ($8.67) $3.30 $0.17 $11.80 ($4.64) $2.16 $5.14 $0.66 $13.22
Rocky Mountain ($0.01) $12.17 ($22.80) $4.14 $3.50 ($19.42) $26.07 ($21.10) ($4.96) ($1.52) ($23.94)
Southern Area ($19.04) $29.75 $32.64 ($49.58) $22.45 $34.33 $10.54 ($31.63) $13.38 ($1.81) $41.03
Southwest ($8.54) $25.29 ($23.19) $3.92 ($10.49) $4.98 $1.18 ($4.87) $2.66 ($0.65) ($9.70)
Western Great Basin $1.45 ($3.83) $5.44 ($1.55) ($0.39) $1.67 $0.81 $0.21 $0.61 $0.71 $5.12
Total ($42.28) $49.34 ($11.87) ($32.44) $49.12 $45.17 $53.85 ($69.28) $16.17 ($13.63) $44.18
Totals may not sum due to rounding.SCC: social cost of carbon.
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Table 12.2 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 13
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 13, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)
California North Ops 0.002 0.018 (0.002) 0.000 (0.002) (0.004) (0.011) 0.004 (0.030) 0.009 0.002
California South Ops 0.006 0.023 (0.003) 0.005 0.001 (0.030) 0.022 0.013 (0.045) 0.012 0.006
East Basin 0.036 0.035 (0.049) (0.010) 0.068 (0.067) (0.048) (0.054) (0.031) 0.074 0.036
Eastern Area 0.175 0.185 (0.084) 0.072 0.409 (0.356) (0.092) (0.182) (0.392) 0.354 0.175
Eastern Great Basin 0.032 0.059 (0.041) 0.026 (0.079) 0.034 (0.087) 0.106 (0.080) (0.005) 0.032
Northern Rockies 0.291 0.160 (0.294) 0.051 (0.226) (0.097) (0.132) 0.004 (0.037) (0.168) 0.291
Northwest 0.032 (0.055) (0.046) 0.158 (0.023) 0.162 0.155 0.020 0.018 (0.078) 0.032
Rocky Mountain 0.285 0.191 (0.241) (0.072) (0.016) (0.332) (0.281) 0.086 0.008 (0.368) 0.285
Southern Area 0.232 0.331 (0.104) (0.851) 0.283 (0.723) (0.692) 0.449 (0.154) 0.569 0.232
Southwest (0.008) 0.089 (0.121) 0.001 (0.010) (0.049) (0.056) (0.018) 0.005 (0.015) (0.008)
Western Great Basin 0.007 0.045 (0.034) 0.021 (0.007) (0.004) (0.023) 0.115 (0.070) 0.008 0.007
Total 1.090 1.080 (1.018) (0.598) 0.400 (1.465) (1.245) 0.543 (0.809) 0.391 1.090
IGSM-CAM WIND = 13, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)
California North Ops $0.28 $2.33 ($0.09) ($0.01) ($0.05) ($0.25) ($0.78) $0.14 ($1.50) $0.34 $0.41
California $0.80 $3.00 ($0.44) $0.56 $0.08 ($2.45) $1.74 $0.46 ($2.20) $0.53 $2.09
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Table 12.2 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 13
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalSouth Ops
East Basin $4.64 $4.46 ($6.18) ($1.05) $6.25 ($5.47) ($2.72) ($2.37) ($1.42) $2.68 ($1.16)
Eastern Area $22.66 $23.60 ($10.70) $8.25 $37.81 ($28.29) ($5.20) ($7.87) ($18.60) $12.08 $33.75
Eastern Great Basin $4.16 $7.52 ($5.39) $2.60 ($7.42) $2.10 ($5.67) $5.68 ($3.66) ($0.14) ($0.23)
Northern Rockies $37.77 $20.61 ($36.88) $4.92 ($20.47) ($7.73) ($8.84) $0.75 ($1.48) ($6.26) ($17.60)
Northwest $4.20 ($7.15) ($5.89) $15.38 ($2.29) $12.73 $9.33 $0.96 $0.63 ($2.97) $24.92
Rocky Mountain $37.01 $24.38 ($30.76) ($7.37) ($1.45) ($27.51) ($16.85) $7.83 ($0.02) ($13.52) ($28.26)
