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LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 1
May January February March April June
Brexit Dust Not Yet Settled; Risk-free Interest Rates Reset Lower
Risk-Off: Core Yields Compress Further, Value-Add: Return Requirements Rise
Defensive Property Tilts Validated; Spreads Indicate Fair Pricing for Core
Volatility and Uncertainty Creates Opportunities to Capitalize on Mispricing
DTU-Rich Markets Are Close to Fully Priced, Next Tier Represents Better Value
Cycle Charts, Mid-Year ISA Themes, Asset Class Returns
LaSalle’s Mid-Year ISA Preview– Macro Indicators
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 2
Based on Bloomberg Global Developed Sovereign Bond Index (maturities over 1 year in developed markets). Weighted based on current market value. Latest as of 6 July 2016
Over 40% of Developed Market Gov’t Bonds Have Negative Yields Result is Likely to Support Core Real Estate Pricing
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Aug
-14
Oct-
14
De
c-1
4
Feb
-15
Apr-
15
Ju
n-1
5
Aug
-15
Oct-
15
De
c-1
5
Feb
-16
Apr-
16
Ju
n-1
6
Share of Gov’t Bonds with Negative Yields1 Bond
Yields 1 Yr 2 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
Switzerland -1.00% -1.04% -0.99% -0.62% -0.24% -0.11%
Germany -0.62% -0.68% -0.60% -0.18% 0.09% 0.35%
Japan -0.34% -0.33% -0.35% -0.27% 0.02% 0.05%
France -0.56% -0.61% -0.40% 0.13% 0.70% 0.88%
UK 0.19% 0.13% 0.35% 0.77% 1.45% 1.58%
US 0.44% 0.58% 0.94% 1.37% 1.75% 2.14%
Canada 0.50% 0.49% 0.54% 0.97% 1.55% 1.55%
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 3
Sharp Currency and Equity Market Reaction to Brexit Sterling Down 11% vs. Euro
Source: Bloomberg. Data to 6 July 2016.
Sterling vs. USD and EUR
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
1.60
12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16
£ to $ £ to €
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16
FTSE 100
FTSE 250
EPRA UK REITs (Local)
UK Equity Indices (23 June = 100)
The FTSE 100 index is comprised of major exporters whose revenue is primarily in currencies other than sterling, so has
been resilient. The FTSE 250 and EPRA UK REIT index have seen sharper declines of 9.6% and 21.0%, respectively.
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 4
Source: Bloomberg, LaSalle. Updated 6 July 2016
Implied Risk-Free Rates in Ten Years Have Plunged YTD
Suggests Higher Residual Values for Core Real Estate
10Y Government Bonds
-0.3
0.3
0.8
1.3
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
De
c-1
1
Ap
r-12
Au
g-1
2
De
c-1
2
Ap
r-13
Au
g-1
3
De
c-1
3
Ap
r-14
Au
g-1
4
De
c-1
4
Ap
r-15
Au
g-1
5
De
c-1
5
Ap
r-16
10
Ye
ar
Yie
lds, %
US: 1.37% Germany: -0.18%
UK: 0.77% Japan: -0.27%
Yield Curve Implied 10Y Rate in 2026
Based on
Yield
Curve on
12/31/15
Based on
Yield
Curve on
7/6/16
Change
(bps)
Germany 1.95 0.36 -159
Japan 1.84 0.36 -148
France 2.63 1.32 -131
UK 3.23 2.24 -99
Australia 4.18 3.2 -98
United States 3.19 2.23 -96
Mexico 8.03 7.22 -81
South Korea 2.29 1.58 -71
Canada 3.06 2.45 -61
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 5
Quotes of the Month
Martin Wolf, writing in the Financial Times on 24 June
Angela Merkel sets out the EU negotiating position, 28 June
#Brexit #brexitregret #Regrexit
“The UK, Europe, the west and the world are damaged…
business simply does not know how politicians will end
up approaching the difficult negotiations ahead. This
uncertainty has always been the obvious result of a vote
to leave. Only time will clear this fog… The UK did well
inside the EU. It is unlikely to do as well outside it.”
Tremors Spreading to Southern Europe
“We know what we have to do on the banks and we’ll do it
knowing it serves the country and respects European rules…
We are not here to be given a lesson by the schoolteacher”
[German Chancellor Angela Merkel]
Italian PM Renzi considers breaking EU Rules
to bail out Italian banks , 30 June 2016 press conference
Updated Probabilities
July 2016 Fed Rate Hike (implied
by futures today) 0%
Fed Rate Hike by Dec 2016 (implied by futures today)
12%
Trump winning the US
Presidential election (Predictwise) 26%
2nd EU Referendum in UK (based on Paddy Power bookmaker odds)
21%
“We will make sure that negotiations will not be carried out as a
cherry-picking exercise…Whoever wants to leave this family
cannot expect to shed all its responsibilities but keep the
privileges”
WOLFGANG KUMM/DPA Expanded Panama Canal Opens
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 6
Brexit: Uncertainty Could Persist Until the End of the Decade Possible Timeline for UK Exit of EU
EFTA = European Free Trade Area ; EUCU = European Union Customs Union
Source: LaSalle (06/16)
Referendum in favour
of EU exit
Negotiation of existing
relationship
UK leaves EU but joins
EFTA or EUCU
Negotiation of future
relationship
Significant
Uncertainty Moderate
Uncertainty
2016 2017 2018 2019 2025
No
Uncertainty
Rebalanced economy
away from EU
If not low rent/long lease/strong
covenant, then consider selling value-
add in London (especially City offices)
Modest caution persists for value-add in London. Watch for delayed or
gradual impact on occupier demand for; South East offices, South East
industrials, student housing & secondary retail
Business as usual
Acquire low risk assets that may have
been mispriced along with high risk
assets
With the worst of the uncertainty in the past, rents will have bottomed
out and yields peaked. Consider resuming prior investment activity Business as usual
Level of Uncertainty
Real Estate Investment Recommendations: Purchases
Real Estate Investment Recommendations: Sales
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 7
Mid-Year Update to the Investment Strategy Annual To Be Released in the Next Week
Look out for our updated views on recommended real estate
investment strategy in the Mid-Year ISA report over the next week.
