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November 2018
LEASING – BANKING – FACTORINGINVESTOR RELATIONS
1978 Founded by W. Grenke:
Leasing business started
2000 IPO took place
2003 1st credit rating, BBB+
2005 Factoring business started
2009 Banking business started
2012 New business volume
exceeds EUR 1 billion treshold
2016 Net profit exceeds EUR 100
million treshold
GRENKE the highly focused fintech since 1978
2
HISTORY IN MILESTONES MISSION
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
FOR SMALL &
MEDIUM SIZED
COMPANIES
Efficiently process high volumes
of small contracts
FACTS & FIGURES
Over 750,000 running contracts
Average acqusition value
approximately EUR 8,500
100% B2B customers
141 branches in 31 countries
GRENKE the highly focused fintech since 1978
3
GRENKE IS
FOCUSED ON
GROWTH
Standardisation/Digitalisation along
the entire value chain
Unit cost minimization
MAXIMUM EFFICIENCY IN OPERATIONS
Diversified leasing and refinancing portfolio
40 Years of risk management experience
Advanced IT-based loss forecasting model
Risk assessments as precise as possible
SOPHISTICATED RISK MANAGEMENT
Strictly value based corporate management
Ambitious targets for contribution margins and equity ratio
(> 16%)
Third party financial ratings (BBB+ by Standard & Poors)
Equity ratio 19.2% (as of 30/09/18)
OUTSTANDING FINANCIAL STRENGTH
GRENKE results represent a continuation of solid performance
New business 9M-2018
4
Leasing is still our core business
81.3
17.3
1.4
New business
9M-2018IN PER CENT
309.3
366.2
9M-2017 9M-2018
1,401.9
1,718.1
9M-2017 9M-2018
20.0
29.3
9M-2017 9M-2018
Leasing +23%
Factoring +18%
SME lending business +46%
New business in EUR millions
GRENKE results represent a continuation of solid performance
Trend in consolidated net profit
5
33.1 24.6 27.8 39.3 42.5 47,065,0
80.8
103.2
125
145-153
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018ebeforeIFRS9
2018eafter
IFRS9
2008 - 2017
CAGR 15.9 %
Net profit in EUR millions
126-132
Future dividend distribution of approx. 20 – 30% from after-tax profits
Average payout ratio: 26.3% (since 2002)
DACH Western Europe(without DACH)
Southern Europe Northern/EasternEurope
Other Regions
GRENKE GROUP’s Leasing New business 9M-2018
Strong new business development in our core markets
6
Core Markets: Germany, France, Italy
394.4438.7
542.3
277.9DE FR IT
New business in EUR millions
23
2532
16
4
New business
Leasing
9M-2018IN PER CENT
Regions: DACH: Germany, Austria, Switzerland; Western Europe (without DACH): Belgium, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands
Southern Europe: Croatia, Italy, Malta, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain
Northern/Eastern Europe: Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Norway, Sweden, UK / Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia
Other regions: Australia*, Brazil, Canada*, Chile*, Singapore*, Turkey, UAE
64.8
GRENKE’s position in the market
Numerous competitive advantages
7
BANK-DEPENDENT INDEPENDENT MANUFACTURER-DEPENDENT
COMPETITORS
DISADVANTAGE DISADVANTAGECOMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
Clear “small-ticket” focus
ADVANTAGE ADVANTAGESCOMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
DE: ABC, Mercator, BFL, MMV,
BNP, Deutsche Leasing
FR: BNP Leasing Solutions, Credit
Agricole L., Crédit Mutuel Arkea
IT: BNP; DLL; GE-Banca IFIS
UK: BNP Lease, Delage L, Soc Gen.
ES+PT: BNP Lease, Delage L
DE: Targoleasing, CHG
Meridian
FR: CHG Meridian, Factum, NBB
UK: CIT, Siemens FE
ES: CSI, Rent-and-Tech, CHG
PT: CANDOR
EU: Cisco Finance, Dell Financial Service,
Xerox Leasing, HP Financial Service,
IBM, Siemens Financial Services
Administrative burden
Focus on “big tickets”
Tied to one product (brand)
Dealers insist on independence
High degree
of automation
Independent
and flexible
No dealer partnerships Access to point of sale through
manufacturer‘s own sales channel
Diversified
Refinancing
Dealer programme/
Partnership
GRENKE Bank strengthens our refinancing base
Target Group
Small and medium-sized enterprises
Leasing and factoring customers of the
Group (Cross-Selling)
Retail customers
Objectives
Sustainable development of deposits and
SME lending business
Presence in further European Countries in
order to be able to conduct leasing and
factoring operations
8
481
20 29
9M-2017 9M-2018
Spalte3 Spalte1 Spalte2Deposits SME lending business
(New business)
in EUR millionsCompetitive benefits
The use of IT solutions for improved,
efficient workflow generates cost benefits
(cost-income ratio)
Favorably priced transaction costs
to boost profitability
Access to European payment transaction
system: effective cash management
Products
SME loans with risk coverage: KfW, L-Bank, German
Government (micro-credit programme)
Term deposit, current account and credit card
(SME’s and retail customers)
Global loans of development banks lead to attractive
leasing conditions
Services
GRENKE Banking App: Manage your bank accounts
and credit cards, f.e. bank transfers
GRENKE CASH App: Barcode that allows cash to be
paid into the account at cashier’s desk (also payout)
625
** Average period of a factoring transaction in approx. days
* Franchise
Corporate benefits
Flexible financing of invoices
Fast payment within 24 hours
Personal communication and support
IT based: Highly automated processing – i.e.