Southern Area $30.05 $42.06 ($14.31) ($90.86) $25.56 ($61.46) ($42.73) $28.29 ($7.12) $19.31 ($71.20)
Southwest ($1.07) $11.44 ($15.03) ($0.04) ($0.72) ($4.74) ($2.96) ($0.42) ($0.13) ($0.54) ($14.22)
Western Great Basin $0.92 $5.78 ($4.14) $2.13 ($0.94) ($0.48) ($1.35) $6.13 ($3.32) $0.24 $4.97
Total $141.44 $138.03 ($129.81) ($65.48) $36.38 ($123.55) ($76.04) $39.58 ($38.83) $11.75 ($66.55)
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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Table 12.3 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 14
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 14, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)
California North Ops 0.012 (0.001) 0.012 (0.009) 0.010 (0.031) 0.016 (0.026) (0.033) 0.027 (0.023)
California South Ops 0.011 (0.035) 0.034 0.004 (0.004) (0.018) 0.031 (0.025) (0.016) (0.003) (0.021)
East Basin (0.004) 0.032 0.075 (0.057) (0.029) 0.002 (0.034) (0.019) 0.021 0.023 0.010
Eastern Area 0.006 0.122 0.667 (0.346) 0.049 (0.136) (0.065) (0.102) 0.039 0.094 0.327
Eastern Great Basin (0.056) 0.040 (0.007) (0.011) (0.033) 0.013 (0.002) 0.021 (0.102) 0.074 (0.064)
Northern Rockies 0.024 (0.013) (0.041) (0.138) 0.089 (0.179) 0.180 (0.245) (0.029) (0.023) (0.376)
Northwest (0.002) (0.096) 0.110 (0.121) 0.114 0.029 0.054 (0.012) 0.049 0.117 0.242
Rocky Mountain 0.063 (0.055) 0.189 (0.366) (0.142) 0.134 (0.232) 0.130 (0.310) 0.161 (0.428)
Southern Area (0.138) 0.434 1.258 (0.772) (0.405) (0.118) (0.447) (0.252) 0.805 0.269 0.633
Southwest 0.007 (0.030) 0.109 (0.066) (0.216) 0.128 (0.026) 0.039 (0.146) 0.000 (0.202)
Western Great Basin 0.013 (0.031) 0.021 0.028 (0.011) 0.001 0.025 (0.027) (0.027) 0.030 0.022
Total (0.064) 0.367 2.426 (1.854) (0.579) (0.176) (0.500) (0.518) 0.250 0.769 0.121
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Table 12.3 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 14
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 14, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops $1.57 ($0.10) $1.34 ($0.91) $0.77 ($2.46) $1.00 ($1.41) ($1.45) $0.99 ($0.67)
California South Ops $1.45 ($4.46) $4.16 $0.33 ($0.33) ($1.43) $2.19 ($1.37) ($0.75) ($0.12) ($0.32)
East Basin ($0.48) $4.23 $8.96 ($5.73) ($2.53) $0.09 ($2.14) ($1.02) $0.99 $0.93 $3.30
Eastern Area $0.73 $16.04 $80.04 ($35.16) $5.79 ($11.07) ($3.62) ($5.44) $2.22 $3.49 $53.03
Eastern Great Basin ($7.32) $5.29 ($0.95) ($1.35) ($2.91) $1.36 $0.21 $1.22 ($4.20) $2.79 ($5.88)
Northern Rockies $3.17 ($1.57) ($6.14) ($14.08) $9.57 ($14.31) $12.08 ($13.43) ($1.08) ($1.27) ($27.06)
Northwest ($0.25) ($12.38) $13.09 ($12.54) $10.58 $1.59 $3.53 ($0.93) $2.66 $4.00 $9.36
Rocky Mountain $8.21 ($7.13) $22.48 ($38.37) ($10.71) $11.87 ($14.16) $7.97 ($13.27) $5.27 ($27.84)
Southern Area ($17.95) $57.37 $150.67 ($84.79) ($34.18) ($8.42) ($28.31) ($13.87) $38.47 $10.13 $69.11
