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Discover the world at Leiden University LCA (analisis siklus hidup ): past, present, future & perspectives for South-East Asia / Indonesia Jeroen Guinée | 2nd ILCAN Conference Series on Life Cycle Assessment (“Life Cycle Perspectives to support Sustainable Development”), Universitas Pelita Harapan Campus, Tangerang, Indonesia

LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Page 1: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

Discover the world at Leiden UniversityDiscover the world at Leiden University

LCA (analisis siklus hidup):past, present, future & perspectives

for South-East Asia / Indonesia

Jeroen Guinée | 2nd ILCAN Conference Series on Life Cycle Assessment (“Life Cycle Perspectivesto support Sustainable Development”), Universitas Pelita Harapan Campus, Tangerang, Indonesia

Page 2: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Contents

•Past-Present-Future of LCA

•LCA perspectives for South-East Asia (SEA) / Indonesia

Contents

Page 3: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Life Cycle Assessment (LCA; ISO 14044)

• Complete picture to map andavoid potential problem shifting- whole life-cycle

- All burdens and impacts

• Compilation and evaluation of the inputs, outputs and the potentialenvironmental impacts of a product system throughout its life cycle

Page 4: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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LCA: how did it evolve?

Page 5: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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USA:• Late 60s and early 70s: first solid waste LCAs

• Later broadened to energy, resources, chemical emissions and solidwaste

• Beverage containers:- Midwest Research Institute (Kansas City, US)o Resource and Environmental Profile Analysis (REPA)

Past – Present - Future

Page 6: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Europe: Basler & Hofmann, 1974

• First “impact assessment” (1974 !)

Past – Present - Future

Page 7: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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First mentioning of ‘avoided burden’, 1979crediting copper system co-producing steam-based electricity

Source: Boustead & Hancock, 1979, p.292

Past – Present - Future

Page 8: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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80s: Rapidly growing interest

• Swiss EMPA 1984:“Ökobilanzen von Packstoffen”

- first “database”

Page 9: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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• Workshops• LCA guides and handbooks• Dedicated scientific journals• Databases& software

90s: Remarkable growth of scientificactivities world-wide

Page 10: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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How to get famous?

• Publish in the Int. J. Life CycleAss.

Past – Present - Future

Page 11: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Harmonisation• SETAC ‘Code of Practice’

Past – Present - Future

Page 12: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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And Standardization: ISO

Past – Present - Future

Page 13: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA ofProducts. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13

Direct applications:

- Product developmentand improvement

- Strategic planning- Public policy making- Marketing- Other

Goal and scopedefinition

Inventoryanalysis

Impactassessment

Interpretation

Life cycle assessment framework

ISO’s famous framework(ISO14040, 1996)

… did you know …

Past – Present - Future

Page 14: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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2000-2010: dissemination & policy• UNEP-SETAC Life Cycle Initiative launched in 2002:

- putting LCT into practice (http://lcinitiative.unep.fr/)

- improving tools through better data and indicators

• European Policy:- Integrated Product Policy (IPP)

- European Platform on LCA established in 2005

- Renewable Energy Directive (RED)

• US-EPA promotes use of LCA: http://www.epa.gov/nrmrl/lcaccess/

• Various regional LCA networks (Australia, Canada, Thailand, Indonesia, …)

Past – Present - Future

Page 15: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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00s: … and new Handbooks

among which numerousCarbon Footprint

Standards/Handbooks

Past – Present - Future

Page 16: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Lessons from bio-energy studies• LCA limitations & discussions:

- data gaps and uncertainties

- influence of key methodological choices

- incompleteness of impacts included:o limited focus on GHG (CO2-eq.)