simple submission of claims; transparency
through online tool
Financing solid and attractive
GRENKE Factoring
We offer SME´s another key pillar of corporate financing
in EUR millions Market Period
Profit
Margin Days**
DE9M-
20181.66% 27
Int.9M-
20181.31% 40
Target group
SME’s in B2B
From annual turnover of
EUR 250k to EUR 5,000k
Largely independent of
individual sectors
Factoring Users
GER: 264; INT: 345
DE
International: CH, HU*, IT*, IE*, PL*, UK*
9
122 129
187238
9M-2017 9M-2018
FACTORING VOLUME – AMOUNT OF
PURCHASED RECEIVABLES
Broadly diversified portfolio in Leasing new business
10
4.3 Security Devices/Others
IT Products 67.2
20.1 Machines/Systems
8.4 Medical Technology
9M-2018IN PER CENT
IT equipment (incl. notebooks)
Photocopying equipment
Telecommunications
General Office technology
Leasing New Business Portfolio
11
We have continued to diversify our funding mix
Status: October, 2018
Debt issuance programme
Stand alone bonds
Promissory notes (Schuldschein)
Revolving credit facilities
Money market lines
Commercial paper programme
Overdraft facilities
Loans
Asset-backed commercial paper
programme
Global loans
Deposit business
Term deposits
Senior Unsecured Asset Based
GRENKE Bank
Approx.
2,637 EURmApprox.
822 EURmApprox.
1,174 EURm
57 % 18 % 25 %
GRENKE Group uses matched funding
Treasury is strongly focused on financing the core business
12
* Present value of operating income of a lease contract less risk and individual contract costs | ** New calculation of CM2 margin
in EUR millions
(5,000.00)
(3,000.00)
(1,000.00)
1,000.00
3,000.00
5,000.00
31.10.2018 31.10.2019 31.10.2020 31.10.2021 31.10.2022 31.10.20233
S&P RATING: BBB+/STABLE/A-2/AND GBB RATING: (GESELLSCHAFT FÜR BONITÄTSBEURTEILUNG MBH) A/STABLE
MATURITY STRUCTURE AS PER OCTOBER 2018
Medium term notes (MTN) Promissory notes (Schuldscheindarlehen) Term deposits GRENKE Bank
Assets Cash Debts
Global loans
1
∑612
∑ 219
∑ 521 ∑ 497 ∑ 498
∑ 219
125
271 263 295
410
200
1
75 58 65 40 1875
197 142
96 37 18
69 58 41 11
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
∑612
Solid contribution margins with continuous growth
13
CM2 is made up of the present value of operating income
of a lease contract less risk and individual contract costs
in EUR millions
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
100
200
300
400
CM1 is calculated as the present value of the interest
margin net of commissions paid to third parties
in EUR millions
CM2CM1
* New calculation of CM2
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
New Business Leasing CM1 Margin CM2 CM2 Margin
Result for the period (income statement)
14
209
61 67 61
2
262
75
5713
117
Net interest
income
Profit from
new
business
Settlement of
claims and
risk provision
Profit from
service
business
Gains/losses
from
disposals
Income
from
operating
business
Staff costs Selling and
admin-
istrative
expenses
Other
expenses
Operating
result
in EUR millions
CM2 CALCULATION OF NEW BUSINESS IN 3M-2018 (TOTAL LIFETIME)
INCOME STATEMENT OF 9M-2018
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GRENKE’s experience enables it to calculate and forecast credit
losses more precisely
RISK PROVISION P.A. LOSS EXPECTATIONS 48 MONTHS CONTRACT TERM
Calculated loss expectations at contract start
Calculated actual loss expectations per end of period
15
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Settlement of claims and risk provision (2009 = 100%)
Volume of leased assets (2009 = 100%)
Proximity to customers is key
Australia
16
69 Locations in core
markets
141International locations
31Countries
> 19,500reseller in core markets
> 34,000reseller international
Baltics
Outlook 2018
17
KEY FINANCIAL AND STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
New Business
expectations
GRENKE Group Leasing: 18 – 22% (adjusted; previous 16 – 20%)
GRENKE Group Factoring: 15 - 20%
Expansion/Product
diversification