Southwest $0.84 ($3.84) $12.92 ($7.36) ($19.00) $11.57 ($1.30) $2.03 ($6.29) $0.30 ($10.12)
Western Great Basin $1.73 ($4.03) $2.68 $2.96 ($1.12) $0.12 $1.71 ($1.55) ($1.28) $1.13 $2.34
Total ($8.29) $49.42 $289.25 ($196.99) ($44.08) ($11.10) ($28.82) ($27.81) $16.02 $27.65 $65.26
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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Table 12.4 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 26
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 26, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)
California North Ops 0.009 (0.013) (0.013) 0.024 (0.028) (0.035) (0.035) 0.018 (0.007) 0.011 (0.070)
California South Ops 0.024 (0.013) (0.039) 0.014 (0.027) 0.027 (0.025) (0.007) (0.024) (0.012) (0.083)
East Basin (0.000) 0.025 0.003 0.013 (0.106) 0.119 (0.136) 0.039 (0.065) 0.057 (0.051)
Eastern Area 0.029 0.086 0.095 0.230 (0.493) 1.042 (0.713) 0.125 (0.301) 0.294 0.395
Eastern Great Basin 0.021 (0.018) (0.047) 0.067 (0.033) (0.035) (0.079) 0.013 0.019 0.001 (0.090)
Northern Rockies (0.113) 0.133 (0.085) 0.122 (0.166) 0.090 (0.359) 0.057 (0.195) 0.116 (0.401)
Northwest 0.001 0.106 0.024 0.145 (0.107) (0.062) (0.077) (0.108) 0.072 0.213 0.206
Rocky Mountain (0.282) 0.387 0.106 (0.038) (0.108) 0.055 (0.664) 0.205 (0.265) 0.055 (0.548)
Southern Area (0.160) 0.650 0.181 (0.348) (0.404) 0.195 (0.592) 0.480 (0.085) 0.384 0.301
Southwest 0.161 (0.125) (0.013) (0.100) 0.064 0.018 (0.251) 0.145 (0.104) 0.048 (0.157)
Western Great Basin 0.028 (0.034) 0.012 (0.010) (0.038) (0.008) (0.038) 0.036 0.001 (0.011) (0.062)
Total (0.283) 1.185 0.225 0.119 (1.447) 1.407 (2.970) 1.002 (0.953) 1.156 (0.559)
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Table 12.4 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 26
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 26, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops $1.17 ($1.69) ($1.68) $2.60 ($2.75) ($2.75) ($2.29) $0.98 ($0.16) $0.35 ($6.20)
California South Ops $3.06 ($1.73) ($4.60) $1.76 ($2.64) $2.14 ($1.68) ($0.52) ($0.98) ($0.36) ($5.53)
East Basin ($0.03) $3.20 $0.13 $1.45 ($9.89) $9.28 ($8.98) $2.00 ($2.97) $2.08 ($3.75)
Eastern Area $3.72 $11.29 $10.60 $24.87 ($46.21) $80.71 ($47.46) $6.96 ($13.70) $10.61 $41.39
Eastern Great Basin $2.77 ($2.23) ($5.50) $7.08 ($3.61) ($2.78) ($5.07) $0.80 $0.93 $0.03 ($7.58)
Northern Rockies ($14.71) $17.40 ($9.61) $12.86 ($16.56) $7.01 ($23.75) $3.94 ($8.84) $4.79 ($27.47)
Northwest $0.11 $13.62 $2.68 $15.24 ($10.22) ($4.81) ($5.05) ($5.21) $3.79 $7.98 $18.13
Rocky Mountain ($36.57) $50.74 $13.24 ($4.32) ($11.20) $3.35 ($44.36) $11.67 ($12.32) $2.77 ($26.98)
Southern Area ($20.83) $84.73 $20.22 ($37.70) ($38.17) $11.70 ($40.56) $27.84 ($5.28) $15.18 $17.13
Southwest $20.93 ($16.17) ($1.79) ($11.00) $5.39 $0.90 ($17.00) $8.02 ($5.02) $1.71 ($14.02)
Western Great Basin $3.62 ($4.37) $1.42 ($1.08) ($3.68) ($0.45) ($2.39) $2.05 $0.09 ($0.34) ($5.14)