Other Recent Research at http://www.lasalle.com/research
The Impact of
Brexit on UK
Real Estate
The Impact of
Brexit on
Continental
European Real
Estate
LaSalle and JLL’s Global Real Estate Transparency Index was released in June, highlighting dozens of new developments in performance measurement, available data, new laws affecting property, and sustainability. Full results at: http://www.jll.com/greti
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 8
To 30 June 2016 (Actuals) To 2Q 2016 (Q2 Forecast)
Average Annual
Total Return
Global
Stocks1
Global RE
Securities2
Global
Corporate
Bonds3
Global
Govt.
Bonds4
UK Direct
Property
(IPD)5
US Direct
Property
(NCREIF)6
Canada
Direct
Property
(IPD)7
Australia
Direct
Property
(IPD)8
1 Year -2.6% 12.6% 7.1% 8.5% 9.2% 11.4% 7.6% 13.7%
3 Years 8.7% 8.9% 5.3% 5.7% 13.7% 11.8% 7.9% 11.7%
5 Years 8.6% 8.6% 5.6% 5.1% 9.9% 11.7% 10.3% 10.8%
10 Years 5.2% 5.0% 5.9% 4.6% 4.8% 7.5% 9.8% 9.3%
20 Years 6.3% 8.5% 6.2% 4.9% 8.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.6%
2016 to June 23 1.2% 8.3% 5.6% 4.7% 2.8%* (1H) 5.0%* (1H) 2.1%* (1H) 5.9%* (1H)
Since June 23 -1.7% 0.8% 2.3% 2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
Mid-Year 2016 Returns Bonds and Property Outperformed Equities Over Last Year
Notes on Sources
1. MSCI All Country Gross World Total Return Index in Local Currency
2. EPRA/NAREIT Global (Developed) Index Total Return in US Dollars
3. Citigroup World Corporate Bond Index Total Return in US Dollars (Local Currency History Not Available Prior to 1999)
4. Citigroup World Government Bond Index All Maturities Total Returns in Local Currency
5. UK Investment Property Databank (IPD) Quarterly Standing Property Total Returns in British Pounds, data prior to Dec 2001 is IPD Annual.
6. US NCREIF Property Index Total Returns in US Dollars
7. Canada Investment Property Databank (IPD) Quarterly Standing Property Total Returns in Canada Dollars
8. Australia Investment Property Databank (IPD) Quarterly Standing Property Total Returns in Australian Dollars
*2Q 2016 quarterly return for UK, Canada, Australia , and US is forecast. Actual data history through 1Q 2016. Updated 6 July 2016
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 9
United States
Sector 2016 to
23 June
Since 23
June
US REITs 9.9% 4.5%
US Triple Net 23.3% 9.0%
US Single Family Homes for
Rent 18.2% 7.7%
US Self Storage -1.2% 7.3%
US Shopping Centers 10.9% 7.2%
US Life Sciences 18.0% 6.7%
US Student Housing 20.5% 6.0%
US Apartments -3.7% 6.0%
US Health Care 11.4% 5.5%
US Regional Malls 7.2% 5.1%
US Data Centers 34.5% 3.1%
US Office 5.2% 2.3%
US Industrial 21.8% 1.5%
US Hotels 4.3% -1.3%
REIT Returns Year to Date Highlight Risk-Off Shift Defensive Niche Sectors Rally Post-Brexit; UK REITs Down Sharply
Europe
Sector
2016 to
23
June
Since 23
June
UK REITs -0.3% -29.1%
Continental
Europe 11.3% -4.4%
Europe
Residential 14.9% -4.5%
Europe Hotels -8.3% -7.2%
Europe Retail 7.1% -15.2%
Europe
Healthcare 9.1% -17.5%
Europe
Diversified REITs 1.0% -21.9%
Europe Office 3.7% -19.6%
Europe Industrial 6.6% -22.3%
Asia Pacific
Sector
2016 to
23
June
Since 23
June
Hong Kong
REITs -0.4% 4.9%
Japan REITs 5.9% 3.6%
Singapore
REITs 8.9% 2.5%
Australia REITs 19.7% 2.3%
AP Residential 17.7% 9.7%
AP Office 20.0% 4.9%
AP Retail 17.2% 4.3%
AP Industrial 15.6% 4.0%
AP Diversified 2.2% 2.5%
AP Hotels 18.6% 0.7%
Source: NAREIT, EPRA, LaSalle Securities. Data to 5 July 2016
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 10
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Net in
flow
s into
pro
pert
y f
unds (
£m
)
Net Retail Fund Inflows 6-Month Rolling Inflows Average Inflows
Net Flows to UK Real Estate Retail Funds
UK Retail Real Estate Funds Face Accelerated Outflows and Freeze
Average inflow
Source: LaSalle (06/16) IMA (03/16)
Latest update (July 6th): Six UK open-ended funds have suspended redemptions since the Brexit vote of June 23rd.
These funds represent more than 60% of UK retail funds.
UK retail real estate funds were facing outflows before Brexit and have an inherent mismatch between their promise of
liquidity to small investors and their less liquid assets. They represent a small 7% share of UK commercial real estate.
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 11
Risks to real estate will peak in the 12-24 months following the vote. Expect negative yield impact
for lower yielding assets and negative rental impact on Central London offices.
In our view, the long-term impact of a Brexit remains broadly neutral on the UK but short term
GDP growth could fall to 1% (from 2.4% in 2016/17).
Brexit may open-up mis-priced opportunities in 2017, as our view is of long term impact of Brexit
being neutral is more positive than consensus or PMA.
Whilst acknowledging the exposed sectors/locations highlighted in this analysis, new acquisitions
should exhibit one or more of the following features:
Their location is improving thanks to infrastructure and demographic changes
Tenant demand will be rewarded by increased rents in the short term
Have optionality of the asset’s use, reflecting the underlying value of the land.