• Poorly or not captured, direct or indirect, side effects:- e.g., cutting of tropical forest, peat swamp cultivation, rising food prices (Mexican

tortilla crisis), …

Source: van der Voet et al., Biofuels 2010 (1)3: 435-449

Past – Present - Future

Page 17: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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2010-now: Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA)

• First use of LCSA by Zhou et al. (2006/2007)- LCSA = LCA + LCC

• Klöpffer & Renner (2007):- LCSA = LCA + LCC + SLCA

• Zamagni et al. (2009); Guinée et al. (2011)- Broadening of impactso LCSA = LCA + LCC + SLCA

- Broadening level of analysiso Product-, sector-, and economy-wide questions & analyses

- Deepeningo E.g, modelling rebound effects

Past – Present - Future

Page 18: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Developing LCSA activities

• LCSA section in ISIE• SETAC-UNEP LCSA WG (broadening indicators)• Special issues of Int. Journal of LCA and Journal of Industrial Ecology• Open access book “Taking stock of industrial Ecology” with Chapter on

LCSA (http://link.springer.com/book/10.1007%2F978-3-319-20571-7)• ………

Past – Present - Future

Page 19: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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PERSPECTIVES FOR SOUTH-EASTASIA (SEA) / INDONESIA

What can SEA learn from LCA history to speed up its LCA developments?

Perspectives SEA

Page 20: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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For doing an LCA in practice, we need:• A method

• Software

• Data (inventory, impact assessment)

• (Applications)

• (Training course)

Perspectives SEA

Page 21: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Handbooks

Perspectives SEA

Page 22: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Software

Perspectives SEA

Page 23: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Small interruption ….• Who knows ‘SimaPro’ ?• Did you know that:

- 25 years ago …..

- the first – and CML’s last !! – SimaProversion was developed

- At CML, Leiden, the Netherlands…

- by these guys

• Riddle: SimaPro stands for ….?

Riddle

Page 24: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Databases

sources: https://nexus.openlca.org/databaseshttp://faculty.washington.edu/cooperjs/DFE_Website/LCA_database_list.htm

Perspectives SEA

Page 25: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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All databases focus on EU and USA mainlyDatabase Geographical focus Temporal scope

ecoinvent + LC-Inventories.ch Europe, although scope is global(see next slide)

1995-2005

Probas; Ökobaudat; bioenergiedat Germany, Europe 1995-2015; 1995-2015; 2010-2030

GaBi Mainly Europe, some USA,Indian, Japan etc.

1995-2015

Agribalyse France ?

U.S. Life Cycle Inventory Database USA 1995-2010

NEEDS Europe 2010, 2025, 2050

ELCD Europe 1995-2015

…. etc.

Perspectives SEA

Page 26: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Geographical representation ecoinvent v2.2 processes (%)

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

25,0%

30,0%

35,0%

40,0%

Glo

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urop

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rst C

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Sout

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t Pow

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ool (

USA

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Alg

eria

Aus

tral

iaA

ustr

iaB

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a an

d H

erze

govi

naB

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lB

ulga

ria

Can

ada

Chi

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hina

Cro

atia

Cze

ch R

epub

licD

enm

ark

Finl

and

Fran

ceG

erm

any

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ece

Hun

gary

Indi

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done

sia

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and

Isra

elIt

aly

Japa

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orea

, Rep

ublic

Of

Luxe

mbo

urg

Mac

edon

ia, T

he F

orm

er Y

ugos

lav

Rep

ublic

Of

Mal

aysi

aM

oroc

coN

ethe

rlan

dsN

ew Z

eala

ndN

orw

ayPa

pua

New

Gui

nea

Peru

Phili

ppin

esPo

land

Port

ugal

Rom

ania

Rus

sian

Fed

erat

ion

Serb

ia a

nd M

onte

negr

oSl

ovak

iaSl

oven

iaSo

uth

Afr

ica

Spai

nSw

eden

Swit

zerl

and

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ania

, Uni

ted

Rep

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Europe Switzerland

Perspectives SEA

Page 27: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Countries with specific LCI data for power generation andsupply (mixes)

Source: Treyer & Bauer 2013, Int J of LCA, DOI 10.1007/s11367-013-0665-2;See also Int J LCA 21 (9), special issue on ecoinvent v3

Page 28: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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SEA processes in ecoinvent v2.2

Perspectives SEA

Abbreviation Country no. of processes in ecoinvent v2.2 no. of processes in ecoinvent v3.3