Total ($36.76) $154.80 $25.11 $11.77 ($139.56) $104.31 ($198.58) $58.54 ($44.45) $44.80 ($20.03)
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
16
Table 12.5 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 28
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 28, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)
California North Ops (0.006) 0.012 (0.007) (0.003) (0.015) (0.026) 0.014 (0.011) (0.060) 0.025 (0.077)
California South Ops (0.007) 0.019 0.020 (0.020) (0.007) (0.016) (0.006) 0.011 (0.008) 0.007 (0.007)
East Basin (0.003) 0.059 (0.043) (0.062) 0.055 (0.055) 0.011 (0.035) 0.031 0.030 (0.012)
Eastern Area 0.023 0.204 (0.274) (0.290) 0.284 (0.251) (0.097) (0.478) 0.463 0.303 (0.113)
Eastern Great Basin (0.052) 0.067 (0.001) 0.013 (0.012) (0.050) 0.044 (0.041) 0.062 (0.048) (0.018)
Northern Rockies (0.016) (0.071) 0.272 (0.131) (0.106) (0.066) 0.152 (0.310) (0.160) 0.217 (0.221)
Northwest (0.011) (0.029) 0.091 (0.026) 0.002 0.031 0.096 0.082 (0.035) 0.170 0.372
Rocky Mountain (0.091) 0.254 (0.229) (0.006) (0.235) 0.071 (0.114) (0.163) 0.018 0.130 (0.364)
Southern Area 0.053 1.030 (0.572) (0.492) 0.284 (0.974) 0.296 (0.461) 0.098 0.628 (0.110)
Southwest (0.057) 0.175 (0.074) (0.035) (0.203) 0.020 0.005 0.046 0.059 (0.005) (0.070)
Western Great Basin (0.032) 0.049 (0.039) 0.016 0.016 (0.027) 0.021 0.008 (0.017) 0.098 0.092
Total (0.199) 1.769 (0.858) (1.037) 0.064 (1.342) 0.422 (1.353) 0.451 1.554 (0.528)
17
Table 12.5 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under IGSM-CAM WIND = 28
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalIGSM-CAM WIND = 28, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows storage (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops ($0.76) $1.53 ($0.88) ($0.32) ($1.38) ($2.12) $0.77 ($0.69) ($2.64) $1.00 ($5.49)
California South Ops ($0.90) $2.46 $2.18 ($2.15) ($0.58) ($1.43) ($0.48) $0.50 ($0.30) $0.33 ($0.38)
East Basin ($0.45) $7.61 ($5.14) ($6.41) $5.30 ($4.34) $0.78 ($1.64) $1.54 $1.07 ($1.68)
Eastern Area $3.00 $26.08 ($32.62) ($30.04) $27.47 ($19.78) ($5.96) ($24.20) $21.05 $9.97 ($25.02)
Eastern Great Basin ($6.78) $8.63 ($0.26) $1.14 ($0.98) ($4.36) $2.69 ($2.22) $2.81 ($1.83) ($1.16)
Northern Rockies ($2.12) ($9.33) $31.89 ($14.99) ($7.45) ($5.12) $9.99 ($16.21) ($6.25) $7.65 ($11.96)
Northwest ($1.38) ($3.82) $10.76 ($3.34) $0.72 $1.51 $6.33 $5.25 ($1.26) $6.55 $21.31
Rocky Mountain ($11.80) $32.52 ($28.14) ($0.87) ($19.93) $6.06 ($7.74) ($8.24) $1.25 $4.15 ($32.75)
Southern Area $6.92 $131.37 ($67.16) ($52.08) $29.23 ($75.43) $21.97 ($22.72) $5.53 $22.50 $0.13
Southwest ($7.45) $22.52 ($9.29) ($3.48) ($18.07) $2.44 $1.08 $2.60 $2.65 $0.01 ($6.99)
Western Great Basin ($4.11) $6.33 ($4.75) $1.52 $1.63 ($2.56) $1.29 $0.40 ($0.53) $3.79 $3.02
Total ($25.82) $225.89 ($103.40) ($111.01) $15.94 ($105.13) $30.72 ($67.17) $23.85 $55.18 ($60.96)
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
18