Reduce leverage levels and anticipate liquidity needs if credit tightens or equity flows freeze up
Trade limited upside for a preferred return such as mezzanine debt & whole loans
Cull portfolios of non-strategic assets: take advantage of market liquidity and sell assets that lack
long-term potential or optionality and redeploy
Brexit Impact on UK
Source: LaSalle (06/16). For a very detailed analysis of the potential impact please see our March 2016 paper entitled “The Impact of Brexit on UK Real Estate” (refreshed post-
referendum results on June 24th).
Conclusions & Investment Considerations
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 12
Brexit Impact on Continental Europe
The importance of peace & stability means that Germany and
France will stabilize and further integrate the EU (and also
pause further EU expansion)
The European consumer will be pretty insensitive to Brexit.
Trade flows will not collapse: Germany, Netherlands, Poland
and others run trade surpluses above 1% of GDP with the UK.
The negative GDP impact for the rest of EU will be very modest.
The EU is likely to lose international influence
The EU’s relative competitiveness will be tested by the UK’s new
tax / regulations framework.
Political implications will be more far-reaching than economic impacts
Source: LaSalle (06/16). For a very detailed analysis of the potential impact please see our May 2016 paper entitled “The Impact of Brexit on Continental European Real Estate”
(refreshed post-referendum results on June 24th).
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 13
Real estate winners and losers following Brexit Relocation of Capital, People & FDI Will Generally Benefit Continental
European Real Estate
• Paris and Frankfurt
offices
• German and Dutch
residential markets
• Student housing on
the Continent
LOSERS WINNERS
• London City offices
• UK-EU trade-led
industrial markets
• EU budget shortfall
(€6.1bn)
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 14
Early
Recovery
Recovery Expansion Mature
Cycle
Falling Bottoming
1 2 3 4 5 6
Where are we in the economic cycle? Mid year 2016
Source: LaSalle (06/16)
Economic Cycle
China
U.K.
U.S.
Germany
Canada
Spain
Australia
France
Italy
Japan
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 15
Early
Recovery
Recovery Expansion Mature
Cycle
Falling Bottoming
1 2 3 4 5 6
Where are we in the occupier market cycle? Mid year 2016
Source: LaSalle (06/16)
Note: China represents Shanghai & Beijing
Occupier Market Cycle
U.K.
Canada Resource Driven
Australia Resource Driven
Canada Non-Resource Driven
Australia Non-Resource Driven
China
U.S.
Japan
Germany
Spain
Italy France
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 16
Early
Recovery
Recovery Expansion Mature
Cycle
Falling Bottoming
1 2 3 4 5 6
Where are we in the capital market cycle? Mid year 2016
Source: LaSalle (06/16)
Note: China represents Shanghai & Beijing
Capital Market Cycle
Canada Resource Driven
Australia Resource Driven
Canada Non-Resource Driven
Australia Non-Resource Driven
U.K.
China
U.S.
Japan
Germany
France
Spain
Italy
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 17
30-Day Change
+14* All-time
Max +104
All-time
Min -91
Citi Economic Surprise Index*
Citi Economic Surprise Index*
30-Day Change
+24* All-time
Max +133
All-time
Min -112
LaSalle News Barometer in June / July
• Low unemployment (4.7%) and fewer
unemployment claims continue to
indicate an improving labor market.
• Expanded Panama Canal opened.
• Q1 GDP was revised up to 1.1%. Real
time indicators (like the Fed’s GDP-
Now) suggest Q2 GDP will be higher
• Direct impact of Brexit fallout on
Canada forecast to be minimal: 4% of
exports, 1% of imports tied to UK.
Asia
-Pacif
ic
Economy
Eu
rop
e
No
rth
Am
eri
ca
• Result awaited in Australian
election as votes counted
• Japanese Upper House
election on 10 July
• Bank of Japan monetary
policy meeting 28-29 July
Upcoming Events Real Estate Impact
• The Moody’s / RCA CPPI index shows
that US property prices have stabilized.
Prices rose slightly in March and April by
this measure, following three months of
slight declines.
• Construction lending has pulled back.
• Lower risk-free rates will likely put
renewed downward pressure on core cap
rates.
• Leasing velocity is likely to slow.
• The UK voted to leave the EU by a 52
/48 margin on 23 June, but has not yet
formally started the legal departure
process.
• Eurozone finance ministers have
offered Greece debt relief from 2018 if
the country delivers by then on all
reforms agreed under its latest bailout.
• In Spain, King Felipe VI decided that no
political party has enough support to
form a government and confirmed that
new elections would be held.
• Risks will remain elevated for 12-24
months but the current turmoil is also an
opportunity for cross-border investors to
enter the UK at an attractive basis.
• Best UK ideas, resilient to Brexit, include
PRS, income producing assets on sites
with alternative uses, and mezzanine
debt.
• Urban retail, edge of CBD offices, urban
logistics and mezzanine debt are favored
core strategies on the Continent.
• UK PM Cameron’s
successor to be elected by
Conservative party
members , with result on 9
Sept.
• Italy expected to hold
constitutional reform
referendum in October.
• Spain expected to form
their new government over
the next month.
Citi Economic Surprise Index*
30-Day Change
-29* All-time
Max +116
All-time
Min -101
• Bank of Korea interest rate cut to 1.25%
• The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its
interest rate to 1.75% as inflation
remained low
• Total Social Financing fell short of
expectation by half and money supply
M2 growth was below target rate of
13%.
• Fallout from Brexit is expected to be
limited. The UK is a relatively small
trading partner with Asia-Pacific.
• Safe haven flows to Japan.
• Substantial reserves and low external
debt will help China avoid a hard
landing. The weaker renminbi may also
help exports to the US.
• Australian office, warehouses in HK and
Singapore among top investment ideas.
• US Jobs report, 8 July.
• US Presidential nominating
conventions are in July:
Democrats meet in
Philadelphia July 25-28 and
Republicans meet in
Cleveland July 18-21
• Fed’s FOMC meets July 26-27
Source: Citi, Bloomberg. *Because the Citi Economic surprise indices are based on macro data releases, they
have been little affected by Brexit to date and so were not used this month to set our newsmeter.