ID Indonesia 3 32

MY Malaysia 10 28

PG Papua New Guinea 3 2

PH Philippines 2 11

TH Thailand 3 28

21 101

Process Country Category Process Country Category

palm fruit bunches, at farm MY agricultural production mine, gold and silver PG metals

husked nuts harvesting, at farm PH agricultural production gold, from combined gold-silver production, at refinery PG metals

palm kernel meal, at oil mill MY biomass silver, from combined gold-silver production, at refinery PG metals

palm methyl ester, at esterification plant MY biomass sulphate pulp, from eucalyptus ssp. (SFM), unbleached, at pulpmill TH paper & cardboard

palm kernel oil, at oil mill MY chemicals round wood, primary forest, clear-cutting, at forest road MY wooden materials

palm oil, at oil mill MY chemicals provision, stubbed land MY wooden materials

glycerine, from palm oil, at esterification plant MY chemicals meranti, standing, under bark, u=70%, in rainforest MY wooden materials

crude coconut oil, at plant PH chemicals roundwood, meranti (SFM), under bark, u=70%, at forest road MY wooden materials

copper concentrate, at beneficiation ID metals eucalyptus ssp., standing, under bark, u=50%, in plantation TH wooden materials

copper, primary, at refinery ID metals roundwood, eucalyptus ssp. (SFM), under bark, u=50%, at forest road TH wooden materials

molybdenum concentrate, couple production Cu ID metals

Page 29: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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The V2.2 data sets don’t yet fully representwhat they aim for

Copper concentrate, atbeneficiation, Indonesia

The inventory for thebeneficiation of Indonesiancopper concentrate ismodelled with mostlyEuropean flow data.

Perspectives SEA

ecoinvent

V2.2 V3.3

... [RER] [ID, 2009-2016]

… [RER] [ID, 2009-2016]

... [RER] [ID, 2009-2016]

… [RER] [ID, 2009-2016]

… [RER] [ID, 2009-2016]

Page 30: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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World export map

Perspectives SEA

Top commodities exported byIndonesia include(http://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/idn/):

Coal briquettes

Palm oil

Petroleum gas

Crude petroleum

Rubber

Copper ore, ….

……

Page 31: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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LCA data representing SEA is main issue• Don’t focus too much on methodology and software:

- Already received/receives most attention

- Apply, learn and adapt them as needed to suit SEA

• Focus: unit process data representing the SEA industry- SEA heavily under-represented in current databases

- Unit process data mainly determine an LCA’s quality:

•Let’s go for a (South East) Asian “ecoinvent” (see also:http://www.ecoinvent.org/about/projects/sri-project/sri-project.html)

goodsservices

materialsenergy

waste* (for treatment)

goodsservicesmaterialsenergywaste (for treatment)

environmentalinterventions

economicflows

chemicals to the airchemicals to waterchemicals to the soilradionuclidessoundwaste heatcasualties

abiotic resourcesbiotic resources

land occupation

products products * economicflows

environmentalinterventions

UNIT PROCESS /PRODUCT SYSTEM

* the functional flows of the process

OUTPUTSINPUTS

land transformation

etc.

Perspectives SEA

− fossil fuels; palm oil, coconut oil, rubber, equipment, …− metal ores; clothing; plywood; ...

Page 32: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Further lessons to speed up SEA-LCA

• Transparency and credibility: publishsources, data and full result-details

• LCA is hard work and includes manyuncertainties ...- but the answer always is …

o don’t ignore but deal with uncertainties

Perspectives SEA

Pencil!!

Page 33: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Further lessons to speed up SEA-LCAEx-post versus ex-ante LCA:

what’s the stronger side of LCA?

Perspectives SEA

Page 34: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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Riddle: SimaPro’s meaning (it’s Dutch )• S = Systeem (System)• i = integrale (integral)• m = milieu (environmental)• a = analyse (analysis)• Pro = Produkten (Products)

Systeem voor de integrale milieu-analyse van Produkten

System for the integral environmental analysis of Products

Riddle

Page 35: LCA (analisis siklus hidup)Guinée et al. 1993. Quantitative LCA of Products. J Clean Prod (1)1, 3-13 Direct applications: - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning

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