Table 12.6 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under CCSMRegion 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 Total
CCSM, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)California North Ops 0.000 (0.001) (0.002) (0.007) (0.010) (0.013) (0.015) (0.012) (0.013) (0.029) (0.101)
California South Ops 0.001 (0.001) (0.002) (0.004) (0.007) (0.009) (0.009) (0.014) (0.012) (0.013) (0.070)
East Basin 0.000 (0.001) (0.002) (0.006) (0.002) (0.002) 0.008 0.012 (0.003) 0.003 0.006
Eastern Area 0.001 (0.006) (0.019) (0.045) (0.050) (0.030) (0.021) (0.019) (0.075) 0.024 (0.240)
Eastern Great Basin (0.002) (0.000) (0.003) (0.008) (0.012) (0.008) (0.003) 0.014 (0.029) 0.011 (0.041)
Northern Rockies 0.003 0.045 (0.003) 0.031 (0.027) 0.047 (0.157) 0.025 0.012 (0.016) (0.039)
Northwest 0.000 (0.013) 0.031 (0.001) (0.005) (0.009) 0.076 0.006 0.093 (0.022) 0.156
Rocky Mountain 0.002 (0.003) (0.009) (0.021) (0.048) 0.001 (0.060) (0.055) (0.055) (0.022) (0.270)
Southern Area 0.015 0.017 0.016 0.013 0.100 0.113 0.202 0.166 0.195 0.209 1.046
Southwest 0.019 (0.016) (0.007) (0.018) (0.023) (0.029) (0.011) (0.021) (0.022) (0.056) (0.183)
Western Great Basin (0.000) (0.002) (0.001) (0.007) (0.010) (0.007) (0.013) (0.008) (0.005) (0.027) (0.080)
Total 0.040 0.019 (0.000) (0.073) (0.093) 0.053 (0.002) 0.095 0.085 0.061 0.184
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Table 12.6 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under CCSM
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalCCSM, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops $0.00 ($0.10) ($0.22) ($0.71) ($0.90) ($1.05) ($1.01) ($0.63) ($0.62) ($1.03) ($6.27)
California South Ops ($0.01) ($0.18) ($0.22) ($0.45) ($0.63) ($0.68) ($0.59) ($0.73) ($0.60) ($0.49) ($4.58)
East Basin $0.02 ($0.09) ($0.27) ($0.64) ($0.20) ($0.20) $0.51 $0.63 ($0.13) $0.08 ($0.28)
Eastern Area $0.02 ($0.83) ($2.26) ($4.76) ($4.66) ($2.47) ($1.35) ($1.06) ($3.37) $0.78 ($19.96)
Eastern Great Basin ($0.15) ($0.05) ($0.40) ($0.87) ($1.11) ($0.62) ($0.22) $0.76 ($1.25) $0.41 ($3.50)
Northern Rockies $0.02 $5.79 ($0.32) $3.55 ($2.55) $3.47 ($10.26) $1.28 $0.60 ($0.62) $0.95
Northwest ($0.01) ($1.73) $3.65 ($0.14) ($0.42) ($0.60) $4.99 $0.34 $4.24 ($0.86) $9.46
Rocky Mountain ($0.11) ($0.36) ($1.12) ($2.31) ($4.51) ($0.03) ($3.99) ($2.92) ($2.57) ($1.04) ($18.96)
Southern Area ($1.24) $2.18 $2.08 $1.30 $9.26 $8.55 $13.27 $9.08 $8.65 $7.70 $60.83
Southwest ($0.12) ($2.02) ($0.81) ($1.90) ($2.20) ($2.16) ($0.72) ($1.30) ($1.00) ($1.98) ($14.21)
Western Great Basin ($0.01) ($0.24) ($0.14) ($0.73) ($0.94) ($0.60) ($0.81) ($0.42) ($0.27) ($1.03) ($5.18)
Total ($1.59) $2.37 ($0.02) ($7.66) ($8.87) $3.60 ($0.18) $5.03 $3.68 $1.92 ($1.72)
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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Table 12.7 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under MIROCRegion 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 Total