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 18
Source: Bloomberg Survey of Forecasters – Latest forecasts as of 5 July 2016. UK forecast is based on Bloomberg Consensus forecast including only sources with forecasts revised
after the Brexit vote.
GDP Revisions Have Been Down Through Mid-Year 2016 UK GDP Forecast Revised Sharply Down in Face of Brexit
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
GD
P G
row
th
2016 Forecast as of Dec. 2015 2016 Forecast 2017 Forecast 2018 Forecast
GDP Growth Forecasts
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 19
1400
1450
1500
1550
1600
1650
1700
1750
31
-De
c-1
5
31
-Ja
n-1
6
29
-Fe
b-1
6
31
-Ma
r-1
6
30
-Apr-
16
31
-Ma
y-1
6
30
-Ju
n-1
6
Downside Surprises Define 2016 to Date Slowing China, Populist Politics, and Negative Interest Rates
MSCI World Index
Source: Bloomberg. Updated 6 July 2016
China cuts reserve requirements.
US reports slowing
Job growth of 151k in Jan.
Yellen
testimony
focuses on
slower
growth
Abe delays sales tax rise in
Japan Weak
China PMI
Reading
Bank of Japan
announces
negative rates Ch
ina
re
po
rts
6.9
% G
DP
China
eases,
lowers
growth
target
Weak China PMI,
AUS cuts rates
Holding Fire: Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko
Kuroda did not introduce new monetary stimulus
on 28 August
ECB Cuts
Rates
Panama Papers
breaks
Rousseff suspended
ECB starts
buying corporate
bonds
Brexit vote
Expanded
Panama
Canal opens
EU approves
some Italian
guarantees
to banks
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 20
A Leading Indicator for Real Estate: Corporate Bond Spreads
Source: Bloomberg
European Spread is based on 5 year notes; US BAA spread based on 30 year notes; US High Yield spread based on 10 year notes; UK investment grade spread based on 10 year
notes; UK high yield spread based on 5 year notes. Updated 6 July 2016
Inv. Grade Corporate Bond Spreads
Up in UK, Less Movement in Europe and US
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016S
pre
ad t
o R
isk F
ree (
bps)
Europe High Yield Bonds
US High Yield Bonds
UK High Yield Bonds
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Spre
ad t
o R
isk F
ree (
bps)
US BAA Corporate Bonds
Europe Investment Grade Bonds
UK Investment Grade Bonds
High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 21
5.5
5.7
5.9
6.1
6.3
6.5
6.7
6.9
7.1
7.3
7.5
Ja
n-1
0
Ap
r-10
Ju
l-1
0
Oct-
10
Ja
n-1
1
Ap
r-11
Ju
l-1
1
Oct-
11
Ja
n-1
2
Ap
r-12
Ju
l-1
2
Oct-
12
Ja
n-1
3
Ap
r-13
Ju
l-1
3
Oct-
13
Ja
n-1
4
Ap
r-14
Ju
l-1
4
Oct-
14
Ja
n-1
5
Ap
r-15
Ju
l-1
5
Oct-
15
Ja
n-1
6
Ap
r-16
Ju
l-1
6
US
D –
CN
Y E
xch
an
ge
Rate
Daily allowed trading band
PBOC Widens Trading
Band to 1% from 0.5%
RMB Weakens vs. Dollar
Source: Bloomberg. Updated 6 July 2016
Down by 1.6% Since 23 June
China’s foreign exchange reserves stabilized in March, April, and May, following steep declines over the previous 12
months.
PBOC Widens Trading
Band to 2% from 1%
Surprise devaluation of
Approximately 3%
Over 2 Days
RMB Exchange Rate
China confirms and provides details on RMB
tracking mixed currency basket, rather than USD only
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 22
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Ap
r-9
2
Ap
r-9
4
Ap
r-9
6
Ap
r-9
8
Ap
r-0
0
Ap
r-0
2
Ap
r-0
4
Ap
r-0
6
Ap
r-0
8
Ap
r-1
0
Ap
r-1
2
Ap
r-1
4
Ap
r-1
6
Y/Y
Tra
de
Gro
wth
Global Merchandise Trade Growth
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Cro
ss
Bo
rde
r %
of
To
tal V
olu
me
, T
TM
Cross Border RE Transaction Volume, %
World Goods Trade Stalls, But Capital Flows Still Going Global
Cross Border Has Accounted for Greater Share of Transactions Since 2013
Source: CPB World Trade Monitor, Real Capital Analytics. Data latest as of 6 July 2016.
The upward trend in cross-border transaction volume as a share of all trades was reversed in the first half of 2016. It is
too early to tell if this is a temporary result of the particular property mix YTD, or a meaningful shift.
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 23
Spread of 10-Year Government Bonds to 2-Year Government Rate
Source: Moody’s Analytics, Bloomberg. Updated 6 July 2016
Term Spread Falls to Post-GFC Low After Brexit Reliable Leading Indicator at Lowest Point Since 2008 in Both US and UK
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
10
-Ye
ar
Sp
rea
d to
Ove
rnig
ht R
ese
rve
Ra
te (
bp
s)
US Spread UK Spread
US
Recessions
Spread Falls and Turns Negative
Before Recessions
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 24
Crude Oil Price per Barrel (Brent)
Source: Bloomberg. As of 6 July 2016
Oil Prices Up 32% Year-to-Date in 2016 Price Flat Since Late May
The stronger dollar makes oil, priced in USD, costlier for those in other currencies. As a result, this will likely put upward
pressure on inflation in the UK and keep inflation pressures very low in the US.