Leasing: Cell divisions in our core markets France, Germany, Italy as well as
in Spain, United Kingdom and Canada
Leasing: New market entry: The Baltics and New Zealand
Factoring: New market entry: Portugal
Balance sheet We aim for an equity ratio of 16%
Profitability Stability of business model will lead to net profit of:
EUR 126m – 132m (narrowed; previous EUR 123m – 131m)
We aim to achieve a sustainable cost/income ratio under 60%
18
Investment
Considerations
SOUND EQUITY BASE
STABLE RATING
LOW CYCLICITY
Equity ratio 19.2%
(as of 30/09/2018)
BBB+/stable/A-2 rating since
2003
Stable business model (small
ticket IT leasing)
Low loss rate even during the
latest recession (<2%)
LOW ASSET RISKS
No open residual values (full-
amortization requirement)
STRONG GROWTH
Increase in net profits +23.6%
(Q3/18 vs. Q3/17)
New business volume +21.0%
(Q3/18 vs. Q3/17)
Reasons for choosing GRENKE
APPENDIX
KEY RESULTS 9M-2018 9M-2017* DIFFERENCE
Net Interest income EUR 209.0m EUR 182.2m + 14.7%
Operating result EUR 117.1m EUR 104.9m + 11.6%
Net profit EUR 97.9m EUR 79.3m + 23.6%
Earnings per share (IFRS) EUR 2.06 EUR 1.74 + 18.4%
Cost/Income ratio 56.3% 54.6% 3.1%
Equity ratio 19.2% 16.6% + 15.7%
9M-2018 results compared to 9M-2017
20
*Previous year’s figures adjusted in accordance with IRFS 9
Equity ratio – different ways of requirements
Basis: solid balance sheet
EQUITY RATIO WITHIN TARGETS
21
EQUITY RATIO & ROE & TOTAL CAPITAL RATIO
16.8% 16.9% 17.0% 17.4% 17.7%
10.7%
13.2%13.7%
15.0% 14.6%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Equity Ratio (Balance Sheet)
Total Capital Ratio according to CRRROE after Tax
17.68%
22.68%
15.65%
Economic capital (embedded value)
Balance sheet equity Regulatory capital
16.0%
10.5%
as a % of total assets (risk-weighted assets) as per Dec. 31, 2017
Our partners
22
HU, ES, IT
ES, PT, SKIT
IT, UK
IT
Buy
Neutral
Shareholder structure and Analyst overview
23
AVERAGE 2017 2018E (IFRS9)
EPS in EUR 2.74 2.76
Profit in EURm 125.0 146.5 (130.9)
EBT in EURm 158.5 196.1 (165.6)
Price/Earnings-Ratio 28.1 31.4
Share price in EUR 79.2 95.9
Buy: Buy, add, overweight | Neutral: Neutral, Hold | Sell: Sell, underweight
Grenke Beteiligung
GmbH & Co. KG*
40.8
Management** 0.7
Freefloat 55.5
Shareholder structure
As per June 2018IN PER CENT
* General Partner: Grenke Vermögensverwaltung GmbH;
Limited Partner: Family Grenke (Wolfgang, Anneliese, Moritz, Roland, Oliver Grenke)
** Management: Supervisory Board and Board of Directors
TOTAL SHARES: 46,353,918Grenke Foundation
3.0
ANALYST EXPECTATIONS
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements
are statements that are neither facts nor a description of past events; they comprise
statements relating to our assumptions and expectations. Each statement made
in this presentation that reflects our intentions, assumptions, expectations or forecasts
as well as the underlying presumptions is a forward-looking statement. These statements
are based on planning figures, estimates and forecasts currently available to the Board
of Directors of GRENKE AG. Accordingly, forward-looking statements refer exclusively
to planning data, estimates and forecasts at the time at which they are made.
We assume no responsibility to further develop or modify such statements
in the event of fresh information being available or future events occurring.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements imply risks and uncertainty factors.
A large number of key factors can contribute towards actual events varying quite
substantially from forward-looking statements. Such factors include the condition
of the financial markets and the regional focal points of our investment activities.
24
Notes
Leasing – Banking – Factoring | Investor Relations25
Notes
Leasing – Banking – Factoring | Investor Relations26
Notes
Leasing – Banking – Factoring | Investor Relations27