MIROC, change in billions of metric tons of terrestrial ecosystem carbon flows sequestered with POL3.7 implementation (no discounting)California North Ops (0.001) (0.000) (0.002) (0.006) (0.009) (0.008) (0.018) (0.009) (0.010) (0.025) (0.087)
California South Ops (0.000) (0.001) 0.001 (0.011) (0.002) (0.003) 0.003 (0.016) (0.001) (0.003) (0.033)
East Basin 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.005 0.033 0.014 0.003 0.009 0.072
Eastern Area 0.003 (0.001) (0.019) (0.006) 0.036 0.072 0.126 0.092 (0.004) 0.065 0.364
Eastern Great Basin (0.001) 0.003 0.001 0.031 0.007 (0.033) (0.026) (0.043) (0.069) (0.033) (0.163)
Northern Rockies 0.005 0.001 0.022 (0.038) 0.007 0.013 (0.131) 0.041 (0.055) (0.045) (0.180)
Northwest 0.009 0.031 (0.008) 0.006 (0.025) 0.048 (0.101) (0.008) (0.016) (0.028) (0.093)
Rocky Mountain 0.003 0.024 0.011 (0.031) (0.008) 0.062 (0.014) (0.037) (0.017) (0.033) (0.038)
Southern Area 0.024 0.031 0.039 0.061 0.204 0.234 0.262 0.329 0.249 0.171 1.604
Southwest 0.003 0.002 0.019 (0.013) 0.025 (0.001) 0.033 (0.032) 0.028 (0.035) 0.029
Western Great Basin (0.000) (0.000) 0.001 (0.003) (0.002) (0.010) 0.011 (0.028) (0.004) (0.031) (0.065)
Total 0.044 0.090 0.068 (0.009) 0.239 0.379 0.179 0.303 0.104 0.012 1.409
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Table 12.7 POL3.7 impacts on carbon storage flows under MIROC
Region 2001–2010 2011–2020 2021–2030 2031–2040 2041–2050 2051–2060 2061–2070 2071–2080 2081–2090 2091–2100 TotalMIROC, value in POL3.7 change in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage flows (POL3.7 – REF), use of the average SCC discounted at 3% (values in billions US$ 2005)California North Ops ($0.03) ($0.02) ($0.25) ($0.61) ($0.87) ($0.60) ($1.17) ($0.47) ($0.49) ($0.87) ($5.40)
California South Ops $0.03 ($0.09) $0.13 ($1.24) ($0.19) ($0.26) $0.21 ($0.81) ($0.14) ($0.16) ($2.53)
East Basin $0.02 $0.00 $0.21 $0.14 $0.52 $0.36 $2.20 $0.77 $0.17 $0.31 $4.69
Eastern Area ($0.00) ($0.19) ($2.21) ($0.66) $3.25 $5.60 $8.21 $5.06 ($0.03) $2.37 $21.39
Eastern Great Basin ($0.24) $0.43 $0.16 $3.24 $0.46 ($2.53) ($1.59) ($2.48) ($3.06) ($1.22) ($6.82)
Northern Rockies $0.20 $0.14 $2.59 ($4.59) $0.65 $0.89 ($8.34) $2.16 ($2.35) ($1.80) ($10.45)
Northwest ($0.02) $3.97 ($0.81) $0.38 ($2.37) $3.65 ($6.58) ($0.47) ($0.76) ($1.13) ($4.15)
Rocky Mountain $0.30 $3.17 $1.32 ($3.34) ($0.73) $5.09 ($0.96) ($1.86) ($0.59) ($1.40) $1.00
Southern Area $0.11 $3.99 $4.81 $6.45 $19.00 $17.93 $17.25 $18.27 $11.01 $6.26 $105.08
Southwest ($0.01) $0.21 $2.27 ($1.32) $2.29 $0.02 $2.18 ($1.68) $1.30 ($1.38) $3.89
Western Great Basin ($0.07) ($0.01) $0.11 ($0.33) ($0.19) ($0.80) $0.72 ($1.57) ($0.29) ($1.18) ($3.61)
Total $0.28 $11.61 $8.33 ($1.89) $21.82 $29.35 $12.12 $16.91 $4.77 ($0.22) $103.09
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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