$25
$40
$55
$70
$85
$100
$115
Ap
r-1
4
May-1
4
Ju
n-1
4
Ju
l-14
Au
g-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Oct-
14
Nov-1
4
Dec-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
Feb
-15
Mar-
15
Ap
r-1
5
May-1
5
Ju
n-1
5
Ju
l-15
Au
g-1
5
Se
p-1
5
Oct-
15
Nov-1
5
Dec-1
5
Ja
n-1
6
Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Ap
r-1
6
May-1
6
Ju
n-1
6
Ju
l-16
June 19: $115.06
20 Jan:
$27.88
6 July:
$49.23
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 25
Italian Banks – Bad Debt to Total Assets
Source: Bloomberg. Latest data as of 6 July 2016.
Italian Banks Approach Crisis Need to Write Off Bad Debts to Regain Credibility, But Lack the Capital to Do So
One potential resolution is to raise capital by “bailing-in” bondholders, but in Italy many of these bondholders are retail
investors that did not appreciate the risk of these instruments. The Atalante (“Atlas”) rescue fund has far too little capital to
address this problem in its current form. Another solution – and the one apparently preferred by PM Renzi – is a direct
capital infusion / bailout , but this goes against EU rules.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Ap
r-0
0
Ap
r-0
1
Ap
r-0
2
Ap
r-0
3
Ap
r-0
4
Ap
r-0
5
Ap
r-0
6
Ap
r-0
7
Ap
r-0
8
Ap
r-0
9
Ap
r-1
0
Ap
r-1
1
Ap
r-1
2
Ap
r-1
3
Ap
r-1
4
Ap
r-1
5
Ap
r-1
6
Too much weight for Atlas
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 26
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Num
be
r o
f U
nic
orn
s
North America Europe
Asia MENA
South America
WeWork
Credit Karma
Eventbrite
Coupang
Uber
Snapchat
Stripe
SpaceX
Flipkart
Pintrest
Full year 2016
totals if
fundraising
continues at
current pace
Home 24
Coupa
Panshi
Lyft
Shazam
Anaplan
Skyscanner
Shopclues
Ping An Good
Doctor Source: CB Insights Latest data as of 5 July 2016
Unicorns are Getting Rarer Pace of Tech Unicorn Creation is Down from 2014-15
Number of Private Tech Start-ups with $1BN+ Valuations
Exam
ple
s
SurveyMonkey
Dropbox
Airbnb
VANCL Bloom
Energy
Most Recent Unicorns
Chicago
$1.0 B
June 13th
Beijing
$1.0 B
June 28th
Irvine, CA
$1.0 B
June 8th
San Francisco
$1.0 B
June 3rd
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 27
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
Source: Bloomberg. Updated 6 July 2016
Currency Earthquake After Brexit Sweden, China, Turkey, Poland Follow Pound Lower vs. Dollar
Change in Local Currency Value vs. US Dollar, January to June 23, 2016
Change in Local Currency Value vs. US Dollar Since Brexit Referendum
UK:
-13.1%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Unite
d K
ing
do
mS
wed
en
Po
lan
d
Hun
gary
Mexic
oT
urk
ey
Eu
ro
Czech
Re
pu
blic
So
uth
Afr
ica
Arg
entin
aS
witze
rlan
dIs
rae
l
Chin
aM
oro
cco
Can
ada
So
uth
Ko
rea
Ph
ilipp
ine
sA
ustr
alia
Taiw
an
Russia
Sin
ga
po
re
Mala
ysia
Costa
Ric
aIn
dia
Nig
eri
a
Ku
wait
Tha
ilan
dE
gyp
tS
au
di A
rabia
Le
ba
no
n
Qa
tar
Unite
d A
rab
Em
ira
tes
Hon
g K
ong
Pa
na
ma
An
go
laV
ietn
am
Pe
ruO
man
Ba
ng
lad
esh
Bra
zil
Ke
nya
Ind
on
esia
Chile
Ja
pan
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 28
UK & Europe
Italy Facing Banking Crisis, Referendum “The vultures are circling” Divorce announced
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 29
PMI Business Activity Index [6 month rolling average]
Source: LaSalle (06/16) Markit (05/16)
London’s Business Activity Ranking Lowest Since December 2014 Economic Climate
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
PM
I B
usin
ess A
ctivity Index
UK London Rest of UK
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 30
Cumulative Employment Growth
[2016-25]
Source: LaSalle (05/16) Oxford Economics (04/16)
Wealth More Widespread than Employment Prospects
Cumulative Disposable Income Growth
[2016-25]
Economic Axis from South to North West Most Positive Weak
Strong
Better prospects for
employment & spending
all sectors to benefit
Pockets of growth in
key markets/corridors
core strategies
advised but value-add
with caution
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 31
UK Investment Recommendations at Mid-Year Focus on Core as we enter the next phase of the cycle
Core Value-Add Opportunistic
Defensive Income
Best
Opportunities PRS
Outer London & rest of UK
Income on sites
with high
alternative use
value UK
Offices & multi-let
industrial incl.
refurbishment Gtr London & Major Cities
Brexit-related
repricing
DTU-led planning
risk & urban
regeneration UK
Mezzanine debt &
whole loans UK
Mezzanine debt &
whole loans UK
Other
Opportunities
Inflation-linked with
long-term site
value (especially
re-priced top
supermarkets) UK
Multi-let leisure UK
Urban logistics
development Major markets
Long hold
irreplaceable
assets Major cities
Prime shopping
centres & dominant
parks UK
PRS = Private Rented Sector (Residential)
DTU = Demographics, Technology, Urbanisation
Source: LaSalle (05/16)
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 32
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q106
Q107
Q108
Q109
Q110
Q111
Q112
Q113
Q114
Q115
Q116
0
3
6
9
12
15
Office take-up & vacancy rate Europe’s 40 largest office markets
Annual take-up in million sqm (LHS)
Vacancy rate in % (RHS)
Sources: JLL (04/16), LaSalle (05/16)
Office Take-Up Reaching a Ten Year High on the Continent City of London at Risk
Berlin
Prague
Stockholm
Paris WBD
Paris CBD
Munich
Frankfurt
Warsaw
London WE
Madrid
Amsterdam
Milan
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Paris La Défense
London City
-20 0 20 40 60
Office take-up change Year to Q1 2016 vs year to Q1 2015 (y/y, %)
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 33
Source: JLL / LaSalle (02/16)
*Sectors: Offices, Industrial, Retail Shops, Shopping Centres, Retail Warehouses;
Weighted by IPD/LaSalle’s estimates of investable market size.
Yields on Income-Producing Property Hit All-Time Low With the Exception of UK, Yields May Fall Further In Unprecedented Territory
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
Q102
Q302
Q103
Q303
Q104
Q304
Q105
Q305
Q106
Q306
Q107
Q307
Q108
Q308
Q109
Q309
Q110
Q310
Q111
Q311
Q112
Q312
Q113
Q313
Q114
Q314
Q115
Q315
Q116
Prime Property Yield Weighted average of 210 European market segments*
Mid 2009:
6.20%
End 2010:
5.50%
End 2012:
5.40% Q1 2016:
4.45% Q2 2007:
4.55%
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 34
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream (04/16), JLL (Q1 16)
Case Study: Switzerland may be an indicator of Europe’s future Negative Bond Yields Mean Property Yields Can Go Even Lower
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Q2
05
Q4
05
Q2
06
Q4
06
Q2
07
Q4
07
Q2
08
Q4
08
Q2
09
Q4
09
Q2
10
Q4
10
Q2
11
Q4
11
Q2
12
Q4
12
Q2
13
Q4
13
Q2
14
Q4
14
Q2
15
Q4
15
Cause: Switzerland: Interest rate & govt. bond yield
%
Interest Rate Govt bond yield
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Q2
05
Q4
05
Q2
06
Q4
06
Q2
07
Q4
07
Q2
08
Q4
08
Q2
09
Q4
09
Q2
10
Q4
10
Q2
11
Q4
11
Q2
12
Q4
12
Q2
13
Q4
13
Q2
14
Q4
14
Q2
15
Q4
15
Consequence: Switzerland: prime office yield & govt. bond yield
%
Spread Prime office yield Govt bond yield
Yield premium of real
estate is increasing
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 35
*Shopping centres and prime high street shops
DTU = Demographics, Technology, Urbanisation
Source: LaSalle (06/16)
Continental Europe Investment Recommendations Few Changes at Mid-Year
Core Value-Add Opportunistic
Defensive Income
Best
Opportunities
Urban or
dominant retail*
DE, FR, NL, SE,
IT, ES, PL,CZ
Edge of CBD
offices
Paris, German Top 5
Paris office
Refurbishments &
VEFA development Build-to-Core office
Gateway cities
Urban Logistics
Gateway cities
Aparthotels
Gateway cities and
travel hubs Residential
development
NL, DE
Mezzanine debt & whole loans
Other
Opportunities
Rented
residential
DE, NL
Student housing DTU-led planning
risk & urban
regeneration
Permanent Locations Rental recovery
Spain and Italy
Retail repositioning
W. Europe & PL, CZ
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 36
Asia Pacific
Delay in Tax Hike Still Counting the Votes in Australia Bank of China Reserves Backstop Economy
LaSalle Investment Management | 37
Source: Bloomberg, as of 1st July 2016
Investors Seek Relative Security of REITs REIT Prices Fare Better Than All Equities
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
01-J
un
03-J
un
05-J
un
07-J
un
09-J
un
11-J
un
13-J
un
15-J
un
17-J
un
19-J
un
21-J
un
23-J
un
25-J
un
27-J
un
29-J
un
Vo
lum
e (
mil
sh
are
s)
Ind
ex
Australian Share Indexes, June 23rd 2016 = 100
ASX 200 REIT Volume ASX 200 ASX 200 REIT
Brexit
vote
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
01-J
un
03-J
un
05-J
un
07-J
un
09-J
un
11-J
un
13-J
un
15-J
un
17-J
un
19-J
un
21-J
un
23-J
un
25-J
un
27-J
un
29-J
un
Vo
lum
e (
‘00
0 s
ha
res)
Ind
ex
Japanese Share Indexes, June 23rd 2016 = 100
TSE REIT Trading Volume Nikkei 225 TSE REIT Index
Brexit
vote
Japanese Share Price & Volume Indexes,
June 23rd 2016= 100
Australian Share Price & Volume Indexes,
June 23rd 2016= 100
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 38
Note: 1) Asia Pacific includes Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Emerging & Developing Asia. 2) All figures are as of end 2015 and are denoted
in USD billion.
* Please note “EU” includes the UK.
Source: IMF
UK and EU are Not Key Trading Partners of Asia Pacific AP Countries Have Been Trading More With Each Other than US and EU
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
APAC Tradewith U.S.
APAC Tradewith EU*
Intra-APACTrade
US
$ T
rillio
n
Asia Pacific Trade Volume among Trade Partners
Exports Imports
APAC Intra-regional Trade
Outpaced Trade with Other
Parts of the World post GFC
LaSalle Investment Management | 39
More room for rate cuts in several countries
Source: Oxford Economics, as of 2Q2016
AP Countries Still Have Considerable Policy Ammunition While Japan and China Face Debt Challenges, They Are Largely Domestic
Low external debt levels in Japan and China
(2015, % of GDP)
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
1Q
00
2Q
01
3Q
02
4Q
03
1Q
05
2Q
06
3Q
07
4Q
08
1Q
10
2Q
11
3Q
12
4Q
13
1Q
15
2Q
16
%
US Australia China Hong Kong
Japan South Korea UK
320
106 98
67
8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
UnitedKingdom
Australia UnitedStates
Japan China%
of G
DP
While total debt levels are
high in Japan and China,
the majority of debt is
domestic and not externally
held
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 40
Source: Oxford Economics, as of May 2016
China, Unlike Japan, Has a Debt Cushion Large trade surpluses and foreign reserves could potentially buffer China
Trade Surplus (billions USD)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020e
China (2000-2020)
Japan (1985-2000)
?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Japan (1990) China (2015)
Ratio of Foreign Reserves to GDP
1981 1985 1990 1995 2000
Japan Timeline
China Timeline
LaSalle Investment Management | 41 Source: LaSalle Investment Management as of 6 July 2016.
DEBT / EQUITY
IMBALANCE 2
SUPPLY / DEMAND
IMBALANCE 1
Cost of RE debt
Bank exposure to
CRE loans
Banks Equity Price
Index
Oversupply Risk
Recession Risk
Corporate Bond
Spreads
KEY: Headed in the right direction;
minimal concern.
POSITIVE Clear signal of potential
disruption or downturn
DANGER Consider reducing
risk.
CAUTION
Yield Spread vs
Bonds
REITS vs.
Equities
Real Capital
Value Growth
PRICING
IMBALANCE 3
Caution and Danger Signals:
• Real estate supply reflects strong office supply in some CBD markets, but non-CBD office and
other sectors moderate
• Recession risk is still influenced by many external risks, but domestic economy is still solid
• Bank equity prices have fallen, but majors do still appear in strong shape relative to global peers
Assessment
Australia Capital Market Dashboard: Few Signs of Stress
LaSalle Investment Management | 42 Source: LaSalle Investment Management as of 6 July 2016
DEBT / EQUITY
IMBALANCE 2
SUPPLY / DEMAND
IMBALANCE 1
Cost of RE debt
Bank exposure to
CRE loans
Banks Equity Price
Index
Oversupply Risk
Recession Risk
Corporate Bond
Spreads
KEY: Headed in the right direction;
minimal concern.
POSITIVE Clear signal of potential
disruption or downturn
DANGER Consider reducing
risk.
CAUTION
Yield Spread vs
Bonds
REITS vs.
Equities
Real Capital
Value Growth
PRICING
IMBALANCE 3
Caution and Danger Signals:
• Oversupply Risk refers to Tokyo Grade-A office supply, which is expected to sharply rise in 2018
• Corporate Bond Spreads widened due mainly to a sharp fall in government bond rate
• Bank Equity Price Index have fallen below its 12-month trailing average, driven by concern on
negative interest rates
• Real Estate vs. JGBs reflects implied cap rate spread close to historical average
Assessment
Japan Capital Markets Dashboard: Safe Haven Attracts Risk-Off Investors
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 43
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
Sy
dn
ey
Melb
ou
rne
Se
ou
l
To
ky
o
Ho
ng
Ko
ng
Be
ijin
g
Sh
an
gh
ai
Sin
ga
po
re
Lo
nd
on
Pa
ris
Sa
n F
ran
cis
co
New
Yo
rk
Asia Europe United States
Pri
me
Off
ice
Cap
Ra
te (
Gro
ss
)
Long Term 10y Avg - Cap Rate Current Cap Rate
Source: JLL REIS, as of 1Q2016
Notes: 1) All series refers to prime office; 2) Market s represented above are Sydney CBD, Melbourne CBD, Tokyo 3kus, Shanghai CBD, Beijing CBD, Hong Kong Central,
Singapore Marina Bay, Seoul CBD, London West End, Paris CBD, New York CBD, and San Francisco CBD
Strong Core Asset Pricing in Asia Pacific and Globally Opportunities in under-valued assets for value creation & build-to-core in AP
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 44
Mid-Year 2016 Investment Recommendations – Asia Pacific
Best
Opportunities Core Value-Add Opportunistic
Secondary
Opportunities
Australia Melbourne CBD and
Sydney Metropolitan
Office
Office Lease-
up/Refurbishment, Mixed-
use Infill Retail
Redevelopment of Secondary
Office Stock
China Modern Warehouses
in Key Hubs
Grade-B Office Repositioning
in tier 1 cities
Development of Modern
Warehouse in Key Hubs
Japan Urban Residential
Necessity retail
Short-term value-add &
Active Management
Development of Modern
Warehouse in Tokyo and Osaka
Other
Developed
Asia
Modern Warehouse in
Singapore and Hong
Kong
Value-add Singapore Retail
(non-discretionary/ transport
nodes)
Development of Modern
Warehouse in Seoul
Singapore CBD Office (upon
pricing adjustment)
Singapore Luxury Residential
(upon pricing adjustment)
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 45
North America
Bad Timing: Canal Expanded
as Trade Slides
Fed on Hold: Lower forever?
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 46
US: Signals Indicate Mature Real Estate Cycle 2 of 9 Indicators Now Signalling “Caution” and 1 in “Danger”
Source: LaSalle. Updated 1 July 2016.
Real Estate
Transaction Volume
CMBS Issuance
Levels
CMBS Spreads (AAA)
Yield Curve as
Recession Indicator
Leading Indicators
Recession Risk
Oversupply Risk
Caution and Danger Signals:
• Real Estate transaction volume continues to fall, and 3-month trailing average volume is down 23% y/y, into
“Danger” territory; overall volume is projected to fall from 2015’s record levels.
• CMBS Issuance increased in May, but the trailing year average is still in “Caution” territory.
• Debt/ Equity Imbalance is now in “Caution” thanks to the decrease in transaction volume and decreasing
CMBS levels.
• REIT Discount to NAV: REITs are now trading at a 1.5% discount to NAV on a three-month trailing average
basis.
Real Estate Yield vs.
Baa Bonds
REIT Price Index vs. 6
Month Average
Public REIT Vs.
Private Values (NAV)
SUPPLY / DEMAND
IMBALANCE 1
DEBT / EQUITY
IMBALANCE 2
PRICING
IMBALANCE 3
KEY: Headed in the right
direction; minimal concern.
POSITIVE Clear signal of potential
disruption or downturn
DANGER Consider reducing risk
CAUTION
+
- CHANGE
Signal adjustment since
last update
Assessment
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 47
Source: Statistics Canada, LaSalle Investment Management At Q1 2016
Canada: Corporate Profit Growth Continues to Struggle Energy Sector the Key Contributor to Recent Declines
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
Q1
20
08
Q3
20
08
Q1
20
09
Q3
20
09
Q1
20
10
Q3
20
10
Q1
20
11
Q3
20
11
Q1
20
12
Q3
20
12
Q1
20
13
Q3
20
13
Q1
20
14
Q3
20
14
Q1
20
15
Q3
20
15
Q1
20
16
Y/Y
% c
hange
Quart
erly
Pro
fit
CA
D $
bln
s
Recession
Y/Y % Change [bars R]
Quarterly Profit [line L]
Corporate Operating Profits, Quarterly, SAAR, Q1/08 – Q1/16
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 48
Major sector includes apartment, industrial, office, and retail property types. Niche property types include health care, self storage, lab space, manufactured homes and student
housing.
Source: Green Street Advisors. As of June 2016.
Niche Sectors Offer Better Growth, Less Volatility Also A Growing Share on US REIT Market Cap
Same-Store NOI Growth
Niche sector same-store NOI growth has beaten major sector averages consistently since 2007
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
An
nu
al N
OI G
row
th
Niche Sector Average Major Sector Average
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 49
Source: CBRE-EA, LaSalle
Warehouse Availability vs. New Supply Low supply, low availability markets poised for rent growth
New York
Washington, DC
Los Angeles
Chicago
Boston
San Francisco
Seattle
Dallas
Houston
Denver
Atlanta
Riverside
San Diego
San Jose
Miami
Oakland
Phoenix
Orange County
Austin
Baltimore
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16%
Ne
w S
up
ply
% o
f S
tock '1
6-1
7 A
vg
Availability Rate 1Q16
Warehouse Availability vs. New Supply
Best Positioned
US Average
US Average
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 50
Mid-Year 2016 Investment Recommendations – North America Focus on Long Term DTU Trends and Portfolio Insurance / Downside Protection
Best Opportunities
Core Core Plus/ Value-
Add Opportunistic
Secondary
Opportunities
Office
Mixed-use in “Next Tech”
Knowledge Markets (US/CA);
Markets with below trend rent
levels
Lease-up/renovation in
growth/tech markets
Suburbs at Deep
Discount (US)
Retail Service/Necessity Centers with
High LaSalle STARS Scores (US)
Center Densification (US);
High Street Repositioning
(CA)
Multi-Family Affluent, High Barrier Suburbs with Good Schools (US)
Apartment Development
(build to core) Urban Infill (CA) Class B Repositioning
Warehouse Infill in Major Markets (US); Major
Markets Except in Alberta (CA)
Hub Market Development US)
Small Bay Lease-Up (CA)
Niche Medical Office, Self Storage
Mezzanine
Construction Debt/
Preferred Equity (US)
50
Note: Investment ideas with no country designation apply to both the U.S. and Canada.
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
| 51
Contacts For more information
Jacques Gordon
Global Strategist Chicago
+1 312 897 4200
Bill Maher
Head of North America Strategy Baltimore
+1 410 878 4822
Mahdi Mokrane
Head of European Strategy London
+44 207 852 4605
Robin Goodchild
International Director London
+44 207 852 4390
Rich Kleinman
Director, US Research & Strategy Chicago
+1 312 897 4025
Catherine Chen
National Director Hong Kong
+852 3182 5365
Simon Marx
Director London
+44 207 852 4492
Chris Langstaff
Senior Vice President Toronto
+1 (416) 304-6018
Manuel Zapata
National Director Mexico City
+ 52 55 5980 8090
Leigh Warner
National Director Australia Brisbane
+61 7-3002-4213
Yasuo Kono
Associate Director Tokyo
813 6880 2861
David Baskeyfield
National Director London
+44 207 852 4490
Zuhaib Butt
Associate Director London
+44 207 852 4066
Anne Koeman-Sharapova
Associate Director London
+44 207 852 4520
Macro deck team Daniel Mahoney
Vice President Chicago
+1 312 897 4023
Jack Hopper
Research Analyst Chicago
+1 312 897 4027
Chris Psaras
Alejandro Diaque
Irene Fosse
Elton Li
Aya Miyazaki
Mark Russo
Lucas Tan
LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle’s Macro Indicators
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Real Estate Risks
Risks of investing in real estate include and are not limited to declines in real estate values, defaults by mortgagors or other borrowers and tenants, increases in property taxes and
operating expenses, overbuilding, fluctuations in rental income, changes in interest rates, possible lack of availability of mortgage funds or financing, extended vacancies of
properties, changes in tax and regulatory requirements (including zoning laws and environmental restrictions), losses due to costs resulting from the cleanup of environmental
problems, liability to third parties for damages resulting from environmental problems, and casualty or condemnation losses. In addition, the performance of the local economy in
each of the regions in which the real estate owned by a portfolio company is located affects occupancy, market rental rates and expenses and, consequently, has an impact on the
income from such properties and their underlying values. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee return or eliminate risk in any market environment.
These targets are being shown for information purposes only and should not be relied upon to make predictions of actual future performances. The information supporting this
presentation has been obtained from third parties or is based upon sources believed to be reliable, but LaSalle does not assume any responsibility for, or make any representation or
warranty, express or implied as to the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of, any such information.
Important Notice
This information is intended to assist professional investors in deciding whether they wish to consider the real estate as an investment. This publication does not constitute an offer to
sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities or any interests in investment funds sponsored by, or the advisory services of, LaSalle Investment Management and is subject
to correction, completion and amendment without notice. Any such offer, if made, will only be made by means of a confidential prospectus. The prospectus will include information
regarding investment risk and investors should have the financial ability and willingness to accept these risks. All information obtained from third party sources is believed to be
reliable and current, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed and we do not undertake to update any information contained in this document. All assumptions, figures and calculations
contained in the information must be independently verified by the professional investor. This publication has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives,
financial situation or particular needs of recipients. No legal or tax advice is provided. Recipients should independently evaluate specific investments and trading strategies. By
accepting receipt of this publication, the recipient acknowledges that this publication is confidential and agrees not to distribute, offer or sell this publication or copies of it and agrees
not to make use of the publication other than for its own general information purposes.
Copyright © 2016 LaSalle Investment Management. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any means, whether graphically, electronically,
mechanically or otherwise howsoever, including without limitation photocopying and recording on magnetic tape, or included in any information store and/or retrieval system without
prior permission of LaSalle Investment Management.